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Intuition– Its Power, Mystery & How to Get it
Quote: William James
“Compared with what
we ought to be,
we are only half-awake…
We are making use of only
a small part of...
Intuition vs Conscious Reasoning
Complex
problems
& creativity
require Intuition.
Pure analysis
is not enough
Intuition
(s...
The Left-Brain vs. Right-Brain Illusion
Ordered
Logical
Mathematical
Artistic
Creative
Musical
’Intuition’ is an Umbrella Concept
Heuristics
System 1 – all forms of non-conscious thinking
Intuitionpracticediscernsandd...
Intuition – Four Categories (?)
Affective associations (feelings) Recognising (pattern/prototype)
Accumulative (tresholds/...
Intuition Developmental Stages
Smart Heuristics (Gigerenzer)
1. Heuristics: useful intuitions!
2. Speed up decision-making
3. Simplify towards action
4. ...
EXAMPLE: Gaze Heuristic
Simple Heuristicθ˚
Biases in Heuristics (Kahneman)
“System 1 is the source of your rapid and often
precise intuitive judgments. “
“System 2 i...
CASE: Firefighters know
Simple vs. Complex in Forecasting
Error in Past Data fitting Accuracy%
Heuristic
(take the best)
Weighted
analysis
(regres...
CASE: Price of Oil Forecast (Taleb)
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Quote: William Gibson
“The future is already here
— it's just not
very evenly distributed.”
~ William Gibson ~
Expert Forecasts (Tetlock)
Philip Tetlock
Can we forecast the future?
- How accurate are experts?
- Are they better than a...
Experts : Blind Monkeys
CASE: Recession Forecasts (IMF)
Correct:
0 0 3 0 0
Forecasted recession
(one year ahead)
Actual number of recessions
(one ...
Two categories of Forecasters
Hedgehogs & Foxes
Superforecasters (Tetlock)
1. Be a Fox
2. Rate your confidence
3. Score results neutrally
4. Be actively open-minded
5. Re...
Analyse
Reduce
Deduct
Criticise
Copy
Standard
Result
Avoid Risk
Get Insight
Immerse
Contradict
Combine
Associate
Play
New
...
How to Get Insights (Klein)Gary KleinHow to get New Insights:
1. Explore contradictions (what if?)
2. Create connections (...
CASE: Who Saves Your Life?
Amateur Expert
Amateurs Experts
Helpers
Evaluators
5+
y.
5+
y.
Reason
When you desperately need...
Flow Creates Intuition (Kotler)
Steven Kotler
1. Flow puts you in the intuition zone
2. Flow alters state of consciousness...
CASE: Extreme Rock Climbing
1.Intensely Focused Attention
2.Clear Goal (what & why)
3.Immediate, Honest Feedback
4.Challen...
Creative Breakthroughs (Shavinina)ExtraCognitive Innovations require:
1. Deep passion for subject
2. Cognitive curiosity (...
CASE: Barbara McClintock (Keller)
QUOTE: Antoine de Saint-Exupéry
“And now here is my
secret,
a very simple secret:
It is only with the heart
that one can s...
False Beliefs about the Heart
“It’s just a pump”
“Mechanical”
“Can be replaced
with a machine”
“Steady beat is good”
”Dumb...
Modern Neuro-cardiology
Heart is a Sensing Organ.
Brains are not the rhythmic controller of bodily functions, the Heart is...
Heart Coherence improves Intuition
Incoherent: Weakens functioning – requires energy (stress)
Coherent: Supports peak perf...
Heart EMF Field Extends Beyond Body
+3m outside the body
Encodes emotional information
Others can sense the field
Fields c...
DO: Quick Heart Coherence Meditation
2. Close Your eyes and
imagine you breathe
through your heart
4. Breathe through
hear...
Quote: Rumi
“Only from the heart
can you touch the sky..”
~ Rumi ~
WARNING!
Tesla – A Visionary Genius
“My brain is only a receiver,
in the Universe there is a core
from which we obtain
knowledge, s...
Extraordinary Knowing
Quote: Kaufmann - telepathy
“If mind is partially
quantum, nonlocality is
possible … as is
telepathy.
We are arrogant not ...
Body Anticipates the Future
Before photo During photo Photo removed
Time
0
+3 s +10 s
Calming photo
0 s-5 s
Calming photo
...
“We found out experimentally that ESP
exists, but that any practical application of
this knowledge is not likely in the
fo...
Can Psychics crack the Wall St?
Did Psychic Powers Give Firm
a Killing In the Silver Market?
— And Did Greed Ruin It All?
...
Remote Viewing used by Organizations
Meditative Traditions Confirm
“By Samyama over
the changes of characteristic,
secondary quality and condition,
comes to th...
Quote: Einstein
“People like us,
who believe in physics,
know that the
distinction between
past, present, and future
is on...
How do I do this?
1. Direct
2. Quiet down & Turn Inward
3. Observe & Linger
4. Apply & Test
Yes
No
Something
else
5. Have fun!
Thank You!
Intuition Books
Business
Biases Heuristics Risk Intuitions Insights
Using
Research
Methods Developing Examples
Extraordinary Intuition Reading
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Intuition - its power, mystery & how to get it

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What is intuition? Who is intuitive? What can intuition know? What is extraordinary intuition? How can you develop your own intuition?

This presentation gives basic understanding for intuition and suggests some additional reading (books) as well.

Intuition - its power, mystery & how to get it

  1. 1. Intuition– Its Power, Mystery & How to Get it
  2. 2. Quote: William James “Compared with what we ought to be, we are only half-awake… We are making use of only a small part of our possible mental resources.” ~ William James, founder of Psychology (1911) ~
  3. 3. Intuition vs Conscious Reasoning Complex problems & creativity require Intuition. Pure analysis is not enough Intuition (system 1) Conscious Reasoning (system 2) Slow Linear, step-wise Analytical Deductive Quickly changing ~ Rule based Rapid Parallel Non-linear Associative Slow learning ~ Emotional Creative Thought “Intuition is imperative because conscious reasoning and logic are too limited for human-created problems, particularly those on the global scale.” - Daniel Cappon, ‘Intuition & Management’
  4. 4. The Left-Brain vs. Right-Brain Illusion Ordered Logical Mathematical Artistic Creative Musical
  5. 5. ’Intuition’ is an Umbrella Concept Heuristics System 1 – all forms of non-conscious thinking Intuitionpracticediscernsanddeepens Examples of intuition Experiences Results Associations Instincts Reflexes Automations ”butterflies in stomach” Certainty ”Heureka!” ”right direction”Doubting feeling Vision Insight Message Understanding Solution Confirmation
  6. 6. Intuition – Four Categories (?) Affective associations (feelings) Recognising (pattern/prototype) Accumulative (tresholds/combining) Constructive (new ideas)
  7. 7. Intuition Developmental Stages
  8. 8. Smart Heuristics (Gigerenzer) 1. Heuristics: useful intuitions! 2. Speed up decision-making 3. Simplify towards action 4. Simplicity wins over complexity Uncertainty? Intuition wins!
  9. 9. EXAMPLE: Gaze Heuristic Simple Heuristicθ˚
  10. 10. Biases in Heuristics (Kahneman) “System 1 is the source of your rapid and often precise intuitive judgments. “ “System 2 is not a paragon of rationality. Its abilities are limited and so is the knowledge it has access to.” “Our thoughts and actions are routinely guided by System 1 and generally are on the mark.”
  11. 11. CASE: Firefighters know
  12. 12. Simple vs. Complex in Forecasting Error in Past Data fitting Accuracy% Heuristic (take the best) Weighted analysis (regression) Equal weighting (tallying) Degree of polynomial (statistical algorithm) Data Fit (Past) Prediction (Future) ErrorLevel Accuracy of Temperature forecasts vs Complexity Heuristics vs Regression in Forecasts Error in Forecasting Future trend Too much complexity leads to over-fitting and worse forecasts 2.4 7.7 variables 7.7 Simple heuristics can win in forecasting
  13. 13. CASE: Price of Oil Forecast (Taleb) Nassim Nicholas Taleb
  14. 14. Quote: William Gibson “The future is already here — it's just not very evenly distributed.” ~ William Gibson ~
  15. 15. Expert Forecasts (Tetlock) Philip Tetlock Can we forecast the future? - How accurate are experts? - Are they better than algorithms? - Who are the best forecasters? - What are the qualities of the best? We believe experts, but have no data!
  16. 16. Experts : Blind Monkeys
  17. 17. CASE: Recession Forecasts (IMF) Correct: 0 0 3 0 0 Forecasted recession (one year ahead) Actual number of recessions (one year after) Recession forecasting by hundreds of Economic professionals
  18. 18. Two categories of Forecasters Hedgehogs & Foxes
  19. 19. Superforecasters (Tetlock) 1. Be a Fox 2. Rate your confidence 3. Score results neutrally 4. Be actively open-minded 5. Re-assess & Re-calibrate Superforecaster Principles Compare several trends: contradict Historical context: cycles & averages Average opinion: middle more accurate Math models: if right in same situation Predict biases : let go, if data shows
  20. 20. Analyse Reduce Deduct Criticise Copy Standard Result Avoid Risk Get Insight Immerse Contradict Combine Associate Play New Ideas Risk vs Insight
  21. 21. How to Get Insights (Klein)Gary KleinHow to get New Insights: 1. Explore contradictions (what if?) 2. Create connections (learn new) 3. Personal desperation (discard) Break routines : curious observation Gary A. Klein
  22. 22. CASE: Who Saves Your Life? Amateur Expert Amateurs Experts Helpers Evaluators 5+ y. 5+ y. Reason When you desperately need it – Intuition becomes available
  23. 23. Flow Creates Intuition (Kotler) Steven Kotler 1. Flow puts you in the intuition zone 2. Flow alters state of consciousness 3. Sense of time is lost 4. Loss of self floods in 5. You feel part of something greater You know directly what to do
  24. 24. CASE: Extreme Rock Climbing 1.Intensely Focused Attention 2.Clear Goal (what & why) 3.Immediate, Honest Feedback 4.Challenge/Skill ratio c. 105%
  25. 25. Creative Breakthroughs (Shavinina)ExtraCognitive Innovations require: 1. Deep passion for subject 2. Cognitive curiosity (questioning) 3. Self-regulation: mental & emotional 4. Self-confidence & independence Joyful doing: a passion for excellence Larisa L. Shavinina
  26. 26. CASE: Barbara McClintock (Keller)
  27. 27. QUOTE: Antoine de Saint-Exupéry “And now here is my secret, a very simple secret: It is only with the heart that one can see rightly; what is essential is invisible to the eye.” ~ Antoine de Saint-Exupéry ~
  28. 28. False Beliefs about the Heart “It’s just a pump” “Mechanical” “Can be replaced with a machine” “Steady beat is good” ”Dumb, not intelligent.”
  29. 29. Modern Neuro-cardiology Heart is a Sensing Organ. Brains are not the rhythmic controller of bodily functions, the Heart is. Brain sends c. 40-60 times as much data to the brain as is reverse. Heart tunes feelings, reactions, perceptions and physiological feedback. Heart has its own intrinsic memory – independent of the brains.
  30. 30. Heart Coherence improves Intuition Incoherent: Weakens functioning – requires energy (stress) Coherent: Supports peak performance – increases resiliency PulsePulse Disturbs cognitive functions Improves cognitive functions Time (seconds) 100 – 90 – 80 – 70 – 60 – 50 – 100 – 90 – 80 – 70 – 60 – 50 – 1 50 100 150 200 © Institute of HeartMath 1 50 100 150 200 Time (seconds)
  31. 31. Heart EMF Field Extends Beyond Body +3m outside the body Encodes emotional information Others can sense the field Fields can synchronize together
  32. 32. DO: Quick Heart Coherence Meditation 2. Close Your eyes and imagine you breathe through your heart 4. Breathe through heart & feel the love and gratitude in your body 3. Recall a positive memory of love or deep gratitude 1. Take a few deep diaphragm breaths
  33. 33. Quote: Rumi “Only from the heart can you touch the sky..” ~ Rumi ~
  34. 34. WARNING!
  35. 35. Tesla – A Visionary Genius “My brain is only a receiver, in the Universe there is a core from which we obtain knowledge, strength and inspiration. I have not penetrated into the secrets of this core, but I know that it exists.” ― Nikola Tesla
  36. 36. Extraordinary Knowing
  37. 37. Quote: Kaufmann - telepathy “If mind is partially quantum, nonlocality is possible … as is telepathy. We are arrogant not to look at this with open minds.” — Stuart Kauffman, biologist (2015)
  38. 38. Body Anticipates the Future Before photo During photo Photo removed Time 0 +3 s +10 s Calming photo 0 s-5 s Calming photo Exciting photo Skin reaction vs.?
  39. 39. “We found out experimentally that ESP exists, but that any practical application of this knowledge is not likely in the foreseeable future.” - Masanobu Sakaguchi , Sony (1998) If it Works – Why isn’t being used?
  40. 40. Can Psychics crack the Wall St? Did Psychic Powers Give Firm a Killing In the Silver Market? — And Did Greed Ruin It All? By Erik Larson This was a test, and a clever one, of the ancient network of oracles. Croesus sent messengers to ask each oracle to describe what the king was up to at that particular moment. Only the oracle at Delphi called it right. No slouch when it came to rewards, Croesus slaughtered a few thousand sacrificial beasts, then dropped off a little something extra: 117 gold ingots and a solid gold lion weighing 570 pounds. Delphi Associates of San Mateo would settle for the gold lion. Delphi is a struggling three-man partnership formed to cash in on the fruits of its founders' psychic research. "This is not just an amusing exercise," says Anthony R. White, a Stanford University M.B.A., art investor and manager of a family fortune. The research heavyweight is Russell Targ, a physicist who built sophisticated lasers for GTE Sylvania Inc. until 1972, then spent the next 10 years doing hush-hush, still "classified," psychic research for the federal government at SRI International, the sober California think tank. "We didn't invent psychic functioning," he says. "We thought we understood it enough to go into the market.“ Clairvoyance has always had its rewards. In 550 B.C., King Croesus of Lydia sliced up a tortoise and a lamb and mashed them together in a brass pot. This was not dinner. This was a test, and a clever one, of the ancient network of oracles. Croesus sent messengers to ask each oracle to describe what the king was up to at that particular moment. Only the oracle at Delphi called it right. No slouch when it came to rewards, Croesus slaughtered a few thousand sacrificial beasts, then dropped off a little something extra: 117 weighing 570 pounds. Delphi Associates of San Mateo would settle for the Delphi is a struggling three-man partnership formed to cash in on the — Wall Street Journal (Eastern edition). Oct 22, 1984. —
  41. 41. Remote Viewing used by Organizations
  42. 42. Meditative Traditions Confirm “By Samyama over the changes of characteristic, secondary quality and condition, comes to the Yogis the knowledge of the past and the future.” ~ Patañjali , ’Yoga Sutras’(400 CE) ~ “Great enlightening beings, by super-knowledge of the eons of the entire future, know the ages of the worlds as numerous as the atoms in untold Buddha lands. This called great enlightening beings’ fourth super-knowledge, the power of knowing the ages of the entire future.” ~ ’Flower Ornament Scripture’ (200 CE) ~ “Know your Atman - the pure, infinite consciousness, eternally existent in the past, present and future. Thus you will find peace .” ~ Adi Shankara, ’Vivekaduchamani’ (700 CE)~
  43. 43. Quote: Einstein “People like us, who believe in physics, know that the distinction between past, present, and future is only a stubbornly persistent illusion.” ~ Albert Einstein ~
  44. 44. How do I do this?
  45. 45. 1. Direct
  46. 46. 2. Quiet down & Turn Inward
  47. 47. 3. Observe & Linger
  48. 48. 4. Apply & Test Yes No Something else
  49. 49. 5. Have fun!
  50. 50. Thank You!
  51. 51. Intuition Books Business Biases Heuristics Risk Intuitions Insights Using Research Methods Developing Examples
  52. 52. Extraordinary Intuition Reading

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