Successfully reported this slideshow.
We use your LinkedIn profile and activity data to personalize ads and to show you more relevant ads. You can change your ad preferences anytime.
Resolving Issues in the
Energy Transition
What do
Experts & Crowd
tell us
?
Erwin van Laethem
ENERGY
Mother Earth :
Reduce CO2
Markets :
more international & more volatile
Moore’s Law :
digital & IoT
ENERGY
© Synthetron 2015
Crowd energy
decentralised
consumer
+ producer
=prosumer
... want it ...
Technology
... can do it ...
Wh...
© Synthetron 2015
Crowd energy
Markets
Activation
Bottle Necks
ENERGY
© Synthetron 2015
2 Synthetron
discussions
on Crowd Energy
market
8 &13 October 2015
Instant
short list
of
top opinions
& ...
© Synthetron 2015
Expert
Panels
bipolar
Active
opposing
views
expert low
consensus
both
Expert Mini Crowd
Participants
17 ...
© Synthetron 2015
Two schools
EXP. START EXP. END CROWD
CAVEAT : SMALL NUMBERS
• No non-believers
• Experts more optimisti...
© Synthetron 2015
script
8CONFIDENTIAL
1. Imagine … crowd energy market ..
What picture comes to mind? What
will change fo...
© Synthetron 2015
How does it look like?
Expert panel
Winners
•platform,
•prosumer - local communities
•peer to peer btb
•...
© Synthetron 2015
Change forces?
Expert panel
Positive driving forces
•good : more social sharing, power to
prosumers, les...
© Synthetron 2015
How does it look like?
Crowd mini panel
Losers
•Centralised energy model
•International energy suppliers...
© Synthetron 2015
Change forces?
Crowd mini panel
Positive driving forces
Good :
• Local
• Green
• Independent from (forei...
© Synthetron 2015
© Synthetron 2015
Reflection
ENERGY
© Synthetron 2015
conclusion?
ENERGY ?
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in …5
×

Resolving Issues in the Energy Transition

561 views

Published on

Erwin van Laethem, Chief Innovation Officer, RWE Group. Presented at Crowdsourcing Week Europe 2015. For more information or to join the next event: http://crowdsourcingweek.com/

Published in: Environment
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

Resolving Issues in the Energy Transition

  1. 1. Resolving Issues in the Energy Transition What do Experts & Crowd tell us ? Erwin van Laethem ENERGY
  2. 2. Mother Earth : Reduce CO2 Markets : more international & more volatile Moore’s Law : digital & IoT ENERGY
  3. 3. © Synthetron 2015 Crowd energy decentralised consumer + producer =prosumer ... want it ... Technology ... can do it ... What is holding them back ? ENERGY
  4. 4. © Synthetron 2015 Crowd energy Markets Activation Bottle Necks ENERGY
  5. 5. © Synthetron 2015 2 Synthetron discussions on Crowd Energy market 8 &13 October 2015 Instant short list of top opinions & ideas evolutionary discussion clever virtual scalable table setting Deep analysis actionable insight Online www moderated Qualified data set synthetrons
  6. 6. © Synthetron 2015 Expert Panels bipolar Active opposing views expert low consensus both Expert Mini Crowd Participants 17 9 Messeges 212 118 consensus 13% Low treshhold 23% Normal treshold Bipolarity 33% 38% V ><
  7. 7. © Synthetron 2015 Two schools EXP. START EXP. END CROWD CAVEAT : SMALL NUMBERS • No non-believers • Experts more optimistic • significant difference believers and non- believers
  8. 8. © Synthetron 2015 script 8CONFIDENTIAL 1. Imagine … crowd energy market .. What picture comes to mind? What will change for you? 2. Poll: Do you find this an attractive picture? Explain… What ..attractive? Hope? .. Less attractive fear? 3. Now you’re a prosumer …. How do you expect to sell? What market mechanism do you expect? 4. Now … what will trigger you to invest ? 5. Do you believe it will….? 6. How can we get the crowd to actively build the crowd sourced market? 1. Poll Do you believe .. in 5 years ..? • what is particularly attractive ? 2. What image ..10 years from now? • ..main actors then? • How and where will value be created, money be generated ? • Who ..the winners, losers ? 3. …most important bottleneck that prevents this market to develop? 4. …key enablers for a large scale decentral energy system to take off? 5. Poll Do you believe .. in 5 years ..? • what question for crowd of people and ask them to find solutions for.? • What is your personal take away?
  9. 9. © Synthetron 2015 How does it look like? Expert panel Winners •platform, •prosumer - local communities •peer to peer btb •storage and traders Losers Incumbent players? Value •for prosumer •new service provider •lower energy cost, dependence and consumption
  10. 10. © Synthetron 2015 Change forces? Expert panel Positive driving forces •good : more social sharing, power to prosumers, less dependent, more resilience •the technical progress digitalisation IoT storage, cost solar.. • .. Maybe government • .. Maybe some black outs? Bottlenecks •uncertainty about crow activation and cost incentives •many things are not clear yet •non existence of market mechanism •lack of policy and to restrictive regulation •resistance from incumbent players. Enablers •engagement involvement of customers, prosumers, local opinion makers… •funding •lobby •transparent easy pricing •technology Activation switch ? •because people think it is better, good for society, their image,.. •market de-regulation •direct p2P sales •pushed because today underperformances •because it is economical attractive
  11. 11. © Synthetron 2015 How does it look like? Crowd mini panel Losers •Centralised energy model •International energy suppliers •CO2 & fossil fuels Consumption •Local •Regulated infrastructure •Sharing economy (fee based access) •(locally) shared investments
  12. 12. © Synthetron 2015 Change forces? Crowd mini panel Positive driving forces Good : • Local • Green • Independent from (foreign) energy providers • profitable Bottlenecks •High cost associated with green energy setups •Difficult to set up? •Uncertain investment climate •Changing rules Enablers •Regulated long term stable investment climate •Stable subsidy •Infrastructure provided •Organised sharing economy/ market Activation switch ? •Easy •Earn money •Prospect of self sufficiency •Sharing economy •Hope that it will go fast • and become big/ significant
  13. 13. © Synthetron 2015 © Synthetron 2015 Reflection ENERGY
  14. 14. © Synthetron 2015 conclusion? ENERGY ?

×