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Emerging & Future Trends in ICT          How can South Africa          play a stronger role in             creating them? ...
Not an academic paper                Opinion                                           piece    Not an an    academic     ...
ICT is in everything                           A few general and underpinning trends                                      ...
Trend 1              More ubiquitous and              affordable bandwidth                    The veins and arteries      ...
Trend 1                       More ubiquitous and                       affordable bandwidth                              ...
Trend 1                     More ubiquitous and                     affordable bandwidth                     In 2011      ...
Trend 1              More ubiquitous and              affordable bandwidth               Where are we in South            ...
Trend 2                        Ubiquitous computing
Trend 3              Social everything     MySpace                                   
Trend 4              Greater freedom &              openness                                                            pl...
Trend 4                 Greater freedom &                 openness                                         platformshttp:/...
Trend 4                 Greater freedom &                 openness                                         platformshttp:/...
Trend 4                 Greater freedom &                 openness                                         platformshttp:/...
Trend 4b                 Less freedom &                 openness                                                          ...
Trend 5              Its a data-driven              world we live in                                    
Trend 5                        Its a data-driven                        world we live in                                  ...
Trend 5                         Its a data-driven                         world we live in         “Linking Open Data clou...
Trend 5                                   Its a data-driven                                   world we live in            ...
Trend 5              Its a data-driven              world we live in                                    
Trend 5              Its a data-driven              world we live in                                    
Trend 5              Its a data-driven              world we live in                                    
Trend 6              Location and context                                 
Trend 6              Location and context                                 
Location and context                         Trend 6  
Trend 7                Separation of computing                from location                                              D...
Trend 8              Ambient intelligence               environments that are sensitive               and responsive to th...
Trend 8                  Ambient intelligence                   environments that are sensitive                   and resp...
Trend 8              Ambient intelligence                                     Augmented                                   ...
Scary trends                    
Facial recognition    Scary trends                     
Public data mining      Scary trends    … for personal information                           
Further away     trends                     Quantum        Ambient                     computing      electricity      Hum...
How can South Africa     play a stronger role in     creating them?                               Nationally              ...
How can South Africa    play a stronger role in    creating them?                              At least                   ...
Wasting our  youth                   Key challenges                
Get out of the maths and science hole     –   Stop thinking if you dont have maths you          cant do anything useful   ...
680 000    wrote matric    in 2010                                                  77 000                                ...
Universitiesin South Africa                                         http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Tengeru_market.jpg
Innovation    A new type of institution                 
Thank you                                 This presentation was made                                 entirely using Free S...
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Emerging & Future Trends in ICT

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Emerging & Future Trends in ICT: How can South Africa play a stronger role in creating them - delivered as opening Keynote at the SAFIPA conference in Pretoria, Oct 19, 2011.

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Emerging & Future Trends in ICT

  1. 1. Emerging & Future Trends in ICT How can South Africa play a stronger role in creating them? Dr Derek W. Keats dKeats Innovation http://www.dkeats.com derek@dkeats.com +27 82 787 0169   
  2. 2. Not an academic paper Opinion piece Not an an academic Opinion piece paper   
  3. 3. ICT is in everything A few general and underpinning trends   
  4. 4. Trend 1 More ubiquitous and affordable bandwidth The veins and arteries for the life blood of the knowledge economy Broadband innovation Broadband services Last mile Broadband challenge penetration Broadband availability   
  5. 5. Trend 1 More ubiquitous and affordable bandwidth    http://www.africabandwidthmaps.com/
  6. 6. Trend 1 More ubiquitous and affordable bandwidth In 2011 Africas International Bandwidth reached 500 Gbps Mark July 2010 – Terrestrial fibre July 2011, reaching Changes to 45,498-km urban the regulatory of new neighbourhoods environment terrestrial in SA in SA fibre in Africa Mobile More diverse broadband assemblage of prices dropping providers rapidly   
  7. 7. Trend 1 More ubiquitous and affordable bandwidth Where are we in South Africa? Broadband innovation Broadband services Last mile Broadband challenge penetration Broadband availability   
  8. 8. Trend 2    Ubiquitous computing
  9. 9. Trend 3 Social everything MySpace   
  10. 10. Trend 4 Greater freedom & openness platforms Platforms for sharing and remixing Free Software content (Open Source) Interconnected world of APIs Licenses that foster sharing and re-usability More open standards   
  11. 11. Trend 4 Greater freedom & openness platformshttp://arduino.cc   
  12. 12. Trend 4 Greater freedom & openness platformshttp://arduino.cc   
  13. 13. Trend 4 Greater freedom & openness platformshttp://arduino.cc   
  14. 14. Trend 4b Less freedom & openness Subtle erosion of rights, More emphasis on erosion that intellectual property accumulates Bigger patent minefields Extensions to copyright Dangerous goods packaged to look    fabulous
  15. 15. Trend 5 Its a data-driven world we live in   
  16. 16. Trend 5 Its a data-driven world we live in Using the Web to connect related data Extends http and URIs Data can beLinked data read automatically by computers Data fm different sources can be You dont connected & have to be human queried to access and     use it
  17. 17. Trend 5 Its a data-driven world we live in “Linking Open Data cloud diagram, by Richard Cyganiak and Anja Jentzsch. http://lod- cloud.net/”dataLinked    
  18. 18. Trend 5 Its a data-driven world we live in “Linking Open Data cloud diagram, by Richard Cyganiak and Anja Jentzsch. http://lod-cloud.net/”Linked OPEN data    
  19. 19. Trend 5 Its a data-driven world we live in   
  20. 20. Trend 5 Its a data-driven world we live in   
  21. 21. Trend 5 Its a data-driven world we live in   
  22. 22. Trend 6 Location and context   
  23. 23. Trend 6 Location and context   
  24. 24. Location and context   Trend 6  
  25. 25. Trend 7 Separation of computing from location Devices can appear smarter than they are VirtualizationCloud computing Utility computing APIs paradigm Software & hardware as services   
  26. 26. Trend 8 Ambient intelligence environments that are sensitive and responsive to the presence of people Role of linked data   
  27. 27. Trend 8 Ambient intelligence environments that are sensitive and responsive to the presence of people Smart Smart robots transportation Smart cities  Smart homes   Smart energy
  28. 28. Trend 8 Ambient intelligence Augmented reality   
  29. 29. Scary trends   
  30. 30. Facial recognition Scary trends   
  31. 31. Public data mining Scary trends … for personal information   
  32. 32. Further away trends Quantum Ambient computing electricity Human language processing Nano Augmented computing human   
  33. 33. How can South Africa play a stronger role in creating them? Nationally Provincially Cities Start taking the knowledge economy  seriously  
  34. 34. How can South Africa play a stronger role in creating them? At least two orders of magni- tude Scale   
  35. 35. Wasting our youth Key challenges   
  36. 36. Get out of the maths and science hole – Stop thinking if you dont have maths you cant do anything useful Key challenges   
  37. 37. 680 000 wrote matric in 2010 77 000 will be unemployed after graduation 130 000 found 230 000 places at qualify for university university 100 000 did not find places at university   
  38. 38. Universitiesin South Africa     http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Tengeru_market.jpg
  39. 39. Innovation A new type of institution   
  40. 40. Thank you This presentation was made entirely using Free Software Derek Keats, PhD derek@dkeats.com http://www.dkeats.com  http://facebook.com/dkeats  

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