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Electricity Year 2022.pptx

Electricity year 2022

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Energy Year 2022
Electricity
Finnish Energy
12.1.2023
Electricity total consumption 82 TWh, 6 %
decrease compared to 2021
12.1.2022
2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
TWh
Electricity consumption decreased from the previous year
5,4 TWh change 2021-2022
12.1.2022
3
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
TWh
Electricity consumption 2022
12.1.2022
4
Housing and
agriculture
30%
Services and building
22%
Losses
4%
Forest industry
20%
Chemical industry
8%
Metal industry
10%
Other industry
6%
O
Industry
total 44 %
82 TWh Other
Consumption
total 52%
Electricity consumption of industry decreased 6 percent
Consumption total 36 TWh
12.1.2022
5
0
10
20
30
40
50
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
TWh
Forest industry Chemical industry Metal industry Other industry
Industrial electricity consumption 2021-2022:
most of decrease in forest industry
12.1.2022
6
-2.5
-2
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
Forest industry Chemical industry Metal industry Other industry
TWh

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Electricity Year 2022.pptx

  • 2. Electricity total consumption 82 TWh, 6 % decrease compared to 2021 12.1.2022 2 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 TWh
  • 3. Electricity consumption decreased from the previous year 5,4 TWh change 2021-2022 12.1.2022 3 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 TWh
  • 4. Electricity consumption 2022 12.1.2022 4 Housing and agriculture 30% Services and building 22% Losses 4% Forest industry 20% Chemical industry 8% Metal industry 10% Other industry 6% O Industry total 44 % 82 TWh Other Consumption total 52%
  • 5. Electricity consumption of industry decreased 6 percent Consumption total 36 TWh 12.1.2022 5 0 10 20 30 40 50 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 TWh Forest industry Chemical industry Metal industry Other industry
  • 6. Industrial electricity consumption 2021-2022: most of decrease in forest industry 12.1.2022 6 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 Forest industry Chemical industry Metal industry Other industry TWh
  • 7. Change of Industrial Electricity Consumption 2021-2022 12.1.2022 7 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 Forest industry Chemical industry Metal industry Other industry %
  • 8. Electricity by energy source and net imports 2022 12.1.2022 8 Hydro power 16.3 % Wind power 14.1 % Solar power 0.5 % Biomass 14.8 % Peat 2.1 % Waste fuels 1.0 % Net imports 15.3 % Nuclear power 29.7 % Natural gas 1.3 % Coal 4.7 % Oil 0.2 % 82 TWh
  • 9. The share of CO2-neutral electricity 89 percent  Renewable: 54 % (53 % in year 2021)  CO2-neutral: 89 % (87 % in year 2021)  Domestic: 57 % (57 % in year 2021) 12.1.2022 9 2021 2022 Hydro power 19.3 % Wind power 16.7 % Solar power 0.6 % Biomass 17.4 % Peat 2.5 % Waste fuels 1.2 % Nuclear power 35.0 % Natural gas 1.5 % Coal 5.6 % Oil 0.2 % 69 TWh Hydro power 22.5 % Wind power 11.8 % Solar power 0.4 % Biomass 18.3 % Peat 2.9 % Waste fuels 1.2 % Nuclear power 32.7 % Natural gas 5.3 % Coal 4.7 % Oil 0.2 % 69 TWh
  • 10. Electricity production in Finland and net imports decreased 12.1.2022 10 2022 2021 Nuclear power 29.7 % CHP, district heating 10.6 % CHP, industry 9.0 % Condense etc 4.5 % Net imports 15.3 % Hydro power 16.3 % Wind power 14.1 % Solar power 0.5 % 82 TWh Nuclear power 26.0 % CHP, district heating 12.2 % CHP, industry 10.4 % Condense etc 3.3 % Net imports 20.4 % Hydro power 18.0 % Wind power 9.4 % Solar power 0.3 % 87 TWh
  • 11. The end of imports from Russia and Energy crisis changed Energy procurement compared to 2021 12.1.2022 11 -5 -3 -2 -1 [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 Net imports Gas Hydro Power Bio/Peat/Waste Coal Nuclear Power Wind Power TWh Finlands electricity energy source changes 2022 vs 2021
  • 12. Net imports of electricity decreased almost 30 percent (5.3 TWh) 12.1.2022 12 • Imports from Russia ended in May 204 % • Imports from Nordic countries increased 3% (0.4TWh) • Exports to Estonia increased 2 % (+0.1 TWh) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 TWh Nordic countries Estonia Russia Imports Exports
  • 13. Net imports of electricity 12.5 TWh in year 2022 12.1.2022 13 0 5 10 15 20 25 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 TWh
  • 14. Electricity imports changed significantly after May 12.1.2022 14 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 GWh Nordic Countries Russia Estonia
  • 15. Wind power grows rapidly: Capacity increased 76 percent and production 41 percent 12.1.2022 15 109 142 146 196 199 259 453 631 1,004 1,532 2,044 2,041 2,284 2,586 3,257 5,677 188 261 277 294 481 494 774 1,107 2,327 3,068 4,795 5,839 6,025 7,938 8,180 11,545 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Installed generation capacity at the end of year (MW) Generation (GWh) MW and GWh
  • 16. Hydropower generation 12.1.2022 16 Average year = hydropower production calculated when flows of built rivers are in average level 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 TWh
  • 17. Generation and capacity of CHP in district heating 12.1.2022 17 *Peak load capacity is not included from year 2017 *Source: Statistics Finland, Energy 2022 table service, table 3.5 3,150 3,150 3,350 3,490 3,490 3,550 3,430 3,350 3,250 3,021 3,051 3,051 3,061 3,097 3,097 14,591 15,257 16,909 14,804 13,897 13,602 12,785 12,119 11,988 11,607 12,267 11,983 9,475 10,647 8,625 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Electricity generation capacity in peak load period (MW)* Generation (GWh) MW and GWh
  • 18. Generation and capacity of CHP in industry 12.1.2022 18 *Source: Statistics Finland, Energy 2022 table service, table 3.5 2,450 2,450 2,300 2,365 2,370 2,330 2,330 2,250 2,000 1,990 2,250 2,250 2,250 2,250 2,150 11,885 9,536 11,189 10,739 9,389 9,724 9,277 8,710 8,879 9,109 9,554 9,576 8,614 9,066 7,331 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Electricity generation capacity in peak load period (MW)* Generation (GWh) MW and GWh
  • 19. Generation and capacity of condensing power 12.1.2022 19 *Peak load capacity is not included from year 2017 *Source: Statistics Finland, Energy 2022 table service, table 3.5 2,650 2,650 2,200 2,200 2,045 2,045 1,650 1,600 960 502 502 502 370 540 540 8,779 8,963 14,179 9,822 5,177 8,883 6,379 4,062 4,319 3,284 4,748 3,142 2,311 2,848 3,706 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Electricity generation capacity in peak load period (MW)* Generation (GWh) MW and GWh
  • 20. Electricity Generation with Coal total of moving 12 months 12.1.2022 20 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13 12/14 12/15 12/16 12/17 12/18 12/19 12/20 12/21 12/22 GWh
  • 21. CO2-emissions of power generation-downward trend continues CO2-emissions of power generation: • 4.4 Mt in year 2022 • 4.7 Mt in year 2021 • 4.3 Mt in year 2020 • 6.9 Mt in year 2015 • 19 Mt in year 2010  2022 vs. 2021 -6 %  Emissions -39 % in last 5 years  Emissions -77 % vs 2010 12.1.2023 21 EU-27, v. 2020: 229 g CO2 / kWh Source: EEA 227 182 124 160 133 97 111 95 107 83 64 68 64 0 50 100 150 200 250 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1000 t CO2 Condense etc CHP Specific carbon dioxide emissions g g CO2 / kWh(e)
  • 22. Peak loads of electricity maximum electricity MW 12.1.2022 22 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 MW Peak of year 2022 14 058 MW (11.1.2022)
  • 23. Electricity supply hourly in year 2022 peak load day 11.1. 12.1.2022 23 2799 2800 2798 2800 2801 2801 2801 2800 2799 2800 2800 2800 2799 2800 2800 2800 2800 2800 2801 2801 2802 2801 2801 2800 1532 1558 1465 1376 1394 1519 1816 1984 2223 2251 2286 2248 2045 2103 2023 1940 2044 2198 2206 2281 2218 1926 1720 1581 1414 1725 1953 2131 2235 2280 2306 2362 2407 2394 2403 2446 2532 2549 2542 2574 2461 2430 2352 2411 2455 2458 2434 2382 3180 3139 3135 3102 3074 3062 3059 3101 3338 3438 3213 3141 3074 3051 2959 2856 2847 2854 2825 2785 2688 2563 2541 2510 669 614 617 623 632 631 620 615 661 693 632 656 674 682 684 670 682 690 710 716 748 716 726 704 3044 2520 2222 2152 2158 2333 2904 3001 2629 2317 2454 2507 2526 2299 2317 2452 2621 2462 2417 2229 1944 1818 2047 1956 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 1 12638 2 12357 3 12189 4 12186 5 12293 6 12627 7 13505 8 13863 9 14058 10 13893 11 13788 12 13798 13 13650 14 13484 15 13325 16 13292 17 13456 18 13434 19 13312 20 13224 21 12855 22 12282 23 12270 24 11932 MW Nuclear power Hydro power Wind and solar power CHP Condence etc Net imports
  • 24. Variation of Electricity Production and Imports in 2022 average week power 12.1.2022 24 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 MW Nuclear power CHP, industry CHP, district heating Condence etc Hydro power Wind power Solar power Net imports
  • 25. Electricity spot markets are in an unprecented rise and change
  • 26. In 2022, wholesale electricity price in Finland was considerably higher than in the previous years 12.1.2023 Tekijä tai esityksen nimi 26 Source: Nord Pool 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 €/MWh Annual electricity spot prices in Finland
  • 27. Price of electricity in Finland was the second-lowest in the entire EU ̶ great price differences compared to Central Europe 12.1.2023 Tekijä tai esityksen nimi 27 Source: Nord Pool 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Finland Northern Sweden Stockholm Oslo Copenhagen Germany France Estonia €/Mwh Electricity spot prices on average 2022
  • 28. Electricity prices rose in Europe mainly due to the reduced amounts of Russian natural gas and other energy in the market 12.1.2023 Tekijä tai esityksen nimi 28 Lähde: Nord Pool Society starts to open up after COVID-19 restrictions and the demand for electricity increases. Exceptionally low prices come to an end. Cold December raised gas and electricity prices. Russia attacks Ukraine. Gas and electricity imports from Russia are reduced considerably during spring and summer. Russia starts to limit gas imports to Europe. 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 jan 2020 April-20 July-20 October-20 January-21 April-21 July-21 October-21 January-22 April-22 July-22 October-22 €/MWh Electricity spot prices 2020-2022 Finland Stockholm France Germany
  • 29. Price of electricity has followed the price of natural gas, which has multiplied in Central Europe 12.1.2023 Tekijä tai esityksen nimi 29 • The price of natural gas has increased 20–30-fold from the low prices in 2020. • About 20% of electricity in the EU is produced with natural gas. In many countries this share is much higher. • For the time being, gas is a necessary fuel with respect to sufficient electricity supplies. • The wholesale price of electricity in Finland partly follows the Central European prices, but not in full. When there is plenty of Nordic production on offer, our price level falls considerably lower. Sources: Nord Pool & Trading Economics 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 €/MWh (Gas) €/MWh (Electricity) Finland Germany Gas (TTF) Electricity spot price and the price of monthly gas products in Finland and Germany
  • 30. In addition to gas, the hot and dry summer and challenges in nuclear power plants also contributed to the crisis • The rise in electricity prices is also partly explained by the reduced supply of nuclear and hydro power. • There are a number of faults and maintenance issues especially in French nuclear power plants, due to which production has plummeted. • The dry year has reduced the supply of hydro power. • Reduced use of electricity and increased production of wind and solar power have not been enough to meet the shortfall in nuclear and hydro power. • It has been necessary to utilise more coal power in electricity production, and even the hugely expensive natural gas has been slightly more in demand than in the previous year. 12.1.2023 Tekijä tai esityksen nimi 30 Sources: Bruegel & Ember -112 -65 -5 -2 -1 [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] [CELLRANGE] -200 -180 -160 -140 -120 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 Nuclear Power Hydro Power Other Fossiles Bio Energy Other Renewables Gas Coal Wind Power Solar Power TWh Change in electricity production by production form 2022 vs. 2021 January-November
  • 31. High prices are not only a Finnish phenomenon 12.1.2023 Tekijä tai esityksen nimi 31 Source: Nord Pool • Prices have been very high throughout Europe. • The electricity wholesale market is common, i.e. pricing takes place according to supply and demand in the entire region. • Electricity is transmitted in the grid towards a higher price. • Electricity transmission links are not enough to ensure the same price in all areas. • The prices have been highest in countries that have a lot of production based on fossil fuels or not enough own production capacity. • Sweden has had the lowest prices, and Finland has imported a lot of electricity from Sweden. Correspondingly, electricity has been exported from Finland to Estonia. Electricity spot prices by country 2022 Prices in Norway, Denmark, Sweden and Italy are from the price areas of the capital cities
  • 32. Electricity price fluctuations have been high this year – highest prices seen in August and in early December 12.1.2023 Tekijä tai esityksen nimi 32 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 €/MWh Weekly electricity spot prices in Finland in 2022 Lähde: Nord Pool • In January–April, Finland had the lowest wholesale electricity prices in Europe together with Sweden. • The prices increased when electricity imports from Russia stopped and gas became more expensive. • In late November and early December, the weather was widely cold with low winds in Central and North-West Europe.
  • 33. Price difference between Finland and Sweden grew further 12.1.2023 Tekijä tai esityksen nimi 33 Lähde: Nord Pool • The reason for the price difference between Finland and Sweden is the insufficient transmission capacity to transmit lower- priced electricity to the neighbouring country. • In the past few years, Finland has usually imported a substantial volume of electricity from Sweden. • The challenge for Finland is that our production capacity is not sufficiently high. In sub-zero temperatures during high demand or low winds, the prices can rise extremely high even if electricity prices in Sweden were lower. • Increasing own power production and growing the transmission capacity will reduce the price difference. 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 €/MWh Annual electricity spot prices in Finland and the Stockholm region Finland Stockholm (2002-2011 Sweden)
  • 34. Outlook for electricity prices is promising especially in terms of Finland and Sweden 12.1.2023 Tekijä tai esityksen nimi 34 Sources: Nord Pool, Nasdaq OMX & EEX Futuure prices from 29.12.2022 • Future electricity deliveries are traded on the electricity derivatives market. • The price outlook is declining in Finland and Sweden. • In Germany, high prices seem to be continuing. • The situation in Finland and Sweden is explained by the fact that we have a constant plentiful supply of new electricity production. Moreover, we are not dependent on gas in electricity production which would keep prices at a constantly high level. 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 €/MWh Actual electricity spot prices & futures Finland Stockholm Germany Finland Fut. Stockholm Fut. Germany Fut.
  • 35. The low carbonization of traffic is progressing
  • 36. Petrol and diesel car sales in Finland (new passenger cars, plug-in hybrid cars not included) 12.1.2022 36 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 No. Diesel Petrol Source: Traficom
  • 37. Alternative power sources for the first registration of passenger cars 12.1.2022 37 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 % Gas cars Plug-in hybrid cars Electric cars Source: Traficom
  • 38. Alternative power sources in passenger cars in traffic by end of the year 12.1.2022 38 614 844 1,449 2,404 4,661 9,697 22,921 44,889 1,508 1,825 3,161 5,607 9,388 12,366 14,395 15,622 1,017 2,437 5,719 13,095 24,704 45,621 76,990 104,039 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 No. Electric vehicles Gas vehicles Plug-in hybrid cars Source: Traficom