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Technical Analysis Presentation

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My presentation on technical analysis.

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Technical Analysis Presentation

  1. 1. Technical Analysis 101 Jason Park October 1, 2009 Decision Support Analysis
  2. 2. The Potential Rewards <ul><li>This chart, from Norman Fosbeck, shows how market timing can benefit your returns. The only problem is that you have to be very good at it. </li></ul>Source: Norman Fosbeck
  3. 3. Technical Analysis <ul><li>Technical Analysis is a great tool used for forecasting future prices and trends for short term investors. </li></ul><ul><li>Technical analysis is the attempt to forecast stock prices on the basis of market-derived data. </li></ul><ul><li>They are looking for trends and patterns in the data that indicate future price movements. </li></ul>
  4. 4. Chart: OHLC Chart <ul><li>This is a bar (open, high, low, close or OHLC) chart of AMAT from July to October 2001. </li></ul>Source: www.stockcharts.com
  5. 5. Basic Technical Tools <ul><li>Trend Lines </li></ul><ul><li>Price Patterns </li></ul><ul><li>Indicators </li></ul>
  6. 6. Trend Lines <ul><li>An Up trend </li></ul><ul><li>A Down trend </li></ul><ul><li>A Trading Range </li></ul>Source: www.investopedia.com
  7. 7. Head and Shoulders <ul><li>This formation is characterized by two small peaks on either side of a larger peak. </li></ul><ul><li>This is a reversal pattern: H&S Bottom </li></ul>Source: www.investopedia.com
  8. 8. Head & Shoulders Example Sell Signal Source: www.stockcharts.com
  9. 9. Double Tops and Bottoms <ul><li>Similar to the H&S formations, but there is no head. </li></ul>Source: www.investopedia.com
  10. 10. Double Bottom Example Source: www.stockcharts.com
  11. 11. Triangles <ul><li>Triangles are continuation formations. </li></ul><ul><li>Three flavors: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Ascending </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Descending </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Symmetrical </li></ul></ul>Source: www.investopedia.com Resistance Level Support Level
  12. 12. DJIA Oct 2000 to Oct 2001 Example What could you have known, and when could you have known it? Source: www.stockcharts.com
  13. 13. DJIA Oct 2000 to Oct 2001 Example Double bottom Nov to Mar Trading range Descending triangles Source: www.stockcharts.com Support Level
  14. 14. Technical Indicators <ul><li>Accumulation/distribution index </li></ul><ul><li>Advance decline line  </li></ul><ul><li>Average Directional Index  </li></ul><ul><li>Commodity Channel Index  </li></ul><ul><li>MACD </li></ul><ul><li>Parabolic SAR </li></ul><ul><li>Relative Strength Index (RSI) </li></ul><ul><li>Stochastic oscillator </li></ul><ul><li>Trix  </li></ul><ul><li>Money Flow </li></ul><ul><li>On-balance volume </li></ul><ul><li>PAC charts </li></ul>Source: www.investopedia.com
  15. 15. MACD <ul><li>MACD is the difference between the 12-day and 26-day moving average. A 9-day moving average of this difference is used to generate signals. </li></ul><ul><li>When this signal line goes from negative to positive, a buy signal is generated. </li></ul><ul><li>When the signal line goes from positive to negative, a sell signal is generated. </li></ul>Source: www.investopedia.com
  16. 16. MACD Example Chart Sell Signal Buy Signal Bearish Bullish Diff. Btw MACD and 9 EMA Source: www.stockcharts.com MACD=26EMA-12EMA
  17. 17. Conclusion <ul><li>There are literally hundreds of indicators and thousands of trading systems. </li></ul><ul><li>Technical Analysis can help you make timely investment decisions! </li></ul><ul><li>Practice makes perfect.  </li></ul>
  18. 18. Any Questions? H&S Bottom We are out of the bear market?

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