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Renewable energy revolutionizes the energy industry

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“The Stone Age didn’t end for lack of stone, and the oil age will end long before the world runs out of oil”, said Sheik Ahmed Zaki Yamani. Are we experiencing the end of the oil addiction?

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Renewable energy revolutionizes the energy industry

  1. 1. Renewable energy revolutionizes the energy industry doris.capurro@luftlatam.com October 5-7 2017
  2. 2. Will we run out of oil? 20th Century 21st Century How much longer do we wish to use it?
  3. 3. “The Stone Age didn’t end for lack of stone, and the oil age will end long before the world runs out of oil” - Sheik Ahmed ZakiYamani
  4. 4. Evolution of net power generation bysource Unit of measurement in megawatts 100,000 50,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Oil / Source: EIA
  5. 5. Evolution of net power generation bysource Unit of measurement in megawatts 100,000 mw 50,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Natural Gas / Source: EIA
  6. 6. Evolution of net power generation bysource Unit of measurement in megawatts 100,000 mw 50,000 mw 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Solar / Source: EIA
  7. 7. In latest move, China halts over 100 coalpowerprojects
  8. 8. India cancels plans for huge coalpower station - because solar energy is getting so cheap.
  9. 9. Source: IEA; GWEC;BNEF 2000 Projection Reality Worlwide wind capacity will reach 30 gigawatts by 2010 By 2016 that goal was exceeded by a factor of 16X Wind energyprogress How do projections compare withreality?
  10. 10. Data: Fresh-Energy: Bloomberg 2002 Projection Reality The solar energy market will grow one gigawatt per year by 2010 The reality is that goal was exceeded by 17X Solar energyprogress How do projections compare withreality?
  11. 11. Global Wind Energy Capacity 1980 - Present Data: Earth Policy Institute / BNEF 500,000 mw 400,000 mw 300,000 mw 200,000 mw 100,000 mw Wind Capacity (Megawatts) 1980 1984 1998 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
  12. 12. 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 200,000 mw 150,000 mw 100,000 mw 50,000 mw World growth in solar energycapacity Unit of measurement: megawatts (MW) Source: International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)
  13. 13. 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 10,000 mw 20,000 mw 30,000 mw 40,000 mw China Alemania Japón EEUU UK Francia Australia India España Evolution of the photovoltaic solar energy capacity accumulated by countries Unit of measurement: megawatts (MW) Source: International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)
  14. 14. Cost of crystalline silicon solarcells $ Cost per watt (inflation adjusted) Data: BNEF 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1976 1980 2008 1984 1988 2011 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 1976 $79.40/watt 2016 $0.41/watt
  15. 15. Auto manufacturersare moving to electric vehicles Tesla Toyota Mercedes- Benz BYD Tata Quiantu Venturi Goupil GM Audi CODA ChangAn Geely Mullen Mahindra Hyundai Aston Martin Exagon Opel Nissan Honda JAC Renault BAIC Kia BMW Chevy Ford Fisker Fiat Mitsubishi Volkswagen Kandi $mart Bolloré Trumpchi Peugeot Daimler Subaru Aixam Chery Citroën Ditydom- Gmbh Kantanka Buddy- Electric Kyburz Rayttle NIO Zotye Companies with electric models in production Source: BNEF, EVObsession
  16. 16. -77% +160% p.a. Averagebattery packprice $ per kWh 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 32 169 251 88 4 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E US, EU,andChina electric vehicle sales Units thousands 530 501 US EU China 2020 forecast 2030 forecast 800 642 599 540 269 227
  17. 17. India plans to switch all new cars toelectric by2030
  18. 18. THE BIGCHALLENGE ENERGY STORAGE
  19. 19. Today the challenge is not how to connect solar or wind energy to thegrid, but how to interconnect different technologies with each other.
  20. 20. 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 Energy storage deployment by segment(MW) US Energystorage market Performance and projections Data: GTM Research Utility Non-Residential Residential
  21. 21. Policy Tech OPORTUNITY Biz
  22. 22. Increased Demand Prices Fall Tap into new markets
  23. 23. 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 World investment in solar energy Thousands of millions ofEuros Source: IRENA Global investment in solarenergy has soared 906% since2005 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0
  24. 24. Triple SUSTAINABILITY! Economic, social and environmental
  25. 25. Long average of Annual sum <700 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100 2300 2500 2700> <2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 > kWh/m² Daily sum
  26. 26. Enough solar energy reaches Earth everyhour to fill the world’s energy needs for afull year
  27. 27. Thank you Doris Capurro doris.capurro@luftlatam.com

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