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Thomas Færgeman Concito


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The future is here

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Thomas Færgeman Concito

  1. 3. <ul><li>IPCC conclusions in 2007: </li></ul><ul><li>Irreversible tipping point at plus two degrees </li></ul><ul><ul><li>above pre-industrial level (today: + .87 degrees) </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Requires peak in global emissions by 2015-20 and 50-80% reductions in 2050 </li></ul>What is the target?
  2. 4. <ul><li>The imminent risk is that if warming extends beyond </li></ul><ul><li>certain so-called tipping points, a number of feed-back </li></ul><ul><li>mechanisms set in: </li></ul><ul><li>Diminishing CO2 uptake capacity in the sea </li></ul><ul><li>Melting of solar radiation deflecting ice caps </li></ul><ul><li>The thawing of methane saturated permafrost areas </li></ul><ul><li>spiraling the globe into a faster and, notably, </li></ul><ul><li>irreversible, rate of global warming. </li></ul>Tipping points
  3. 6. 50% Co2 reduktion i 200 – 80% i 2030
  4. 7. Population projected to rise from 6.7 billion today to 9 billion in 2050 Fair allocation would mean 2 tons per person Denmark 2010: 13 tons / 19 tons Since IPCC’s latest report
  5. 8. The EU is committed to reducing its overall emissions to at least 20% below 1990 levels by 2020, and is ready to scale up this reduction to 30%. Now Denmark supports this target. Where are we?
  6. 9. The EU has also set itself the target of increasing the share of renewable energy use to 20% by 2020. What is the target?
  7. 10. <ul><li>Wind, wind, wind – and biomass. </li></ul><ul><li>Major changes required within: </li></ul><ul><li>Energy generation </li></ul><ul><li>Transportation </li></ul><ul><li>Housing </li></ul>Danish Commission on Climate Change Policy
  8. 11. The good news
  9. 12. <ul><li>We can do it and it is a winner case </li></ul><ul><li>For the environment </li></ul><ul><li>For the economy </li></ul><ul><li>For the security </li></ul>40% CO2 reduction in 2020 – 80% in 2050
  10. 13. <ul><li>We can do it by </li></ul><ul><li>Energy efficiency </li></ul><ul><li>Low or no carbon energy supply </li></ul><ul><li>Terrestial carbon in forestry and agriculture </li></ul><ul><li>Behavioral change </li></ul>50% CO2 reduction in 2020 – 80% in 2030
  11. 14. Example: Transport in net energy cons.: 225 PJ 80% losses: 180 PJ The good news: We can do it!
  12. 15. <ul><li>Electric cars </li></ul><ul><li>Bio fuels </li></ul><ul><li>More public transport </li></ul><ul><li>More freight by rail and sea </li></ul>Main technical solutions
  13. 17. <ul><li>Two steps towards 80-95% CO2 reduction: </li></ul><ul><li>First step: Outreach of existings technologies </li></ul><ul><li>Second step: Innovation of new clean tech </li></ul><ul><li>First step: 2010 – 2020 (40%) </li></ul><ul><li>Second step: 2020 – 2050 (80-95%) </li></ul>A two step pathway to 80-95% CO2 reduction
  14. 18. Providing products/commodities that gives value to the consumer with a minimal emission of GHG. The challenge for business
  15. 19. The good news: We can do it! <ul><li>It takes: </li></ul><ul><li>Legal framework and economic regulations from the politicians </li></ul><ul><li>Financing and long term investments from the private sector – good business! </li></ul><ul><li>Active citizens and businesses – like you </li></ul>
  16. 20. Let’s get started!                                                                          
  17. 21.