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Cisco ANZ VNI May 2013

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Presentation on the Australian specific findings of the Cisco Visual Networking Index 2012-2017. May 31st, 2013.

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Cisco ANZ VNI May 2013

  1. 1. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 11© 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI)Global Forecast Update; 2012–2017May 31, 2013ANZ HighlightsDr. Robert Pepper, VP Global Technology Policy of CiscoKen Boal, Managing Director of Cisco ANZ
  2. 2. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 2Service AdoptionForecastCisco VNI Forecasts are complementary and statistically aligned.Fixed & Mobile IPTraffic ForecastResidentialMobileBusiness
  3. 3. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 34430443205101520253035404550IP Traffic in 2012 Internet Traffic in 2012ExabytespermonthProjected in 2008ActualSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  4. 4. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 4
  5. 5. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 50204060801001201402012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017ExabytesperMonth101 EB44 EB121 EB84 EB69 EB56 EB23% CAGR 2012–2017Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  6. 6. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 6• One trillion gigabytes• Approximately 1021(1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 bytes)By 2017, global IPtraffic will reach anannual run rate of1.4 zettabytes per yearWhat is a zettabyte?Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017In 2017 alone, more traffic willtraverse global networks than allprior “Internet years” combined1984 – 2012: 1.2 zettabytes2017 Forecast: 1.4 zettabytes
  7. 7. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 7More DevicesMore Internet Users Faster Broadband SpeedsMore Rich Media ContentGrowthCatalysts> 19 Billion Connections3.5-Fold Speed Increase3.6 Billion Internet Users2 Years of Video Minutes/SecondSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  8. 8. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 80.00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.82012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017ExabytesperMonth660 PB343 PB755 PB573 PB494 PB418 PB17% CAGR 2012–2017Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  9. 9. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 90.000.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.090.100.110.120.130.140.152012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017ExabytesperMonth125 PB66 PB138 PB112 PB97 PB81 PB16% CAGR 2012–2017Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  10. 10. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 10Cisco Confidential 10nearly half ofthe world’s population(48%)nearly half ofAsia Pacific’s population(46%)Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  11. 11. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 11Cisco Confidential 1189 percent ofAustralia’spopulation92 percent of NewZealand’s populationSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  12. 12. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 12Cisco Confidential 12there will be 6devices/connectionsthere will be 6devices/connections145million devices / connectionsSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  13. 13. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 13Cisco Confidential 13there will be 5devices/connectionsthere will be 5devices/connections24million devices / connectionsSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  14. 14. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 14=TabletInternet-Enabled HDTVLaptop/PCSmartphones2.7 GB= 5.8 GB= 18.6 GB= 0.6 GBSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  15. 15. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 15Cisco Confidential 15will grow 8.5-fold from 2012 to2017will grow 3-foldfrom 2012 to 2017willgrow 4.5-fold from 2012 to2017Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  16. 16. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 16Cisco Confidential 16will grow 8.3-fold from 2012 to2017will grow4-fold from 2012 to2017willgrow 4.2-fold from 2012 to2017Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  17. 17. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 17012345672012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017GbpsAverage HourBusy Hour24% CAGR18% CAGRSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  18. 18. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 18000111112012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017GbpsAverage HourBusy Hour21% CAGR17% CAGRSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  19. 19. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 192.42.62.12.32.42.7 2.72.93.32.82.82.63.43.21.01.52.02.53.03.5BusyHourtoAverageHourRatio2012 2017Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  20. 20. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 200501001502002503003504004502012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017PetabytesperMonthMetroLong-Haul14% CAGR21% CAGRSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  21. 21. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 21010203040506070802012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017PetabytesperMonthMetroLong-Haul13% CAGR20% CAGRSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  22. 22. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 222012Metro Is 1.6x Long-HaulLong-Haul Metro Access2017Metro Is 1.8x Long-HaulLong-Haul Metro Access211 PB/mo 343 PB/mo 343 PB/mo413 PB/mo 755 PB/mo 755 PB/moSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  23. 23. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 230.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.010.02012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017BillionsofDevicesOther (1.9%, 1.9%)TV (8.3%, 10.9%)Tablet (0.6%, 2.5%)Non-Smartphone (53.1%, 33.9%)Smartphone (9.8%, 15.2%)PC (10.8%, 7.7%)M2M (15.6%, 27.9%)11% CAGR 2012–2017Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017Figures (n) refer to2012, 2017 trafficshare
  24. 24. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 24Cisco Confidential 24connections will grow3-foldIPtraffic will grow 20-foldSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  25. 25. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 2501234567892012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017IPv6-Capable Fixed Devices IPv6-Capable Mobile Devices4.2BNumberofDevices(B)38% CAGR 2012–2017.6B3.8B1BSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  26. 26. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 26Cisco Confidential 26124million IPv6-capable fixedand mobile devices85% of all fixedand mobile networkeddevicesSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  27. 27. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 27Cisco Confidential 2715 million IPv6-capablefixed and mobile devices64% of allfixed and mobile networkeddevicesSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  28. 28. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 2828Globally, there will be 10million hotpots by 2017Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012-2017
  29. 29. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 2901002003004005006007002012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017PetabytesperMonthMobile Data (4.5%, 11.7%)Fixed/Wired (39.6%, 29.2%)Fixed/Wi-Fi (55.9%, 59.2%)Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–201718% CAGR 2012–2017Figures (n) refer to 2012,2017 traffic share
  30. 30. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 300204060801001201402012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017PetabytesperMonthMobile Data (2.6%, 9.1%)Fixed/Wired (42.9%, 31.1%)Fixed/Wi-Fi (54.5%, 59.8%)Source: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–201717% CAGR 2012–2017Figures (n) refer to 2012,2017 traffic share
  31. 31. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 31North America1.9-Fold growth15 percentWestern Europe2.8-Fold growth12 percentCentral/Eastern Europe2-Fold growth27 percentLatin America5.2-Fold growth2.7 percentMiddle East & Africa2.1-Fold growth4 percentAsia Pacific2.3-Fold growth47 percentSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  32. 32. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 32Available on iTunes (for iPhone) &Google Play (for Android)M-SPAN for mobile carriersCT-SPAN for cable/telco operators
  33. 33. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 33• Press Releases• White Papers / FAQs• Cisco VNI Web-based Tools / Free AppsIP Traffic Forecast inquiries: traffic-inquiries@cisco.comService Adoption Forecast inquiries: ask-vnisa@cisco.comIP Traffic Forecast: http://www.cisco.com/go/vniService Adoption Forecast: http://www.cisco.com/go/vnisaSource: Cisco VNI Global IP Traffic Forecast, 2012–2017
  34. 34. © 2013 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 34Thank you.

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