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Click toBackhaul and ImplicationsMobile edit Master title styleof Using FTTx:The Cost PerspectiveClick to edit Master – Se...
Informa’s Network Economics Tool
Presentation structure                Demand                         Supply                          Costs                ...
Demand Air interface speeds and evolution • WCDMA standard: 3GPP Release 99 – Q1 2000     – First WCDMA network: Telenor N...
DemandBase station forecasts                                                  900         Base sta on unit shipments (thou...
DemandSubscriber adoption     www.informatm.com   28/09/2011      6     ©Confidential
DemandBackhaul priorities• Ownership• High speed & lower latency  –Fibre, microwave  –LTE RAN latency ≈ 20-30ms  –Latency ...
SupplyCurrent backhaul interest   Hybrid                         Legacy TDM          Satellite  backhaul                Fi...
SupplyFTTx costs• OSP is biggest driver of FTTx costs  – Standardization required• Trenching  – Aerial  – Façade  – Micro ...
SupplyTwo different FTTx approachesVerizon FiOS              AT&T UverseUp to 150Mbps             Up to 24MbpsAggressive b...
SupplyFuture work• Ethernet synchronization• Cloud RAN or baseband pooling• Other backhaul solutions where there’s no fibr...
Click to editThank you. style             Master title                      Dimitris MavrakisClick to edit Master subtitle...
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Dimitris Mavrakis - Informa - Mobile Backhaul and Implications of using FTTX

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Broadband World Forum 2011 - Dimitris Mavrakis - Informa - Mobile Backhaul and Implications of using FTTX

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Dimitris Mavrakis - Informa - Mobile Backhaul and Implications of using FTTX

  1. 1. Click toBackhaul and ImplicationsMobile edit Master title styleof Using FTTx:The Cost PerspectiveClick to edit Master – Senior AnalystDimitris Mavrakis subtitle style@dmavrakisdimitris.mavrakis@informa.com 28/09/2011 11/09/2009
  2. 2. Informa’s Network Economics Tool
  3. 3. Presentation structure Demand Supply Costs Future work www.informatm.com 28/09/2011 3 ©Confidential
  4. 4. Demand Air interface speeds and evolution • WCDMA standard: 3GPP Release 99 – Q1 2000 – First WCDMA network: Telenor Norway, December 2001 • HSDPA standard: 3GPP Release 5 – Q1 2002 – First HSDPA network: Elisa Finland, April 2006 • LTE standard: 3GPP Release 8 – Q4 2008 – First LTE network: TeliaSonera Norway/Sweden, December 2009WCDMA HSDPA HSUPA HSPA+ LTE• 384kbps • 1.8Mbps • 14.4Mbps • 42Mbps • 100Mbps+ www.informatm.com 28/09/2011 4 ©Confidential
  5. 5. DemandBase station forecasts 900 Base sta on unit shipments (thousands) 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 - 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 GSM/GPRS WCDMA CDMA 1xRTT TD-SCDMA LTE WiMAX www.informatm.com 28/09/2011 5 ©Confidential
  6. 6. DemandSubscriber adoption www.informatm.com 28/09/2011 6 ©Confidential
  7. 7. DemandBackhaul priorities• Ownership• High speed & lower latency –Fibre, microwave –LTE RAN latency ≈ 20-30ms –Latency between RNC & nodeB < 5ms• Scalability, flexibility –Ethernet• Cost –Network costs increase exponentially if distributed www.informatm.com 28/09/2011 7 ©Confidential
  8. 8. SupplyCurrent backhaul interest Hybrid Legacy TDM Satellite backhaul Fibre • FTTx, dark Microwave fibre, GPON Common denominator = Ethernet www.informatm.com 28/09/2011 8 ©Confidential
  9. 9. SupplyFTTx costs• OSP is biggest driver of FTTx costs – Standardization required• Trenching – Aerial – Façade – Micro – Full• ONT challenges – Economies of scale not yet big enough - not nearly as big as DSL – Interoperability between vendors• Careful planning, execution and commitment required www.informatm.com 28/09/2011 9 ©Confidential
  10. 10. SupplyTwo different FTTx approachesVerizon FiOS AT&T UverseUp to 150Mbps Up to 24MbpsAggressive buildout Conservative buildout+Prepared for future +CAPEX requirements- CAPEX heavy - Traffic demandCost = $18 billion Cost = $6.5 billion www.informatm.com 28/09/2011 10 ©Confidential
  11. 11. SupplyFuture work• Ethernet synchronization• Cloud RAN or baseband pooling• Other backhaul solutions where there’s no fibre www.informatm.com 28/09/2011 11 ©Confidential
  12. 12. Click to editThank you. style Master title Dimitris MavrakisClick to edit Master subtitle style Senior Analyst| Informa Telecoms & Media Email: dimitris.mavrakis@informa.com www.informatm.com 28/09/2011 11/09/2009

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