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April 2009 Final

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Economic Indicators Update for the Seven Rivers Region

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April 2009 Final

  1. 1. Economic Indicators: An Update for the 7 Rivers Region
  2. 2. Optimism: I'm delighted to report that over the break we learned that our campus has produced so many graduates currently working as Peace Corps volunteers that we are among the Top 25 medium-sized schools in the nation. -Joe Gow he Economist: Oh no. They couldn’t find jobs.
  3. 3. Unemployment claims over last 6 months 178,869 64,327 Wisconsi 123,211 n Minnesota 38,450
  4. 4. Postwar Recessions (1946-2008) 0 1957 Cumulative Decline in Employment from Peak -1 1948 2007 -2 1953 -3 -4 -5 -6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Months from Peak Employment
  5. 5. Postwar Recessions (1946-2008) 0 Cumulative Decline in Employment from Peak -1 1990 2001 -2 -3 2007 -4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Months From Peak Employment
  6. 6. Recession… It’s no longer the banks
  7. 7. TED Spread 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 - Jan-94 Jan-96 Jan-98 Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-06 Jan-08
  8. 8. Wealth Consumption
  9. 9. Equity Indices 180.0 160.0 140.0 120.0 7 Rivers 100.0 80.0 DJIA 60.0 S&P 500 40.0 20.0 0.0 Dec-99 Jun-01 Jan-03 Jul-04 Jan-06 Jul-07 Jan-09
  10. 10. Index of Home Prices 240.0 220.0 Phoenix 200.0 180.0 Minneapolis 160.0 140.0 7 Rivers Region 120.0 100.0 80.0 Jan-98 Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-06 Jan-08
  11. 11. Falling Confidence Falling Consumption
  12. 12. Consumer Expectations Index 110 100 90 80 70 60 7 Rivers 50 National 40 April 2002 April 2003 April 2004 March 2006 April 2007*** August February 2008*** 2009***
  13. 13. In Recessions… Preferences Change
  14. 14. TIME Vs. MONEY
  15. 15. In Recessions… People Get Healthier
  16. 16. In Recessions… Preferences Change – Temporarily
  17. 17. ars accumulate at the ports
  18. 18. U.S. Vehicle Sales 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 Millions of Vehicles 10.0 Imports 8.0 6.0 Domestic 4.0 2.0 0.0 Feb. '08 Jun. '08 Oct. '08 Feb. '09
  19. 19. In Recessions… Preferences Change – Permanently.
  20. 20. The Lost Decade
  21. 21. In Recessions… There are opportunities.
  22. 22. Total U.S. Light Vehicle Retail Sales (SAAR, Mil. Units) 100% 90% Imports 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Domestic 30% 20% 10% 0% Feb. '08 Jun. '08 Oct. '08 Feb. '09
  23. 23. Gasoline Prices (C/gal) 450.0 400.0 350.0 300.0 250.0 200.0 150.0 100.0 50.0 0.0 Jan-95 Jan-97 Jan-99 Jan-01 Jan-03 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09
  24. 24. The Stimulus… Obama’s Wager
  25. 25. Nick Lichter Executive Director of Organic Logistics at Organic Valley.
  26. 26. Jeneen Ablan Marketing Director at Shared Health Services.
  27. 27. Adam Etrheim Founder of eContractorBids.com.
  28. 28. Economic Indicators: An Update for the 7 Rivers Region

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