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Hazards, Risks
and Disasters II
David Alexander
University College London
Information and
communication
Wisdom: ability to take decisions
on the basis of principles,
experience and knowledge
Knowledge: understanding of how
things function (or should function)
Information: description of
physical and social situations
Data: basic facts and statistics
COMMUNICATION
DRR
Knowledge of
community
vulerability
Knowledge
of hazards
and their
impacts
Knowledge
of coping
capacity and
resilience
Disaster
Risk
Reduction
Shortage of
information
Excess of
information
Impact of disaster Time
Information
critical but
lacking
Some effects of
the information
and communications
technology revolution
• flattening of the chain of command
• IT support for disaster response
• overload of information delivery systems
• the emergency manager must study
new ways to inform himself and others.
• artificiality and isolation
from the reality on the ground
data
input and consultation
Data
banks
Predictive
models
of events
Display and
analysis technology
Ability to
analyse data
data analysis circuit
Disaster
relief
Emergency
manager
emergency
management
circuit
Old ideas...
• rigid structure
• hierarchy
• military doctrine
• secrecy
• cordon
• command and control
• security
• civil defence.
New ideas...
• planning
• collaboration
• flexible, adaptable management
• limited "span of control"
• information sharing
• IT support
• accredited journalists
• involving the public
• civil protection.
Social factors
Plan
Message
Technology Response
Perception
Culture
Optimisation
Lesson: emergency communication is
a powerful but imprecise process that
is undergoing a profound revolution.
Perception
Public
perception
of disasters
continues to be
dominated by
myths and
inaccuracies
enthusiastically
propagated by
the mass media.
"Myth" no.1: Disasters are
truly exceptional events.
"Myth" no.2: Disasters kill
people without respect for
social class or economic status.
"Myth" no.3:
When disaster
strikes panic
and irrational
behaviour are
common reactions.
"Myth" no.4: People will flee in
large numbers from a disaster area.
"Myth" no.5: After disaster has struck,
survivors tend to be dazed and apathetic.
"Myth" no.6: People can survive
for many days when trapped under
the rubble of a collapsed building.
0.5 1 3 12 1 2 3 4 5 7 10 15
Hours Days
Survival time
100
50
0
Percentageofpeoplebroughtout
alivefromundercollapsedbuilings
"Myth" no.7: After disaster people will
not make rational decisions and will
therefore inevitably tend to do the
wrong thing unless authority guides them.
"Myth" no.8: Disasters usually give
rise to widespread, spontaneous
manifestations of antisocial behaviour,
including looting and violence.
"Myth" no.9: The mass media
create an accurate picture of the
disasters on which they report.
"Myth" no.10: Unburied dead
bodies constitute a health hazard.
"Myth" no.11: Disease epidemics are an
almost inevitable result of the disruption
and poor health caused by major disasters.
"Myth" no.12: Great quantities
and assortments of medicines
should be sent to disaster areas.
"Myth" no.13: Field hospitals are
particularly useful for treating people
injured by sudden impact disasters.
"Myth" no.14: In the aftermath of
disaster mass vaccination is an excellent
way of stopping the spread of diseases.
"Myth" no.15: Dead bodies, survivors,
streets, rubble and other things
should be sprayed with disinfectant
to stop the spread of disease.
"Myth" no.16: Any kind of aid
and relief is useful after disaster
providing it is supplied quickly enough.
"Myth" no.17: Companies, corporations,
associations and governments are
always very generous when invited to
send aid and relief to disaster areas.
"Myth" no.18: Emergency responders
will not report to work in a disaster,
they will protect their families instead.
"Myth" no.19:
In disasters
there are heroes
and villains.
"Myth" no.20: Disasters
always happen to someone else.
"Myth" no.21: Disaster is
always a negative experience.
Our image of disasters is conditioned
far too much by Hollywood!
Mutual
antipathy
or
collaborative
relationship?
Representatives
of the mass
media
Editorial
independence
and freedom
Sales and
ratings;
reputation;
revenue from
advertising
Emergency
and disaster
managers
Obligation
to inform
the public
Public information
centres; warnings
and alerts;
informing the
relatives of victims
Civil
protection
service
The
general
public
The
mass
media
Call
centre
Feedback
Feedback
Direct
communication
Press
conferences,
communiques
Consumer
relations
SUPPLY
DEMAND
NEEDS
POTENTIAL TO
BE EXPLOITED
CREATE A NEW
CULTURE OF
CIVIL
PROTECTION
Organised
Spontaneous
Established
Kinship
groups
Individual
citizens
Disaster
subcultures
Emergent
groups
Citizens'
organisations Charitable
NGOs
Some public
stakeholders
in disaster
Schools
Workplace
groups
INSTRUMENTS OF
DISSEMINATION
• mass media
• targeted campaign
• social networks
• internet
Augmentation
MASS
EDUCATION
PROGRAMME
SOCIAL
CAPITAL
HABIT
CULTURE
The creation of a culture of civil protection
Lesson: perception is a vital component
of emergency planning and response,
but it is also difficult to manage.
Education
Broad professional training
in emergency management
Professional experience
and training
Disciplinary training
(e.g. bachelor's degree)
Common
culture
Common
language
Common
objectives
HAZARD,
RISK &
DISASTER
STUDIES
SEVEN SCHOOLS
OF THOUGHT
Criminal justice
and forensic
science
and perhaps
an eighth...
Sociology
Psychology
& psychiatry
Economic &
financial studies
Development
studies
Disaster medicine
& epidemiology
Physical &
construction
sciences
Geography &
anthropology:
cultural (human)
anthropology
Ecology
Geology
(& Geomorphology)
Geophysics
(inc. Seismology)
Vulcanology
Climatology
Hydraulics
Hydrology
Meteorology
Architecture
Civil engineering
Geotechnical engineering
Structural engineering
Mechanical &
electrical engineeringInformation &
communication
technology (ICT)
Computer technology
Remote sensing
Risk analysis (inc.
risk identification,
estimation,
management &
communication)
Cartography
Development studies
Economics
Geography, History
Jurisprudence & legal stds
Urban & regional planning
Mass media studies
Psychology
Sociology
Nursing
Nutrition
Pharmacology
General medicine
Surgery &
emergency medicine
Public health, hygiene
& epidemiology
Veterinary sciences
Health sciences
Social & spatial sciences
Computational
& analytical
sciences
Construction sciences
Atmospheric & water sciences
Earth & environmental sciences
HAZARD,
RISK &
DISASTER
CONSTITUENT
DISCIPLINES
Emergency management training and education
BASI
C
CON
CEPTS
HAZARD
ANALYSIS
EMERGENCY
PLANNING
EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT
DISASTER
SOCIOLOGYAND
PSYCHOLOGY
RECOVERY AND
RECONSTRUCTION
PLANNING
PUBLIC
INFORMATION
MANAGEMENT
METHODS OF
RISK MITIGATION
FIELD
EXERCISES
Recognition and
an institutional
role for the
professional figure
Certification
of competence
Training
programmes
Emerging
professional
figure
Policies and
legislation
Research Experience
Organi-
sation
Lesson: education is the key to
better disaster risk reduction.
Conclusions
FUTUROLOGY
• at the world scale, one or more
great events will cause a drastic
reorganisation disaster preparedness
• the catalyst event may be a
volcanic eruption, an earthquake, or
a biological or radioactive incident.
• losses in disaster will
continue to increase steeply
• poverty and vulnerability will define
ever more closely the areas of
greatest susceptibility to disasters
• the job of the emergency manager
will become more and more complex
• emergency planning will have
to tackle new kinds of event
• emergency management will
very slowly become a profession
• the level of international
participation in disasters will rise.
The"Military
Cross"
WAR AND
CONFLICT
NATURAL
DISASTERS
INSECURITYPOVERTY
HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE
MILITARYASSISTANCE
VULNERABILITY
AND
MARGINAL-
ISATION
Justice Impartiality
Humanitarianism
Hijacking of
assistance
Relief
Robbery
and rape
of victims
Total
war
Politicisation of
relief suppies
What
future?
Integration through
emergency planning
and training
Links
Mitigation
and reduction
of risks
Preparations
and
warning
Emergency
relief actions
Recovery
and
reconstruction
www.slideshare.net/dealexander
Thank you for
your attention!

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