Johnny Connolly is a criminologist in the Alcohol and Drugs Research Unit of the Health Research Board. He has researched and written on community policing, drugs and crime and alternatives to imprisonment. He is a Board member of the Irish Penal Reform Trust.
Johnny gave a talk outlining current research and policy on the broad areas of crime and drugs. He explained where the statistics in use come from, what they explain and what they may conceal. He also went through recent trends in drug consumption (rise in the Celtic tiger years, subsequent fall and the ‘headshop’ phenomena) and the official response to this. The presentation was followed by questions and answers.
This presentation was part of Dublin City Libraries Crime and the City series.
https://soundcloud.com/dublincitypubliclibrary/sets/crime-and-the-city
4. Background
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International campaign against drugs
Misuse of Drugs Act 1977
Summer of 1996 – resurgence of heroin use
and drug-related deaths
Anti-drug campaign
Local meetings, vigils and marches
Murder of Journalist Veronica Guerin
The state responds
Headshops
5. The official picture
Trends in prosecutions for supply, possession and total
drug offence prosecutions 1993–2005
12000
10000
8000
Drug supply (s15
MDA)
6000
Drug possession
(s3MDA)
4000
Total drug offences
2000
20
05
20
03
20
01
19
99
19
97
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95
19
93
0
13. But what are we missing? The ‘dark’
figure of crime law enforcement?
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The law in statute & practice
1 out of 4 crimes reported
1 out of 11 if shoplifting
included
40% reported are not
recorded
‘Dark figure’ higher for drugrelated crime (More serious
crimes – corruption of govt.,
police, business and banking
systems not explored)
Most evidence relates to
‘street-level’ crime (theft,
burglary, robbery, assault)
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Tolerance (of soft
drugs)
Public Apathy/
disillusionment
Fear of reprisal
Discretion and
selective
enforcement (eg
police and prison)
14. The psycho-pharmacological model
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Where effects of intoxication cause criminal,
especially violent, behaviour
Consistent link between violent crime and
alcohol
Link largely refuted in regard to heroin and
cannabis, some evidence with crack cocaine
Social environment more of a powerful
contributor to violence than effects of drugs
15. The economic model-drug use and
acquisitive crime
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Increase in economically-motivated crimes after
addiction and reduction after treatment programmes
Garda study 1997 drug users responsible for 66%
detected crime. 2004 study drug users responsible
for 28% crime
Increased employment and treatment possible
explanation Public perception of high association
between drug use and violent crime not reflected in
rates of violent crime by users
Drug users twice as likely to be caught offending as
non-users
16. Two garda studies compared
Keogh 1997
Furey and Browne 2004
Crime as main income source
59%
13%
Unemployment rate
84%
55%
Drug first used - cannabis
51%
55%
First introduced to drugs by a
friend
81%
86%
Drugs sourced from local
dealer
46%
76%
Number who had been to
prison
81%
66%
Estimated daily expenditure
€51
€75
17. Systemic crime – illicit drug markets
as a cause of crime
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Understanding markets (Seizures, Price, Purity, Drug routes)
Stabilisation of local drug markets over time
local drug markets and community disturbance and anti-social
behaviour
Drug users have relatively easy access to drugs in own areas
Local drug markets fear among local residents to co-operate
with law enforcement due to reprisal from drug dealers
Involvement of organised crime: Europol reports majority of
suspects are Irish nationals or involving non-Irish nationals
associates of Irish nationals
Reports high levels of co-operation between Irish nationals
across the drug market as ‘unique in European context
How organised is organised crime? (New law 2009)
18. The common cause model
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Drugs and crime
common elements of
delinquent or deviant
lifestyle
Drugs and crime not
causally linked but
both produced by
underlying social
factors such as
inequality and
deprivation
Profile
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Single, male, aged 14 to 30,
urban, living in the parental
home,
from large and often broken
families,
left school before the legal
minimum age of 16,
high levels of unemployment,
best ever job being in the
lowest socio-economic class,
high number convictions and
rates of recidivism,
a history of family members
being in prison,
from local authority housing
and areas of high levels of
long-term unemployment.
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19. Summarising the link between
drugs and crime
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Most drug users do not commit crimes other than
those of possession
There is a link between some forms of illicit drug use
and crime (Mostly heroin and cocaine).
Most problematic users receive prison sentences for
drug-related offences rather than drug offences
Most problematic users began criminal career before
drug use
Drug use speeds up the rate of offending
There is no clear causal link between drug use and
crime
Links between alcohol and violent crime exist in
evidence
20. Drug market research in Ireland
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The illicit drug market in Ireland (Connolly 2005)
Crack cocaine in the Dublin region: an evidence base for a crack
cocaine strategy (Connolly et al 2008)
Methods included:
In-depth interviews with users, sellers, drug treatment staff and police
Criminal justice data
Drug treatment data (National Drug Treatment Reporting System)
Key findings included:
Availability of crack cocaine originally centred in one Dublin city centre
location
Dublin city market originally dominated by non-Irish nationals
Availability has extended beyond city centre hub into Dublin suburbs
Price is high and stable – such pricing may deter use for many users
Dealers employed a number of risk management strategies in
response to policing – open market became closed
Illicit drug markets in Ireland (Connolly, forthcoming 2012)
25. 1992 – Drug barons reign
1997 – Drug barons run
26. Changing nature of drug markets
Hidden, Credit-based, Mobile, Violent,
Younger
27. Consequences of drug markets for
local communities
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Intimidation and violence
No – go areas, particularly after dark
Community stigma
Development of gangs
Perpetuation of cycle of violence
Fear of reprisal
Breakdown in community cooperation
Failure of regeneration
28. Getting real about supply control
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Third biggest market globally after oil and arms
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Global value $94 billion, Wine & Beer $24 billion, Tobacco
$21.6
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Street prices far higher massive profits from dealing
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Retail value four times higher than the wholesale value
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Little evidence supply control long-lasting impact on dealing
levels – some evidence of containment/ displacement
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Estimated that 10–20% available drugs seized
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Amount undetected means long-term impact minimal
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UK study 80% to be seized to have any real effect
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Drug distribution adapt quickly, arrested dealers replaced
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Demand inelastic for problematic users, relative to others
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Increased prices may simply lead to more acquisitive crime
29. Is that a Celtic Tiger I
see? Whose law and
order?
30. Current approaches/challenges
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National Drugs Strategy 2009-2016
Head shops and the internet
Legislation and the GNDU
Imprisonment
Dial to stop dealing and intimidation
Pilot - Family Support Group and GN Drugs
Unit
Joint Policing Committees and Local Policing
Fora