TI em 2020

1,697 views

Published on

Palestra abordando papel de TI e do CIO em 2020, apresentado no GGTI Recife, encontro de CIOs da região Nordeste.

1 Comment
4 Likes
Statistics
Notes
No Downloads
Views
Total views
1,697
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
12
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
49
Comments
1
Likes
4
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

TI em 2020

  1. 1. TI 2020:Os desafios e o novo papel de TI e dos CIOsCezar TaurionTechnical Evangelistctaurion@br.ibm.com © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  2. 2. © 2012 IBM CorporationIM AR
  3. 3. Commodity © 2012 IBM CorporationIM AR
  4. 4. © 2012 IBM CorporationIM AR
  5. 5. Computadores em lugares antes inimagináveis… © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  6. 6. © 2012 IBM CorporationIM AR
  7. 7. As coisas acontecem muito rapido no mundo cada vez maishiperconectado © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  8. 8. © 2012 IBM CorporationIM AR
  9. 9. © 2012 IBM CorporationIM AR
  10. 10. © 2012 IBM CorporationIM AR
  11. 11. © 2012 IBM CorporationIM AR
  12. 12. Quem é esta geração digital? Usam tecnologias digitais no seu dia a dia e esperam usá-las no trabalho. São early adopters por natureza. Entram no mundo online cada vez mais cedo... usam a Internet como laboratório social, para testar limites do relacionamento. Vivem em ritmo cada vez mais acelerado e são multitarefas (usam celular, MP3, PC...tudo ao mesmo tempo!) © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  13. 13. © 2012 IBM CorporationIM AR
  14. 14. 14 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  15. 15. © 2012 IBM CorporationIM AR
  16. 16. Uma nova família A NOVA CASA O NOVO PAI A NOVA MÃE O NOVO FILHO © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  17. 17. Um novo ambiente de trabalho A NOVA ORGANIZAÇÃO O NOVO CHEFE O NOVO ESCRITÓRIO A GLOBALIZAÇÃO © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  18. 18. TUDO EM TEMPO REALTECNOLOGIAPERVASIVA ECOMPUTAÇÃOSOCIAL A SOCIEDADE CONECTADAUMA NOVO UMA NOVAAMBIENTE DE GERAÇÃOTRABALHO © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  19. 19. A 3ª geração da plataforma de computação, a 3ª fase da Internet,e a explosão de informações estão colidindo para formar uma revolução deruptura e de transformação Fases da Internet Inter net Web 2.0 Web Mobi 3 . 0 (C lo le, Socia ud, l) 1964 1981 1994 2003 2008 2012 2020-2 s, tphone s (Smar Gerações de obile Device plataformas M , etc) Tablets Computacionais Ser ver /PC Client Quantidade de dados coletados e ame armazenados Mainfr © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  20. 20. Quatro tendências estão mudando inteiramentemuitas indústrias e o próprio mercado de TI Mobilidade Cloud Big Data Social © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  21. 21. Consumerization of IT – New paradigm The Consumerization trend is all about employees wanting to use the same technologies for business as they use in their personal lives. Company acquisition User acquisition © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  22. 22. Consumerization of IT – Trend Overview “Consumerization … describes the trend for new information technology to emerge first in the consumer market and then spread into business organizations, resulting in the convergence of the IT and consumer electronics industries, and a shift in IT innovation from large businesses to the home” – Wikipedia Drivers • consumer mobile computing • consumer social media • remote and mobile workforce • rise of corporate social business Challenges • CIOs must be flexible and provide new ways for employees to access corporate applications from their own personal devices. • Have to support different devices, platforms, carriers and countries • Secure access to corporate data Implications • IT departments have to accommodate more and more demands placed upon their services while keeping corporate systems secure • The line between business and person continues to blur • Consumerization is a major, transformational trend with significant impact on business processes business and IT services market “By 2016, more than 900 million tablets will be in the hands of users. As more consumers buy them, they then tend to bring them to the workplace and use them for their jobs – often led by executives” – Gartner 22 IM AR © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  23. 23. Mobile innovation is slated to be the next big wave in computing23 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  24. 24. Mobile explosion “By 2013, mobile phones will overtake PCs as the most common Web access device worldwide” Source: Gartner Highlights Key Predictions for IT Organizations and Users in 2010 and Beyond: http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=1278413 Researchers reported that time spent on apps began to outpace time spent on the desktop or mobile Web BY 2015 mobile application development projects targeting smartphones/tablets will outnumber native PC projects by a ratio of 4-124 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  25. 25. Mobile Computing will impact all business processes, requiring newapplication solutions written just for mobileNew Strategies / Solutions Needed “Second generation mobile strategies differ considerably from those of the first generation. They must be multichannel, part of your holistic digital strategy, and include innovative mobile-only capabilities.” – Gartner IBM 2011 Tech Trends Report 25 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  26. 26. © 2012 IBM CorporationIM AR
  27. 27. Quatro tendências estão mudando inteiramentemuitas indústrias e o próprio mercado de TI Mobilidade Cloud Big Data Social27 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  28. 28. 28 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  29. 29. Gartner’s hype cycle for emerging technologies has progressed Cloudcloser to mainstream adoption over the past few years Gartner has progressed Cloud further to the right of the emerging technologies hype cycle, indicating that cloud is moving closer to mainstream adoption Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2009 Gartner Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2011Source: MD Market Analysis, Gartner29 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  30. 30. 30 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  31. 31. 31 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  32. 32. IT and Business are attracted to cloud for different reasons. IT is drawn to cloud’s cost, efficiency and control… of CIOs plan to use cloud— up from 33% two years ago. Transformation Efficiency of business executives believe cloud enables business transformation and leaner, faster, more agile processes. …while business users are drawn to cloud’s simplified, self-service experience and new service capabilities. 2011 IBM CIO Study, London School of Economics, December 201032 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  33. 33. Cloud is a real Paradigm Shift Value delivered From traditional To cloud Change management Months Days or hours Test provisioning Weeks 20 minutes Install database 1 day 12 minutes Install of operating system 1 day 30–60 minutes Provisioning environment ▄ 51% cost savings Design and deploy business applications Months Days/Weeks33 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  34. 34. Envisioning the full potential of cloud requires organizations tochallenge existing approaches in their business and industry Reflecting on your business, question yourself – “What you would do if… … you had access to unlimited computing resources to scale your business?34 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  35. 35. Envisioning the full potential of cloud requires organizations tochallenge existing approaches in their business and industry Reflecting on your business, question yourself – “What you would do if… … you could reach hitherto … you had access to unaddressed customers or unlimited computing markets and target them based on resources to scale your their individualized preferences business? through analytical insights?35 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  36. 36. Envisioning the full potential of cloud requires organizations tochallenge existing approaches in their business and industry Reflecting on your business, question yourself – “What you would do if… … you could reach hitherto … you had access to unaddressed customers or unlimited computing markets and target them based on resources to scale your their individualized preferences business? through analytical insights? …you could give any of your customers access to any of your products and services anytime, anywhere, on any device?36 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  37. 37. Envisioning the full potential of cloud requires organizations tochallenge existing approaches in their business and industry Reflecting on your business, question yourself – “What you would do if… … you could reach hitherto … you had access to unaddressed customers or unlimited computing markets and target them based on resources to scale your their individualized preferences business? through analytical insights? …you could give any of your customers access to any of your products and services anytime, anywhere, on any device? … you could inexpensively and rapidly develop and launch new product & service offerings?37 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  38. 38. Envisioning the full potential of cloud requires organizations tochallenge existing approaches in their business and industry Reflecting on your business, question yourself – “What you would do if… … you could reach hitherto … you had access to unaddressed customers or unlimited computing markets and target them based on resources to scale your their individualized preferences business? through analytical insights? …you could redefine your role in your industry and change your competitive positioning? …you could give any of your customers access to any of your products and services anytime, anywhere, on any device? … you could easily and seamlessly connect and … you could inexpensively collaborate with business and rapidly develop and partners and customers? launch new product & service offerings?38 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  39. 39. Cloud harnesses the capabilities borne out of these trends toempower six potentially “game changing” business enablers Cloud’s Business Enablers Business 2 Scalability Cost Provides limitless, cost- Market 1 Flexibility effective computing capacity 3 Adaptability to support growth Shifts fixed to variable cost Faster time to market Pay as and when needed Supports experimentation Ecosystem Masked 6 Connectivity 4 Complexity New value nets Expands product sophistication Potential new businesses Context-driven Simpler for customers/users 5 Variability User defined experiences Increases relevance Source: IBV Analysis39 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  40. 40. Escalability + Cost Flexibility A projected US$ 21 million cost physical supercomputer, versus a 50.000 core cloud virtual supercomputer in a public cloud running a 3 hour simulation with a cost of US$ 4.828,85 per hour to run. ° During these 3 hours It was the 42° fastest supercomputer in the world.40 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  41. 41. What is coming? In 2021, cloud computing is simply computing, corporate office parks are senior housing facilities and the IT organization of the future has been absorbed by the business. Internal IT becomes an internal cloud. IT becomes a services broker. IT will become a function of the business. Gartner, 201141 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  42. 42. Quatro tendências estão mudando inteiramentemuitas indústrias e o próprio mercado de TI Mobilidade Cloud Big Data Social42 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  43. 43. Big Data: Why we must move to a new era of computing Volume Velocity Variety Veracity Terabytes to Streaming data, Structured, Uncertainty from exabytes of milliseconds to unstructured, inconsistency, existing data seconds to text & multimedia ambiguities, etc. to process respond43 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  44. 44. 44 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  45. 45. 45 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  46. 46. New “Big Data” Brings New Opportunities, Requires New Analytics Exa Homeland Security 600,000 records/sec, 50B/day Up to 10,000 1-2 ms/decision Times 320TB for Deep Analytics Peta larger Data Scale Telco Promotions Tera 100,000 records/sec, 6B/day Data at Rest 10 ms/decisionData Scale 270TB for Deep Analytics Giga DeepQA 100s GB for Deep Analytics Traditional Data 3 sec/decision Mega Warehouse and Business Intelligence Up to 10,000 Data in Motion times faster Smart Traffic 250K GPS probes/sec Kilo 630K segments/sec yr mo wk day hr min sec … ms µs 2 ms/decision, 4K vehicles Occasional Frequent Real-time Decision Frequency46 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  47. 47. 47 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  48. 48. Big Data: This is just the beginning 100 Sensors 9000 & Devices 8000 Percentage of Percent of uncertain data 80 uncertain data Volume in Exabytes 7000 60 6000 Social Media 5000 40 4000 You are here VoIP 20 3000 Enterprise Data 0 2010 201548 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  49. 49. Big Data no futuro? Que tal olharmos o Watson?49 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  50. 50. A evolução das “Máquinas Pensantes” The New IT Frontier “Within ten years a digital Learning computer will be the worlds SystemsComputer Intelligence chess champion” 1958, H. A. Simon and Allen Newell Watson (2010) Deep Blue (1997) System/360 (1964) ENIAC Abacus Antikythera Napier’s rods Counting (Circa 1945) (Circa 3500 BC) Astronomical (Circa 1600) Machine Computer (ca 87 BC) (Circa 1820) Time 50 © 2012 IBM Corporation 50 IM AR
  51. 51. Quatro tendências estão mudando inteiramentemuitas indústrias e o próprio mercado de TI Mobilidade Cloud Big Data Social51 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  52. 52. 52 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  53. 53. Era da tecnologia Pervasiva e Computação Social Social Internet PCs Departmental Mainframe53 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  54. 54. Social Business - Social collaboration is changing the way businessis being conductedDefined “A Social Business isnt just a company that has a Facebook page and a Twitter account. A Social Business is one that embraces and cultivates a spirit of collaboration and community throughout its organization—both internally and externally.” – IBM“With 1.2 billion people on social networks, 20 percent ofthe world’s population, social computing is in its nextphase. IT leaders must immediately incorporate socialsoftware capabilities throughout their enterprisesystems.” – Gartner“2011 has seen rapid expansion of business change thatis being driven by the social customer, empoweredemployees, and a convergence of new technicalcapabilities. Businesses are deploying and using newsocial tools at an ever-increasing pace” – IDC“New mass collaboration capabilities are irreversiblyredefining what it means to be a highly productiveorganization” – Gartner54 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  55. 55. 55 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  56. 56. Juntando tudo: As fronteiras da Tecnologia Computing Everywhere Natural Interfaces New Computing and in Everything and Connectivity Paradigms In Us Bio-Inspired Quantum Touching Computation Computing Us Near re Us Nature Biology tu Bio-electronic Work and Fu Devices Leisure Far From Us Sensory Computing Neuromorphic and (voice, movement, natural sensing, etc) Cognitive Computing Sensory Devices t en Computing without Programming Embedded Non Von Neumann Architectures es Touch + Pr Smarter Era Computing (The Next Frontier) Mobiles Von Neumann Architectures Fetch-> Decode -> Execute PCs/Tablets Keyboard Mobile Computing Era (Current Dominant Entry Paradigm) Servers56 © 2012 IBM Corporation 56 IM AR
  57. 57. Juntando tudo: As fronteiras da Tecnologia Computing Everywhere Natural Interfaces New Computing and in Everything and Connectivity Paradigms In Us Bio-Inspired Quantum Touching Computation Computing Us Near re Us Nature Biology tu Bio-electronic Work and Fu Devices Leisure Far From Us Sensory Computing Neuromorphic and (voice, movement, natural sensing, etc) Cognitive Computing Sensory Devices t TI torna-se invisivel TI Cognitiva en Computing without a Program Embedded Non Von Neumann Architectures es Touch + Pr Smarter Era Computing (The Next Frontier) Mobiles Von Neumann Architectures Fetch-> Decode -> Execute PCs/Tablets Keyboard Mobile Computing Era (Current Dominant Entry Paradigm) Servers57 © 2012 IBM Corporation 57 IM AR
  58. 58. For the first time, CEOs identify technology as the most importantexternal force impacting their organizations External forces that will impact the organization 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 71% Technology factors 69% People skills 68% Market factors Macro-economic factors Regulatory concerns Globalization Socio-economic factors Environmental issues Geopolitical factorsSource: Q1 “What are the most important external forces that will impact your organization over the next 3 to 5 years?”58 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  59. 59. IT Strategy for the next decade: an evolution of today‘s focus topics IT Service Provider “IT as a function of the business“ Data ... Management SOA Service Appliances Big Data Managementon demand Virtualization Cloud Analytics Consolidation Mobility Collaboration Automation Cost Pressure Operational Excellence Service Quality Open Source Cyber Crime Social Media Data Center Optimization Prevention IT Security Smart Devices ...59 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  60. 60. A shift is taking place from delivering IT outcomes to delivering businessoutcomes “From Cost Center to Profit Center” The transformation of IT from a cost center to a profit Business outcomes center does not happen overnight. It requires a well thought out strategy and implementation. Increase business revenue Source: dynamicCIO.com, C R Narayanan, Dec 20, 2011 Reduce business cost Align with enterprise’s business outcomes “IT Value Is Dead. Long Live Business Value.” Business outcomes from technology investments are all that really matter. The CIO’s challenge is finding new ways to prove IT’s worth. Value Source: CIO.com, Stephanie Overby, May 12 , 2011 IT outcomes Reduce IT cost Top 10 Business Priorities 2014 Manage IT cost Increasing enterprise growth 1 Improving Operations 2 Attracting and retaining new customers 3 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Source: Gartner, 2011 CIO Survey60 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  61. 61. CIO: Chief Innovation Officer & Chief Digital Officer ou Career Is Over?61 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  62. 62. Coragem para sair da zona de conforto…62 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  63. 63. Agir rapido, pois o futuro se torna passado rapidamente! 63 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR
  64. 64. Cezar Taurion ctaurion@br.ibm.com www.ibm.com/developerworks/blogs/page/ctaurion @ctaurion Facebook, Linkedin, BranchOut Obrigado pela Atenção64 © 2012 IBM Corporation IM AR

×