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Why is housing important? JOBS.




                             1
Three segments of economic growth that benefit from
a stable housing market



                          Home Building &
                      1   Improvement



                      2   Transaction Economy



                          Finance, Origination &
                      3   Servicing




                                                   2
“About half of the jobs created by building new homes are in
1   Home Building                               construction. They include framers, electricians, plumbers, finish
                                                carpenters … “ - National Association of Home Builders



       New Single-Family Housing Starts
       (in thsds of units)


      1,600




      800

                 Source: NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Starts




    1985              1989           1993           1997        2001         2005         2009          2013

       NAHB analysis of the broad impact of new construction shows that building 100 average
       single-family homes generates:

           §     305 jobs
           §     $23 mn in wage & business income
           §     $9 mn in taxes and revenue for state, local & federal governments
                                                                                                                3
1     Home Improvement


    National Association of Realtors
    2013 Profile of Buyer’s Home
    Feature Preferences                                         Of buyers that undertook a home
                                                                          improvement project…
     §  Within 3 months of a home purchase,
         53% of buyers undertook a home                  kitchen improvement        47%
         improvement project.
     §  The typical buyer spent $4,550 on
         various projects.
                                                       bathroom improvement        44%
       A


                                                    added or replaced lighting     41%


                                                 added or replaced appliances     37%

     “… homeowners still said they would like
     more or larger closets and storage
     space. In addition, nearly half of recent
     buyers would prefer a larger kitchen...”

     - Paul Bishop, NAR VP Research                                Demand for home improvement
                                                                   drives commerce & enterprise

                                                                                             4
2   Transaction Economy




    The ecosystem of housing, provides a substantial
    living to many professionals

    -  Architects & engineers

    -  Attorneys

    -  Appraisers

    -  Agents & brokers

    -  Movers

    -  Escrow, insurance & title

    -  Suppliers of wood & concrete products


                                                       5
2    Transaction Economy                   90% of consumers start their real estate journey online (NAR)



-    The ecosystem is evolving, as a function of the consumer’s desire for mobile & online platforms
-    Innovation is providing a new ecosystem to the transaction economy
-    Job growth in online real estate companies




Free:                                                           Buy or sell:

-    Instant AVM                                                -    Houses

-    Search listings                                            -    Land

-    Find rentals                                               -    Notes

-    Market comps                                               -    Condos

                                                                -    CRE

                                                                -    US & abroad


                                                                                                           6
Finance, Origination &             The refinance boom has sustained tens of thousands of jobs with
3     Servicing                          GSEs, banks, originators and servicers


    Total RMBS issuance

     $2.2T
              $2.0T
                       $1.9T
                                        $1.8T
                                                                        $1.7T
                                                   $1.4T
                                $1.2T                        $1.2T                   As of 4Q12, the
                                                                                     refi-to-purchase
                                                                                     ratio is 3:1


     2005     2006     2007     2008     2009      2010       2011       2012

    Pending refi “cliff” or “taper”? | Estimates suggest refinance share
    could drop to as low as 40% by 4Q13

    Redwood Trust is notable for their private-label MBS issuances;
    however, as of 4Q12, 99% of the MBS issuance were gov’t-backed

    High concentration remains | Top-5 originators: WFC, JPM, USB,
    BAC, & Quicken Loans comprised 53% of all originations in 3Q12
                                        Source: Inside Mortgage Finance (Dec 2012)

                                                                                                        7
Finance, Origination &
3   Servicing                                                      50.8 million                         First-lien
                                                                                                        mortgages

                                                                   Delinquency rates dropped substantially YoY in
                                                                   4Q12, due to improved credit quality & stronger


$17 Trn
                                          Approximate              performance of recent origination vintages
                                          value of housing
                                          stock in the U.S.1                Source: OCC Mortgage Market Metrics 4Q12



Mortgage debt in relation to the housing stock
                                                                  The housing finance industry requires
                                                                  professionals across the value chain

                                                                  Finance & Capital Markets
               Total US Mtg
                                                                  -  Note sales & MSR trades
                                     $7.7T                        -  Securitization
               debt
                $9.5T
                        2       Net Equity                        -  Basel III RWA

                                                                  Origination
                                                                  -  CFPB/QM compliance
                                                                  -  MLOs, Ops/fulfillment
                                                                  -  due diligence & underwriting
Negative equity is still prevalent, estimates vary
how much and how long this will remain                            Servicing
                                                                  -  Workouts, HAMP/HAFA
Servicers continue to improve workout
                                                                  -  Specialty, Master & Sub-servicing
capabilities and are working through the backlog
     Source: Fed Flow of Funds Accounts, Table B.100 (Dec 2012)                                                8

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Why is housing important? JOBS.

  • 1. Why is housing important? JOBS. 1
  • 2. Three segments of economic growth that benefit from a stable housing market Home Building & 1 Improvement 2 Transaction Economy Finance, Origination & 3 Servicing 2
  • 3. “About half of the jobs created by building new homes are in 1 Home Building construction. They include framers, electricians, plumbers, finish carpenters … “ - National Association of Home Builders New Single-Family Housing Starts (in thsds of units) 1,600 800 Source: NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Starts 1985 1989 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 NAHB analysis of the broad impact of new construction shows that building 100 average single-family homes generates: §  305 jobs §  $23 mn in wage & business income §  $9 mn in taxes and revenue for state, local & federal governments 3
  • 4. 1 Home Improvement National Association of Realtors 2013 Profile of Buyer’s Home Feature Preferences Of buyers that undertook a home improvement project… §  Within 3 months of a home purchase, 53% of buyers undertook a home kitchen improvement 47% improvement project. §  The typical buyer spent $4,550 on various projects. bathroom improvement 44% A added or replaced lighting 41% added or replaced appliances 37% “… homeowners still said they would like more or larger closets and storage space. In addition, nearly half of recent buyers would prefer a larger kitchen...” - Paul Bishop, NAR VP Research Demand for home improvement drives commerce & enterprise 4
  • 5. 2 Transaction Economy The ecosystem of housing, provides a substantial living to many professionals -  Architects & engineers -  Attorneys -  Appraisers -  Agents & brokers -  Movers -  Escrow, insurance & title -  Suppliers of wood & concrete products 5
  • 6. 2 Transaction Economy 90% of consumers start their real estate journey online (NAR) -  The ecosystem is evolving, as a function of the consumer’s desire for mobile & online platforms -  Innovation is providing a new ecosystem to the transaction economy -  Job growth in online real estate companies Free: Buy or sell: -  Instant AVM -  Houses -  Search listings -  Land -  Find rentals -  Notes -  Market comps -  Condos -  CRE -  US & abroad 6
  • 7. Finance, Origination & The refinance boom has sustained tens of thousands of jobs with 3 Servicing GSEs, banks, originators and servicers Total RMBS issuance $2.2T $2.0T $1.9T $1.8T $1.7T $1.4T $1.2T $1.2T As of 4Q12, the refi-to-purchase ratio is 3:1 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Pending refi “cliff” or “taper”? | Estimates suggest refinance share could drop to as low as 40% by 4Q13 Redwood Trust is notable for their private-label MBS issuances; however, as of 4Q12, 99% of the MBS issuance were gov’t-backed High concentration remains | Top-5 originators: WFC, JPM, USB, BAC, & Quicken Loans comprised 53% of all originations in 3Q12 Source: Inside Mortgage Finance (Dec 2012) 7
  • 8. Finance, Origination & 3 Servicing 50.8 million First-lien mortgages Delinquency rates dropped substantially YoY in 4Q12, due to improved credit quality & stronger $17 Trn Approximate performance of recent origination vintages value of housing stock in the U.S.1 Source: OCC Mortgage Market Metrics 4Q12 Mortgage debt in relation to the housing stock The housing finance industry requires professionals across the value chain Finance & Capital Markets Total US Mtg -  Note sales & MSR trades $7.7T -  Securitization debt $9.5T 2 Net Equity -  Basel III RWA Origination -  CFPB/QM compliance -  MLOs, Ops/fulfillment -  due diligence & underwriting Negative equity is still prevalent, estimates vary how much and how long this will remain Servicing -  Workouts, HAMP/HAFA Servicers continue to improve workout -  Specialty, Master & Sub-servicing capabilities and are working through the backlog Source: Fed Flow of Funds Accounts, Table B.100 (Dec 2012) 8