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CCAFS Science Meeting Item 05 Vladimir Smakhtin - Water storage

  1. WATER STORAGE FOR CLIMATE RISK MANAGEMENT VLADIMIR SMAKHTIN International Water Management Institute, Colombo, Sri Lanka Third Annual CCAFS Science Workshop Copenhagen, Denmark, 1 May 2012
  2. WATER SCARCITY AND CLIMATE CHANGE 1/3 of the world’s population live for basins that have to deal with water scarcity Water in a food-secure world
  3. MANAGING VARIABILITY • Climate Change impacts, in the water sector, manifest themselves through increasing variability • The best way to adapt for Tomorrow is to improve our ability to deal with water resources variability - Today • Managing Variability in river basins is largely about storing as much water as possible, in as environmentally and socially acceptable way as possible Water for a food-secure world
  4. WATER STORAGE CONTINUUM Water for a food-secure world
  5. RE-THINKING LARGE STORAGE Ethiopia GDP vs Rain Storage per capita Water for a food-secure world
  6. RE-THINKING LARGE STORAGE Dams can be constructed and operated in ways that optimize benefits for all, including riparian communities and environment • Incorporate livelihoods’ options into large reservoir planning and operation • Quantify and implement the required environmental releases Water for a food-secure world
  7. EVALUATING STORAGE OPTIONS Basin scale analyses Site level analyses Evaluation of climate change Understanding storage at the local impacts on storage at basin scale (economic, socio-political aspects) (Hydro and WR Models) Evaluation metrics to assist in planning and management of storage Water for a food-secure world
  8. MAPPING THE NEED FOR STORAGE Livestock storage need Based on Poor rural population density, Livestock density, amount of rainfall, variability of rainfall Water for a food-secure world
  9. FOCUSING ON GROUNDWATER Water for a food-secure world
  10. GROUNDWATER AS ADAPTATION OPTION –India Groundwater use in Asia District-wise stage of GW development (%) India USA China Bang., Pak W. Europe VN, SL Source: CGWB, 2004 Water for a food-secure world
  11. GROUNDWATER AS ADAPTATION OPTION –India Managed Aquifer Recharge vs other storage options Measurable criteria Small Large Managed Surface Dams Aquifers Storage Water where needed 3 2 5 Water when needed 1 2 5 Level of water control 1 2 5 Non-beneficial losses –e.g. -4 -2 -1 evaporation Protection against a single 1 2 5 annual drought Protection against -1 1 4 successive droughts Ease of recovery during 5 4 3 monsoon Other Water for a food-secure world
  12. STORING FLOODS Current Situation – Dry Season Water for a food-secure world
  13. STORING FLOODS Current Situation – Wet Season Water for a food-secure world
  14. STORING FLOODS Possible Future – Wet Season Water for a food-secure world
  15. STORING FLOODS Subsurface Solution Water for a food-secure world
  16. STORING FLOODS Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand Harvest Floods Do Not Harvest Water for a food-secure world
  17. STORING FLOODS Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand • 5700 MCM/year - harvestable – around 15% of mean annual river flow • About 200 km2 dedicated area to Managed Aquifer Recharge • Additional 270,000 ha can be irrigated • $200 M+ /year income to smallholder farmers • No precedents so far: detailed technical and institutional studies needed • Analyze this: if only 15% of India total flow is harvested similarly, it could increase its national water supply by 285 km3 – half of India’s total current water withdrawal Water for a food-secure world
  18. THANK YOU • Paul Pavelic (IWMI, India) • Lisa-Maria Rebelo (IWMI-Laos) • Matthew McCartney (IWMI-Ethiopia) • Tushaar Shah (IWMI, India) • Aditi Mukherji (IWMI, India) • Nishadi Eriyagama (IWMI, Sri Lanka) • Prathapar Sanmugam (IWMI, India) IWMI CLIMATE CHANGE WEB SITE : www.iwmi.cgiar.org/Topics/Climate_Change/default.aspx 18 Water for a food-secure world