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Merriman River Group
Civil Beat Poll -- June 2013
869 Registered Voters Throughout Hawaii
June 18-20, and 24, 2013
78% Lan...
28% 22% 33% 25% 27% 27% 31% 17% 16% 21%
8% 9% 1% 11% 4% 2% 10% 11% 8% 11%
Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Chil...
26% 22% 26% 48% 24% 28% 28% 21% 27% 27%
39% 26% 41% 11% 47% 36% 25% 25% 15% 21%
Military No Union Yes Union No Children Ye...
14% 11% 20% 6% 21% 21% 8% 13% 5% 11%
Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children
Refused
50k or less ...
39% 6% 10% 5% 23% 9% 5% 8% 2% 4%
Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children
Refused
50k or less Inco...
26% 15% 16% 15% 28% 17% 16% 17% 8% 11%
Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children
Refused
50k or les...
Unsure Cell &
Landline
Cell Landline No degree HS graduate Some Assoc
Voc
College
Graduate
Graduate
Degree
Military Yes
61...
3% 0% 8% 4% 7% 4% 9% 7% 3% 4%
6% 3% 7% 7% 3% 5% 6% 5% 10% 2%
Unsure Cell &
Landline
Cell Landline No degree HS graduate So...
Unsure 4% 1% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 5% 4%
Chinese Latino Mixed
Ethnicity
Liberal-
progressive
Moderate Conser-
vative
Unsure Democ...
As Important 58% 53% 63% 57% 60% 57% 59% 48% 63%
Mainland
Issue
32% 41% 25% 37% 26% 35% 26% 41% 35%
Unsure 10% 6% 13% 6% 1...
Direct
Democracy
OVERALL Male Female Under 50 Over 50 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian
Yes 62% 61% 63% 65% 61% 64% 56%...
22% 22% 21% 20% 27% 4% 13% 26% 29%
5% 5% 7% 4% 5% 37% 9% 2% 5%
15% 12% 8% 9% 9% 19% 7% 9% 10%
Would you support or oppose ...
2% 1% 0% 2% 0% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1%
Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children
Refused
50k or less Income ...
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Civil beat june 2013 crosstabs

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Civil beat june 2013 crosstabs

  1. 1. Merriman River Group Civil Beat Poll -- June 2013 869 Registered Voters Throughout Hawaii June 18-20, and 24, 2013 78% Landlines, 22% Cell Phones Margin of Sampling Error +/-3.3% In the Democratic Senate primary between Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa, what would you do? Senate OVERALL Male Female Under 50 Over 50 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Schatz 36% 40% 32% 29% 42% 42% 32% 21% 30% Hanabusa 33% 32% 35% 36% 31% 26% 39% 33% 36% Undecided 23% 22% 24% 24% 22% 19% 26% 31% 19% Will not vote 9% 6% 10% 12% 5% 13% 3% 15% 15% Chinese Latino Mixed Ethnicity Liberal- progressive Moderate Conser- vative Unsure Democrat Republican Indepen-dent 35% 18% 43% 40% 46% 27% 22% 38% 29% 39% 43% 53% 28% 39% 30% 36% 22% 36% 20% 28% 20% 29% 26% 17% 22% 18% 40% 24% 20% 21% 2% 0% 2% 4% 2% 19% 16% 1% 30% 13% Unsure Cell & Landline Cell Landline No degree HS graduate Some Assoc Voc College Graduate Graduate Degree Military Yes 24% 40% 18% 24% 48% 20% 28% 46% 47% 40% 40% 30% 49% 41% 21% 51% 32% 26% 30% 28%
  2. 2. 28% 22% 33% 25% 27% 27% 31% 17% 16% 21% 8% 9% 1% 11% 4% 2% 10% 11% 8% 11% Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children Refused 50k or less Income 50- 100k Income 100k 30% 38% 35% 37% 36% 20% 29% 39% 41% 38% 38% 29% 33% 31% 40% 35% 33% 29% 27% 17% 28% 25% 22% 17% 29% 21% 18% 5% 7% 9% 5% 11% 23% 7% 7% 12% Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of U.S. Senator Brian Schatz? Schatz OVERALL Male Female Under 50 Over 50 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Positive 49% 48% 50% 43% 55% 54% 47% 44% 39% Negative 27% 29% 25% 30% 23% 30% 19% 30% 37% Unsure 25% 23% 25% 27% 22% 16% 34% 27% 25% Chinese Latino Mixed Ethnicity Liberal- progressive Moderate Conser- vative Unsure Democrat Republican Indepen-dent 40% 39% 55% 56% 58% 34% 39% 60% 31% 40% 16% 61% 19% 25% 17% 48% 22% 19% 50% 31% 45% 0% 26% 19% 25% 18% 39% 22% 19% 30% Unsure Cell & Landline Cell Landline No degree HS graduate Some Assoc Voc College Graduate Graduate Degree Military Yes 34% 52% 33% 40% 28% 36% 47% 53% 59% 52%
  3. 3. 26% 22% 26% 48% 24% 28% 28% 21% 27% 27% 39% 26% 41% 11% 47% 36% 25% 25% 15% 21% Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children Refused 50k or less Income 50- 100k Income 100k 46% 56% 45% 50% 50% 38% 39% 58% 54% 25% 29% 24% 24% 24% 56% 31% 24% 20% 30% 15% 31% 26% 26% 6% 30% 18% 26% Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of First District Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa? Hanabusa OVERALL Male Female Under 50 Over 50 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Positive 48% 46% 51% 45% 51% 41% 57% 62% 48% Negative 41% 45% 37% 46% 37% 48% 30% 35% 42% Unsure 11% 9% 12% 9% 12% 10% 13% 3% 9% Chinese Latino Mixed Ethnicity Liberal- progressive Moderate Conser- vative Unsure Democrat Republican Indepen-dent 49% 56% 45% 57% 49% 38% 43% 60% 12% 35% 38% 37% 45% 34% 39% 56% 40% 29% 82% 54% 13% 7% 10% 9% 12% 7% 16% 11% 5% 12% Unsure Cell & Landline Cell Landline No degree HS graduate Some Assoc Voc College Graduate Graduate Degree Military Yes 71% 46% 55% 58% 35% 56% 51% 45% 45% 46% 15% 43% 24% 36% 45% 23% 41% 43% 50% 44%
  4. 4. 14% 11% 20% 6% 21% 21% 8% 13% 5% 11% Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children Refused 50k or less Income 50- 100k Income 100k 52% 57% 43% 51% 44% 59% 50% 50% 45% 37% 37% 44% 40% 44% 31% 30% 42% 49% 11% 6% 14% 9% 13% 10% 20% 8% 6% How do feel about Neil Abercrombie’s job performance as Governor? Abercrombie OVERALL Male Female Under 50 Over 50 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Approve 45% 48% 43% 41% 48% 42% 47% 58% 46% Disapprove 48% 50% 48% 53% 46% 54% 45% 28% 51% Unsure 7% 3% 9% 6% 6% 4% 8% 15% 4% Chinese Latino Mixed Ethnicity Liberal- progressive Moderate Conser- vative Unsure Democrat Republican Indepen-dent 37% 57% 44% 53% 50% 30% 39% 55% 22% 39% 59% 43% 50% 42% 48% 67% 45% 40% 76% 60% 4% 0% 6% 5% 3% 3% 16% 5% 3% 2% Unsure Cell & Landline Cell Landline No degree HS graduate Some Assoc Voc College Graduate Graduate Degree Military Yes 26% 44% 52% 45% 55% 51% 48% 38% 41% 46% 35% 50% 38% 50% 22% 40% 47% 54% 58% 50%
  5. 5. 39% 6% 10% 5% 23% 9% 5% 8% 2% 4% Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children Refused 50k or less Income 50- 100k Income 100k 42% 43% 45% 48% 43% 27% 51% 42% 46% 48% 52% 48% 45% 52% 68% 43% 53% 46% 10% 5% 7% 7% 5% 5% 7% 4% 8% How do you feel things are going in Hawaii—are they generally going in the right direction or the wrong direction? Hawaii OVERALL Male Female Under 50 Over 50 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Right 38% 39% 38% 33% 43% 38% 41% 44% 19% Wrong 46% 45% 47% 52% 42% 50% 42% 32% 68% Unsure 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 12% 17% 24% 13% Chinese Latino Mixed Ethnicity Liberal- progressive Moderate Conser- vative Unsure Democrat Republican Indepen-dent 40% 38% 52% 46% 45% 27% 26% 52% 21% 24% 28% 32% 34% 42% 41% 61% 46% 32% 65% 65% 32% 30% 14% 11% 14% 12% 27% 16% 14% 11% Unsure Cell & Landline Cell Landline No degree HS graduate Some Assoc Voc College Graduate Graduate Degree Military Yes 19% 39% 39% 37% 28% 37% 34% 39% 49% 41% 55% 46% 44% 48% 44% 46% 50% 44% 43% 47%
  6. 6. 26% 15% 16% 15% 28% 17% 16% 17% 8% 11% Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children Refused 50k or less Income 50- 100k Income 100k 35% 43% 37% 39% 41% 27% 34% 45% 45% 44% 38% 51% 50% 39% 57% 52% 38% 41% 21% 19% 13% 12% 20% 16% 14% 16% 15% How do you feel about Barack Obama’s job performance as President? Obama_ OVERALL Male Female Under 50 Over 50 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Approve 68% 74% 65% 69% 69% 66% 70% 72% 66% Disapprove 29% 25% 31% 28% 29% 33% 25% 25% 31% Unsure 3% 1% 4% 4% 2% 1% 5% 3% 3% Chinese Latino Mixed Ethnicity Liberal- progressive Moderate Conser- vative Unsure Democrat Republican Indepen-dent 65% 98% 71% 80% 78% 37% 68% 90% 17% 52% 30% 2% 26% 19% 21% 62% 21% 9% 82% 48% 5% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 11% 1% 1% 0%
  7. 7. Unsure Cell & Landline Cell Landline No degree HS graduate Some Assoc Voc College Graduate Graduate Degree Military Yes 61% 68% 81% 71% 71% 82% 66% 64% 70% 67% 7% 29% 17% 27% 6% 11% 31% 36% 30% 31% 32% 3% 2% 2% 23% 7% 3% 0% 0% 2% Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children Refused 50k or less Income 50- 100k Income 100k 72% 76% 65% 67% 73% 66% 70% 71% 66% 23% 22% 31% 29% 26% 32% 27% 27% 29% 5% 1% 4% 4% 1% 1% 3% 1% 5% Would you support or oppose a ban on semi-automatic military-style assault weapons in Hawaii? Assault Ban OVERALL Male Female Under 50 Over 50 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Support 62% 60% 64% 55% 69% 66% 63% 47% 56% Oppose 27% 29% 25% 32% 22% 24% 26% 45% 32% Doesn't Matter 6% 9% 4% 8% 4% 6% 4% 3% 7% Unsure 5% 2% 8% 6% 4% 3% 6% 5% 5% Chinese Latino Mixed Ethnicity Liberal- progressive Moderate Conser- vative Unsure Democrat Republican Indepen-dent 70% 78% 56% 74% 71% 45% 45% 72% 40% 59% 21% 19% 30% 15% 20% 46% 39% 16% 47% 34%
  8. 8. 3% 0% 8% 4% 7% 4% 9% 7% 3% 4% 6% 3% 7% 7% 3% 5% 6% 5% 10% 2% Unsure Cell & Landline Cell Landline No degree HS graduate Some Assoc Voc College Graduate Graduate Degree Military Yes 31% 63% 59% 59% 30% 54% 54% 70% 76% 63% 56% 26% 32% 31% 57% 28% 30% 24% 22% 27% 11% 6% 1% 6% 3% 10% 10% 3% 1% 7% 2% 5% 9% 4% 11% 8% 7% 3% 2% 4% Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children Refused 50k or less Income 50- 100k Income 100k 62% 65% 61% 59% 73% 23% 61% 68% 65% 27% 23% 29% 26% 22% 62% 25% 21% 30% 5% 6% 6% 8% 4% 3% 11% 6% 3% 7% 5% 4% 6% 1% 12% 3% 4% 3% Would you support or oppose a national law expanding background checks to gun sales made at gun shows and over the Internet? Background Checks OVERALL Male Female Under 50 Over 50 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Support 79% 77% 82% 76% 84% 82% 85% 59% 70% Oppose 13% 17% 10% 17% 9% 13% 9% 28% 17% Doesn't Matter 4% 5% 3% 4% 4% 2% 4% 8% 8%
  9. 9. Unsure 4% 1% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 5% 4% Chinese Latino Mixed Ethnicity Liberal- progressive Moderate Conser- vative Unsure Democrat Republican Indepen-dent 80% 100% 81% 89% 90% 67% 64% 88% 66% 75% 10% 0% 12% 8% 8% 22% 17% 8% 21% 19% 6% 0% 2% 2% 1% 4% 13% 3% 8% 2% 4% 0% 5% 0% 0% 7% 6% 2% 6% 4% Unsure Cell & Landline Cell Landline No degree HS graduate Some Assoc Voc College Graduate Graduate Degree Military Yes 74% 82% 87% 71% 46% 75% 78% 85% 87% 81% 7% 12% 5% 20% 45% 8% 15% 10% 11% 13% 16% 4% 0% 3% 4% 11% 5% 2% 0% 2% 3% 2% 8% 6% 5% 5% 2% 3% 2% 3% Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children Refused 50k or less Income 50- 100k Income 100k 80% 81% 80% 82% 85% 45% 75% 88% 81% 11% 13% 12% 12% 10% 31% 17% 6% 15% 6% 3% 5% 5% 3% 0% 6% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 1% 2% 24% 3% 3% 0% Overall, do you think that guns are as important an issue in Hawaii as in the rest of the country? Hawaii Guns OVERALL Male Female Under 50 Over 50 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian
  10. 10. As Important 58% 53% 63% 57% 60% 57% 59% 48% 63% Mainland Issue 32% 41% 25% 37% 26% 35% 26% 41% 35% Unsure 10% 6% 13% 6% 13% 8% 15% 11% 2% Chinese Latino Mixed Ethnicity Liberal- progressive Moderate Conser- vative Unsure Democrat Republican Indepen-dent 62% 63% 61% 54% 62% 59% 58% 55% 51% 65% 24% 32% 34% 35% 31% 29% 35% 35% 37% 29% 14% 5% 5% 11% 7% 12% 8% 10% 12% 6% Unsure Cell & Landline Cell Landline No degree HS graduate Some Assoc Voc College Graduate Graduate Degree Military Yes 77% 57% 69% 62% 65% 64% 55% 63% 53% 61% 17% 34% 23% 25% 30% 23% 35% 31% 38% 32% 6% 9% 8% 13% 5% 13% 11% 5% 9% 7% Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children Refused 50k or less Income 50- 100k Income 100k 54% 57% 59% 63% 51% 56% 64% 56% 54% 34% 35% 32% 27% 40% 35% 30% 34% 39% 12% 8% 10% 9% 8% 10% 6% 10% 7% Would you support or oppose a ballot initiative system in Hawaii that would allow state residents to place issues on the ballot directly, just by getting enough valid petition signatures?
  11. 11. Direct Democracy OVERALL Male Female Under 50 Over 50 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Yes 62% 61% 63% 65% 61% 64% 56% 68% 74% No 22% 24% 20% 20% 23% 25% 24% 18% 10% Doesn't Matter 6% 9% 4% 5% 6% 4% 10% 9% 6% Unsure 10% 6% 13% 10% 10% 7% 11% 6% 10% Chinese Latino Mixed Ethnicity Liberal- progressive Moderate Conser- vative Unsure Democrat Republican Indepen-dent 46% 65% 63% 53% 68% 64% 64% 55% 72% 76% 35% 9% 21% 31% 23% 18% 10% 27% 12% 17% 8% 0% 3% 4% 3% 10% 11% 6% 2% 2% 10% 26% 13% 12% 6% 8% 15% 11% 13% 4% Unsure Cell & Landline Cell Landline No degree HS graduate Some Assoc Voc College Graduate Graduate Degree Military Yes 44% 64% 48% 59% 37% 50% 73% 60% 60% 65% 16% 24% 14% 16% 24% 14% 14% 27% 33% 22% 27% 4% 19% 12% 9% 20% 5% 4% 2% 7% 13% 8% 19% 13% 30% 16% 9% 9% 5% 6% Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children Refused 50k or less Income 50- 100k Income 100k 58% 60% 64% 67% 59% 40% 71% 62% 56%
  12. 12. 22% 22% 21% 20% 27% 4% 13% 26% 29% 5% 5% 7% 4% 5% 37% 9% 2% 5% 15% 12% 8% 9% 9% 19% 7% 9% 10% Would you support or oppose moving Memorial Day back to its original date of May 30, regardless of the day of the week? Memorial Day OVERALL Male Female Under 50 Over 50 Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Support 31% 34% 28% 25% 36% 24% 36% 33% 41% Oppose 51% 51% 53% 58% 47% 62% 43% 52% 46% Doesn't Matter 16% 14% 17% 17% 14% 13% 19% 14% 13% Unsure 2% 1% 2% 0% 3% 1% 2% 1% 0% Chinese Latino Mixed Ethnicity Liberal- progressive Moderate Conser- vative Unsure Democrat Republican Indepen-dent 47% 29% 21% 19% 29% 48% 30% 25% 40% 34% 33% 17% 61% 64% 55% 40% 45% 56% 46% 55% 17% 54% 17% 17% 15% 11% 23% 18% 13% 10% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% Unsure Cell & Landline Cell Landline No degree HS graduate Some Assoc Voc College Graduate Graduate Degree Military Yes 40% 27% 62% 35% 28% 48% 34% 23% 20% 36% 27% 56% 30% 44% 47% 35% 50% 60% 60% 49% 30% 16% 8% 20% 25% 15% 15% 17% 18% 14%
  13. 13. 2% 1% 0% 2% 0% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% Military No Union Yes Union No Children Yes Children No Children Refused 50k or less Income 50- 100k Income 100k 22% 27% 32% 29% 26% 67% 34% 25% 28% 57% 57% 50% 52% 58% 19% 44% 62% 53% 20% 15% 17% 18% 14% 14% 20% 13% 18% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2%

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