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DSD-NL 2018 Introductie Probabilistic Toolkit - Brinkman


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Presentatie door Rob Brinkman, Deltares, op de Geo Klantendag 2018, tijdens de Deltares Software Dagen - Editie 2018. Donderdag, 7 juni 2018, Delft.

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DSD-NL 2018 Introductie Probabilistic Toolkit - Brinkman

  1. 1. 7 juni 2018 Introductie Probabilistic Toolkit Geo Klantendag 2018 Rob Brinkman
  2. 2. Failure 7 juni 2018 Water level too high Traffic load too much Dike can slide away Structure not strong enough
  3. 3. Why probabilistics • INPUT • Uncertainty of input variables • Natural variability of input variables • OUTPUT • Interested in sensitivity of output to input variables • Interested in band width of output variables • Interested in probability of failure 7 juni 2018
  4. 4. Probabilistic toolkit Probabilistic toolkit 7 juni 2018 Prepare input file Existing application Define uncertainties Sensitivity analysis Failure probability Bandwidth Inspect calculations Attach input and application Run model