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The role of livestock in sustainable development in East Africa

  1. The Role of Livestock in Sustainable Development in East Africa
  2. • East Africa is the fastest growing region in Africa, and forecast to continue in short term (East Africa Economic Outlook, AfDB 2018) • Agriculture the main driver of East Africa’s growth followed by industry • Household consumption then public investment in infrastructure, mineral consumption and construction main demand side drivers
  3. Africa’s livestock powerhouse • East Africa has Africa’s livestock – Africa has a third of the world’s livestock, continent with the 2nd largest herd – Most of these are in the East Africa region (Distribution of livestock % of total continent) Region Cattle Goats Sheep Camel Horn of Africa 50% 39% 36% 72% West Africa 20% 35% 26% 12% Central Africa 6% 7% 3% 6%
  4. • Projected to be the only region that will be self-sufficient in meeting its demand for key livestock products 2030 - 2050. Continent as a whole will be importing 16-20% of beef, pork, poultry, and milk • Big business: e.g., contributing 13% Kenya’s GDP, and 30% AGDP (2018 Kenya Economic survey)
  5. ‘East Africa’s high growth has led to only limited poverty reduction, … and is not accompanied by a reduction of unemployment … a challenge the region shares with the rest of Africa’ (AfDB 2018)
  6. sustainable development • Outcome oriented – change in development indicators, inclusive, transformative • Social, economic & environmental sustainability • Embedded in the Sustainable Development Goals • The Malabo Declaration on Transformation of the Agriculture Sector: ending hunger, improving nutrition status, inclusive agricultural growth, job creation especially for youth and women, enhancing resilience, and improving production and productivity • The Livestock Development Strategy for Africa (LiDeSA): Transforming the African livestock sector for enhance contribution to socio-economic and equitable growth
  7. Livestock are the organic footprint of East Africa Pastoral livestock were core to and intricately integral to the genesis of the economies of the region. How the region was organized and functioned: • Pastoralist communities make up 12% of the combined population of Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania • A very strong tripartite relationship of people, livestock and environment • Governance and social structures/ social networks • Skills and knowledge systems • Food and nutrition security • Vehicles of exchange: currency of the region, trade, linkages between cropping and livestock keeping communities • Conflict and conflict resolution mechanisms etc The boundaries of the region largely traverse through pastoral areas, which are in the low areas
  8. • British archives (Veterinary Department Annual Reports, quoted by Mamdani 1982) show livestock exported out of Karamoja for canning at Namalu in Karamoja and at Athi River, Kenya Company Year Head of Cattle Liebig Ltd, Kenya 1940 1,857 1941 15,597 1942 10,114 1943 10,044 1944 9,000 1945 11,370 57,982 Fresh Foods Ltd (Subsidary of A. Baumann Ltd 1960 7,145 (out of 21,685 exported from Karamoja that year) 1961 22,668 (out of 36,217 exported)
  9. • What kind of revenues? (African Local Government Estimates for Northern Province, quoted by Mamdani 1982)
  10. How the livestock sector has evolved is the story of the region • Specialized dairy models were introduced in the highland regions: high input-high output, commercialized, better policy and investment support • The start of a ‘dichotomous’ livestock sector • An enduring structure that permeates the whole livestock sector
  11. E.A dairy industry • Contribution of the dairy sector (Table from Bing and Tondel, FAOStat 2014 data) Country Milk (million t) 2011 Milk (% growth rate, 2000-11) % share of AGDP % Share of GDP Employment (No. of small holder dairy farmers) Ethiopia 4.4 14.2 40 12-16 Kenya 4.3 5.5 50 3 2 Rwanda 0.2 5.3 15 6 0.1 Tanzania 1.8 7.8 Na 1.8 Na Uganda 1.2 8.0 50 7-9 0.7
  12. realities in the region • 85% of the livestock in the region are indigenous • Mostly held by pastoralists: est 100% in Somalia, 99% in Tanzania, 73% in Uganda, 70% in Kenya and 24% in Ethiopia • Need for inclusive and functional systems that deliver within the context and realities
  13. an inclusive multi-strategy approach delivers • Uganda four major dairy production systems: free range grazing, paddocked system, communal grazing, and zero grazing • A multi-strategy approach: – Some area intensification: cross breeding, fencing – Exit from livestock: sale of grade animals to Rwanda – Extensive grazing areas with high numbers: installation of collection centers and processing units – Milk handling and hygiene – Product development • Exponential growth, self-sufficient, no export in 2007 to over US$50 million in 2015 exports to the region and beyond • One of the lowest cost dairy models globally
  14. Challenges to enhancing the role of livestock for sustainable development
  15. + • The extensive livelihood based systems have suffered marginalization that has left them highly risk prone to climate change and other threats • Resilience building increasingly a predominant investment approach • But neither are the high input-high out models fully articulated
  16. Political capital Political capital: agenda setting • Valuation of contribution and profiling at national and regional levels • Linkages to other sectors: crop, environmental health • Compare wildlife versus livestock in setting the agenda of the region in relation to infrastructure and technology/ services developments – Implications for trade: inter and intra regional trade – livelihoods and theft of livestock • Lack robust policy frameworks based on innovative functional models/ interrogation of assumptions • Impact of oil and other mineral exploitation on livelihoods and environmental health
  17. human capital • Systemic under development and retention of human capital – people and skills – The average vet in Africa is above 50 years – Out of 70 deans of veterinary schools across the continent only one is female – Mismatch between industry needs and curricula: silo approach focusing on technical skills versus socio- economic and business – The exit of youth – Low skills development and support to women – Need systemic development of capacity and skills
  18. exit of male youths Age pyramid of Afar region population (Humanitarian Policy Group) Age pyramid of Somali region population
  19. emerging feed industry • Not fully developed and integrated with the needs of the livestock sector • Grain production mostly for human consumption • Focused on the poultry and dairy sub-sector in high potential areas • Not climate smart: highly impacted/ seasonal • Poor integration with crop sector: low waste recycling between the two sectors • Poor capacity development
  20. the neglected and disappearing rangelands • Access and security of rangelands for livestock production and trade • High and often irreversible impact of negative policies • Long term impacts are not interrogated: what are the impacts on ecosystem health e.g., water recharge systems/ percolation of water (contribution to wide spread flooding/ filling of reservoirs?)
  21. • 1962 work of J.G. Wilson – the soils of Karamoja, and the vegetation of Karamoja, provides evidence that before 1920 the region was predominated by grass savannah • Shrub thickets that now cover much of the region were confined to the exceptionally dry areas • Settlement and rangeland practices supported maintenance of the grass savannah • Loss of land to Kenya, Teso and game reserves led to increased pressure and invasion that turned land into marginal areas • Completely changed the agro-ecology and political economy of the sub-region
  22. Land Issues • Access to land for livestock infrastructure and production • Major land use changes – once pastoral areas have disappeared – changing the politico- economic geography of the region – no strong voices for destitute, landless pastoralists • Limited dialogue on the impact of infrastructure investments on the sector
  23. immense waste and inefficiencies • The numbers do not add up: low production and productivity • Poorly developed and integrated value chains – Poor access to inputs and services – Poor recognition and harvesting of sector products e.g., hides and skins which are 13-17% of the total animal – Low product development – Poor handling, hygiene and packaging – What is the cost of wastage and inefficiencies in terms of human and environmental costs/ the carbon footprint? • Poor animal welfare
  24. services of the livestock sector • Ecosystem functions: nutrient recycling, water recharge, and biodiversity conservation • Savings: based on the convertibility/ capacity for mobilization and transfer of asset value of livestock • Resilience: coping with and rebounding from shocks, including for urban and peri-urban areas where entry into livestock keeping shows strong link to periods of stress • Social and political capital • Social safety nets: redistribution of wealth and management of risk • Access to credit • Peace building and conflict resolution
  25. • The socio-economic, political, governance and environmental fabric of East Africa is linked to the livestock sector • Strong growth in the region, and opening up and facilitation of inter regional trade across the continent augers strong economic opportunity for the East Africa livestock sector – demand will continue • To ensure growth contributes to sustainable development requires profiling of the sector, interrogating assumptions, developing innovative, disruptive models and being part of setting/ driving political agendas through evidence based advocacy • There have been and will be serious consequences for not harnessing livestock to address the development issues
  26. Live2Africa • Sustainable Development of Livestock for Livelihoods in Africa • Seven Result Areas aimed at contributing to – (i) stimulating an increase in investment in livestock value chains – (ii) improving animal health delivery services – (iii) enhancing animal production and productivity and ecosystem management – (iv) strengthening the resilience of livestock production systems – (vi) increasing access to inputs, services, markets and value addition and – (vii) strengthening AU-IBAR and implementing partner capacities
  27. Thank you for your attention
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