Preparing for Multiple FuturesSteve O’ConnorBe aware of multiple futuresAre multiple futures really possible? - Perception more important than reality - Value that is not valued is not valuable - Patrons do not need Librarians as they once did - Immediacy of informationThe long viewOutside-in thinkingmultiple perspectivesallow time to come to a new viewThe path to the present is not linear.Branding and marketingStrategic planning. Not just planning for one futureCreativity is a verb.In order to see futures, we need to be outsiders.Outside perspectives.*Innocentive* crowd sourcing innovationUsers as outsiders as well.Suggested read Social Psychology. Don’t read library mags/literature for an outside view.
Institute for global futures.How to shape ‘What if’s’Disruptive forces.*Future files – Richard Watson*Extinction summaries:2018: Libraries, Blackberries, video rentals2020: Copyright2025: Desktop computers, blogging.If libraries are extinct, is the librarian extinct.Innovators dilemmaOrganisations capabilities define is disabilities.Symantic web 3.0The notion behind a library is Trust.Potential disruptionsExtreme future.Knowledge engineeringThe capacity of one organisation to understand key trends that will shape the future.Print | Digital | Web %no. of information delivered into the library.
Open accessPlan for the next three years?What is happening to content.Worst case scenarios.Precautionary principles.Difference between 1% and certaintyIf we’re looking for better, what could be worse, far worse.Analytic + intuitiveMost will ignore low probablility and high consequence.Does a future generation have rights?A responsibility to future generations to have better outcome than we had? Do we have obligations.Community/research/stories/different scenarios.Preferred library future.Skills needed/intelligences:Examine: Techniques to align issues and possible futuresuse of our imaginationDelay, delay, delay strategicDo not dismiss ideasIdentify trends and influences.The future isn’t what it used to bePossibilites abound.Good futures just don’t happen.