New Zealand dairy sector greenhouse
gas emissions: current and future
reductions
Stewart Ledgard
AgResearch, New Zealand
New Zealand is world’s largest
exporter of dairy products
• Cows outdoors all year
• Perennial grass/clover pastures
• Over 80% feed from grazing pastures
• Average  15% feed brought-in
Outline of talk
1. New Zealand’s GHG reduction targets
2. Current dairy GHG emissions
3. GHG mitigation practices – current and
future
4. Current environmental mitigation focus
2%
Other
44 %
Carbon dioxide
(CO2)
43%
Methane
(CH4)
11%
Nitrous Oxide
(N2O)
Other Energy
Transport
Agriculture Other Energy
Transport
Agriculture
New Zealand Emissions (%) Typical developed country (%)
11 40 49 9 80 11
New Zealand’s GHG emission profile:
New Zealand’s domestic GHG reduction target
Reduce gross
CH4
emissions by
24-47%
by 2050
New Zealand’s domestic GHG reduction target
Reduce net
N2O & CO2
emissions
0%
by 2050
New Zealand’s Emissions Trading Scheme
- Cost on C emissions, including agriculture
- Delayed for agriculture provided:
- All dairy farms have used a tool to benchmark their GHG
emissions by 2022
- They have a farm plan with GHG reduction options defined
- After 2025, they will be charged for their GHG emissions
National
GHG
inventory
On-farm
accounting
Carbon
footprint
GHG accounting & Carbon footprinting
Enteric Methane
Manure Methane
N2O from animals
N2O - other
Fuel
Electricity
Fertiliser production
Pesticide
Refrigerant
Replacements
Other Brought-in feed Top 4 contributors:
1. Enteric methane produced
in the rumen 67%
2. N2O from animals’ urine
and faeces 11%
3. Brought-in feed 10%
4. Fertiliser production 5%
GHG sources for NZ average dairy farm
New Zealand’s environmental emissions reduction
Carbon footprint of different feeds in NZ
*
*
*
*
* After allocation of GHG to main products
*Palm kernel expeller
Summary of GHG mitigation options
Discovery or Proof of concept
Available >5 years
Pilot studies
Available 2-5 years
Best practice
Available now
CH4 inhibitors/vaccines
Low GHG cows Low GHG sheep
Higher breeding value cows
+ lower stocking rate
Reduce replacement rate
Plants or pasture mixes with
low GHG traits
Low GHG feed options e.g.
Plantain, Fodder beet
Improve feed quality (ME)
Replace N fertiliser with
low-N feed
Alternative nitrification inhibitors? Urease inhibitors
Stand cows off pasture when
wet soils
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
Intensive
housing
Low-C feed Base Low-C feed No N fertiliser Strategic cow
housing
Carbon
footprint
of milk
(kg CO2 eq
per kg FPCM)
CH4
N2O
CO2
------------------ New Zealand--------------------
Source:
Ledgard S F, Wei S, Wang X, Falconer S, Zhang N, Zhang X and Ma L 2019.
Nitrogen and carbon footprints of dairy farm systems in China and New
Zealand, as influenced by productivity, feed sources and mitigations.
Agricultural Water Management 213: 155-163
Carbon footprint of milk: Effects of some GHG mitigation options
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
Intensive
housing
Low-C feed Base Low-C feed No N fertiliser Strategic cow
housing
Carbon
footprint
of milk
(kg CO2 eq
per kg FPCM)
CH4
N2O
CO2
------------------ New Zealand----------------------------China----------
Source:
Ledgard S F, Wei S, Wang X, Falconer S, Zhang N, Zhang X and Ma L 2019.
Nitrogen and carbon footprints of dairy farm systems in China and New
Zealand, as influenced by productivity, feed sources and mitigations.
Agricultural Water Management 213: 155-163
Carbon footprint of milk: Effects of some GHG mitigation options
Potential to reduce absolute agricultural emissions
Mitigation options applicable to dairy, beef and sheep farms
Existing
practices
Emerging
practices
Novel/new
practices
Emission reductions shown are relative to MPI business as usual emission projections for agriculture.
*
*
novel plants
Current environmental mitigation:
- driven by regulation reducing nitrogen leaching to
waterways, as calculated using the OVERSEER model:
- Management to increase pasture quality & animal efficiency
- Limits on nitrogen fertiliser use
- Using only low-N supplementary feeds
Summary:
• NZ dairying relies on low-cost unsubsidised year-round
grazing of perennial pastures
• Water quality regulations mean farmers are used to a
tool to meet N leaching limits – this will extend to GHGs
• Large GHG reduction targets will be achieved via a cost
on farm GHG emissions
Key mitigations will include:
- increased animal production efficiency
- increased nitrogen efficiency
- integrating trees on farm
- future options of methane inhibitor/vaccine
& low-emission feeds

New Zealand dairy sector greenhouse gas emissions: current and future reductions

  • 1.
    New Zealand dairysector greenhouse gas emissions: current and future reductions Stewart Ledgard AgResearch, New Zealand
  • 2.
    New Zealand isworld’s largest exporter of dairy products • Cows outdoors all year • Perennial grass/clover pastures • Over 80% feed from grazing pastures • Average  15% feed brought-in
  • 3.
    Outline of talk 1.New Zealand’s GHG reduction targets 2. Current dairy GHG emissions 3. GHG mitigation practices – current and future 4. Current environmental mitigation focus
  • 4.
    2% Other 44 % Carbon dioxide (CO2) 43% Methane (CH4) 11% NitrousOxide (N2O) Other Energy Transport Agriculture Other Energy Transport Agriculture New Zealand Emissions (%) Typical developed country (%) 11 40 49 9 80 11 New Zealand’s GHG emission profile:
  • 5.
    New Zealand’s domesticGHG reduction target Reduce gross CH4 emissions by 24-47% by 2050
  • 6.
    New Zealand’s domesticGHG reduction target Reduce net N2O & CO2 emissions 0% by 2050
  • 7.
    New Zealand’s EmissionsTrading Scheme - Cost on C emissions, including agriculture - Delayed for agriculture provided: - All dairy farms have used a tool to benchmark their GHG emissions by 2022 - They have a farm plan with GHG reduction options defined - After 2025, they will be charged for their GHG emissions
  • 8.
  • 9.
    Enteric Methane Manure Methane N2Ofrom animals N2O - other Fuel Electricity Fertiliser production Pesticide Refrigerant Replacements Other Brought-in feed Top 4 contributors: 1. Enteric methane produced in the rumen 67% 2. N2O from animals’ urine and faeces 11% 3. Brought-in feed 10% 4. Fertiliser production 5% GHG sources for NZ average dairy farm
  • 10.
    New Zealand’s environmentalemissions reduction
  • 11.
    Carbon footprint ofdifferent feeds in NZ * * * * * After allocation of GHG to main products *Palm kernel expeller
  • 12.
    Summary of GHGmitigation options Discovery or Proof of concept Available >5 years Pilot studies Available 2-5 years Best practice Available now CH4 inhibitors/vaccines Low GHG cows Low GHG sheep Higher breeding value cows + lower stocking rate Reduce replacement rate Plants or pasture mixes with low GHG traits Low GHG feed options e.g. Plantain, Fodder beet Improve feed quality (ME) Replace N fertiliser with low-N feed Alternative nitrification inhibitors? Urease inhibitors Stand cows off pasture when wet soils
  • 13.
    0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Intensive housing Low-C feed BaseLow-C feed No N fertiliser Strategic cow housing Carbon footprint of milk (kg CO2 eq per kg FPCM) CH4 N2O CO2 ------------------ New Zealand-------------------- Source: Ledgard S F, Wei S, Wang X, Falconer S, Zhang N, Zhang X and Ma L 2019. Nitrogen and carbon footprints of dairy farm systems in China and New Zealand, as influenced by productivity, feed sources and mitigations. Agricultural Water Management 213: 155-163 Carbon footprint of milk: Effects of some GHG mitigation options
  • 14.
    0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Intensive housing Low-C feed BaseLow-C feed No N fertiliser Strategic cow housing Carbon footprint of milk (kg CO2 eq per kg FPCM) CH4 N2O CO2 ------------------ New Zealand----------------------------China---------- Source: Ledgard S F, Wei S, Wang X, Falconer S, Zhang N, Zhang X and Ma L 2019. Nitrogen and carbon footprints of dairy farm systems in China and New Zealand, as influenced by productivity, feed sources and mitigations. Agricultural Water Management 213: 155-163 Carbon footprint of milk: Effects of some GHG mitigation options
  • 15.
    Potential to reduceabsolute agricultural emissions Mitigation options applicable to dairy, beef and sheep farms Existing practices Emerging practices Novel/new practices Emission reductions shown are relative to MPI business as usual emission projections for agriculture. * * novel plants
  • 16.
    Current environmental mitigation: -driven by regulation reducing nitrogen leaching to waterways, as calculated using the OVERSEER model: - Management to increase pasture quality & animal efficiency - Limits on nitrogen fertiliser use - Using only low-N supplementary feeds
  • 17.
    Summary: • NZ dairyingrelies on low-cost unsubsidised year-round grazing of perennial pastures • Water quality regulations mean farmers are used to a tool to meet N leaching limits – this will extend to GHGs • Large GHG reduction targets will be achieved via a cost on farm GHG emissions Key mitigations will include: - increased animal production efficiency - increased nitrogen efficiency - integrating trees on farm - future options of methane inhibitor/vaccine & low-emission feeds