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The Planetary BoundariesA “safe operating” space for humanity                    Source: The Anthropocene: From Global Cha...
EmissionsGlobal GHG emissions (CO2, CH4, N2O, SF6, PFCs and HFCs) 2005, CO2-e per 0.1 degree grid cell.
Sea Ice ExtentArctic sea ice extent averaged for September 2012 was 3.61 million square kilometers. This was 3.43million s...
Too latefor 2 ?           Source: http://www.pwc.co.uk/sustainability-climate-change/publications/low-carbon-economy-index...
Low Carbon Economy Index2012: Business challenges       Annual average global decarbonisation rate since 2000 is 0.8%     ...
Unburnable Carbon: Are the world’s financial marketscarrying a carbon bubble?                                             ...
Source: Carbon Tracker initiative
Cumulative emissions 2012 updateby activityThe total cumulative emissions from 2000 to the end of 2012 will be 434GtCCO2 ....
Australian National Greenhouse Gas Inventory                  Figure 1: National Greenhouse Gas Inventory—excluding LULUCF...
Global action on climate change            Source: Climate Commission: The Critical Decade: International Action on Climat...
Climate change state of play
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Climate change state of play

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Climate change state of play

  1. 1. The Planetary BoundariesA “safe operating” space for humanity Source: The Anthropocene: From Global Change to Planetary Stewardship, 2011
  2. 2. EmissionsGlobal GHG emissions (CO2, CH4, N2O, SF6, PFCs and HFCs) 2005, CO2-e per 0.1 degree grid cell.
  3. 3. Sea Ice ExtentArctic sea ice extent averaged for September 2012 was 3.61 million square kilometers. This was 3.43million square kilometers below the 1979 to 2000 average extent. September 2012 ice extent was690,000 square kilometers less than the previous record low for the month that occurred in 2007 Source: National Snow and Ice Data Center
  4. 4. Too latefor 2 ? Source: http://www.pwc.co.uk/sustainability-climate-change/publications/low-carbon-economy-index-challenges-nov12.jhtml
  5. 5. Low Carbon Economy Index2012: Business challenges Annual average global decarbonisation rate since 2000 is 0.8% The world economy nowAverage annual Implied IPCC ‘best guess’ needs to reduce its carbonrate of global concentration global temp intensity by 5.1% every yeardecarbonisation to levels ppm CO2e increase above pre- to 2050 for a fair chance of2050 (% industrial levels limiting warming to 2oC above pre-industrial levels. 1.6% 1,200 ppm 6oC 3.0% 750 ppm 4oC Even to have a reasonable 4.5% 550 ppm 3oC prospect of getting to a 4oC 5.1% 450 ppm 2oC scenario would imply nearly quadrupling the current ratePwC analysis, IPCC AR4 WG1, Chapter 10, Table 10.8 of decarbonisation. Source: http://www.pwc.co.uk/sustainability-climate-change/publications/low-carbon-economy-index-challenges-nov12.jhtml
  6. 6. Unburnable Carbon: Are the world’s financial marketscarrying a carbon bubble? Carbon Budget 2000-2050 Carbon budget * 886 GtCO2 Used by 2011 (one third) Remaining carbon budget 565 GtCO2 Proven fossil fuel reserves (2,795) GtCO2 Reserves top 100 listed coal; oil & (745) GtCO2 gas companies Can be burned unabated 20% total reserves Technically unburnable (80% of assets) Source: Carbon Tracker initiative
  7. 7. Source: Carbon Tracker initiative
  8. 8. Cumulative emissions 2012 updateby activityThe total cumulative emissions from 2000 to the end of 2012 will be 434GtCCO2 . In just 12 years, almost half of the 886 billion tonne global carbonbudget between 2000 and 2049 has been used Source: Unburnable carbon: Rational investment for sustainability, NEF
  9. 9. Australian National Greenhouse Gas Inventory Figure 1: National Greenhouse Gas Inventory—excluding LULUCF (land use, land use change, and forestry)—quarterly emissions growth rates, seasonally adjusted and trend, June quarter 2002–2012. Source: Climate Commission: The Critical Decade: International Action on Climate Change
  10. 10. Global action on climate change Source: Climate Commission: The Critical Decade: International Action on Climate Change

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