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Valuation of
 Bonds and
  Shares

               1
Features of a Bond
•   Face Value
•   Interest Rate—fixed or floating
•   Maturity
•   Redemption value
•   Market Value



                                      2
Bond with Maturity
Bond value = Present value of interest +
Present value of maturity value:

           n
                   INTt        Bn
     B0 = ∑                 +
          t =1   (1 + kd ) (1 + kd )
                          t          n




                                           3
Yield to Maturity
• The yield-to-maturity (YTM) is the
  measure of a bond’s rate of return that
  considers both the interest income and
  any capital gain or loss. YTM is bond’s
  internal rate of return.
• A perpetual bond’s yield-to-maturity:
         n =∞
            INT          INT
 B0 = ∑                =
      t = (1 + k d )
                     t
         1                kd
                                            4
Bond Value and Amortisation
           of Principal
• A bond (debenture) may be amortised
  every year, i.e., repayment of principal
  every year rather at maturity.
• The formula for determining the value of a
  bond or debenture that is amortised every
  year, can be written as follows:
                    n
                         CFt
            B0 = ∑
                 t =1 (1 + k d )
                                 t


                                               5
Pure Discount Bonds

Pure discount bond do not carry an explicit
rate of interest. It provides for the payment of a
lump sum amount at a future date in exchange
for the current price of the bond

Value of a pure discount bond = PV of the amount
on maturity:
                       Mn
         B0 =
                  ( 1 +k d )
                                n



                                                     6
Bond Duration and Interest
         Rate Sensitivity
The bond’s price sensitivity can be more
accurately estimated by its duration.
A bond’s duration is measured as the weighted
average of times to each cash flow (interest
payment or repayment of principal).

(1+y/y) – [{(1+y) + T (c-y)}]/ [c {(1+y)T - 1}+
y]


                                                  7
Volatility
The volatility or the interest rate
 sensitivity of a bond is given by its
 duration and YTM. A bond’s volatility,
 referred to as its modified duration, is
 given as follows:
                             Duration
     Volatility of a bond =
                            (1 + YTM)


                                            8
Valuation of Shares
• A company may issue two types of
  shares:
  – ordinary shares and
  – preference shares
• Features of Preference and Ordinary
  Shares
  – Claims
  – Dividend
  – Redemption
  – Conversion
                                        9
Valuation of Preference
             Shares
• The value of the preference share
  would be the sum of the present values
  of dividends and the redemption value.
• A formula similar to the valuation of
  bond can be used to value preference
  shares with a maturity period:
              n
                     PDIV1         Pn
         P0 = ∑                 +
             t =1   (1 + k p ) (1 + k p ) n
                              t




                                              10
Valuation of Ordinary Shares
• Single Period Valuation:
  – If the share price is expected to grow at g per
    cent, then P1:
  – We obtain a simple formula for the share
    valuation as follows:

                   DIV1
               P =
                0
                   ke − g


                                                  11
Multi-period Valuation
If the final period is n, we can write the
general formula for share value as
follows:

          n
                  DIVt        Pn
   P0 = ∑                  +
         t =1   (1 + ke ) (1 + ke )
                         t          n




                                             12
Multi-period Valuation
• Growth in Dividends

  Growth = Retention ratio × Return on equity
        g = b × ROE


  – Normal Growth
                DIV
            P =
             0
                    1

                ke −g
                                                13
Multi-period Valuation
       In the case of super normal growth for a
       particular period and normal growth for the
       remaining period


Share value = PV of dividends during finite super-normal growth period
             + PV of dividends during indefinite normal growth period




                                                                   14
H - MODEL
In this there is super normal in the beginning
which linearly declines to a stable rate in a
particular time say 2H years.

The value of the shares is as follows
.




                                                 15
Price-Earnings (P/E) Ratio
P/E ratio is calculated as the price of a
share divided by earning per share

Using PE ratio the price of the share can
be calculated as follows

      Price = PE ratio * EPS.

                                            16

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Valuation of securities

  • 1. Valuation of Bonds and Shares 1
  • 2. Features of a Bond • Face Value • Interest Rate—fixed or floating • Maturity • Redemption value • Market Value 2
  • 3. Bond with Maturity Bond value = Present value of interest + Present value of maturity value: n INTt Bn B0 = ∑ + t =1 (1 + kd ) (1 + kd ) t n 3
  • 4. Yield to Maturity • The yield-to-maturity (YTM) is the measure of a bond’s rate of return that considers both the interest income and any capital gain or loss. YTM is bond’s internal rate of return. • A perpetual bond’s yield-to-maturity: n =∞ INT INT B0 = ∑ = t = (1 + k d ) t 1 kd 4
  • 5. Bond Value and Amortisation of Principal • A bond (debenture) may be amortised every year, i.e., repayment of principal every year rather at maturity. • The formula for determining the value of a bond or debenture that is amortised every year, can be written as follows: n CFt B0 = ∑ t =1 (1 + k d ) t 5
  • 6. Pure Discount Bonds Pure discount bond do not carry an explicit rate of interest. It provides for the payment of a lump sum amount at a future date in exchange for the current price of the bond Value of a pure discount bond = PV of the amount on maturity: Mn B0 = ( 1 +k d ) n 6
  • 7. Bond Duration and Interest Rate Sensitivity The bond’s price sensitivity can be more accurately estimated by its duration. A bond’s duration is measured as the weighted average of times to each cash flow (interest payment or repayment of principal). (1+y/y) – [{(1+y) + T (c-y)}]/ [c {(1+y)T - 1}+ y] 7
  • 8. Volatility The volatility or the interest rate sensitivity of a bond is given by its duration and YTM. A bond’s volatility, referred to as its modified duration, is given as follows: Duration Volatility of a bond = (1 + YTM) 8
  • 9. Valuation of Shares • A company may issue two types of shares: – ordinary shares and – preference shares • Features of Preference and Ordinary Shares – Claims – Dividend – Redemption – Conversion 9
  • 10. Valuation of Preference Shares • The value of the preference share would be the sum of the present values of dividends and the redemption value. • A formula similar to the valuation of bond can be used to value preference shares with a maturity period: n PDIV1 Pn P0 = ∑ + t =1 (1 + k p ) (1 + k p ) n t 10
  • 11. Valuation of Ordinary Shares • Single Period Valuation: – If the share price is expected to grow at g per cent, then P1: – We obtain a simple formula for the share valuation as follows: DIV1 P = 0 ke − g 11
  • 12. Multi-period Valuation If the final period is n, we can write the general formula for share value as follows: n DIVt Pn P0 = ∑ + t =1 (1 + ke ) (1 + ke ) t n 12
  • 13. Multi-period Valuation • Growth in Dividends Growth = Retention ratio × Return on equity g = b × ROE – Normal Growth DIV P = 0 1 ke −g 13
  • 14. Multi-period Valuation In the case of super normal growth for a particular period and normal growth for the remaining period Share value = PV of dividends during finite super-normal growth period + PV of dividends during indefinite normal growth period 14
  • 15. H - MODEL In this there is super normal in the beginning which linearly declines to a stable rate in a particular time say 2H years. The value of the shares is as follows . 15
  • 16. Price-Earnings (P/E) Ratio P/E ratio is calculated as the price of a share divided by earning per share Using PE ratio the price of the share can be calculated as follows Price = PE ratio * EPS. 16