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Stock Research Report for M as of 7/8/11 - Chaikin Power Tools
1. MACYS INC (M) Price: $30.46
Industry: Nonfood Retail-Wholesale
Chaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Fri Jul 08 15:56 EDT 2011
M
MACYS INC $30.46 Power Gauge Rating
M - Very Bullish
TM
The Chaikin Power Gauge Rating for M is very bullish due to very strong
earnings performance and very positive expert opinions.
Financial Metrics M's earnings performance is very strong as a result of better than expected
earnings in recent quarters and an upward trend in earnings this year.
Earnings Performance
Price/Volume Activity
Expert Opinions
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral
M MACYS INC July 08, 2011 TM
Chaikin Sentiment Gauge for M is neutral. Stories concerning M have a
balanced or neutral sentiment.
News Sentiment :Neutral
Power Trend - 5 Year Chart
The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential. High Potential Neutral Low Potential
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2. Financials & Earnings
Financial Metrics
Financial Metrics Rating
LT Debt/Equity Ratio
Neutral
Price to Book Value M's financial metrics are neutral. The company yields a high return on
shareholder's equity and is carrying too much long term debt.
Return on Equity
The rank is based on a high long term debt to equity ratio, high return on equity,
high price to sales ratio and relatively high cash flow.
Price to Sales Ratio
Business Value
Assets and Liabilities Valuation Returns
Ratio TTM Ratio TTM Ratio TTM
Current Ratio 1.26 Price/Book 2.28 Return on Invest 8.2%
LT Debt/Equity 1.26 Price/Sales 0.52 Return on Equity 19.0%
Earnings Performance
Earnings Performance Rating
Earnings Growth
Very Bullish
Earnings Surprise M's earnings performance has been very strong. The company has outperformed
analysts' earnings estimates and experienced superior earnings growth in the
past 12 months.
Earnings Trend
The rank is based on poor EPS growth over the past 3-5 years, better than
Projected P/E Ratio expected earnings in recent quarters, an upward trend in earnings this year, a
relatively low projected P/E ratio and consistent earnings over the past 5 years.
Earnings Consistency
5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth EPS Estimates
01/07 01/08 01/09 01/10 01/11 Factor Actual EPS Prev EST EPS Current Change
Revenue(M) 26,970.00 26,313.00 24,892.00 23,489.00 25,003.00 Quarterly EPS $0.35 $0.46 +0.11
Rev % Growth 20.46% -2.44% -5.40% -5.64% 6.45% Yearly EPS $2.00 $2.50 +0.50
EPS $1.84 $2.00 $0.67 $0.83 $2.00 Factor Actual EPS Growth Est EPS Growth Change
EPS % Growth -44.24% 8.70% -66.50% 23.88% 140.96% 3-5 year EPS 2.69% 6.50% +3.81
EPS Surprise EPS Quarterly Results
Estimate Actual Difference % Difference FY Qtr 1 Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr 4 Total
Latest Qtr $0.18 $0.30 $0.12 66.67 01/09 $-0.21 $0.02 $-0.08 $1.10 $0.83
1 Qtr Ago $1.51 $1.59 $0.08 5.30 01/10 $0.05 $0.35 $0.02 $1.57 $1.99
2 Qtr Ago $0.03 $0.08 $0.05 166.67 01/11 $0.31 - - - -
3 Qtr Ago $0.28 $0.35 $0.07 25.00 Fiscal Year End Month is January.
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3. Price Trend & Expert Opinions
Price/Volume Activity
Price/Volume Activity Rating
Relative Strength vs Market Neutral
Chaikin Money Flow
Price and volume activity for M is neutral. M has outperformed the S&P 500 over
26 weeks and is in a decelerating price trend compared to 4 months ago.
Price Trend
The rank for M is based on its price strength versus the market, positive Chaikin
Price Trend ROC
money flow, a positive Chaikin price trend, a negative Chaikin price trend ROC
and a decreasing volume trend.
Volume Trend
Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index Chaikin Money Flow
Chart shows whether M is performing better or worse than the market. Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.
Price Activity Price Activity Volume Activity
Factor Value Factor Value Factor Value
52 Week High 30.46 % Change Price - 4 Weeks 8.28% Average Volume 20 Days 7,395,910
52 Week Low 17.16 % Change Price - 24 Weeks 30.17% Average Volume 90 Days 9,022,399
% Change YTD Rel S&P 500 10.87% % Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P 3.14% Chaikin Money Flow Persistency 61%
% Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P 23.15%
Expert Opinions
Expert Opinions
Earnings Estimate Revisions Very Bullish
Short Interest Expert opinions about M are very positive. Analysts are raising their EPS
estimates for M and analysts's opinions on M have been more positive recently.
Insider Activity
The rank for M is based on analysts revising earnings estimates upward, a low
short interest ratio, insiders not purchasing significant amounts of stock, optimistic
Analyst Opinions
analyst opinions and price strength of the stock versus the Nonfood Retail-
Wholesale industry group.
Relative Strength vs Industry
Earnings Estimate Revisions Analyst Recommendations EPS Estimates Revision Summary
Current 7 Days Ago % Change Factor Value Last Week Last 4 Weeks
Current Qtr 0.46 0.44 +4.55% Mean this Week Buy Up Down Up Down
Next Qtr 0.13 0.13 0.00% Mean Last Week Buy Curr Qtr 2 0 2 0
Curr Yr 0 0 2 0
Current 30 Days Ago % Change Change 0.00
Next Qtr 1 0 2 0
Current FY 2.50 2.49 0.01 Mean 5 Weeks Ago Buy
Next Yr 2 0 3 0
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4. The Company & Its Competitors
M's Competitors in Nonfood Retail-Wholesale News Headlines for M
Company Power Historic EPS Projected EPS Profit Margin PEG PE Revenue(M) Compuware buys dynaTrace for $256 million -
Gauge growth growth Jul 6, 2011
M 2.69% 6.50% 3.77% 1.88 13.13 25,003 Owner of parking garage across from Macy's
DDS -4.00% - 3.35% - 19.41 6,121
downtown files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy - Jun
27, 2011
BONT 29.55% - 0.30% - 15.71 3,046
Knife sets recall 06 14 - Jun 14, 2011
KSS 6.66% 12.00% 6.25% 1.06 14.45 18,391 Kohl's Raises Profit Forecast, Citing a Stronger
Consumer - May 13, 2011
SKS -10.79% 18.75% 2.02% 1.88 50.87 2,786
Matthew Williamson Capsule Collection
JCP -1.01% 12.00% 2.21% 1.29 20.82 17,759
Launches Tomorrow Only at Macy’s - Apr
12, 2011
Company Details Company Profile
MACYS INC Federated Department Stores, through its subsidiaries, is one of the leading operators of
7 WEST SEVENTH STREET full-line department stores in the United States. The Company's subsidiaries operate
CINCINNATI, OH 45202 department stores under the names Bloomingdale's, The Bon Marche, Burdines,
USA Goldsmith's, Lazarus, Macy's, Rich's and Stern's. These department stores sell a wide
Phone: 5135797000 range of merchandise, including men's, women's and children's apparel and accessories,
Fax: 513-579-7555 cosmetics, home furnishings and other consumer goods.
Website:
http://http://www.macysinc.com
Full Time Employees: 166,000
Sector: Retail/Wholesale
Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculated
by evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is the
strongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe.
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This report from Chaikin Power Tools is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities.
LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1
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