Deciphering the present and future of software by mining developer communities and code

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Deciphering the present and future of software by mining developer communities and code

  1. 1. Deciphering the present and futureof software by mining developercommunities and codeDonnie Berkholz, Ph.D.IT Industry Analyst@dberkholz
  2. 2. Thesis: Technology adoptionis increasingly bottom-up u
  3. 3. Core philosophy● Data: Garbage in, garbage out (GIGO)● Methods: Keep it simple, stupid (KISS)● Analysis: Dont overinterpret
  4. 4. Zend Developer Pulse, summer 2012
  5. 5. Ohloh
  6. 6. Using the right data redmonk.com StatCounter US
  7. 7. Using theright data r
  8. 8. Proving the problem: Gentoo Assholes removed Ubuntu launches Proto-assholes start receiving complaints Ohloh
  9. 9. Proving the problem: Glibc Move to Git Drepper leaves Ohloh
  10. 10. Take-home points● Data: Use the right sample (GIGO)● Methods: Use the boring methods (KISS)● Analysis: Clarity over cleverness
  11. 11. Donnie Berkholz, Ph.D.Analyst, RedMonk@dberkholz

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