Orion Cuffe, Ira Cross, Elaine HirtStatistical Analysis for Business Decisions
Interdisciplinary Research ProjectNSHE is AdministratorFunded by $15M GrantSponsors: NSF, EPSCoRInstitutional Partners: UNR, UNLV, DRI
Important Role toDevelop Public PolicyImplementationMost Closely Match LocalNeeds for ClimateChange AdaptationOften Lack Resources andTimely & AccurateScientific InformationNecessary to ImplementPolicy Effectively
Surveymonkey.com Received 29 CompleteAll Public Agencies Self-Selected ResponsesSent 204 Surveys 14.2% Response Rate
Special Business Non-Profit Purpose Association Organization Government 6% 3% Regional(School, Utility, Agency Water 13% District, etc.) 7% State Government Agency Local 23% Government Agency Federal 48% Government Agency 0%
Climate Change Priority Level?Organization Planning? Information Sources? Capacity for Planning? Constraints and Obstacles for Implementation? Cooperation Between Local Government & Organizations?
Is This Related to… That? Media Confidence in Science Information Source Organization Preparedness Size of Budget Number of Employees Organization Types How Does Nevada Compare with National Trends?
Data Cleaning & CodingSuccessful Tests Unsuccessful Tests Test of Two Means ANOVA T-Test of Proportions OLS Multiple Chi-Square Regression
Chi-Square Test Results Reveal Yes, There is a Relationship. P = 0.0409 Inverse RelationshipLess News = More ConfidenceMore News = Less ConfidenceConclusion: Watching the News ErodesConfidence in the Science.
Yes, Consultants Chi-Square Test Results Show Yes, There is a Relationship.Strengthen Confidence in P = 0.08the Climate ChangeScience When Used MoreOften.
No, Budget Size Does Not Play aRole Whether or Not an Agency isPrepared for Climate Change. Two Sample Test of Means gives P-Value: 0.427 at 95% Confidence Interval.
Chi-Square Test Results Show NORelationshipP = 0.6226Conclusion: Do Not Rely on the AgencyType Determine How Prepared theAgency is to Deal with Climate ChangeIssues. Applies to State Agencies toNon-Profit Organization.
Regardless of the Type of Agency, theConfidence in Climate Change ScienceRemained Unaffected.Chi-Square Test Reveals NORelationship.P-Value = 0.4504
Even the Number of Staff of an Organizationhas NO Affect in Preparedness for ClimateChange Issues. Two Sample Test of Means Reveals NO Relationship at 95% Confidence Interval. P-Value = 0.924 T-Test Score = 0.096
Is Climate Change a Priority? 18% Nevada Agencies Say Yes, It’s a Top Priority* 3% National Average Says Yes, It’s a Top Priority** Confident in the Science of Climate Change 71% Nevada Agencies Are Confident* 57% National Average Is Confident****Note: NOT statistically significant different due to extremely high error, a consequence of low sample size.**Bloomberg Poll conducted by Seizer & Co., Dec 3-7, 2009. N=1,000 adults nationwide +/- 3.1%***Pew Research Center Poll conducted Sept 30-Oct 4, 2009. N=1,500 adults nationwide +/- 3.1%
“This is a waste of time and money. You cannot do anything about climate change.”
“It’s hard to getconcerned, when reports are so conflicting, andpolitics play such a role.”