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eMarketer Webinar: Programmatic Advertising—Rising Investment and New Realities


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Programmatic advertising already accounts for a majority of all digital display spending in the US, and that share is rising thanks to a number of influences. Topics in this webinar include: Why programmatic ad spending isn’t plateauing yet; How much of programmatic’s continued growth is coming from social and mobile channels; Why more spending continues to shift to private marketplaces and programmatic direct; How cross-screen advertising efforts are contributing to the growth of programmatic video.

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eMarketer Webinar: Programmatic Advertising—Rising Investment and New Realities

  1. 1. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Programmatic Advertising: Rising Investment and New Realities Lauren T. Fisher Senior Analyst September, 2016 Made possible by
  2. 2. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Agenda  Defining programmatic display advertising  Quantifying programmatic ad investment  Highlighting five key trends moving the market
  3. 3. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. What is programmatic advertising?  An automated, technology-driven method of buying, selling or fulfilling ad placements Image Credit: Shutterstock
  4. 4. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. When we say ‘digital display’ ads at eMarketer:  Banners  Sponsorships  Rich Media  Video Native Social
  5. 5. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Marketers’ use of programmatic permeates the majority of all display-based ad formats and channels in the US
  6. 6. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Within programmatic, there are two main transaction methods: real-time bidding (RTB) and programmatic direct
  7. 7. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. A word about programmatic direct and private marketplaces (PMPs): Image Credit: Shutterstock
  8. 8. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Programmatic Investment in the US
  9. 9. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Nearly three-quarters of US digital display ad dollars will be traded programmatically in 2016
  10. 10. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. More than half of those dollars will transact via programmatic direct channels
  11. 11. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. But when excluding social giants Facebook and Twitter, that number is much, much smaller 53.0% Programmatic direct share of total programmatic ad spending in 2016 22.0% Programmatic direct portion excluding Facebook and Twitter 
  12. 12. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Within RTB, open exchanges will maintain a majority share through 2018, but private marketplaces’ portion will grow each year
  13. 13. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Many of today’s biggest digital advertising challenges push buyers and sellers toward PMPs “Buyers are a lot more attracted to the private exchanges where they can effectively manage fraud and address viewability issues. ” —Paulina Klimenko, Senior Vice President, Corporate and Business Development, Pubmatic
  14. 14. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Combined, private and direct setups dominate the programmatic landscape through 2018 76.2% of total programmatic ad spending by 2018 Image Credit: Shutterstock
  15. 15. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Three-quarters of all mobile display ad dollars will be spent programmatically in 2016 That portion will climb to 83.0%, or $29.44 billion, by 2018 Image Credit: Shutterstock
  16. 16. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Here again, big players Facebook and Twitter significantly skew percentages  Programmatic direct’s share of mobile programmatic ad spending excluding Facebook and Twitter in 2016: 22.5%
  17. 17. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. The scales will finally tip on programmatic video advertising in 2016: 60.0% of US digital video ads will transact programmatically, rising to 74.0% by 2018
  18. 18. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Greater comfort with audience-driven buying is drawing in both buyers and sellers “We are seeing premium publishers recognizing the power of using data to find coveted audiences in different ways other than targeting on content or shows. However, they are mostly looking to do that in private and more direct settings.” —Lauren Wiener, President, Buyer Platforms, Tremor Video
  19. 19. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. But for now, desktop will see the bulk of programmatic video ad action
  20. 20. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Interest in programmatic TV advertising will also drive programmatic video growth Image Credit: Shutterstock
  21. 21. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. But programmatic TV’s rise is just getting underway
  22. 22. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Forecast Recap:  Programmatic advertising is now the norm across the majority of channels and digital display ad formats  More private setups, such as programmatic direct and PMPs, will prevail  Growth in big players like Facebook and Google will continue to drive programmatic, particularly mobile  Publishers and brands are finally coming around to programmatic’s use for digital video advertising
  23. 23. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Five Driving Forces to Watch
  24. 24. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Cross-device consciousness will drive added investment in mobile and video 1
  25. 25. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Today, walled garden players like Facebook and Google still have an advantage Image Credit: Shutterstock
  26. 26. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Added improvements to bridging digital and offline data are also driving growth Image Credit: Shutterstock
  27. 27. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. But how fast dollars shift depends on how quickly metrics and measurement are enabled
  28. 28. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. The demand for first-party data will fuel interest in private deals and cross- platform integrations 2
  29. 29. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. First-party data is now critical for reaching the right audiences within digital
  30. 30. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. That premium is manifesting in a variety of ways  Greater use of PMPs and programmatic direct  Greater desire for programmatic platforms supporting cross-device and cross-channel efforts  Greater convergence between ad tech and marketing tech
  31. 31. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. The end goal is using first-party data from all channels and inputs “Marketers are leaning in [to programmatic] because they are starting to isolate data sets much better than they ever have. They are using those for marketing, for in-store work and for site behavior, and they want to enable those same data insights on their digital advertising. ” —Sean Downey, Vice President, Media Platforms, Google
  32. 32. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. The desire for more holistic efforts breeds desire for fewer but more holistic tools 3
  33. 33. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Many buyers and sellers seek to simplify their tech stacks “If you’re in the platform business explicitly, your customer is going to ask you to make your platform as comprehensive as possible, because no one wants to use multiple platforms.” —Matt Greitzer, Co-Founder and COO, Accordant Media
  34. 34. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. The industry’s ability to address ad quality issues will make or break brands’ investment in programmatic 4
  35. 35. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Fraud, viewability and transparency are all top-of-mind, but cleanup is far from done
  36. 36. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Until resolution arrives, brand spend will remain at bay “There’s definitely demand for programmatic video, and our advertisers want to spend more money here. But the hesitation is there is a lot of fraud in online video. There needs to be a lot of scrutiny in that space.” —Carol Chung, Senior Vice President, Media Technology, Digitas LBi
  37. 37. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Publishers will continue to lean on header bidding to drive greater revenues and advertiser competition 5
  38. 38. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. With header bidding, programmatic is promoted to the head of the class “The idea of programmatic being remnant or farther down the waterfall is officially dead. With the rise of header bidding, it means that every impression is now up for auction.” —Jeremy Hlavacek, Vice President, Global Automated Monetization, The Weather Company
  39. 39. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Header bidding’s future is bright but uncertain Image Credit: Shutterstock
  40. 40. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Key Takeaways  Interest in cross-device and an audience-centric view will continue to drive additional mobile and video growth  First-party data—from all channels and sources—will serve as prime programmatic ammunition  As brands center programs on first-party data, they will inevitably look to platforms most compatible to do so  Issues of ad quality will temper programmatic investment so long as they remain  Header bidding will prove pivotal to drive added value for publishers and advertisers
  41. 41. © 2016 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Creative Audience Media Audience Manager, Analytics Media Optimizer Dynamic Creative Optimization Adobe’s Programmatic Ad Stack
  42. 42. © 2016 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Media Search Display Social Programmatic Ad Buying Across Channels & Inventory Partners Adobe Media Optimizer
  44. 44. © 2016 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Creative Dynamic Creative Optimization Deliver the most relevant & personalized display ad in real- time to drive user engagement
  45. 45. © 2016 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Pete Kluge Adobe Media Optimizer YouTube Channel
  46. 46. © 2016 eMarketer Inc. Learn more about digital marketing with an eMarketer corporate subscription Around 200 eMarketer reports are published each year. Here are some recent reports you may be interested in: Q&A Session You will receive an email tomorrow with a link to view the deck and webinar recording. To learn more: 800-405-0844 or Lauren T. Fisher Programmatic Advertising: Rising Investment and New Realities  US Programmatic Ad Spending Forecast: Most Mobile Display and Video Ad Dollars to Be Automated by 2018  UK Programmatic Advertising Forecast: Market Maturation Leads to Greater Confidence in Automated Trading  App Inventory: Programmatic’s Diamond in the Rough  Header Bidding: What’s Behind This Popular Trend?  Television Update Q2 2016: Advanced TV’s Progress Made possible by