2013 EARCOS #1 Designing a change initiative: Leveraging the cynefin framework

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Workshop #1 of 4 at the East Asian Regional Council of Overseas Schools Leadership Conference in Bangkok in November 2013 – over 1000 principals and leaders of international schools from throughout Asia.

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2013 EARCOS #1 Designing a change initiative: Leveraging the cynefin framework

  1. 1. Designing a change initiative: leveraging the Cynefin framework EARCOS Leadership Conference 2013 Chris Jansen 1
  2. 2. Chris Jansen 3
  3. 3. Overview e leading change dilemma nflict – danger or opportunity hnical and adaptive challenges e Cynefin framework o key questions in adaptive change lective solution finding and ership 4
  4. 4. So what for leadership? www.thinkbeyond.co.nz
  5. 5. “Are we in a catch-22: stuck between changes that fail and failing to change?” 7
  6. 6. Can I lead positive and sustainable change…? 8
  7. 7. 9
  8. 8. www.ideacreation.org 10
  9. 9. 11
  10. 10. Legend ! Areas of observed liquefaction Port Hills area Approx Scale 1:50,000 0 Notes: Low-resolution aerial photos sourced from Google Earth (Copyright: 2009). High-resolution aerials provided by New Zealand Aerial Mapping (February 2011) Property boundaries provided by Christchurch City Council Canterbury Earthquak e Recovery Authority DRAWN 1000 1500 2000 2500 (m) CERA DRAFTING CHECKED APPROVED CANTERBURY EARTHQUAKE RECOVERY Land Damage Map Land Damage After 4 September 2010 FILE : . APPROX. SCALE (AT A3 SIZE) NTS PROJECT No. 500 FIG. No. REV. 0
  11. 11. Legend ! Areas of observed liquefaction Port Hills area Approx Scale 1:50,000 0 Notes: Low-resolution aerial photos sourced from Google Earth (Copyright: 2009). High-resolution aerials provided by New Zealand Aerial Mapping (February 2011) Property boundaries provided by Christchurch City Council Canterbury Earthquak e Recovery Authority DRAWN 1000 1500 2000 2500 (m) CERA DRAFTING CHECKED APPROVED CANTERBURY EARTHQUAKE RECOVERY Land Damage Map Aggregated Land Damage After 22 February 2011 FILE : . APPROX. SCALE (AT A3 SIZE) NTS PROJECT No. 500 FIG. No. REV. 0
  12. 12. Legend ! Repairs > $100k (houses which had significant damage but could be economically repaired Rebuilds (houses which are beyond economic repair) Confirmed rebuilds (houses which were confirmed to be beyond economic repair) Approx Scale 1:50,000 0 Notes: Low-resolution aerial photos sourced from Google Earth (Copyright: 2009). High-resolution aerials provided by New Zealand Aerial Mapping (February 2011) Property boundaries provided by Christchurch City Council Building damage based on data provided by AMI, Ansvar, EQC, FMG, Housing New Zealand, IAG, Lumley, MAS, Tower and Vero Canterbury Earthquak e Recovery Authority DRAWN 1000 1500 2000 2500 (m) CERA DRAFTING CHECKED APPROVED CANTERBURY EARTHQUAKE RECOVERY Aggregated Building Damage Map Building Damage After 4 September 2010 FILE : . APPROX. SCALE (AT A3 SIZE) NTS PROJECT No. 500 FIG. No. REV. 0
  13. 13. Legend ! Building Damage Ratio (Repair cost estimate / replacement cost) 0% - 20% 20% - 40% 40% - 60% 60% - 80% 80% - 100% 100% (rebuild because it is uneconomic to repair the building) Approx Scale 1:50,000 0 Notes: Low-resolution aerial photos sourced from Google Earth (Copyright: 2009). High-resolution aerials provided by New Zealand Aerial Mapping (February 2011) Property boundaries provided by Christchurch City Council Building damage based on data provided by AMI, Ansvar, EQC, FMG, Housing New Zealand, IAG, Lumley, MAS, Tower and Vero Canterbury Earthquak e Recovery Authority DRAWN FILE : . APPROX. SCALE (AT A3 SIZE) NTS PROJECT No. 1000 1500 2000 2500 (m) CERA DRAFTING CHECKED APPROVED 500 CANTERBURY EARTHQUAKE RECOVERY Aggregated Building Damage Map Aggregated Building Damage After 22 February 2011 FIG. No. REV. 0
  14. 14. Conflict Danger Opportunity
  15. 15. …a dynamic of experimentation and innovation…
  16. 16. Possibility…
  17. 17. Technical challenges “can be solved with knowledge and procedures already at hand” Requires leader to identify priorities, project manage and ensure stakeholder engagement Adaptive challenges “embedded in social complexity, require behaviour change and are rife with unintended consequences‟ Requires leader to do all of the above and generate and trial multiple solutions www.ideacreation.org 20
  18. 18. Cynefin Systems Framework Multiple connected but unpredictable interactions Unordered Ordered Complex Complicated Decisions are uncertain and solutions only apparent in retrospect Decisions require expert knowledge Chaotic Simple Simple, predictable cause and effect interactions Multiple disconnected interactions Decisions need to be made quickly to dampen energy Decisions are obvious Dave Snowden www.ideacreation.org Multiple predictable cause and effect interactions 21
  19. 19. Cynefin Framework Multiple connected but unpredictable interactions Complex Decisions are uncertain and solutions only apparent in retrospect Adaptive challenges Chaotic Probe, sense and respond www.ideacreation.org Complicated Technical problems Multiple predictable cause and effect interactions Decisions require expert knowledge Simple analyse and Sense, respond 22
  20. 20. Two key questions in adaptive change How to engage? What solution? Foster interaction, shared learning, and leverage collective intelligence + Ownership, motivation and commitment www.ideacreation.org ++ Better solutions and innovation 23
  21. 21. www.ideacreation.org chris.jansen@canterbury.ac.nz http://www.linkedin.com/pub/chrisjansen/25/235/919

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