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Sortez de votre bureau !

www.diateino.com

BOB DORF
allegedly retired serial entrepreneur

Twitter: @bobdorf www.bobdorf.co
www.steveblank.com
Many slides © Steve Blank
7=2+2-3
27=7-6
why math matters:
650,000!
12?

(or 2%?)
make your
startup
MATTER
The New Way, 2003:
Steve Blank Launches
CUSTOMER DEVELOPMENT
In Ten fast years:
Stanford, Berkeley
Columbia U, Skolkovo,100+ more
Tech de Monterrey
US National Science Foundation
THOUSANDS of Startups
APPS.CO/Colombian Government

Incubators, Accelerators
…more than we can count!
More startups fail from
a lack of customers
than from a failure to
build product
Why Most Startups Fail
Assume Customer Problem:
Concept/
Seed Round

Product
Dev.

known
Alpha/Beta
Test

Assume Product Features:

Launch/
1st Ship

known
We used to think:
All You Need to Do: Execute the Plan
No Business Plan
survives first contact
with customers!
…ask Webvan!
…or RIM
…or Zynga
…or many more
Don’t Spend 2 Months
writing Fairy Tales…
Spend that time SEARCHING
for a Repeatable, Scalable,
Profitable BUSINESS MODEL
FULL STOP!
HAVE YOU PROVEN
PRODUCT/MARKET FIT
The most important slide Steve Blank ever drew, circa 2003:
Customer Discovery Step 1:
“Get Out of the Building!”
1. Does anybody care?
2. Do they grab it from you?
3. Become your own Customer!
Key Warnings:
DON’T talk to friends or family!
FOUNDERS must do this themselves
DO NOT SELL!!!
Customer Discovery Tool #1:
Your Minimum Viable Product
•
•
•
•

Google without ads
Zappos without any shoes
Diapers.com without diapers
Non-Working Websites or Apps!

…Fewest possible features to show what it does!

…Something a customer can touch, feel, try
…Delivers far more, richer customer feedback
Tool #2: The Pivot
Search

Customer
Discovery

Customer
Validation

Pivot
• The heart of Customer Development

• Iteration without crisis
• Fast, agile and opportunistic
Just a few(of many) Historic Pivots
•
•
•
•
•
•

Groupon: the $12billion pivot
Steve Blank: “Page 6”
Perimeter: “there are 9000 of us”
Ning
Zynga
…and thousands more!
Pivot Cycle Time Matters
Search
Customer
Discovery

Customer
Validation

Execution
Customer
Creation

Company
Building

Pivot

• MVP speeds up cycle time
•Speed of cycle minimizes cash needs
• Customer feedback drives the product!
How do you know when Discovery is “done?”
Key Partners

Key Activities

Value Proposition

Customer Relationships

Customer Segments

Complete regional overview

 Populate life cycle data for
performance guarantees

 key distinctive product features &
benefits for the target customer
segment
 total cost of ownership for segment
versus alternatives
 why will segment buy Durathon
versus alternatives (i.e. value
proposition)
 minimum feature set (i.e. our launch
configuration) and ultimate feature
set
 opportunities to claim IP or
trademark / is there freedom to
practice
 what regulatory/ certification/
transportation/ customs
requirements should be met or could
be differentiator

 product positioning/elevator pitch for
each segment
 Prospect roadmap: how to get faceto-face with right person at
prospects in each segment
 key competitors in each segment and
their market share
 key competitors' characteristics &
dynamics
 What outbound marketing/
advertising/ promotion activities are
needed
 support tools required by segment
(white papers, TCO calc., tradeshow)
 pipeline of leads

 identify key market segments
(geography/application) and customer
segments (e.g. operator versus
owner)
 how many customers in each segment
and estimated potential volume for
each customer
 how do customers make money … key
customer pain/gain points in each
segment
 how are buying decisions made in
each segment - id
process, hurdles, decision makers
 what does an Earlyvangelist look like
in each segment
 who influences purchases in each
segment (trade groups, key
resellers, trend watchers)

Who are our key partners/ suppliers

Which key activities does the biz
model require

What value do we deliver to the
customer

 Educate market on metric: $/kWhday delivered over life of asset
 Establish strong partnerships with
channel partners

0

Key Resources

Which key resources does the biz
model require
 Integrated power system engineering
– compatibility for retrofit and
optimized system solutions
 Financing options for Power services
operators

What type of relationship does
each segment require of us

25

Channels

Through which channel does each
segment want to be reached
 which segments can only or best be
reached through a channel partner
 which channel partners are important
to optimize sales in each segment
 what are channel partners'
requirements and cost to become a
proactive sales channel
 initial channel partner response to
value proposition & customer segments

12

25

Cost Structure

For whom are we creating value

4

50

Revenue Streams

What are our cost drivers

How much is each segment willing to pay and how would they like to pay us this amount

 Launch reliability






What are price /performance characteristics of competing technology
What is the 2013 price target for 1 MM cells
What is the 2015 price target for 10 MM cells
what is optimum sales method for each segment (asset sale, lease, pay for performance, etc.)
3

X = number of in depth customer data points / data sources used to validate hypothesis
x

x

x

red = low hypothesis confidence
yellow = medium hypothesis confidence
green = high hypothesis confidence

30
10/26/2013
Customer Validation
Search
Customer
Discovery

Customer
Validation

Pivot

Customer
Creation

Company
Building

Execution

• Repeatable, scalable profitable?
• Passionate first paying customers?
• Pivot back to Discovery if not!
When It
Doesn’t Work
(most of the time…)
Merci !

www.diateino.com

BOB DORF
allegedly retired serial entrepreneur

Twitter: @bobdorf www.bobdorf.co
www.steveblank.com

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Customer development : Bob Dorf's slides for his conference in Paris. October 2013.

  • 1. Sortez de votre bureau ! www.diateino.com BOB DORF allegedly retired serial entrepreneur Twitter: @bobdorf www.bobdorf.co www.steveblank.com Many slides © Steve Blank
  • 8. The New Way, 2003: Steve Blank Launches CUSTOMER DEVELOPMENT
  • 9. In Ten fast years: Stanford, Berkeley Columbia U, Skolkovo,100+ more Tech de Monterrey US National Science Foundation THOUSANDS of Startups APPS.CO/Colombian Government Incubators, Accelerators …more than we can count!
  • 10. More startups fail from a lack of customers than from a failure to build product
  • 11. Why Most Startups Fail Assume Customer Problem: Concept/ Seed Round Product Dev. known Alpha/Beta Test Assume Product Features: Launch/ 1st Ship known
  • 12.
  • 13. We used to think:
  • 14. All You Need to Do: Execute the Plan
  • 15. No Business Plan survives first contact with customers! …ask Webvan! …or RIM …or Zynga …or many more
  • 16. Don’t Spend 2 Months writing Fairy Tales… Spend that time SEARCHING for a Repeatable, Scalable, Profitable BUSINESS MODEL
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. FULL STOP! HAVE YOU PROVEN PRODUCT/MARKET FIT
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. The most important slide Steve Blank ever drew, circa 2003:
  • 24.
  • 25. Customer Discovery Step 1: “Get Out of the Building!” 1. Does anybody care? 2. Do they grab it from you? 3. Become your own Customer! Key Warnings: DON’T talk to friends or family! FOUNDERS must do this themselves DO NOT SELL!!!
  • 26. Customer Discovery Tool #1: Your Minimum Viable Product • • • • Google without ads Zappos without any shoes Diapers.com without diapers Non-Working Websites or Apps! …Fewest possible features to show what it does! …Something a customer can touch, feel, try …Delivers far more, richer customer feedback
  • 27. Tool #2: The Pivot Search Customer Discovery Customer Validation Pivot • The heart of Customer Development • Iteration without crisis • Fast, agile and opportunistic
  • 28. Just a few(of many) Historic Pivots • • • • • • Groupon: the $12billion pivot Steve Blank: “Page 6” Perimeter: “there are 9000 of us” Ning Zynga …and thousands more!
  • 29. Pivot Cycle Time Matters Search Customer Discovery Customer Validation Execution Customer Creation Company Building Pivot • MVP speeds up cycle time •Speed of cycle minimizes cash needs • Customer feedback drives the product!
  • 30. How do you know when Discovery is “done?” Key Partners Key Activities Value Proposition Customer Relationships Customer Segments Complete regional overview  Populate life cycle data for performance guarantees  key distinctive product features & benefits for the target customer segment  total cost of ownership for segment versus alternatives  why will segment buy Durathon versus alternatives (i.e. value proposition)  minimum feature set (i.e. our launch configuration) and ultimate feature set  opportunities to claim IP or trademark / is there freedom to practice  what regulatory/ certification/ transportation/ customs requirements should be met or could be differentiator  product positioning/elevator pitch for each segment  Prospect roadmap: how to get faceto-face with right person at prospects in each segment  key competitors in each segment and their market share  key competitors' characteristics & dynamics  What outbound marketing/ advertising/ promotion activities are needed  support tools required by segment (white papers, TCO calc., tradeshow)  pipeline of leads  identify key market segments (geography/application) and customer segments (e.g. operator versus owner)  how many customers in each segment and estimated potential volume for each customer  how do customers make money … key customer pain/gain points in each segment  how are buying decisions made in each segment - id process, hurdles, decision makers  what does an Earlyvangelist look like in each segment  who influences purchases in each segment (trade groups, key resellers, trend watchers) Who are our key partners/ suppliers Which key activities does the biz model require What value do we deliver to the customer  Educate market on metric: $/kWhday delivered over life of asset  Establish strong partnerships with channel partners 0 Key Resources Which key resources does the biz model require  Integrated power system engineering – compatibility for retrofit and optimized system solutions  Financing options for Power services operators What type of relationship does each segment require of us 25 Channels Through which channel does each segment want to be reached  which segments can only or best be reached through a channel partner  which channel partners are important to optimize sales in each segment  what are channel partners' requirements and cost to become a proactive sales channel  initial channel partner response to value proposition & customer segments 12 25 Cost Structure For whom are we creating value 4 50 Revenue Streams What are our cost drivers How much is each segment willing to pay and how would they like to pay us this amount  Launch reliability     What are price /performance characteristics of competing technology What is the 2013 price target for 1 MM cells What is the 2015 price target for 10 MM cells what is optimum sales method for each segment (asset sale, lease, pay for performance, etc.) 3 X = number of in depth customer data points / data sources used to validate hypothesis x x x red = low hypothesis confidence yellow = medium hypothesis confidence green = high hypothesis confidence 30 10/26/2013
  • 31. Customer Validation Search Customer Discovery Customer Validation Pivot Customer Creation Company Building Execution • Repeatable, scalable profitable? • Passionate first paying customers? • Pivot back to Discovery if not!
  • 32. When It Doesn’t Work (most of the time…)
  • 33. Merci ! www.diateino.com BOB DORF allegedly retired serial entrepreneur Twitter: @bobdorf www.bobdorf.co www.steveblank.com