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Ec aug 2012 - internet


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Ec aug 2012 - internet

  1. 1. ECONOMIC CAPSULE August 2012 < Research & Development Unit >
  2. 2. CONTENTS FINANCIAL SECTOR NEWS  ECONOMIC & BUSINESS NEWS    CBC - Group Results for the 06 Months Ended 30.06.2012  External Sector Performance – Jan-Jun 2012  Commercial Bank’s 6-month Pre-tax Profit Soars to Rs 7.7 bn  Provincial GDP (at current market prices) – 2010 and 2011  Anagi Womens Savings Account  Sri Lanka Ranked 94 in Global Innovation Index 2012  Commercial Bank Awarded Gold at National HRM Awards (GII) 2012  IFC helps SL Banks Strengthen Trade Finance Expertise  Rupee Loans to Sri Lankans Employed Abroad  British Airways to Resume Flights to Sri Lanka  EU Grants Rs. 9 bn (EUR 60 mn) to SL Lanka  Macro Trends< Research & Development Unit >
  4. 4. CBC - Group Results for the 06 Months Ended 30.06.2012 CBC Profits CBC Assets CBC Total Deposit Gross Non Rs.Bn. Rs.Bn. 31.12.11 Rs.Bn. Performing Advances 490 30.06.12 Ratio (Bank) 7.7 360 (%) 441 3.7% 318 3.4% 5.8 5.3 319 288 4.0 PBT PAT Total Assets Total Gross Loans & Advances 31.12.11 30.06.12 31.12.11 30.06.12 30.06.11 30.06.12< Research & Development Unit >
  5. 5. Commercial Bank‟s 6-month Pre-tax Profit Soars to Rs 7.7 bn (Bank) ● Exceptional balance sheet indicators, with deposit growth averaging nearly Rs 7 billion per month and gross loan book growth of more than Rs 5 billion per month in the first six months of 2012 have combined with strong gains in non-interest income to generate stellar 1st half results for Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLC. ● Sri Lanka’s benchmark private sector bank has reported profit before tax of Rs 7.71 billion for the six months ended 30 June 2012, recording growth of 34.06% over the first half of the previous year, and profit after tax of Rs 5.3 billion, an increase of 31.91%, emphatically reiterating its status as one of the country’s best performing corporate entities. ● The Bank’s net income for the six months was up 40.3% to Rs 16.5 bn, with interest income growing by 32.55% due to the increase in its loan portfolio. Non-interest income (foreign exchange & other income) improved by 105.63% to Rs 6.1 bn, mainly due to a growth of Rs 2.9 bn or 329.35% in exchange income. ● The increase in foreign exchange income was largely due to the relatively higher volume of foreign currency operations of the Bank and the translation gains recognised consequent to the depreciation of the Sri Lanka Rupee against the US Dollar during the six months period under review.< Research & Development Unit >
  6. 6. Commercial Bank’s 6-month Pre-tax Profit Soars to Rs 7.7 bn (Cont…) ● Net Interest income of the Bank grew by 18.38% over the corresponding six months of last year to Rs 10.459 billion. The main contributory factor for this increase in net interest income was the increase in interest income on the loans and advances portfolio of the Bank by Rs. 5.866 billion, or 44.25% during the six month period under review. ● Commercial Bank’s Total income for the six months was up 41.49% to Rs 30.393 billion. Total assets increased by 10.99% or Rs 48.489 billion, from Rs 441.099 billion at 31st December 2011 to Rs 489.588 billion at the end of the review period. ● Net provisions for bad and doubtful debts increased to Rs 1.008 billion as against a net reversal of Rs 300.6 million for the first half of 2011, made possible by the reduction of the general provision rate from 0.9% to 0.7% between 1st January and 30th June 2011. ● The Bank’s total capital adequacy ratio stood at 12.22% as at 30th June 2012, as against the prescribed minimum of 10%. The gross non-performing advances ratio increased from 3.43% as at 31st December 2011 to 3.66%, while the net non- performing advances ratio moved from 2.08% to 2.14% during the same period.< Research & Development Unit >
  7. 7. Anagi Womens Savings Account  A unique new savings account with exclusive benefits for women has been launched by Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLC.  Branded „Anagi‟ Women‟s Savings Account, the new account offers an interest rate over the normal savings rate (+1%), one of the best rates in the savings account category for women, Gold Loans at a concessionary rate (1% interest rebate) for the purchase of jewellery and a Combank Shopping Debit Card.  Minimum deposit of Rs 1,000.  Account holders have a choice of a branded passbook or statement based savings. An existing Savings Account can be converted into an Anagi Account.  Seasonal discounts on the Debit Card and credit facilities according to income levels for the purchase of jewellery or to meet any personal commitments are also available.< Research & Development Unit >
  8. 8. Commercial Bank Awarded Gold at National HRM Awards 2012  Commercial Bank of Ceylon was one of 10 leading corporate entities to be awarded Gold at the 2012 National HRM Awards presented by the Association of Human Resource Professionals in partnership with Aon Hewitt, a global HR consultancy firm.  This is the third consecutive instance in which the Bank won a Gold award under the new criteria set for the awards since 2007.< Research & Development Unit >
  9. 9. Rupee Loans to Sri Lankans Employed Abroad As per the direction of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, banks are advised to adhere to the following guidelines when granting above facilities.  Applicants should be Sri Lankans employed abroad, maintaining Non Resident Foreign Currency (NRFC) accounts.  Applicants should be in a position to service such loans out of the funds lying to the credit of their NRFC accounts as long as they are in foreign employment. However once the borrower returns to the country after ending the overseas employment contract he/she can service the loan with rupee funds.  Applicants should be informed of the option of obtaining a foreign currency denominated loan at a lower interest instead of a Rupee denominated loan which would be at comparatively higher rate of interest.  If the applicant opts for the loan in Sri Lankan Rupees, a letter should be obtained from the applicant expressly consenting to obtain a rupee loan instead of foreign currency denominated loan despite the rate variance.  All disbursements of loans should be in Sri Lanka Rupees to the rupee account of the Cont.… borrower.< Research & Development Unit >
  10. 10. Rupee Loans to Sri Lankans Employed Abroad (Cont…) Evaluation Criteria  Applicants should have been continuously employed overseas for a minimum period of 2 years and also should have a contract for future employment for a minimum period of 1 year.  Documentary evidence should be submitted regarding applicants income, such as I . A Letter from the employer confirming the employment and the salary. II. Last six months pay sheets III . Bank statements (e.g. NRFC Account) for other bank customers.  Other documents (if applicable). I. Work permits issued by the respective country (Current). II. Evidence regarding the availability of visa etc.  Adequate security should be obtained in the form of a mortgage of a property or in the form of a lien on deposits etc. to cover the credit risk.  Authorized Dealers are requested to report the details of loans granted to the exchange control department on a quarterly basis.< Research & Development Unit >
  12. 12. External Sector Performance – Jan-Jun 2012 A Summary of External Sector Performance (Jan-Jun) a 2011 2012 Growth USD Mn Exports & Imports USD mn USD mn % 2000 Exports 5,075.9 4,965.0 -2.2 Agricultural 1,214.4 1,143.3 -5.9 1000 of which, tea 711.6 682.0 -4.2 Industrial 3,840.9 3,698.7 -3.7 of which, Textiles and garments 2,014.6 1,982.3 -1.6 0 Mineral 16.2 29.0 78.6 Apr 12 Jan 12 Feb 12 May 12 Jun 12 Mar 12 Imports 9,280.1 9,666.5 4.2 Consumer Goods 1,791.5 1,623.5 -9.4 Exports Imports Intermediate Goods 5,643.6 5,754.8 2.0 of which, Petroleum 2,146.8 2,574.5 19.9 USD Mn Trade Balance Textile and textile articles 1,157.4 1,101.6 -4.8 0 Investment Goods 1,822.4 2,272.3 24.7 Balance of Trade -4,204.2 -4,701.5 -11.8 -400 Workers’ Remittances 2,506.6 2,942.4 17.4 FDI 394.1 451.7 14.6 Portfolio Investments (Net) -66.7 186.5 379.6 -800 Commercial Banks’ Long-term FC Borrowings 927.5 Earnings from Tourism 370.1 459.9 24.3 -1200 Inflows to the Government (b) 1,510.6 2,277.5 50.8 Apr 12 Feb 12 May 12 Jun 12 Jan 12 Mar 12 (a) Provisional (b) Inflows to the Government include capital and current transfers to the government, inflows from sale of Treasury Bills and Treasury Bonds and long term loans of the Government. Source: CBSL< Research & Development Unit >
  13. 13. Provincial GDP (at current market prices) – 2010a and 2011b Year Western Central Southern Northern Eastern Western North Central North Uva S’gamuwa Island Provincial GDP Share (%) Western GDP 2010 2,513 563 599 190 334 535 267 253 351 5,604 (Rs Bn) Central 2011 2,905 644 727 241 375 652 300 292 406 6,543 Southern GDP Growth (%) 2010 13.4 18.9 17.7 21.8 19.5 14.8 20.6 15.5 19.1 15.9 Northern 2011 15.6 14.5 21.4 27.1 12.4 21.9 12.4 15.5 15.7 16.7 GDP Share (%) 2010 44.8 10.0 10.7 3.4 6.0 9.5 4.8 4.5 6.3 100.0 Eastern 2011 44.4 9.8 11.1 3.7 5.7 10.0 4.6 4.5 6.2 100.0 North Western Per Capita Income c 2010 428 209 240 159 214 228 215 191 181 271 North Central (Rs ‘000) 2011 491 237 289 200 237 276 239 218 207 314 Uva Per Capita income 2010 1.6 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.0 S’gamuwa ratio d 2011 1.6 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.0 0 20 40 60 (a) Revised (b) Provisional (c) Calculated using mid-year population estimates prepared by the Registrar General’s Department, (d) Ration between per capita income of the province to that of all Island. Source: CBSLAll provinces recorded double digit nominal growth rates in their PGDP in 2011. The Northern province recorded the highest growth rate of 27.1 percent, in nominal terms, in 2011. The PGDPs of North Western and Southern provinces grew by 21.9 per cent and 21.4 per cent, respectively. However,the growth rates of the Eastern, North Central, Central and S’gamuwa provinces decelerated in 2011 compared to 2010. < Research & Development Unit >
  14. 14. Sri Lanka Ranked 94 in Global Innovation Index 2012 (GII) Sri Lanka is ranked 94 out of 141 countries in the Global Innovation Index 2012. Sri Lanka is ranked 15 among Lower Middle Income countries and ranked 3 among Central and Southern Asian countries. Other lower middle income countries ranked above Sri Lanka are India (64), Mongolia (68), Armenia (69), Vietnam (76), Paraguay (84), Morocco (88) and El Salvador (93). The top 10 countries in the GII 2012 edition are Switzerland, Singapore, Sweden, Finland, the UK, the Netherlands, Denmark, Hong Kong (China), Ireland and USA. Innovation Efficiency Index assesses countries particularly good at surmounting relative weaknesses on their Input Sub-Indices, with robust output results. The top ten performers are: China, India, the Republic of Moldova, Malta, Switzerland, Paraguay, Serbia, Estonia, Netherlands, and Sri Lanka. Comparison of world ranking (out of 141 countries) with the rankings of Definitions selected Lower Middle Income Countries Innovation Input Sub-Index: Five input pillars capture elements of the national economy that enable innovative activities: (1) Institutions, (2) Human capital and research, (3) India Mongolia Vietnam Sri Lanka Infrastructure, (4) Market sophistication, and (5) Business sophistication. The Innovation Input Sub-Index is the simple average of the first five pillar scores Global Innovation Index 64 68 76 94 Innovation Output Sub-Index: Innovation outputs are the results of innovative activities Innovation Input sub within the economy. There are two output pillars: (6) Knowledge and technology outputs 96 53 83 115 index and (7) Creative outputs. The Innovation Output Sub-Index is the simple average of the Innovation output sub last two pillar scores. 40 79 59 76 The overall GII score is the simple average of the Input and Output Sub-Indices. index Innovation Efficiency The Innovation Efficiency Index is the ratio of the Output Sub-Index over the Input Sub- 2 109 27 10 Index. It shows how much innovation output a given country is getting for its inputs, and Index is a sense of efficiency of sorts.< Research & Development Unit >
  15. 15. IFC helps SL Banks Strengthen Trade Finance Expertise  International Finance Corporation - IFC, a member of the World Bank Group, hosted an advanced trade finance seminar in Colombo to train bankers from Sri Lanka and Maldives on using sophisticated trade finance products, to better serve small entrepreneurs engaged in international trade.  The training program, helps bankers to identify opportunities to connect local businesses with international customers and suppliers. The participants also learn how to identify and mitigate operational risks by adopting international best practices in trade finance.  The initiative is part of IFC‟s USD 3 billion Global Trade Finance Program, which supports banks in emerging markets as they channel credit towards trade-related transactions of their clients. Sri Lanka is a priority country for IFC.  IFC‟s committed portfolio of USD 180 million in Sri Lanka covers projects across a range of sectors, including infrastructure, tourism, renewable energy, finance, and health care.< Research & Development Unit >
  16. 16. Other Economic News… British Airways to Resume Flights to Sri Lanka EU Grants Rs. 9 bn (EUR 60 mn) to SL Lanka  The European Union announced it would  British Airways is to resume flights to Sri provide Sri Lanka a grant amounting to Lanka from Gatwick Airport in early 2013. After approximately Rs. 9 bn (EUR 60 mn) under the a 15-year absence, the carrier will start flights European Union support to the District from Gatwick airport in London to Sri Lankas Development program spanning over 2012- Colombo international Airport in Katunayake 2017. via Male in the Maldives.  The agencies are namely UNDP, UNICEF, UNOPS, FAO, ILO and IFC of the World Bank  The service will run three times a week on Group with European Union financial Wednesday, Friday and Sunday beginning from assistance. The European Union envisages March 31, 2013. British Airways last operated supporting two major components identified in the Colombo-London service in 1998 and line with the National Development Program of suspended the service due to the security Sri Lanka, notably poverty reduction and situation at the time in Sri Lanka. provision of basic infrastructure and services for vulnerable populations.< Research & Development Unit >
  17. 17. Macro Trends< Research & Development Unit >
  18. 18. “Ability is of little account without opportunity” - Lucille BallThe views expressed in Economic Capsule are not necessarily those of the Management of Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLCThe information contained in this presentation has been drawn from sources that we believe to be reliable. However, while we have taken reasonable care to maintain accuracy/completeness of theinformation, it should be noted that Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLC and/or its employees should not be held responsible, for providing the information or for losses or damages, financial orotherwise, suffered in consequence of using such information for whatever purpose.Research & Development Unit