Jack Goldstone on Demographic Change and Global Futures

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Eminent scholar Jack Goldstone presented to DCFR September 27th, 2011.

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Jack Goldstone on Demographic Change and Global Futures

  1. 1.  <br />The New Population Boom:<br />Demographic Change and Global Futures<br /> <br />Jack A. Goldstone<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />September 27<br />Dallas Committee on Foreign Relations<br /> <br />
  2. 2.  <br />POPULATION MEGATRENDS<br />Big emerging markets and the world economy<br />Aging and shrinking workforces in the developed countries<br />Youth and Islam: The New face of the developing world<br />An Urban, not rural, world<br />
  3. 3. Where will the People Be?<br />
  4. 4. Global Labor Force Growth<br />
  5. 5.
  6. 6. Worker Growth vs. Elderly Growth<br />
  7. 7. Increase in Older Folks in the US<br />Population in Millions<br />
  8. 8.
  9. 9. Percentage of Population under 15 years old, 2005<br />Red: 40+ Pink: 30-39 Light Blue: 20-29 Dark Blue: <20<br />
  10. 10.
  11. 11.
  12. 12. The Youth Surge in the Middle East(Ages 15-29)<br />Millions<br />Youth 0.43 0.37 0.40 0.53<br />Bulge<br />
  13. 13. Global Labor Force and State Fragility<br />Population age 15-59 in millions<br />
  14. 14. Muslim Growth in the World<br />
  15. 15. Growth in Pop 15-44 age group<br />
  16. 16.
  17. 17. An Urban World<br />
  18. 18. What are the Solutions?<br />FLEXIBILITY<br />Retirement /Work/Education<br />Immigration and Emigration<br />Business start-up and innovation to find Market-based solutions<br />MORE GLOBALIZATION<br />Open Trade and Human Exchange, New Urbanism<br />Have faith in European/Liberal Values<br />Globalization of Education!<br />
  19. 19. What are We Doing About it?<br />Investing in Education? No.<br />Investing in Basic Research? No.<br />Improving Energy Grid/Efficiency? No.<br />Improving attraction to top migrants? No.<br />Pulling together, sharing sacrifice? NO, NO, NO.<br />Complaining about taxes, government, regulation? YES, YES, YES.<br />

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