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Winter ’08: Shift Happens*
The Trend
What?
damon CREPIN
                       S
                C ANTO
       o livier




luis FREITAS
Social




                                                       Media Aggregator
      Powe
                                                                                                               Technolog
           Collective intelligence                     Sharing platform                               Open Source

                                                                                            Web Semantic
                                                            Blogs
                             Everyone                                                    Mashup
                                                                                 Folksonomy
                                                       Online community
                                     Opinion leaders                              AJAX
                                                       Personal website         RSS
                                              Brand                      XML
                                                                  Meta Tags
                                                Institution
                                                                HTML
                                                       tv
                                                     radio            All Right reserved
                                             computer
                                          ipod     Document                                Creative Commons
                            cellphone                           e-commerce
                    smartphone                    Audio           shop in the shop                                  Legal
                                                       R&D
            access point
Mobilit                                      Video       Agencies         long tail era

                                Integrated document                              mashup
                                                 User participation
                                                                                multi actor development
                          Interactive document
                                                       User generated content
                                                                                      life integrated consumption
                   Cognitive deduction
                                             User Lead

                                                                                                        Commerce
                                                            Co-creation
          Conten


                                 R&D                                       Personalizatio
                                               Advertising
Web Site



Webmaster              Web Users
Webmaster




tag

 bla
         Web Site 2.0

                            Web Users




       Users Contributors
Podcasts killed the
radio, internet killed
the papers, youtube is
gonna kill TV:
old media is
dead...
Weekly Hours spent
                             Q4 2004                                Q2 2007




                                                                                                  11.5 11.5



                                                                                  7.7
                                                                                        7.4
                                          3.9
                   1.8 1.7
                              2.1 2.4           3.3
                            s                             2.5 2.4      3.4 3.5
                      zi ne
                 aga             W ork              ma
                                                       )
                M            for                  e
          ap
             er           et                 / Cin             pe
                                                                  rs             s
                                           D
        gP           ern                DV                 sp
                                                             a               ose
   ad
      in         Int              ies
                                      (
                                                      New              Pur
                                                                           p
                                                                                          io
Re                             ov                  er              nal                 Rad
                         ng
                             M                Pap             ers
                                                                 o                  to               V
                   t chi              ad ing             fo rP                 ning              ingT
                Wa                 Re                 et                  iste                tch
                                                 ter
                                                     n                  L                  Wa
                                               In
Weekly Hours spent
                             Net Users                             Others




                      +1                                                                    11.7
                                                                                                   11.2

                                                                           8.2

                                                                                 6.8
                   1.7 1.8
                               1.9           2.7
                             s
                       z ine         0.5            1.9      2.4 2.7
                      a               s
                  Mag              me
                r                 a                  s
           a pe                PCG                VD                 rs
       ingP              y ing             ingD                 ape
    ad               Pla                tch                  sp                   io
R e                                 W a                    ew                  Rad
                                                       e rN               g to                 V
                                                   Pap                 nin                 ingT
                                            ad ing              L iste                  tch
                                         Re                                          Wa
Online Media Consumed
                                               France                                Germany                             UK




         65%
                58% 61%


                                         47%
                              36% 36%
                                                                                                                   53%
                                                                                                       45%

                                                                                                             36%
                                                       16%         20%
                                                             14%                          24%
                      s                                                   16%
                P res                    os                                         12%
            g                         de
     a   din                   .   Vi                              s
Re                          U.G                             ast
                          g                              dc
                       hin                             Po                            TV
            W    atc                          g   to                          tc   h
                                           nin                           Wa                                   io
                                                                                                            ad
                                    L iste                                                              to
                                                                                                           R
                                                                                                      g
                                                                                                   nin
                                                                                          L iste
75%
of U.S. Internet users watched an average
of 3h hours of online video during the
month of July 07.
IBM online survey:




66%
spend 1 to 4 hours watching TV per day



60%
spend 1 to 4 hours on the Web for
Personal Usage
IBM online survey:




9%
spend 6 hours or more watching TV per
day


19%
spend 6 hours or more on the Web for
Personal Usage
How would a 14-29
rather kill 15
minutes?


           1 %
22%
of 18- to 24-year-olds say they
are watching less TV since they
started using social-networking
sites
new
version
more weblike
abc
news
web edition
higher expectations
       the Internet has heightened
 “I think
 everyone’s expectations of all media.
 People expectchoice, control and the
 ability to contribute.”
 Craig DAVIS, JWT Worldwide
This will never
pass the
consumer
tests!
mpa    ny's
                n th  e co
      ues   tio               at ight
“I q            sel l into                 w at
        ity t o               righ   t no
 a b il           mar    k et
         sum   er            t p ri c e. ”
 co n           s cu  r r en
  t he i  Pod'
130 Millions
iPods sold since (forecast including Xmas 07)

because it’s remarkable
because it redefined the way people listen to
#1 on Amazon
for 8 consecutive weeks following the
launch in the Health and Personal Care
category, becoming one of the most
successful product launches in
37.000.000
miles run on December 1st, 2007
15M
sold so far
+103%
sales in 2006



sold
to Coca-Cola
1.4M
sold
2.3
pods sold in 2006
What’s the link between
those über-successful
products?
They’re remarkable
Choice




    Free time
We want
something like
the Dove
movie!
Top 100
Companies
for 17 years running, often landing in the top 10
new way to
measure brand
impact
1. Awareness
 Google rank, Page views, Unique visitors...

2. W.O.M. / Recommendabilityorks
                          tw
 Technorati score, mentions in Social Ne
 (YouTube, Facebook, etc.), reviews in shopping
 sites...
3. Brand Energy
 Vision of what the brand tends to be and defend
 + Perpetual invention to serve this vision
 + Dynamism in its communication
Online piracy
devastates
my business
20M books
sold in the world the first day
Re-defining
intellectual property
We really
need
something
very
aspirational!
Sure...
3.300.000
copies sold in the first 12 days in the US
But...
ma ke sure you offer
added value
 “There are   wonderful opportunities in
 all of this for brands in the creation and
 curation of content, services and
 utility.
 But the bar is, and should be, very
 high.”
 Craig DAVIS, JWT Worldwide
People skip ads
anyway.
388,302 views
           YouTube, Dec. 1st 2007
Damon, Olivier C:
any number about that?
13 of the top 30 search
terms
in the UK Search Engines contained the
word “Cadbury” on the week of the video
launch
6,000,000 views
and counting...
1282
   participations
Don’t advertise,
transmit a message
                      leave people
 “The important thing is to
 with something: a feeling, a bit of
 content or even get them involved
 and let them be part of it. As long as it
 feels like a gift, rather than an intrusion, it’s
 ok.”

 Juan CABRAL, Creative Director of Fallon
 London
I want
more
traffic on
my site.
http://fr.youtube.com/user/cansprofessional
2.4 millions
of copies sold in 5 weeks



Titanium Grand
Cannes Advertising Festival 2007
Fish
w here the fish are!
Social Networks
are just a trend
anyway.
Remember slide
11?


     17%
96%
of U.S. teens and tweens go
online to participate in a
social network at least once a
+3,000%
New users in 6 month for Facebook
UK



+100.000
New users per week for Facebook in
Europe
It’s pretty safe to say...



That Social
Networks are
here to stay!
OK, but it’s a
teenager thing!
Facebook Demographic


                    16%
      41%           12-17
      35+




                      31%
                     18-24
            12%
            25-34
So, let’s
create
a Social
Network on
our site!
Just ten weeks after
launching its own version
of MySpace, Wal-Mart shut
Forbes Magazine
But...
$15M
in sales by the end of 2007




slide 92
Our consumer
want content
from Pros,
not from other
consumers.
Don’t
underestimate
62% of consumers now read online product
reviews written by other consumers.
82% of those who read reviews said that their
purchasing decisions have been directly
influenced by those reviews.
Deloitte & Touche, Oct 07
Reviews: a bridge
between On and
Nearly 25% of surveyed Internet users reported
reading online reviews prior to paying
for an offline service!  
Online reviews about offline services
(restaurants, hotels, automotive...) were   a
significant purchase influence for
approximately 3/4 of review users.
But if we integrate
some user-generated
content, who’s
gonna
moderate?
16%
                                           Negativ




                           84%   Entries




30k+
the micro-site attracted more than 620.000
visitors, spending on average more than 9
minutes, and nearly two-thirds of them went
Fear not!
Consumers generally have good
intentions when writing reviews.
90% write reviews in order
to help others make better buying
decisions.
Nearly 80% write reviews in order
to reward a company.
BazaarVoice, US users, Aug-Oct 07
Fear not!
                                                Negative Everytime
Tone of Online                                    or Most Times

Feedback for                 11%         2%
Products and                  Eq.
                             Split

Services on
Bazaarvoice.     51%
                 Positive
US, Aug-Oct 07   Everytime

                                        36%
                                     Positive
                                       Most
2  Life,
  nd
MySpace,
Twitter,
Facebook,
Sony’s home...
What’s next?
Michael Dell is less
concerned with the
ROI of emerging
media and more
concerned with
"The learning is now.
You are a pioneer, and
with that comes first-
mover advantage"
Joseph Jaffe, the marketing consultant who
advised Coke on its 2nd Life presence
E xperiment
and learn.
It's the only way to understand the real
poten  tial of the platforms in front of us.
Kee  p the size of the experiment small so
th at you have the freedom to explore it.
Forrester’s Marketing Blog
That’s scary...
TheTrendwatch #06

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Social Networks Key Data (Europe - September 2010)
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TheTrendwatch #06

  • 3. damon CREPIN S C ANTO o livier luis FREITAS
  • 4. Social Media Aggregator Powe Technolog Collective intelligence Sharing platform Open Source Web Semantic Blogs Everyone Mashup Folksonomy Online community Opinion leaders AJAX Personal website RSS Brand XML Meta Tags Institution HTML tv radio All Right reserved computer ipod Document Creative Commons cellphone e-commerce smartphone Audio shop in the shop Legal R&D access point Mobilit Video Agencies long tail era Integrated document mashup User participation multi actor development Interactive document User generated content life integrated consumption Cognitive deduction User Lead Commerce Co-creation Conten R&D Personalizatio Advertising
  • 5. Web Site Webmaster Web Users
  • 6. Webmaster tag bla Web Site 2.0 Web Users Users Contributors
  • 7. Podcasts killed the radio, internet killed the papers, youtube is gonna kill TV: old media is dead...
  • 8. Weekly Hours spent Q4 2004 Q2 2007 11.5 11.5 7.7 7.4 3.9 1.8 1.7 2.1 2.4 3.3 s 2.5 2.4 3.4 3.5 zi ne aga W ork ma ) M for e ap er et / Cin pe rs s D gP ern DV sp a ose ad in Int ies ( New Pur p io Re ov er nal Rad ng M Pap ers o to V t chi ad ing fo rP ning ingT Wa Re et iste tch ter n L Wa In
  • 9. Weekly Hours spent Net Users Others +1 11.7 11.2 8.2 6.8 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.7 s z ine 0.5 1.9 2.4 2.7 a s Mag me r a s a pe PCG VD rs ingP y ing ingD ape ad Pla tch sp io R e W a ew Rad e rN g to V Pap nin ingT ad ing L iste tch Re Wa
  • 10. Online Media Consumed France Germany UK 65% 58% 61% 47% 36% 36% 53% 45% 36% 16% 20% 14% 24% s 16% P res os 12% g de a din . Vi s Re U.G ast g dc hin Po TV W atc g to tc h nin Wa io ad L iste to R g nin L iste
  • 11. 75% of U.S. Internet users watched an average of 3h hours of online video during the month of July 07.
  • 12. IBM online survey: 66% spend 1 to 4 hours watching TV per day 60% spend 1 to 4 hours on the Web for Personal Usage
  • 13. IBM online survey: 9% spend 6 hours or more watching TV per day 19% spend 6 hours or more on the Web for Personal Usage
  • 14. How would a 14-29 rather kill 15 minutes? 1 %
  • 15. 22% of 18- to 24-year-olds say they are watching less TV since they started using social-networking sites
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. higher expectations the Internet has heightened “I think everyone’s expectations of all media. People expectchoice, control and the ability to contribute.” Craig DAVIS, JWT Worldwide
  • 21. This will never pass the consumer tests!
  • 22. mpa ny's n th e co ues tio at ight “I q sel l into w at ity t o righ t no a b il mar k et sum er t p ri c e. ” co n s cu r r en t he i Pod'
  • 23. 130 Millions iPods sold since (forecast including Xmas 07) because it’s remarkable because it redefined the way people listen to
  • 24.
  • 25. #1 on Amazon for 8 consecutive weeks following the launch in the Health and Personal Care category, becoming one of the most successful product launches in
  • 26. 37.000.000 miles run on December 1st, 2007
  • 31. What’s the link between those über-successful products? They’re remarkable
  • 32. Choice Free time
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39. Top 100 Companies for 17 years running, often landing in the top 10
  • 40.
  • 41. new way to measure brand impact 1. Awareness Google rank, Page views, Unique visitors... 2. W.O.M. / Recommendabilityorks tw Technorati score, mentions in Social Ne (YouTube, Facebook, etc.), reviews in shopping sites... 3. Brand Energy Vision of what the brand tends to be and defend + Perpetual invention to serve this vision + Dynamism in its communication
  • 43.
  • 44. 20M books sold in the world the first day
  • 45.
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54. 3.300.000 copies sold in the first 12 days in the US
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 59.
  • 60. ma ke sure you offer added value “There are wonderful opportunities in all of this for brands in the creation and curation of content, services and utility. But the bar is, and should be, very high.” Craig DAVIS, JWT Worldwide
  • 62. 388,302 views YouTube, Dec. 1st 2007
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65. Damon, Olivier C: any number about that?
  • 66. 13 of the top 30 search terms in the UK Search Engines contained the word “Cadbury” on the week of the video launch 6,000,000 views and counting...
  • 67.
  • 68.
  • 69. 1282 participations
  • 70.
  • 71.
  • 72.
  • 73. Don’t advertise, transmit a message leave people “The important thing is to with something: a feeling, a bit of content or even get them involved and let them be part of it. As long as it feels like a gift, rather than an intrusion, it’s ok.” Juan CABRAL, Creative Director of Fallon London
  • 75.
  • 77.
  • 78.
  • 79.
  • 80.
  • 81.
  • 82.
  • 83.
  • 84.
  • 85. 2.4 millions of copies sold in 5 weeks Titanium Grand Cannes Advertising Festival 2007
  • 86.
  • 87. Fish w here the fish are!
  • 88. Social Networks are just a trend anyway.
  • 90. 96% of U.S. teens and tweens go online to participate in a social network at least once a
  • 91. +3,000% New users in 6 month for Facebook UK +100.000 New users per week for Facebook in Europe
  • 92. It’s pretty safe to say... That Social Networks are here to stay!
  • 93. OK, but it’s a teenager thing!
  • 94. Facebook Demographic 16% 41% 12-17 35+ 31% 18-24 12% 25-34
  • 95.
  • 96.
  • 98. Just ten weeks after launching its own version of MySpace, Wal-Mart shut Forbes Magazine
  • 100.
  • 101. $15M in sales by the end of 2007 slide 92
  • 102. Our consumer want content from Pros, not from other consumers.
  • 103.
  • 104.
  • 105.
  • 106.
  • 107.
  • 108. Don’t underestimate 62% of consumers now read online product reviews written by other consumers. 82% of those who read reviews said that their purchasing decisions have been directly influenced by those reviews. Deloitte & Touche, Oct 07
  • 109. Reviews: a bridge between On and Nearly 25% of surveyed Internet users reported reading online reviews prior to paying for an offline service!   Online reviews about offline services (restaurants, hotels, automotive...) were a significant purchase influence for approximately 3/4 of review users.
  • 110. But if we integrate some user-generated content, who’s gonna moderate?
  • 111.
  • 112.
  • 113. 16% Negativ 84% Entries 30k+ the micro-site attracted more than 620.000 visitors, spending on average more than 9 minutes, and nearly two-thirds of them went
  • 114. Fear not! Consumers generally have good intentions when writing reviews. 90% write reviews in order to help others make better buying decisions. Nearly 80% write reviews in order to reward a company. BazaarVoice, US users, Aug-Oct 07
  • 115. Fear not! Negative Everytime Tone of Online or Most Times Feedback for 11% 2% Products and Eq. Split Services on Bazaarvoice. 51% Positive US, Aug-Oct 07 Everytime 36% Positive Most
  • 116. 2 Life, nd MySpace, Twitter, Facebook, Sony’s home... What’s next?
  • 117.
  • 118.
  • 119.
  • 120.
  • 121. Michael Dell is less concerned with the ROI of emerging media and more concerned with
  • 122. "The learning is now. You are a pioneer, and with that comes first- mover advantage" Joseph Jaffe, the marketing consultant who advised Coke on its 2nd Life presence
  • 123. E xperiment and learn. It's the only way to understand the real poten tial of the platforms in front of us. Kee p the size of the experiment small so th at you have the freedom to explore it. Forrester’s Marketing Blog