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Enhancing investment in soil health and carbon storage: Frontiers for linking finance and carbon accounting

  1. Griscom et al., 2017; Fuss et al., 2018 Soil carbon has a mitigation potential of 2-5 GtCO2e y-1 Credit: S Malyon, CIAT. Link: flic.kr/p/zdGjBo
  2. Achieving scale Source: www.saaeoliveira.com.br/noticias/parceria-recupera-area-degradada-na-regiao-de-formacao-do-rio-jacare Finance
  3. How can soil carbon accounting be improved to support investment-oriented actions promoting soil carbon storage?
  4. Subtitles (captions) available Go to this URL in your web browser: http://bit.ly/soilcaptions
  5. Session 1 - The need for soil carbon accounting 10:00 – 10:10 Welcome and introduction – Ciniro Costa Jr., CCAFS Overview of agenda – Tim Mealey, Meridian Institute 10:10 – 10:20 Keynote presentation Investing in soil carbon sequestration: Overview of opportunities and challenges – Deborah Bossio, The Nature Conservancy 10:20 – 10:40 Setting the scene • Linking public support to agricultural producers to soil health – Martien van Nieuwkoop, World Bank • Technical accounting: Essential aspects of carbon accounting systems and challenges – Keith Paustian, Colorado State University 10:40 – 10:55 Q&A 10:55 – 11:05 Break
  6. Keynote Speaker Deborah Bossio Lead Soil Scientist The Nature Conservancy (TNC)
  7. Soil Carbon Opportunities and Challenges Dr. Deborah Bossio Lead Scientist, Soils and Global Strategies Webinar 10 September 2020
  8. Tackle climate change Protect land & water The Nature Conservancy is a global environmental nonprofit working to create a world where people and nature can thrive. Provide food & water sustainably © Erich Schlegel© NASA © Nick Hall
  9. Nature is one third of the climate solution
  10. Soil Carbon is 25% of our natural solution 11 Bossio et al. 2020, Nature Sustainability
  11. Benefits are Large • On U.S. croplands, building soil carbon can reduce nutrient runoff, CO2 emissions, soil erosion, save 120,000 acre-feet of water • Where large yield gaps exist building soil carbon can increase maize and wheat yields and increase nutrient value of the grain BioversityInternationalJ.V.Grevel Oldfield et al. (2019) & Wood et al. (2018)
  12. Challenges Lack of awareness and confidence Lack of cost- effective standardized approaches to predict and monitor changesLack of capacity supporting project development Existing protocols not working well for regenerative agriculture projectsLack of up-front funding
  13. Silvopasture Colombia estimated from 2 to 10 tCO2 eq per hectare local livelihoods forest protection and restoration
  14. Northern Rangeland Trust, Kenya Grazing Management 37 Mt CO2e over 20 years Pastoralist livelihoods Wildlife habitat PHOTO Ami Vitale
  15. Nebraska Soil Carbon Project anticipated enrollment 100,000 acres to yield 150,000 metric tons of CO2 eq
  16. 18 Thank You Deborah Bossio Lead Scientist, Soils and Global Strategies deborah.bossio@tnc.org
  17. Martien van Nieuwkoop Global Director Agriculture and Food World Bank Group
  18. Martien van Nieuwkoop Global Director Agriculture & Food The World Bank Martien van Nieuwkoop Global Director Agriculture & Food The World Bank Linking public support to soil health: A public good 10 September 2020
  19. The case for Investments in healthier soils in the decade of action. Agriculture remains fundamental for poverty reduction, economic growth and environmental sustainability, but agriculture is increasingly: • Vulnerable to climate change • Having to produce more under growing demand • A significant contributor to climate change Agriculture needs to: • Feed 10 billion people • Without using more land • While improving climate resilience • While lowering GHG emissions • And lifting the poor who work in agriculture out of poverty. Ø Need to deliver on – healthier economies, people, and planet – at the same time Ø Experiences with COVID-19 support transitioning to more sustainable agriculture and food systems, Ø Sustainable intensification will drive growth post COVID-19 and support the 3 elements of sustainability. Ø Investments that promote healthier soils offer an important low-hanging option.
  20. • In 2016/17, 28% of the World Bank Agriculture investment portfolio yielded adaptation and/or mitigation climate Co- Benefits. Since the Koronovia Joint Work on Agriculture (KJWA) was adopted (November 2017), climate Co-Benefits have risen significantly, projected to be 56% in 2020/2021 [DOUBLING OVER A FEW YEARS]. • Until 2025, we will increase the share of projects with Climate Smart Agriculture ‘triple wins’ to 66% • We will reach at least 20 countries and 10 million farmers with widely available and proven on the ground CSA approaches, to achieve triple wins for a sustainable agriculture and food systems. • Soil health enhancing practices will form a portion of these investments. Our Commitment: The World Bank Is Committed to Action on Climate Change and Soils in Agriculture
  21. Our work on Soil Health aims to increase value generation through soils for farmers, as a public good and towards a host of societal benefits. The WBG Sees Soil Health as a Public as well as a Private and a Wider Societal Good
  22. • The WBG is rapidly scaling up financing and action via Climate Smart Investment Plans (CSAIPs) • $500bn per year in public support to agricultural producers (across 50+ countries), 84% in the form of direct or indirect subsidies. • The bulk of this support as subsidies is towards productivity (inputs and production costs), and output markets support • Highly distortionary, creating dis-incentives for producers to behave in a manner that is sustainable and climate friendly • Repurposing this $500bn presents an immense opportunity for public support for sustainable intensification, esp. healthy soils. • The WBG is providing technical assistance and project financing to assist client countries to effectively design and implement CSA operations at landscape scales for Enhanced Resilience to Climate Change. • Supporting client countries in the identification of repurposing options for agricultural policies and support programs to promote sustainable, environmentally friendly growth in support of the Policy Action Coalition (PAC), a key initiative of the Just Rural Transition (JRT). Public support for sustainable agriculture actions • A cost-effective real time MRV protocol is a key missing link for repurposing the $500bn in public funds for sustainable, environmentally friendly practices like soil health. Production Payments 22% Input Subsidies 10% Public Goods 16% Market Price Support 52% Environmental Purposes 1%
  23. Players, priorities and practices for a soil health agenda • Many stakeholders need to come together to guide action. • Make compelling case to; policy-makers, public and private investors, and farmers. • No shortage of possibilities for farmers.
  24. Kenya Agricultural Carbon Project (KACP) • The first soil carbon project earning carbon credits • Pilot project helped 60,000 farmers on 45,000 hectares (ha) to adopt sustainable agricultural land management practices leading to carbon sequestration. • First credits earned in 2016 - 10,790 VCUs since then Investment examples Purpose: • increase agricultural productivity and enhance resilience to climate change risks in smallholder farming and pastoral communities How: • Up-scaling climate smart agricultural practice (including improving soil investments, promoting crop diversification, and agro-forestry) and strengthening the enabling environments. Impact: • Project will benefit about 522,000 households of smallholder farmers, agro-pastoralists, and pastoralists directly, 340,000 households benefiting from the county-level and public-private partnership investments and over 600 micro-small-and-medium enterprises Kenya Climate-smart Agriculture Project (KCSAP) ($250m)
  25. Colombia: Mainstreaming Sustainable Cattle Ranching Project (CMSCR) ($27m) Purpose: • Aimed to promote the adoption of environment-friendly Silvopastoral Production Systems (SPS) for cattle ranching. How: • Strategic partnerships. • Differentiated PES schemes via short-term and long-term payments were applied to encourage producers to adopt SPS. Payments to 1,484 individuals (US$1,430.60 per contract on average) were made. Impact: • 3,631 farms transformed 38,390 ha of pastureland to SPS and other best practices that made cattle ranching systems more intensive and freed or protected land for conservation and restoration. • Sizable economic value: economic internal rate of return (EIRR) ranging 24.5%-30.1%; net present value (NPV) ranging US$1,650/ha-US$1,935/ha. • Project increased the amount of carbon sequestered in soils and reduced GHG emissions, helping to mitigate climate change (1,565,026 t CO2e) Investment examples
  26. Kazakhstan: Sustainable Livestock Development Program P4R ($500m) Purpose: • To support the development of an environmentally sustainable, inclusive, and competitive beef production in Kazakhstan. How: • Support development of efficient AgriEnvironmental policies for the beef sector • Disbursements linked to some set commitments for the control of GHG emissions and adaptation to climate change in the beef sector. Impact: • Share of public expenditure in support of green growth and sustainability in the beef sector will increase • Increased soil carbon sequestration will be achieved through improved grazing management and landscape restoration practices • At least 100,000 household and small individual farmers to benefit Investment examples
  27. ACTIONS 1 More technical support is required to help the realigning of public support for delivering public-good outcomes that promote soil health is needed. De-risking facility for the private sector can stimulate confidence in investments in Nature Based Solutions. Develop and support economic incentives for implementation of practices that support soil health, through sustainable business models, payments for ecosystem services schemes, and blended financing (grants and loans) for better environmental and health outcomes . Engaging farmers as central actors and key providers of both food and ecosystems services, can help inform the design of attractive incentives and enhance adoption. A standardized, accurate and low-cost approach to Soil C accounting and MRV, can provide a significant rationale for the use of public funds in support of implementation of practices that support soil health. Mainstreaming and scaling soil health investments 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
  28. Keith Paustian University Distinguished Professor Colorado State University
  29. Keith Paustian Dept. Soil and Crop Sciences and Natural Resource Ecology Lab Colorado State University Fort Collins, CO Soil carbon and GHG accounting systems: Needs, challenges and emerging opportunities
  30. Effective policies and market-based solutions need reliable metrics! • SOC stocks can be highly variable, spatially, even within a field (even more so for N2O fluxes) • Low signal-to-background for annual changes in soil C stocks (< 1%) • Complex set of abiotic and biotic control factors (T, H2O, soil physical properties, management variables, etc.) • There are no gauges and it’s not like a tree! Significant Challenges at field-to-local scale KBS LTER, Michigan Robertson et al. 1997
  31. Lucas EU dataset Calderon &Cotrufo unpubl. Consequences for field-to-local scale measurement Accuracy in direct field measurements depend on: 1) Variability in C stocks and stock change rates (sampling intensity) 2) Magnitude of change rate (re-sampling frequency) 3) Accuracy of C stock determination at a point (analytical methods) 1) Typical spatial variability dictates multiple 10’s of samples 2) Typical change rates dictate resampling interval of 5 yrs + more 3) Most accurate methods require destructive sampling and lab analysis § Spectroscopic analysis (MIR) can increase throughput and reduce costs § In situ (non-destructive) methods improving but lower accuracy and other factors still limit applicability Conant & Paustian 2002 Direct measurement is too expensive for routine deployment in most mitigation projects.
  32. Confidence higher (and uncertainly lower) for more aggregate scale (sub-regional, regional) estimates • Legacy of LTEs with research-grade measurement of management treatment difference and temporal trends over decadal+ time scales • Empirical data and meta-analysis provide good estimates of regional-national averaged responses • Generally good understanding of general principles and drivers involved – predictive modeling capabilities
  33. Air Parcel Air Parcel Air Parcel Sources Sinks Sample Sample Changes in CO2 in the air tell us about sources and sinks in aggregate wind wind Schuh et al. 2013 513 Tg CO2532 Tg CO2495 Tg CO2 Regional estimate of C balance for US ‘midcontinental intensive’ study ‘Bottom-up’ inventory modeling ‘Top-down’ inversion modeling
  34. Goal : Low-cost estimates with low bias and ‘moderate’ uncertainty at ‘project’ scale • Focus on high quality direct measurements • Reduced uncertainty of local-scaled predictive models • Capability to easily incorporate farm-level activity data
  35. Integrated measurement-modeling-activity data platform
  36. Remote sensing of management activity data • Tillage & Residue Coverage • Crop type, cover crop presence • Flooding Guan et al. pers. comm. Zheng et al. 2014 Productivity surrogates – model/data assimilation • LAI, Canopy N, Gross photosyn (SIF) Improved modeling of crop yield using LAI and GPP estimates from remote sensing
  37. Integrated measurement-modeling-activity data platform
  38. User-friendly decision support systems http://comet-farm.com/ http://comet-planner.com/
  39. Enhancing investment in soil health and carbon storage: Frontiers for linking finance and carbon accounting 10 September 2020 10am – 1:15pm EDT Question & Answer 10:40 – 10:55 EDT 15 minutes Please use the Q&A function to ask questions.
  40. Break 10:55 – 11:05 EDT 10 minutes Enhancing investment in soil health and carbon storage: Frontiers for linking finance and carbon accounting 10 September 2020 10am – 1:15pm EDT
  41. Session 2 – Soil carbon accounting frontiers 11:05 – 11:15 Verra - Development and management of standards for sustainable development and climate action goals. Stefan Jirka, Innovation Manager, Agriculture. 11:15 – 11:25 Indigo - Unlocking carbon markets through research and entrepreneurial community efforts. Dan Harburg, Vice President, Head of Carbon Quantification 11:25 – 11:35 Dagan, Inc - Estimating soil carbon sequestration using remote sensing. William Salas, President of Dagan, Inc 11:35 – 11:45 Nori Inc. – Carbon Removal and True Price Discovery. Aldyen Donnelly, Director of Carbon Economics 11:45 – 12:00 Q&A 12:00 - 12:10 Break
  42. Stefan Jirka Innovation Manager, Agriculture Verra
  43. Verra 10 September 2020 Development and management of standards for sustainable agriculture and climate action goals Stefan Jirka, Innovation Manager, Agriculture
  44. Verra catalyzes measurable climate action and sustainable development outcomes by driving large-scale investment to activities that reduce emissions, improve livelihoods, and protect nature. 11 September 2020
  45. Verra is a Global Leader in Offset Markets Source: World Bank Group, State and Trends of Carbon Pricing 2020, May 2020 Annual volume of issuances by crediting mechanism Numberofprojects VCS 11 September 2020
  46. • 10+ projects registered or in the pipeline, e.g. • Kenya Agricultural Carbon Project VM0017 • Montana Improved Grazing Project VM0021 Diverse ALM Projects in the VCS Program 11 September 2020 Photo source: https://www.biocarbonfund.org/node/82
  47. Verra Efforts on SOC Accounting 11 September 2020 • Expert Ag Land Management Working Group (ALM WG) • New accounting methodologies • Incorporate technology advances • Adapt VCS rules Photo source Sentinel-hub
  48. Constraints to Ag Project Development 11 September 2020 • High variability • Current carbon prices • Behavior change • Land tenure and carbon rights • Aggregation of farms • GHG quantification complexity
  49. Actions Verra is Taking to Overcome Constraints 11 September 2020 • Standardized methods to determine additionality • Non-permanence risk and buffer credit deductions • Aggregation guidance • Reversals risk management • Project longevity • Future expert modeling advisory group Photo source VCS Tambopata Project
  50. • Expanded soils databases to set baselines • Tech approaches to lower MRV costs • Models accessible to a range of users • Capacity building for project developers Investments Needed 11 September 2020 Photo source: https://nutnet.org/index.php/node/6427
  51. Soil Health Benefits Beyond Carbon 11 September 2020 + SDGs
  52. Verra 1 Thomas Circle, NW Suite 1050 Washington, DC 20005 www.verra.org Thank You! Questions? sjirka@verra.org
  53. Dan Harburg Vice President, Head of Carbon Quantification Indigo
  54. Unlocking carbon markets through research and entrepreneurial community efforts Dan Harburg, Ph.D. Vice President, Head of Carbon Quantification S E P T 1 0 , 2 0 2 0
  55. 2Confidential © 2020 Indigo … by focusing on improving farmer profitability … by improving the sustainability of agriculture … and by better aligning agricultural practices with consumer health Harnessing Nature to Help Farmers Sustainably Feed the Planet
  56. 3Confidential © 2020 Indigo Connects farmers implementing carbon farming practices that prioritize soil health and carbon sequestration with buyers looking to offset their carbon emissions through drawdown in agricultural soils Measure and verify change in carbon sequestration and abatement utilizing Indigo's technology, investments, data collection, soil science, & algorithms at increased integrity and transparency and reduced costs Support farmers in transition to carbon farming with guidance and technology Transform the lives of farmers and their communities by compensating them fairly for carbon farming practices Indigo field team, regenerative agronomists, data science and digital agronomy resources, and microbiology to aid transition Climate impact certified by leading 3rd party Carbon Registries (Verra & Climate Action Reserve) Finance verified change with high-quality soil enrichment carbon credits that meet your goals
  57. 4Confidential © 2020 Indigo The Indigo Carbon marketplace has four key components that are advancing simultaneously Quant. must be: • Scientifically accurate & credible • Low cost and declining over time Carbon quantification Growers must: • Value and trust quantification methods • Receive credible recommendations in Indigo Fields Grower participation Buyers must: • Value and trust quantification methods • Purchase at volume that matches supply Buyer participation Systems must: • Maximize grower profit (incl. carbon) • Be deployed in the optimal sequence to minimize burden on grower Regenerative products
  58. 5Confidential © 2020 Indigo Growers enroll in Indigo’s carbon offset program Indigo establishes baseline 1 Indigo supports farmer in transitioning to regenerative practices Indigo gathers data manually and automatically Indigo algorithm processes data to quantify GHG abatement and soil carbon sequestration Offsets are verified and validated Value of offset is transferred to grower Indigo sells offsets 3 5 6 7 842 . Indigo Carbon is developing an end-to-end carbon offering for growers to be paid for carbon abatement and sequestration
  59. 6Confidential © 2020 Indigo We have developed a carbon quantification methodology that enables unprecedented scale and rigor Scalable Designed to catalyze systemic change Accurate Accurately captures carbon impacts Flexible Flexible to adapt with technology innovations Sampling + modelling enables sampling of fewer fields Model iteration improves accuracy and error estimation Group portfolio verification simplifies reporting by grouping similar growers Grouped strata allows sampling only for representative growers Flexible payment allows us to separate pay from modeled outcomes Remote monitoring allows for remote collection of detailed practice data Sampling technology improvement allows us to collect more data, cheaper Indigo is partnering with CAR and Verra to develop global methodologies that meet these criteria
  60. 7Confidential © 2020 Indigo The Terraton Challenge was launched at Beneficial Ag 2019 to focus innovators soil carbon sequestration as a climate change solution. We are evaluating tools that reduce soil organic carbon sampling and measurement costs, and that accelerate the pace of and incentivize the adoption of sequestration practices. Accelerate RewardQuantify Confidential © 2020 Indigo
  61. 8Confidential © 2020 Indigo We are evaluating 30 of the most promising companies, selected from a over 260 applicants from over 40 countries Robotic Rotational Grazing Biochar enriched biofertilizer Mycorrhizael root growth stimulator Microalgael CO2 capture On-site bioreactors to process ag waste On-farm biochar production Prebiotic SOC microbial metabolizer AMATA GREEN Mobile pyrolizer service for on-site biochar Calcium input to enhance aerobic zone SOC via volumetr ic X-Ray SOC via neutron gamma analysis SOC via phone camera Hand-held spectroscopy Robotic soil sampling Land lease platform Education platform for NOL’s Regen ag investment platform Ecosystem Services marketplace Tractor mounted spectro meter High resolution, predictive soil maps Laser Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy Soil microbial biomass analysis AI-Assisted aerial SOC monitoring Aerial hyperspectral SOC monitoring Robotic surveying and sampling Hand-held FTIR spectroscopy AI-Assisted aerial SOC monitoring Upcycled food waste Lactobionate to promote soil health Accelerate Quantify Reward Automated soil preparation Confidential © 2020 Indigo
  62. 9Confidential © 2020 Indigo The Terraton Experiment is producing a comprehensive soil and grower dataset on each sampled field Protocol Data Produced SOIL CARBON Soil Organic C (SOC) and Total C BULK DENSITY Bulk Density SOIL CARBON to 1 METER SOC and Total C, Texture, Total N, pH, CEC, Macronutrients, Micronutrients, Bulk Density SOIL HEALTH pH, Nutrients, OM, Soil Respiration, Wet Aggregate Stability GROWER INTERVIEWS Agronomic Management History, Production, Profitability, Qualitative Insights SOIL MICROBIAL COMMUNITY Community sequencing to identify microbes, arthropods, and other fauna Areas sampled to date Planned 2020 Terraton Experiment Soil Sampling Operations: 3,330+ unique soil samples at shallow and deep depths have been collected in 2019-2020 We are working with university and institutional research collaborators to analyze and publish our results
  63. 10Confidential © 2020 Indigo In 2019, Indigo began sampling for an observational study Indigo has completed sampling on 59 observational study fields with plans to sample over 100 additional fields in Fall 2020 Terraton Experiment Fields Sampled Field “Demographics” 1 2 3 4 5 # fields sites
  64. 11Confidential © 2020 Indigo In 2020, Indigo is adding 50 interventional study sites This study aims to understand the impact of stacked regenerative practices on farmer profitability and environmental impact in real-world settings
  65. William Salas President Dagan, Inc
  66. Linking Remote Sensing and Modeling to Build the Business Case for Soil Health William Salas, Dagan Inc Session 2 - Soil carbon accounting frontiers Learning from emerging experiences linking investment and soil carbon accounting
  67. High transaction cost for verification of market assets Barrier: Agriculture stakeholders lack the soil health insights and sustainable agriculture data needed to drive change. Current barriers to realizing the value of soil health and scalable markets: High cost of quantification of water & carbon outcomes Challenging to scale 69 Measure to Monetize….
  68. OpTIS DNDC Operational Tillage Information System Biogeochemical Model Measures how the environment responds to management and drives outcomes Uses satellite remote sensing to provide data on ag field management 70 GEOKIT: geospatial information technology and web applications
  69. Unique combination of technologies for quantifying soil health outcomes for supply chain reporting and MRV for ecosystem service markets OpTIS DNDC Analytics OpTIS – remote sensing-based management information: • Field Boundaries based on management history • Crop Type • Tillage Practices • Cover Crop Practices • Crop Emergence & Harvest Date DNDC – modeled environmental outcomes: • Soil Carbon • Greenhouse Gas Emissions (N2O, SOC, CH4, GWP) • Nutrient Use Efficiency Water Use Efficiency • Reactive Nitrogen • Yield • Run-off & Sediment loss (edge of field) Analytics – information put into context: • Evaluation and reporting of optimal management at the field scale • Optimize for SOC, GWP, Yield, Profit, Run-off or some combination of these outcomes with constraints • Diagnostics regarding the performance of field in the context of its neighbors • Reporting on crop resilience and yield gap 71
  70. Dagan Data Services - OpTIS and DNDC Sub-field seasonal residue cover Field-level tillage practices Modeled annual SOC change Tillage Practice Conventional Reduced - Low Res Reduced - High Res No Till No Till - Full Res Annual SOC Change (kg/ha/yr)
  71. Dagan AgTech for Monitoring, Verifying and Quantifying Soil Health Principles of Soil Health Management: Ø Crop rotations Ø Minimal Soil Disturbance Ø Continual living roots Ø Soil cover (residue) Ø Livestock integration 1: OpTIS Verification 2: MRV Platform – direct Integration of DNDC 1 2 Ecosystem service markets: Challenge: High transaction costs for setting baselines, quantifying ecosystem services outcomes and verification. Dagan Solutions: • Satellite monitoring of agricultural practices – low cost verification, can go back in time • Extensive cal/val of DNDC model for quantification of uncertainty • DNDC MRV linkage via API Outcomes of Regenerative Agriculture Ø Increased soil organic carbon Ø Reductions in GHG emissions Ø Better drought and flood resilience Ø Water quality improvements
  72. Supporting Innovative Finance: tracking crop risk: Prevent Plant 2019 Analysis Initial indications that conservation practices can mitigate farmland susceptibility to flooding Fields with more frequent historic conservation practices had more successful plantings Prevented Planting was common in 2019 due to flooding in the spring. Selected 3 Counties with significant RMA claims Which fields were prevented from planting? Historically, how have these fields used conservation practices? Used OPTIS. In all three regions, historical use of conservation practices was more frequent on those fields that successfully planted in 2019. Successful plant Prevent plant
  73. Dagan working with ESMC and ARPA-E on innovative SOC measurements Demonstration through Ecosystem Service Markets Pilots Innovative SOC Measurements – key inputs Pilot crop risk metrics for innovative finance products: Ex: 2019 prevent plant Engage land value sector and ESG reporting to extend value and investments in soil health… 1 2 3 4 75 Next steps, future developments
  74. Increased farmer adoption of soil health management: increased soil carbon and ecosystem resilience Enhanced crop profitability (for resilience, food security, and livelihoods) Land Value Bank Credit Agri- businesses Crop Insurance Ecosystem Markets Sustainable Supply Chains There is a business case for every stakeholder... 76 Conclusions: Need to Measure to Monetize Innovations in Sensors, Remote Sensing and DNDC Modeling for Quantifying Soil Health and Soil Carbon Changes cost effectively at scale will mobilize investment in soil health…..
  75. Aldyen Donnelly Co-founder and Director of Carbon Economics Nori Inc.
  76. Carbon Removal and True Price Discovery Aldyen Donnelly, co-Founder and Director of Carbon Economics, Nori Inc., https://nori.com/ Session 2 - Soil carbon accounting frontiers Learning from emerging experiences linking investment and soil carbon accounting
  77. Nori is building a dedicated “Carbon Removal Marketplace” • Head-officed in Seattle, Washington, & relies on 100% private sector investment; • built on the “blockchain”, a hybrid central & distributed ledger software platform; • generates a carbon removal credit called a Nori Carbon Removal Tonne, or “NRT”, where • 1 NRT = 1 incremental tonne of CO2-e removed from the atmosphere and the commitment of the Nori Supplier to retain the recovered C in a natural or man-made terrestrial reservoir for at least 10 years, • which underlying environmental value Nori guarantees to the NRT buyer.
  78. Starting with US Croplands • Nori intends to approve CO2 capture and retention estimation and NRT quantification methodologies for all CO2 capture, disposition and utilization methods. • Our first Methdology addresses estimation, monitoring, reporting and verification of Carbon Removal Claims by operators of US Croplands, and NRT quantification based on those Verified Carbon Removal Claims, which • quantification currently relies on the USDA/NRCS/CSU COMET-Farm platform (http://comet-farm.com/) which generates IPCC Tier 3-consistent soil organic stock change estimates, which estimates inform Nori NRT quantification.
  79. Global soil carbon storage potential
  80. US soil carbon storage potential # description data source 400 total US cropland acres in 2018 (millions), not all of which are planted every year US EPA, US GHG Inventory, Trends, page 2- 19 https://www.epa.gov/sites/produc tion/files/2020-02/documents/us-ghg- inventory-2020-main-text.pdf 48 to 105 teragrams (million tonnes), incremental SOC stock growth potential in US croplands (includes soil restoration), per year Chambers, Lal & Paustian, doi:10.2489/jswc.71.3.68A, https://ww w.jswconline.org/content/jswc/71/3/6 8A.full.pdf 178 to 386 million TCO2-equivalent, total incremental CO2 drawdown potential of US croplands, per year (includes soil restoration) Chambers, Lal & Paustian, doi:10.2489/jswc.71.3.68A, ibid. 528 to 1,584 million TCO2-equivalent, total incremental CO2 drawdown potential per acre of US cropland, grazing land, forest land and other land use combined, per year. Chambers, Lal & Paustian, doi:10.2489/jswc.71.3.68A, ibid.
  81. Nori is the first carbon market to... • Support both retail and wholesale carbon credit sales. (Small credit buyers can directly purchase without going through brokers. Brokers are welcome, but not the only conduits to supply for small volume, or “retail” buyers.) • Support true carbon price discovery. (NRT suppliers set, confidentially, minimum NRT sales prices, and can change those prices any time at their sol discretion. Nori markets the NRTs with the goal of attracting best price.) • Minimize project validation/verification costs without compromosing verification quality. (Automatic generation of a Draft Verification Report in response to receipt of Postive Verification Report.) • Limit credit quantification reliance on ex-ante crediting. • Use a dynamic--adjusted for weather/climate impacts-- carbon flux baseline. (Making the market attractive to late adopters of best practices.) • Eliminate up-front project registration and recurring annual registration maintenance fees. (Nori revenues are tied to successfull NRT sales.)
  82. Contribution of this method • Direct access to small (“retail”) NRTs purchasers and reduced verification costs means suppliers net a much larger % of price paid by offset credit buyers • First carbon market to eliminate risk of double counting, double crediting. • First carbon market to adopt a performance benchmark that does not favor early adopters over late adopters of regenerative/sustainable practices. • First carbon market to take a practical approach to the question of “permanence”. (controversial)
  83. Nori market performance, to date • Started on-line retail NRT sales in fall of 2019. • ~16,000 NRTs sold, to date @ US$17.25/NRT, of which $15/NRT has been delivered to farmer/suppliers • NRT demand exceeds NRT supply, at this time • 250k to 400k of pre-qualifed NRT supply in Nori's enrollment pipeline, at this time. • Goal to hold Nori's first NRT Forward Contract Auction in late Q1 or early Q2, 2021
  84. Conclusions Check us out! https://nori.com/
  85. Enhancing investment in soil health and carbon storage: Frontiers for linking finance and carbon accounting 10 September 2020 10am – 1:15pm EDT Question & Answer 11:45 – 12:00 EDT 15 minutes Please use the Q&A function to ask questions.
  86. Break 12:00 – 12:10 EDT 10 minutes Enhancing investment in soil health and carbon storage: Frontiers for linking finance and carbon accounting 10 September 2020 10am – 1:15pm EDT
  87. Session 2 (continued) – Soil carbon accounting frontiers 12:10 – 12:20 Ecosystem Services Market Consortium (ESMC) - ESMC’s Public Private Partnership: A market program meeting demand for certified soil carbon, net GHG, water quality and water quantity credits from agriculture. Debbie Reed, Executive Director 12:20 – 12:30 Carbon Farming Initiative - Carbon farming – crediting soil carbon in Australia. Beverley Henry, Institute for Future Environments-QUT [SLIDES OMITTED] 12:30 – 12:40 The Climate Corporation, a subsidiary of Bayer - The Climate Corporation and Climate FieldView Overview. Pamela M. Bachman, Digital Agriculture & Sustainability Lead 12:40 – 12:50 RECSOIL: Recarbonization of global soils. Ronald Vargas, Global Soil Carbon Partnership - FAO 12:50 – 13:10 Q&A 13:10 – 13:15 Closing remarks – Paul Luu, 4per1000
  88. Debbie Reed Executive Director Ecosystem Services Market Consortium (ESMC)
  89. ESMC’s Public Private Partnership: A Market Meeting Demand for Certified Soil C, Net GHG, Water Quality & Water Quantity Credits from Agriculture Enhancing Investment in Soil Health and Carbon Storage: Frontiers for Linking Finance & Carbon Accounting September 10, 2020 Debbie Reed, ESMC Executive Director
  90. To advance ecosystem service markets that incentivize farmers and ranchers to improve soil health systems that benefit society ESMC MISSION 92 Mission-Driven. Impact-Driven. Non-profit.
  91. Ecosystem Services Markets for Agriculture 93 Ecosystem Services Markets Conceived & Designed… Ø …for Agriculture Ø …to overcome past market challenges Ø …to recognize & reward farmers & ranchers for their valuable impacts
  92. ESMC/ESMRC Members Founding Circle Members Legacy Partner Members 94 7-8-2020 $10.3M FFAR $10.3M cash & in- kind match Total: $23.5M raised to date
  93. 95 ESMC Pilot Project Locations Launched Planning Emerging
  94. Soil Organic Carbon MRV for Finance ESMC soil C quantification protocols: Calculate uncertainty! • Soil C testing at enrollment & years 5, 10, 15, 20 • Soil C testing to 30cm (standard) up to 60cm (deep-rooted systems) using stratification approach • Also use DNDC biogeochemical GHG model to model soil C & additional GHG (report all results, and net GHG) – Cal/val model, & utilize measured SOC data • Also use OpTIS to track practices & link to DNDC GOAL = more accurate, more granular, more robust actual SOC data to improve science, model function, credibility 96
  95. Soil Organic Carbon MRV for Finance ESMC/ESMRC SOC & GHG Investments: • Open-source SOC sampling stratification app • Multiple new soil C sampling tools (neutron-scattering, visNIR, spectrometers) – Assessment of accuracy/precision/repeatability – Field-testing – Commercialization & cost-benefit assessment • Multiple alternative soil sampling stratification approaches, based on geography, heterogeneity of soils, other phys/chem factors, & relative accuracy/precision/repeatability • Other places in SOC measurement, modeling chain to reduce uncertainty • N2O surrogate and sensor measurements approaches Ongoing R&D: 4 Technical R&D Working Groups continue to decide on investments to improve rigor, cost-effectiveness, & scalability of efforts for C, GHG, WQL, WQN 97
  96. Soil Organic Carbon MRV for Finance ESMC Infrastructure • National scale programmatic investments • Track impacts at field, farm, supply shed, watershed scale • Relate impacts to systems adopted – Trends, benefits, economics – temporally, geographically – Systems & activities • Planning for biodiversity credits has kicked off with members 98
  97. THANK YOU 99 CONTACT US: dreed@ecosystemservicesmarket.org https://ecosystemservicesmarket.org
  98. Beverley Henry Adjunct Associate Professor Queensland University of Technology; 4p1000 Scientific and Technical Committee SLIDES OMMITED FOR PRIVACY
  99. Pamela Bachman Digital Agriculture & Sustainability Lead The Climate Corporation, a subsidiary of Bayer
  100. /////////// The Climate Corporation and Climate FieldViewⓇ The Climate Corporation Pamela Bachman, Ph.D. Digital Ag & Sustainability Lead /// Bayer Capital Markets Day /// London, December 5, 2018
  101. Global Crop Production Demand is Climbing 103 UNDESA 2017 (United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision); 2 FAO 2017 (FAO Global Perspective Studies) Nelson et. all. (2104); (2) FAO 2016 “Climate change and food security”; 4 FAOSTAT (accessed Oct 30, 2018) for 1961-2016 data on land, FAO 2012 for 2030 and 2050 data on land, and UNDEDA 2017: World Population Prospects for world population data. Megatrends Through 2050 Societal Needs Growing Population Pressure On Ecosystems Secure a sufficient supply of quality food Use natural resources more efficiently and responsibly +2.2 Billion People +50% More Food Required -17% Harvest Losses From Climate Change -20% Loss In Arable Land Per Capita
  102. The Climate Corporation 104 The next breakthrough in agriculture will be utilizing data and analytics to optimize decision making To help all the world’s farmers sustainably increase productivity with digital tools © 2019 The Climate Corporation All Rights Reserved
  103. Setting the Standard with a Global, Integrated Platform Climate FieldView™ 105 Data In One Place Valuable Field Insights Optimized Inputs Centralized field data management Visualization & reporting that create actionable insights Data-driven seed & fertility subfield insights © 2019 The Climate Corporation All Rights Reserved
  104. Continuous Circle of Value Creation from Richer Data Sets, Leading to Smarter Digital Tools Data is Digital Currency to Build a Global Integrated Platform 106 Drives customer satisfaction and loyalty as data science brings smarter digital tools Diagnose, recommend and prescribe Compare and Benchmark Visualize and Tabulate Gather and Organize Data
  105. 107 32 Months 9 Months ConnectedHours(Millions) FieldView Bringing in More Data … Faster Streamed data more than doubled in 1/3 the time
  106. Pre-Planting: Seed Scripting & Seed Advisor During Planting: Data capture & real- time data visualization In-Season: Capture as-applied data for crop inputs to measure performance later; Monitor Field Health throughout the growing season Harvest/Post-Harvest: Capture yield data in real-time; Analyze yield data to optimize decisions in following seasons 108 Digital farming tools (Climate FieldView™) support activities & decisions throughout the season Tailored solutions along the plant’s life cycle
  107. 109 Y = f (g,e,p)+ εYield Genetics, Environment, Farming Practices Variability 109
  108. Sustainability & The Climate Corporation 110 The Climate Corporation advances sustainability globally by delivering digital tools that help farmers apply insights to grow nutritious food, use resources more efficiently and maximize prosperity for all The use of digital tools help farmers grow healthy, safe and affordable food sustainably Climate FieldView™ is helping farmers to reduce their environmental impact AND boost their economic and societal impact by applying insights to help them get more out of every acre
  109. 111 How Estimate potential emission reduction through optimal timing, nitrogen rate, and tillage practice recommendations Prototype carbon sequestering tools for on farm recommended actions GHG Reduction Why it Matters Digital tools can assist in developing agricultural practices that can adapt to and mitigate the impacts on our environment, but also have the potential to increase food production. Smart carbon practices can yield many positive benefits: reduced soil erosion; better soil water retention and nutrient availability for crops; increased soil organic matter accumulation; and higher crop productivity
  110. Ronald Vargas Secretary Global Soil Partnership Global Soil Carbon Partnership - FAO
  111. RECSOIL: recarbonization of global agricultural Soils Ronald Vargas, Secretary of the Global Soil Partnership, FAO Session 2 - Soil carbon accounting frontiers Learning from emerging experiences linking investment and soil carbon accounting
  112. Soil is a valuable natural capital, but…. one third of our global soils are degraded
  113. SUSTAINABLE SOIL MANAGEMENT AND SOC IN THE GLOBAL AGENDA 2019 2017 2017 2015 2012 Scaling up actions on the ground
  114. The current global challenges Desertification, drought, Land degradation Protecting, conserving, restoring Biodiversity Climate change – Mitigation and Adaptation Food security and nutrition Healthy soils = SOC Soil carbon, the heart of the soil
  115. The problem • Uncertainty about additionally and permanence. • Measuring SOC: not an easy and cheap task, accuracy. • Unavailable harmonized SOC MRV Protocol at farm level. • Recognizing farmers as the main vehicle of change. • Lack of financial incentives for implementing Good practices. • Lack of technical support to farmers. • Long-term investment. • SOC sequestration not at scale yet. • Focusing on SOC only, and not on Soils as provider of Ecosystem Services. • We forget about Nitrogen Scaling-up sustainable soil management practices based on SOC sequestration
  116. 1. Technical feasibility (current stocks-potential) GSOCmap – current stocks COUNTRY GSOC Map Monthly Vegetation cover NDVI-expert Spatialized RothC PLATFORM (Fortran-R) ATTAINABLE SOC (Low Scenario) Climate Grid (1km x 1km) SoilGrid (1km x 1km) C inputs and managementGrid (1km x 1km) 1 2 3 4 5 Monthlytemperature Monthlyrain Monthlypan-evaporation Clay 0-30 cm CurrentSOCstocks Climatic national data layers Soil national data layers ATTAINABLE SOC (Medium Scenario) ATTAINABLE SOC (HighScenario) Low:5% increase in C inputs Medium:10% High:20% NPP – MIAMI modelLand Cover national dataset SSM effect on C input Management National data layers Modeling phases Phase1 Phase2 Phase3 Global Soil Organic Carbon Sequestration Potential Map (GSOCseq map)
  117. 4. Agreement to work with RECSOIL/ access to RECSOIL toolkit Written Agreement between individual farmers or farmer associations to implement RECSOIL (access to technical support and financial incentives). GSOC map GSOCseq map GSOC-MRV Protocol Manual of good practices VGSSM + SSM Protocol Global SOC Monitoring System SOPs for soil organic carbon
  118. 5. Implementation of Good SOC Practices (technical support and financial incentives) • According to the local context, selection of the good practices. • Technical support for the implementation of the good practices on the ground. • Financial incentives (3 payments, establishment, after 4 years and at year 8). • Continuous support and monitoring. • Soil Doctors for farmers.
  119. 6. Measuring, monitoring, reporting and verification
  120. 6. Measuring, monitoring, reporting and verification • Measurement of Baseline at farm level (before good practices are implemented). • Second measurement: after 4 years of implementation, measurement of additionally of SOC and ecosystem services. • Final measurement: at 8 years of implementation (reporting of SOC seq. and multiple ecosystem services achieved). • Verification by VVBs. • Intermediate measurements to demonstrate change, can be alternatively done using POM. • All data feeding the Global SOC Monitor System.
  121. 7. RECSOIL MARKET PLACE • Green-path to support subsistence/small farmers. They will accomplish multiple ecosystem benefits (including SOC sequestration) but we will not issue carbon credits. A Label of compliance under the Voluntary Guidelines for Sustainable Soil Management and RECSOIL will be provided. Yet, all the benefits will be accounted and informed. • Carbon Market path (using private investments): generation of Carbon credits for the Voluntary Market and/or carbon pricing mechanisms under global/regional or national schemes.
  122. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION! For more information, please contact Ronald.Vargas@fao.org
  123. Enhancing investment in soil health and carbon storage: Frontiers for linking finance and carbon accounting 10 September 2020 10am – 1:15pm EDT Question & Answer 12:50 – 13:10 EDT 20 minutes Please use the Q&A function to ask questions.
  124. Thank you! Find a recording of this Webinar at: soilcarbon.weebly.com For more information please contact: Lini Wollenberg: Lini.Wollenberg@uvm.edu Ciniro Costa Junior: C.Costajr@cgiar.org Bailey Rowland: Bailey.Rowland@uvm.edu Kyle Dittmer: Kyle.Dittmer@uvm.edu
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