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Brian Solis, Principal Analyst and Futurist
Altimeter, the digital analyst group at Prophet
@briansolis
Digital Darwinism
The evolution of society
and technology and its
impact on behavior,
expectations and customs.
Business “as usual” is an outdated experience. Modern
customers are connected and empowered. They want
things NOW in the moments that matter in the ways
they communicate, discover & connect.
NORMAL
Convenience Makes Fossil Fuels Relevant
Again
Your last car may already
be in your driveway.
The introduction of mass-produced, self-driving
vehicles will only exacerbate the need for subscription-
CLIMATE CHANGE IS
HERE. IT’S WHAT WE DO
AS ORGANIZATIONS,
CONSUMERS AND
HUMANS THAT DICTATES
THE FUTURE.
Transportation using fossil fuels are responsible for 25% -
33% of all energy related carbon dioxide emissions to the
atmosphere, growing faster than any other sector.
Will 2021 be the year when electric
and self-driving cars take over?
Enel and Ambrosetti estimate that
electric vehicles could represent
50%+ of cars sold globally by 2040.
Challenges facing e-mobility
The manufacture of electric vehicles uses significant energy.
Some estimate the impact on global warming at double the
production of conventional cars.
Until our electricity grids are running on 100% renewables,
calling EVs "zero-emissions" is not true.
Raise your hand if you support the environment.
Now, raise your hand if are going to switch to e-
mobility in the next 2 years and give up petrol.
Environment vs. Lifestyle
Price
Infrastructure
Range
Lifestyle Opportunity
Electric cars are sufficient for
more than 90%of all rides
Trends driving e-mobility
“We've reached the limit of
what's possible with diesel
and gasoline. The time has
come to move to a new
generation of technology.”
“The last kilometer” or “last mile”
has accelerated urban e-mobility.
Electric bikes are
currently the top-
selling EV worldwide.
A regular non-electric bike trip is less than 1.6km
An average Uber or Lyft trip is about 8km
The average number of miles with an e-bike is 4.35km.
Future roads for e-mobility
Have we reached “Peak Car?”
The average car is parked 95% of the time.
e-Sharing sets the stage for “mobility as a service.”
On-demand offerings ride-hailing and pooling services
Community mobility services
On-demand mobility services
Exploring mobility innovation
Pooling e-mobility re-imagined
Shared autonomous electric vehicle (SAEV)
fleets will account for nearly 25% of all auto
passenger miles traveled in the US by 2030.
- BCG
e-mobility opens the door for new relationships
between utilities and customers
Vehicle to grid (V2G), a new technology that transforms
the car into a mobile battery.
Cars can thus store energy during off-peak
consumption hours and return any excess energy later
when there is greater demand for it.
Battery prices are dropping while energy density is rising
Costs are also dropping for generating and storing
energy for renewables
LiDAR costs are decreasing making autonomous
possible for mainstream applications
Urban dwellers are early adopters and ready to experiment
Pillars of E-Mobility
Battery prices and innovation are the core of e-mobility
Infrastructure is essential to scale
Costs will steer adoption to ownership or sharing
Utilities will innovate and create new relationships
Lifestyle marketing is essential to driving adoption
Brian Solis
bsolis@prophet.com
Altimeter, the digital research group at Prophet
briansolis.com
@briansolis
Linkedin.com/influencer/briansolis
Facebook.com/thebriansolis

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Digital Darwinism and the Rise of E-Mobility

  • 1. Brian Solis, Principal Analyst and Futurist Altimeter, the digital analyst group at Prophet @briansolis
  • 2. Digital Darwinism The evolution of society and technology and its impact on behavior, expectations and customs.
  • 3.
  • 4. Business “as usual” is an outdated experience. Modern customers are connected and empowered. They want things NOW in the moments that matter in the ways they communicate, discover & connect. NORMAL
  • 5. Convenience Makes Fossil Fuels Relevant Again
  • 6. Your last car may already be in your driveway. The introduction of mass-produced, self-driving vehicles will only exacerbate the need for subscription-
  • 7. CLIMATE CHANGE IS HERE. IT’S WHAT WE DO AS ORGANIZATIONS, CONSUMERS AND HUMANS THAT DICTATES THE FUTURE.
  • 8. Transportation using fossil fuels are responsible for 25% - 33% of all energy related carbon dioxide emissions to the atmosphere, growing faster than any other sector.
  • 9. Will 2021 be the year when electric and self-driving cars take over? Enel and Ambrosetti estimate that electric vehicles could represent 50%+ of cars sold globally by 2040.
  • 11. The manufacture of electric vehicles uses significant energy. Some estimate the impact on global warming at double the production of conventional cars. Until our electricity grids are running on 100% renewables, calling EVs "zero-emissions" is not true.
  • 12. Raise your hand if you support the environment. Now, raise your hand if are going to switch to e- mobility in the next 2 years and give up petrol. Environment vs. Lifestyle
  • 13.
  • 15.
  • 16. Electric cars are sufficient for more than 90%of all rides
  • 18. “We've reached the limit of what's possible with diesel and gasoline. The time has come to move to a new generation of technology.”
  • 19. “The last kilometer” or “last mile” has accelerated urban e-mobility.
  • 20.
  • 21. Electric bikes are currently the top- selling EV worldwide.
  • 22. A regular non-electric bike trip is less than 1.6km An average Uber or Lyft trip is about 8km The average number of miles with an e-bike is 4.35km.
  • 23. Future roads for e-mobility
  • 24.
  • 25. Have we reached “Peak Car?” The average car is parked 95% of the time.
  • 26. e-Sharing sets the stage for “mobility as a service.”
  • 27. On-demand offerings ride-hailing and pooling services Community mobility services On-demand mobility services Exploring mobility innovation Pooling e-mobility re-imagined
  • 28. Shared autonomous electric vehicle (SAEV) fleets will account for nearly 25% of all auto passenger miles traveled in the US by 2030. - BCG
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32. e-mobility opens the door for new relationships between utilities and customers
  • 33. Vehicle to grid (V2G), a new technology that transforms the car into a mobile battery. Cars can thus store energy during off-peak consumption hours and return any excess energy later when there is greater demand for it.
  • 34. Battery prices are dropping while energy density is rising Costs are also dropping for generating and storing energy for renewables LiDAR costs are decreasing making autonomous possible for mainstream applications Urban dwellers are early adopters and ready to experiment
  • 35. Pillars of E-Mobility Battery prices and innovation are the core of e-mobility Infrastructure is essential to scale Costs will steer adoption to ownership or sharing Utilities will innovate and create new relationships Lifestyle marketing is essential to driving adoption
  • 36. Brian Solis bsolis@prophet.com Altimeter, the digital research group at Prophet briansolis.com @briansolis Linkedin.com/influencer/briansolis Facebook.com/thebriansolis

Editor's Notes

  1. https://techaisle.com/images/smb-infographics/2017-top10-smb-it-priorities-business-issues-techaisle-infographics.jpg