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Australian Cotton Industry Keynote - August 5, 2014

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The future of technology impacting the cotton industry - keynote delivered by Craig Rispin, Business Futurist & Innovation Expert

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Australian Cotton Industry Keynote - August 5, 2014

  1. 1. CraigRispinCSP
  2. 2. “Craig we’ve seen more change in the last 3 years than in the last 30.”
  3. 3. Strategies to Profit from Future Technologies
  4. 4. Political collaboration and global trades in a world where slow and sustainable is fashionable High tech systems deliver for a speed-obsessed global shoper Resource crises constrain consumption in a local community focused world Fast consumption in global cultural blocs Connected Fragmented Slow Fast
  5. 5. Population Growth Over the next 15 years, it is like- ly that there will be more than a billion extra people living on our planet, with global population growing from 6.9 billion to reach 8.1 billion by 2025.2 Population in developing countries is ex- pected to rise rapidly, whilst po- pulation in the developed world will remain largely stable.3 This the labour force and nature of the demand for textiles. Resource scarcity Against the backdrop of popu- lation growth, the key resources needed to support that growth are becoming more scarce. For example, 20,000 – 50,000 sq km of arable land is lost each year through land degradation.4 By 2025, 1.8 billion people are expected to be living in coun- tries or regions with absolu- te water scarcity. As resource scarcity5 increases, resource costs are likely to become incre- asingly high and volatile, with massive impacts on the cost of production and supply security. High oil prices, for example, will have a dramatic impact across the clothing supply chain, with Increasingly extreme climate change impacts We have used the upper end of the 2007 IPCC6 estimates for the climate in 2025 in our scenarios, as the latest sci- ence suggests that the lower end of these estimates was conservative.7 Agriculture is very vulnerable to climate change impacts, cotton production in- cluded, and it is likely to suffer from the predicted rising tempe- ratures, decreased soil moistu- re and more extreme weather 8 Although effects will vary by region, the overall impact of climate change on global agriculture is likely to be negative. This is likely to ex- acerbate food security concerns Spread of (ICT) Information Communications Technology ICT is spreading at an exponen- tial pace. In 1984 there were 1000 devices in the world ca- pable of accessing the Internet, today there are approximately 1-2 billion. It is predicted that, by 2015, mobile shopping will account for $163 billion in sales worldwide: 12% of global ecom- merce turnover.9 Through the increased sophistication and spread of ICT, tracking product supply chains is becoming more accurate, less expensive, and easier than ever. This increase in the adoption of ICT is shifting consumer expectations, with more demands for transparency and information about products Key certain factors impacting the future of cotton The more certain factors are the globally recognised trends which feature in all the Cotton Futures scenarios, although their emphasis may vary, as might the societal response to them. These are the factors we need to prepare for in any given scenario.
  6. 6. People Business Technology Life Sciences W ork/Life Shift Acceleration Youth Unemployed Education Re-Engineering Global Mobility Free Agency End of Retirement Emerging Models Outrageous Outsourcing Marketing Megatrend Innovation Imperative Speed & Size Cloud Computing Robots Rise Coworking & Collaboration Massively Mobile Security Scare Big Data
  7. 7. We Live in Times of Exponential Change...
  8. 8. Expand Your Mind to Profit from Changes Ahead...
  9. 9. Massively Mobile
  10. 10. Let’s Play a Mobile Game...
  11. 11. Text Me Your Answers My Mobile is: 0413 23 83 13 Text Me Your Full Name
  12. 12. How Big is Mobile Today? 7B People in the World 6.8B Mobile Subscribers 1.5B 3G/LTE Subscribers
  13. 13. 1.8 Billion Mobiles Sold in 2013
  14. 14. 97%Phones per 100 Citizens
  15. 15. +52%Tablets Growing Faster Than PCs Ever Did
  16. 16. Global PC (Desktop / Notebook) and Tablet Shipments by Quarter Q1:95 – Q4:13 0 20 40 60 80 Q1:95 Q1:97 Q1:99 Q1:01 Q1:03 Q1:05 Q1:07 Q1:09 Q1:11 Q1:13 GlobalUnitsShipped(MMs) Desktop PCs Notebook PCs Tablets
  17. 17. Smart TVs Wearables
  18. 18. The Future of Mobile is Massive!
  19. 19. This is Leading Many Organisations to Have a ‘Mobile First Policy’...
  20. 20. Do You Have a Mobile First Policy in Your Organisation? Text: Yes or No
  21. 21. Why Do This?
  22. 22. People Business Technology Life Sciences W ork/Life Shift Acceleration Youth Unemployed Education Re-Engineering Global Mobility Free Agency End of Retirement Emerging Models Outrageous Outsourcing Marketing Megatrend Innovation Imperative Speed & Size Cloud Computing Robots Rise Coworking & Collaboration Massively Mobile Security Scare Big Data
  23. 23. Life Sciences: The 40 Year Opportunity...
  24. 24. Juan Enriquez
  25. 25. “40 years ago, if I told you...”
  26. 26. Edible Chip - Proteus Biomedical
  27. 27. Individuals Can Now Do... What Companies Used to Do
  28. 28. Companies Can Now Do... What Countries Used to Do
  29. 29. How to Profit from the Massive Changes Ahead
  30. 30. Align Yourself with the Organisations Changing the World Today
  31. 31. Who Are the Most Innovative Organisations Today?
  32. 32. Use What They Use. Think Like They Think. Borrow Their Ideas!
  33. 33. Cloud Computing
  34. 34. Designed for Low Bandwidth Users
  35. 35. ChromeBooks
  36. 36. CraigRispinCSP

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