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New Zealand dairy sector greenhouse gas emissions: current and future reductions

  1. New Zealand dairy sector greenhouse gas emissions: current and future reductions Stewart Ledgard AgResearch, New Zealand
  2. New Zealand is world’s largest exporter of dairy products • Cows outdoors all year • Perennial grass/clover pastures • Over 80% feed from grazing pastures • Average  15% feed brought-in
  3. Outline of talk 1. New Zealand’s GHG reduction targets 2. Current dairy GHG emissions 3. GHG mitigation practices – current and future 4. Current environmental mitigation focus
  4. 2% Other 44 % Carbon dioxide (CO2) 43% Methane (CH4) 11% Nitrous Oxide (N2O) Other Energy Transport Agriculture Other Energy Transport Agriculture New Zealand Emissions (%) Typical developed country (%) 11 40 49 9 80 11 New Zealand’s GHG emission profile:
  5. New Zealand’s domestic GHG reduction target Reduce gross CH4 emissions by 24-47% by 2050
  6. New Zealand’s domestic GHG reduction target Reduce net N2O & CO2 emissions 0% by 2050
  7. New Zealand’s Emissions Trading Scheme - Cost on C emissions, including agriculture - Delayed for agriculture provided: - All dairy farms have used a tool to benchmark their GHG emissions by 2022 - They have a farm plan with GHG reduction options defined - After 2025, they will be charged for their GHG emissions
  8. National GHG inventory On-farm accounting Carbon footprint GHG accounting & Carbon footprinting
  9. Enteric Methane Manure Methane N2O from animals N2O - other Fuel Electricity Fertiliser production Pesticide Refrigerant Replacements Other Brought-in feed Top 4 contributors: 1. Enteric methane produced in the rumen 67% 2. N2O from animals’ urine and faeces 11% 3. Brought-in feed 10% 4. Fertiliser production 5% GHG sources for NZ average dairy farm
  10. New Zealand’s environmental emissions reduction
  11. Carbon footprint of different feeds in NZ * * * * * After allocation of GHG to main products *Palm kernel expeller
  12. Summary of GHG mitigation options Discovery or Proof of concept Available >5 years Pilot studies Available 2-5 years Best practice Available now CH4 inhibitors/vaccines Low GHG cows Low GHG sheep Higher breeding value cows + lower stocking rate Reduce replacement rate Plants or pasture mixes with low GHG traits Low GHG feed options e.g. Plantain, Fodder beet Improve feed quality (ME) Replace N fertiliser with low-N feed Alternative nitrification inhibitors? Urease inhibitors Stand cows off pasture when wet soils
  13. 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Intensive housing Low-C feed Base Low-C feed No N fertiliser Strategic cow housing Carbon footprint of milk (kg CO2 eq per kg FPCM) CH4 N2O CO2 ------------------ New Zealand-------------------- Source: Ledgard S F, Wei S, Wang X, Falconer S, Zhang N, Zhang X and Ma L 2019. Nitrogen and carbon footprints of dairy farm systems in China and New Zealand, as influenced by productivity, feed sources and mitigations. Agricultural Water Management 213: 155-163 Carbon footprint of milk: Effects of some GHG mitigation options
  14. 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Intensive housing Low-C feed Base Low-C feed No N fertiliser Strategic cow housing Carbon footprint of milk (kg CO2 eq per kg FPCM) CH4 N2O CO2 ------------------ New Zealand----------------------------China---------- Source: Ledgard S F, Wei S, Wang X, Falconer S, Zhang N, Zhang X and Ma L 2019. Nitrogen and carbon footprints of dairy farm systems in China and New Zealand, as influenced by productivity, feed sources and mitigations. Agricultural Water Management 213: 155-163 Carbon footprint of milk: Effects of some GHG mitigation options
  15. Potential to reduce absolute agricultural emissions Mitigation options applicable to dairy, beef and sheep farms Existing practices Emerging practices Novel/new practices Emission reductions shown are relative to MPI business as usual emission projections for agriculture. * * novel plants
  16. Current environmental mitigation: - driven by regulation reducing nitrogen leaching to waterways, as calculated using the OVERSEER model: - Management to increase pasture quality & animal efficiency - Limits on nitrogen fertiliser use - Using only low-N supplementary feeds
  17. Summary: • NZ dairying relies on low-cost unsubsidised year-round grazing of perennial pastures • Water quality regulations mean farmers are used to a tool to meet N leaching limits – this will extend to GHGs • Large GHG reduction targets will be achieved via a cost on farm GHG emissions Key mitigations will include: - increased animal production efficiency - increased nitrogen efficiency - integrating trees on farm - future options of methane inhibitor/vaccine & low-emission feeds
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