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Ambitions and challenges regarding low emissions livestock sector in Kenya

  1. AMBITIONS AND CHALLENGES REGARDING LOW EMISSIONS LIVESTOCK SECTOR IN KENYA ROBIN M. MBAE CLIMATE CHANGE UNIT STATE DEPARTMENT OF LIVESTOCK MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE,LIVESTOCK AND FISHERIES 2nd July 2018 1
  2. LOCATION OF ARID AND SEMI ARID LANDS OF KENYA KENYA’S LIVESTOCK SECTOR Livestock production in Kenya is a major economic and social activity for the communities that live in the high rainfall areas for dairy production and in the arid and semi-arid lands (ASALS) for meat production. Its contributions to the economy of the country is well as follows:  25m total cattle population  12% of the national Gross Domestic Product (GDP);  50% of agricultural labour force;  80% of the country is ASALs where 60% of livestock is found, supporting over 10 million people as the only source of livelihood  90% contributes of emissions in agriculture sector
  3. Livestock production systems in Kenya: Pastoralism(Extensive, meat product)-60% Ranching(meat/milk products) -10% Semi–Intensive (Milk product) -20% Zero grazing (Intensive, Milk product) -10%
  4. Agriculture Sector Emissions 4 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 2000 2005 2010 GHGEmissionsMTCO2e Nitrogen from Animal Waste Management BurningCrop Residues SoilNitrogen LivestockManure Management Savanna Burning LivestockEnteric Fermentation Ref: Kenya SNC, 2015
  5. Agriculture Sector Emission Projections 5 0 5 10 15 20 25 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 GHGEmissionsMTCO2e Nitrogen from Animal Waste Management BurningCrop Residues Soil Nitrogen Livestock Manure Management Savanna Burning Livestock Enteric Fermentation
  6.  GHGs are emitted in the Livestock sector from four main sources: 1. Enteric fermentation from Domestic Livestock (CH4 emissions due to digestive processes in ruminants and non-ruminants domesticated animals) 2. Manure management of Domestic Livestock (CH4 emissions from manure accumulated under confinement, N2O emissions from manure treated 3. Agricultural soils (N2O emissions from fertilizers, manure, crop residues etc.) 4. Prescribed burning of Savanna (Ref: Kenya SNC 2015, National consultant) Livestock sector Emissions Overview 6
  7. MHJNBIMAIN KEY SOURCE OF EMMISSION IS ENTERIC FERMENTATION (80%) 3.A.1Enteric Fermentation CH4 Livestock N2O 3.A.2Manure Management CH4 Livestock emissions
  8. KEY KENYA POLICY DOCUMENTS Year Title 2010 National Climate Change Response Strategy (NCCRS) 2012 Adaptation Analysis Report (ATAR) 2013 National Climate Change Action Plan 2013-2017 (NCCAP, under review) 2015 National Adaptation Plan 2015-2030 (NAP) 2015 Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) 2016 Climate Change Act and Policy 2017 Kenya Climate Smart Agriculture Strategy (2017-2026) 2017 Kenya Climate Finance Policy 2018 Kenya Climate Smart Agriculture implementation Framework 2018- 2030)
  9. AGRICULTURE IN KENYA’S NDC Kenya seeks to abate its GHG emissions by 30% by 2030 relative to the BAU scenario of 143 MtCO2e. In agriculture, the implementation will be in line with the National CSA Implementation Framework. On adaptation, as a minimal contributor to global GHG emissions, Kenya places significant priority on adapting to the effects of climate change. Enhance the resilience of the agriculture, livestock and fisheries value chains by promoting climate smart agriculture and livestock development programmes
  10. CHALLENGES IN IMPLEMENTATION OF NDC IN AGRICULTURE I. High cost of technology and capital investment II. Lack of Information, understanding and documentation III. Lack of quantifiable adaptation baselines due to unpredictable weather patterns IV. Unavailability and low development of activity data required for emissions measurement and quantification
  11. DAIRY NAMA TRANSFORMATIVE AGENDA AIM Kenya’s dairy sector is transformed into a low emission and climate resilient development pathway while providing the livelihood of dairy producers FOCUS Enhancement of on-farm productivity(Finance &Extension) Energy use efficiency in processing Support & promotion of Biogas use in households Commercial fodder supply Expected emission reductions total 8.80 million tCO2e from the following sources: _Increased dairy productivity (152,700 households): 4.14 M tCO2eq _Energy efficiency in processing (151 facilities): 2.96 M tCO2eq _Household biogas adoption (20,000 households): 0.98 M tCO2eq
  12. KENYA’S INITIATIVES IN DEVELOPMENT OF GHG INVENTORIES, RATIONALE 12  Meeting obligations under the UNFCCC  Assessing the effectiveness of policies and measures  Making long-term emission projections and develop strategies measures  Providing the foundation for carbon investment, emission trading schemes – pricing carbon 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 EmissionsMtonCO2-eq.
  13. CHALLENGES • Limited resources for field data collection (Herd population, characteristics, feed intake,,) • Limited skills and knowledge amongst officers dealing with data collection • Limited application of ICT systems and modern technology • Shortage of field staff at county level 13
  14. CURRENT APPROACH • Use Tier 1 data in carrying out GHG inventories- Use administrative data collected by county governments staff. • They are compiled and validated with KNBS • Released as official statistics to stakeholders 14
  15. PROPOSED APPROACH Use Tier 2 and 3 data in carrying out GHG inventories • Require more detailed data – Measures emission intensities • More important as Kenya implements proposed Dairy NAMA (At full proposal stage) • Already held two Tier 2 meetings with key stakeholders and partners 15
  16. HOW WE PLAN TO IMPROVE GHG INVENTORY IN LIVESTOCK SECTOR • Capacity building on Tier 2 - Already held two national workshops with stakeholders on development GHG inventory • Resource mobilization to carry out data collection on Livestock – In progress is National Farmer Registration to be done by the Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation; livestock data will be included. • Census – periodic exercise to get the frame (2019 census). KNBS is planning for KHPC and mapping is on going, livestock data included
  17. HOW WE PLAN TO IMPROVE GHG INVENTORY IN LIVESTOCK SECTOR • Sample surveys – Stratified based on production system e.g. Dairy production system (baseline survey started), pastoral systems , etc. Expected to be done after KHPC in 2019. We expect to get data on production systems, herd/flock structure, feeds and feed intake • Research data – production parameters (collaborate with KALRO, ILRI, Academia). ILRI and KALRO are doing research on methane emission factors and feed intake for livestock in Kenya • Preparation of a work plan with key partners and collaborators, we have developed a work plan to identify ,collate and use the existing data source to use in quantification of Tier 2 emissions for Dairy,by early 2019.17
  18. KEY MESSAGES Kenya intends to Start with a simple structure and use some default values as a way to initiating inventory on tier 2. Technical capacity/assistance is key to accelerating use of accurate and advanced data in livestock emissions inventories Learning from best examples builds synergy and encourages all to improve their MRV systems
  19. END THANK YOU Asante sana

Editor's Notes

  1. Jet Kerosene includes only domestic use
  2. Jet Kerosene includes only domestic use
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