Mads Christensen, Greenpeace - The Tools for Change – what can one (blogger) do?


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Mads Christensen's presentation at the TH!NK2 - Climate Change launch in Copenhagen on 21 September 2009

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Mads Christensen, Greenpeace - The Tools for Change – what can one (blogger) do?

  1. 1. How to get a good deal in Copenhagen – You are needed!! Th!nk2: Climate Change Bella Center Sept 21st 2009 Mads Flarup Christensen Executive Director Greenpeace Nordic
  2. 2. Today… (T minus 76 days) <ul><li>What a good Copenhagen agreement looks like? </li></ul><ul><li>What a likely agreement looks like! </li></ul><ul><li>What is Greenpeace doing to get a good agreement </li></ul><ul><li>What could you do </li></ul>
  3. 3. Key Greenpeace demands for a “fair, ambitious and binding” Copenhagen agreement <ul><li>Industrialized countries: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Mitigation, 40% reduction by 2020 </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Finance, commit 110 billion euro/year by 2020 </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Developing countries: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Mitigation, 15-30% below BaU by 2020 </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Forests, (stop deforestation by 2020) </li></ul></ul><ul><li>The deal in general: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Legally binding & no loopholes </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Global peak in emissions by 2015, close to 0 in 2050 </li></ul></ul>
  4. 4. Are we asking a lot? <ul><li>Even if the politicians agree to our demands, we will still see large effects of climate change, and we still risk catastrophic impacts. </li></ul><ul><li>Tipping points may occur before 2⁰C warming </li></ul><ul><li>The IPCC recommendations (developed: 25-40% + developing:15-30%) only gives us 50% chance of staying below 2⁰C </li></ul>
  5. 5. What’s up; the next weeks: <ul><li>- UN/Ban Ki Moons Climate meeting followed by G20 meeting </li></ul><ul><li>Expected announcements: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Denmark – Heads of state to Copenhagen now </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Small Island states (AOSIS) – 1.5 ⁰C to stay alive </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>China: Announcing domestic reduction target: Perhaps 20%? </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>US: ….welllll </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Just happened: </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Brown to Copenhagen </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Japan boost commitments from 8% to 25% </li></ul></ul>
  6. 6. Likely outcome: Scenarios for COP 15 <ul><li>Breakthrough – fair, ambitious and binding – NOT LIKELY </li></ul><ul><li>Foundation – good mechanisms, potential for high ambitions later on. COULD HAPPEN </li></ul><ul><li>Greenwash - bad deal made to look good in the media, MOST LIKELY </li></ul><ul><li>Collapse - no deal - COULD HAPPEN </li></ul>
  7. 7. What is Greenpeace doing about it… - SHOWING THE IMPACTS
  8. 8. What is Greenpeace doing about it… - SHOWING THE IMPACTS
  9. 9. What is Greenpeace doing about it… - MOBILIZING PEOPLE
  10. 10. What is Greenpeace doing about it… - FIGHTING THE BAD SOLUTIONS (Greenpeace Classic)
  11. 11. What is Greenpeace doing about it… - PROMOTING THE RIGHT SOLUTIONS
  12. 12. What is Greenpeace doing about it… - ON THE GROUND IN COPENHAGEN <ul><li>60+ delegation to the COP, lobbying, commenting </li></ul><ul><li>Hundreds of activists and volunteers in Copenhagen, demonstrating, direct communications, and photo ops. </li></ul><ul><li>Demonstration, dec 12th </li></ul>
  13. 13. What could you do about it… <ul><li>SHOUT: ”Heads of states to Copenhagen” </li></ul><ul><li>Focus on what people can do to make politicians do the right thingy: Help mobilise! </li></ul><ul><li>Tell the impact stories </li></ul><ul><li>Disclouse a greenwash outcome </li></ul>
  14. 15. Thank you! <ul><li>Mads Flarup Christensen </li></ul><ul><li>[email_address] </li></ul><ul><li>+45 28109022 </li></ul>