Accelerate to

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40 Years of the Web and where the mobile web is going.

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Accelerate to

  1. 1. AccelerateTO Web meets World Nov 2010 CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET
  2. 2. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET t = now
  3. 3. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET Web 0.1 : Beta [t-40] 1G Wired Web: 7 Impact: Universities connected Bomb Proof Networks Dr. Martin Cooper Mobiles: 7,000 Vint Cerf
  4. 4. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET Web 1.0 [t-20] 2G Wired Web: 520,000 Mobiles: 7,000,000 Impact: Links
  5. 5. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET Web 1.0 [t-15] 2G Wired Web: 16,000,000 Mobiles: 98,000,000 Impact: E-commerce ramps
  6. 6. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET 1969 1972 1976 1982 1989 1996 19981999 2000 2001 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 Web 1.0 [t-12] 2G Wired Web: 147,000,000 Mobiles: 469,200,000 Impact: Search and SaaS
  7. 7. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET Web 1.0 : Dies [t-10] 2.5G Wired Web: 361,000,000 Mobiles: 709,000,000 Impact: Tactical retreat & rebuild
  8. 8. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET Web 2.0 : Social [t-6] 3G People connected: 817,000,000 Impact: Social Web ramps Mobiles: 1,744,000,000
  9. 9. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET In the beginning… [t-3]
  10. 10. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET 3G Web 2.0
  11. 11. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET Web 3.0
  12. 12. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET 1969 1972 1976 1982 1989 1996 1998 1999 2000 2001 2004 2005 2006 20082009 Web 2.0 [t-2] 4G DJIA lost 53% of its value Wired Web: 1,586,000,000 Mobiles: 4,269,600,000 Impact: Massive GDP shifts
  13. 13. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET 1969 1972 1976 1982 1989 1996 1998 1999 2000 2001 2004 2005 2006 2008 20092010 Web 3.0 : Web meets World [t-1] People connected: 1,668,000,000 Mobiles: 4,646,000,000 Impact: Web meets World
  14. 14. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET Just starting to get faster… 13
  15. 15. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET 10,000,000,000 units?
  16. 16. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET Open Mobile: $s follow usage = $1,000,000,000 15
  17. 17. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET Smart Phones > PCs
  18. 18. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET 4 Horse Race?
  19. 19. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET 6 Months ago….
  20. 20. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET “iPad will chop Netbook sales by 50 percent” Brian Dunn, CEO Best Buy WSJ Sept 17th
  21. 21. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET Last month….
  22. 22. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET End of….  PCs Record labels Newspapers Books Credit Cards Law firms Banks  …..
  23. 23. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET 40th month of “smart”…… 22 325,000,000 users 300% 236,000,000 units 300% 300,000 apps 100% 8,000,000,000 dls 500% 22,000,000 a day 700%
  24. 24. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET 1969 1972 1976 1982 1989 1996 1998 1999 2000 2001 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 Now = Web 3.0 [t-0] Wired Web: 1,966,514,816 Mobiles: 5,155,651,438 Population: 6,845,609,960 Impact: Web is World @ 28% & 71%
  25. 25. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET 40 years of acceleration
  26. 26. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET What’s next [t+1]
  27. 27. CONFIDENTIAL | TRADE SECRET 1969 1972 1976 1982 1989 1996 1998 1999 2000 2001 2004 2005 2006 2008 2009 2014 What’s next [t +4 ] Smart Phones: 1,000,000,000 People connected: 4,000,000,000 Impact: $14 Trillion (30%) GDP Open Mobile •Open radios (wifi, 3G, 4G) • Open OS & Multiple OS • Open Applications • Open APIs 26

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