Pandemic influenza 2006-10-12-2


Published on

Published in: Education
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Total views
On SlideShare
From Embeds
Number of Embeds
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

Pandemic influenza 2006-10-12-2

  2. 2. Influenza• Respiratory infection• Transmission: contact with respiratory secretions from an infected person who is coughing and sneezing• Incubation period: 1 to 5 days from exposure to onset of symptoms• Communicability: Maximum 1-2 days before to 4-5 days after onset of symptoms• Timing: Peak usually occurs December through March in North America
  3. 3. Common Influenza Symptoms• Rapid onset of: – Fever – Chills – Body aches – Sore throat – Non-productive cough – Runny nose – Headache
  4. 4. Influenza is a serious illness• Annual deaths: 36,000• Annual hospitalizations: >200,000• Total economic costs: $37.5B• Who is at greatest risk for serious complications? – persons 65 and older – persons with chronic diseases – infants – pregnant women – nursing home residents
  5. 5. Definitions• Epidemic: An increase in disease above what is normally expected• Pandemic: A worldwide epidemic
  6. 6. How Do Influenza Pandemics Arise?• Wild water fowl are natural reservoirs of influenza• They can spread the virus to domestic birds
  7. 7. How Do Influenza Pandemics Arise?• When avian flu viruses experience sudden changes in genetic structure and• Are capable of infecting humans and• Can reproduce and spread from person to person efficiently
  8. 8. Why Be Concerned About Pandemic Influenza?• Influenza pandemics are inevitable: naturally recur at more-or-less cyclical intervals• Can cause: – High levels of sickness and death – Drastic disruption of critical services – Severe economic losses• There will be little warning time between the onset of spread of a pandemic and its arrival in the U.S. Outbreaks occur simultaneously in many areas• Impacts will last for weeks to months and likely to occur in successive waves• Pandemics can disproportionately affect younger, working-age people• Current avian influenza outbreak in Asia
  9. 9. Timeline of Emergence of Influenza A Viruses in Humans Avian Influenza H9 H7 Russian Influenza H5 H5 Asian H1 Influenza Spanish H3Influenza H2 Hong Kong Influenza H1 1918 1957 1968 1977 1997 2003 1998/9
  10. 10. Influenza Pandemics 20th CenturyCredit: US National Museum of Health andMedicine 1918: “Spanish Flu” 1957: “Asian Flu” 1968: “Hong Kong Flu” A(H1N1) A(H2N2) A(H3N2) 20-40 m deaths 1-4 m deaths 1-4 m deaths 675,000 US deaths 70,000 US deaths 34,000 US deaths
  11. 11. Planning Assumptions: Health Care• 50% or more of those who become ill will seek medical care• Number of hospitalizations and deaths will depend on the virulence of the pandemic virus Moderate (1957-like) Severe (1918-like)Illness 90 million (30%) 90 million (30%)Outpatient medical care 45 million (50%) 45 million (50%)Hospitalization 865,000 9, 900,000ICU care 128,750 1,485,000Mechanical ventilation 64,875 745,500Deaths 209,000 1,903,000
  12. 12. The 1918InfluenzaPandemic
  13. 13. Chicken Little and the Sky is Falling or The Next Major Disaster? Which is it?
  14. 14. Current Outbreak: Avian Influenza (H5N1)• Began in fall, 2003.• At least 252 confirmed human cases in Asia, Africa and Europe 148 deaths in Asia and Africa (World Health Organization, 10/06)• Mammalian infection (cat, pig)• No efficient person-to-person transmission• Isolated Human disease• Case-fatality rate > 50%• Outbreak spreading, not controlled
  15. 15. Current Avian Outbreaks
  16. 16. Clinical illness with H5N1 comparedwith typical human influenza illness• More severe illness in younger persons• Primary viral pneumonia appears to be more common and with rapid onset• Incubation period may be longer 1-4+ days (up to 14 days?)• Duration of infectious period likely longer, particularly in adults 1d. prior to 7d. after (in adults; children ~longer) Adapted from Guillermo Herrera, CDC, 2005
  17. 17. Pandemic Effects: Strain on Resources• Health care shortages – Vaccine / Antivirals – Hospital beds / equipment – Masks• Personnel shortages• Disruption of essential society functions• Panic
  18. 18. Vaccines, Antivirals, and Medical Supplies
  19. 19. Pandemic Influenza Vaccine Questions• When will it be available?• How much will there be?• Who will own it?• Who should get it?• How should it be delivered?
  20. 20. Treatment and Prevention: Vaccine• Vaccines takes 6-8 months to produce following the emergence of a new virus• Supplies will be limited, if available at all – 2nd dose after 30 days will likely be required – New vaccine safety and efficacy has “unknowns”
  21. 21. Treatment & Prevention: Antiviral Drugs• Antiviral agents – Effective in preventing illness – Can prevent severe complications – May not be effective against pandemic virus• Supplies will be limited – Treatment over prevention
  22. 22. Nassau County Department of Health Pandemic Influenza Preparedness Strategies• Distribution Planning – First Responder Prophylaxis – Municipality operated PODs – Employer operated PODs (regional) – DOH operated PODs – School operated PODs through municipalities
  23. 23. Points of Distribution• Community based sites used to distribute vaccines or medications to healthy citizens• Would the schools be used?• Municipalities will coordinate POD planning within their communities.
  24. 24. Individual and Family Preparedness– We will have to take care of ourselves and those around us.– During a pandemic, public health will maximize resources for the greatest impact on the population as a whole.– Schools should communicate with local/ state public health agencies and/or emergency responders about the assets/services the districts could contribute to the community.
  25. 25. Influenza Prevention: What Can We Do?Specific Recommendationsfor Infection Control inSchools and Workplaces:Pandemic preparedness planningDistribution of educational messagesand infection control guidanceSocial distancing: people stay home when illPromotion of respiratory etiquette Provision of materials for respiratory hygiene/etiquette: tissues and disposal receptacles
  26. 26. ISSUES FOR SCHOOL DISTRICTS TO THINK ABOUT• Absenteeism among children AND staff• Resources limited: vendors, buses• Role of school nurses• Communication with parents and staff and community• Advantages and disadvantages to closing schools (amount of closure time)• Working with local municipalities• Implications with State aide• Policies sending sick children home (isolation within the school, masks, etc)• Policies for allowing previously sick children to return to schools
  27. 27. RESOURCES FOR SCHOOLS Nassau County Health Department, with direction from the New York State Health and Education Departments, will provide guidance to schools districts• To create plans• To create communication materials for students, staff and parents• To provide guidance for closing schools
  28. 28. Key Step for District Preparedness• Incorporate the pandemic influenza plan as an annex in the school district’s all hazards plan.
  29. 29. COMMUNICATION Before a Pandemic Hits• Develop strong relationships with your school communities – Build confidence that information will be distributed accurately and quickly - Consider community meetings that describe current plans in place
  30. 30. COMMUNICATION Before a Pandemic Hits• School Websites• Lunch Menus• PTAs• Letters to the Community• BOE Meetings• Marquis• Proactive
  31. 31. COMMUNICATION Before a Pandemic Hits• Establish relationship with Public Health Officials early on• Review/update procedures for communicable disease reporting
  32. 32. Pandemic Influenza“Don’t worry about it, it’s probably just a head cold.”
  33. 33. AcknowledgmentsPresentation compiled and adapted from multiple slide sets from the: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention HHS National Vaccine Program Office New York State Department of Health Connecticut Department of Health Kansas Department of Health Department of Defense Washington Department of Health