Mapping Session at GigaOM RoadMapConference November 5, 2012:Next-generation UIs – What comes after Siri?
Mapping Session Outline• Interactive discussion• Input into GigaOM Research analysis• Identify “Disruption Vectors” – Key technologies, business models, customer adoption patterns – Smart companies can ride or drive Vectors to revenue, market share gains• Assess their relative importance• Mapping Session results as GigaOM Pro blog post, continued discussion• Later – apply Disruption Vector analysis to Sector RoadMap report
PanelistsGigaOM Pro analysts• David Coleman – Founder and Managing Director, Collaborative Strategies Inc. https://pro.gigaom.com/members/davidcoleman/• Larry Cornett – Founder, Brilliant Forge https://pro.gigaom.com/members/larrycornett/• George Gilbert – Principal, TechAlpha Partners https://pro.gigaom.com/members/georgegilbert/• Lynn Langit – Founder and Consultant, Lynn Langit Inc. https://pro.gigaom.com/members/lynnlangit/David Card, VP, GigaOM Researchhttps://pro.gigaom.com/members/davidcard/
Some Questions• Why has Siri flopped? Can Apple still innovate in UI, post-Jobs?• What can we learn from twin-screen TV viewing?• Should the same UI drive a phone, a PC, a tablet, and a TV set?• Same question, but with a task orientation?• Where are the opportunities for Big Data feeds and visualizations to play out?• Facebook, Twitter, Google - there’s a lot to be said for utility and ranking algorithms, but where’s the pizazz? Don’t say “Pinterest.”
Potential Next-Gen UI Disruption Vectors• New input methods 30% – Gesture – Voice• New output methods 30% – Visual – Aural – Physical/haptic• Big Data 30% – Geo, time, other contextual – Including impact on sorting, suggesting algorithms• Less consensus on impact of: – Passive participation, including alerts, in-car, second screen, etc. – New metaphors – New, or multiple devices – Enterprise versus consumer tensions
Key Takeaways• Siri’s grand experiment overreached: – Voice input and output – Multiple data sources based on context – Conversational UI doesn’t impose enough structure on searches; no APIs• No dominating “Disruption Vector” for UI – Consensus: roughly equal impact from Input, Output, and Big Data technologies• Likely outcome: multiple UIs for different contexts, tasks• Enterprise UI moving from transactional to collaborative• Opportunities in ambient interfaces – partial attention, alerts