WHY?• Unemployment rates• Background• Unions• Past elections• Polls
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES• In 2012, the unemployment rate of the people in Michigan is 9.3%• President Obama has an advantage because he has lowered Michigan’s unemployment rate from the 10.6% it was in 2008• Seeing these results, the people of Michigan will reelect President Obama, hoping the unemployment rate will decrease once again http://www.michigan.gov/lara/0,4601,7-154-10573_11472-207233--,00.html
ETHNICITY• The Michigan population is 80.2% white and 14.3% black• Michigan has a larger black population than many states, swinging the votes toward the Democratic nominee• The African-American population has majorly voted democratic in the past and will most likely vote democratic in the future
UNIONS• Michigan, Detroit specifically, is theheadquarters for many unions whichtypically support the Democrats• The United Auto Workers (UAW) is amajor union in Michigan where its leadershave supported the democratic nomineesin previous elections• The presence of unions such as UAW willsway their members to vote for PresidentObama because of the rewards a unionwill usually receive when a democraticPresident is in office. http://www.uaw.org/articles/election-2012-talking-points-resources
PAST ELECTIONS• In the 2008 Presidential Election, President Obama won 60.8% of the Michigan population• In the 2008, the majority of the Michigan legislatures voted were democrats in the Lower House by 6 Legislatures• Seeing that Michigan has previously voted for the Democratic nominees, the reasonable assumption is that Michigan will once again lean left in hopes of President Obama entering another 4 years in office
POLLS • In the most recent polls in Michigan, President Obama has led Governor Romney by 6 percentage points, well outside the margin of error • Not only in the most recent poll, but for the past couple of weeks polls have showed President Obama has gained a comfortable lead, securing his grip on Michigan http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/mi/michigan_romney_vs_obama-1811.html
Would Obama or Romney do better handlingMichiganders’ issues?• According to many graphs, President Obama will handle the issues the people of Michigan find most important• So while some people in Michigan believe Governor Romney would handle the economy better than President Obama, overall, President Obama claims the title as the favorite in the Michigan polls http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20121030/POLITICS01/210300442/1374/politi
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