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43(4):379-385,2002
GUEST EDITORIAL
Aiming for Prevention: Medical and Public Health Approaches to Small Arms, Gun
Violence, and Injury
Brian Rawson
Program Coordinator, International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War
The level of global small arms violence is enormous and the scale of human suffering it causes is immense, although
poorly counted. It causes at least hundreds of thousands of deaths and more than a million injuries each year, as well as
permanent physical and psychological damage, destruction of families, lost productivity, and diversion of resources
from basic health services. Research is required on three basic issues, as follows: health effects of weapons; the contrib-
uting factors and causes, including behavioral issues; and impacts of interventions and their cost-effectiveness. Policies
andprogramsdesignedtoreducethehumanandsocialimpactsofsmallarmsshouldmakeuseofpublichealthknowl-
edge and analysis of risk factors as a means of bringing increased focus and effectiveness to their objectives. At its inter-
national conference on small arms, gun violence, and injury, “Aiming for Prevention” in Helsinki in September 2001,
International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War called on health professionals as well as scientists, activists,
humanitarian and development workers to contribute to an effective confrontation of the small arms pandemic.
Keywords: epidemiology; firearms; public health; risk factors; social control, formal; social medicine; violence; war; wounds
and injuries
“Sometimes patients will come six or seven in
number, and you have one operating room, and so
it’s difficult to prioritize because all of the injuries are
severe. When they brought these patients in from a
drive about four hours away after the 22 people were
shot, five of those patients were under the age of five.
There was one child that needed a colostomy, the
child is only three years old. And you’re prioritizing
between a three-year-old and a six-year-old. I mean,
it’s ridiculous.”
Olive Kobusingye,
surgeon and epidemiologist, Uganda (1)
For two decades, International Physicians for the
Prevention of Nuclear War organization has advo-
cated for a primary prevention approach to weapons
that cause massive, indiscriminate human suffering
and casualties that overwhelm capacities for medical
treatment. With the intensity of modern conventional
weaponry and war, International Physicians for the
Prevention of Nuclear War organization’s call for pre-
vention has extended from nuclear weapons to weap-
ons such as small arms. International Physicians for
the Prevention of Nuclear War views warfare as inter-
connected on a spectrum of violence, with smaller
wars and weapons escalating unpredictably to larger
ones. Thus, working to prevent war with small arms is
crucial to the overarching effort of preventing nuclear
war.
Small arms and gun violence is manifest in vastly
different ways – from war and mass violence to indi-
vidual acts of murder and suicide. Despite this range
of use, violence with small arms has common fea-
tures, such as lethality – small arms tend to increase
the chance that an act of violence will end in a fatal
outcome; medical burden – attempts to restore the
health of victims of small arms violence are challeng-
ing, time consuming, and costly; and preventable –
on the whole, small arms violence is preventable. Pri-
mary prevention is the most appropriate way to deal
with a problem causing massive casualties world-
wide.
This report attempts to clarify the tools and re-
sources necessary to take a health approach to small
arms and gun violence in local and international set-
tings. The term “small arms” herein refers to those
conventional firearms characterized as available, af-
fordable, easy to use and transport by one or two peo-
ple, and capable of causing severe, lethal injury. It ad-
dresses both military and civilian arms of such defini-
tion, including assault rifles, handguns, grenades,
mortars, long-guns, and others.
This report recognizes the diversity of the prob-
lem and the need to tailor local interventions to meet
local circumstances. It also acknowledges the global
connections of the networks and sources that supply
the weapons and the international nature of the poli-
tics, economics, and population flows that underpin
the problem. Therefore, global dialogue among health
www.cmj.hr 379
professionals is necessary to inform local efforts, and
international coordination is necessary for sharing in-
formation, tools, resources, and strategies.
Knowledge and Research
The level of global small arms violence and the
scale of human suffering it causes is poorly counted.
But it is known to cause at least hundreds of thou-
sands of deaths and more than one million injuries
each year, as well as permanent physical and psycho-
logical damage, the destruction of families, lost pro-
ductivity, and the diversion of resources from basic
health services. Research is required to provide useful
estimates based on solid data.
Aggregate Data from “Organized Settings”
World Health Organization (WHO) released a
report “Small Arms and Global Health” in July 2001
(2,3), which compiled official data from 48 countries
representing about one fifth of the world population.
It showed that (a) 100,000 deaths per year are caused
by small arms and gun violence; (b) in high income
countries, most firearms deaths are suicides (about
70%), whereas in middle and low income countries
most are homicides (about 75% and 90%, respec-
tively), with the USA and Brazil both having aber-
rantly high rates of homicide; (c) small arms are the
leading means of homicide in some areas of high gun
violence (80% of total in Cali, Colombia, and 66% in
Durban, South Africa), they are the leading cause of
all fatal injuries, more numerous than traffic acci-
dents, for South Africans between 15-64 years of age;
(d) adolescents and young adults are at highest risk,
and men are at significantly higher risk than women;
and (e) non-fatal outcomes, ie, injuries, occur several
fold times more than deaths, require lengthy and
costly hospital stays, and include mental health ef-
fects.
These figures outline a major health problem
even without account of the remaining four fifths of
the world population. Existing record-keeping is min-
imal to non-existent in many poor countries, espe-
cially those with humanitarian crises and armed con-
flict.
Data from “Disorganized Settings”
The International Committee of the Red Cross
maintains a database from its participating hospitals
located in conflict zones around the world. Other
than this unique resource, most research in areas of
humanitarian crisis is limited to local studies by inde-
pendent researchers or humanitarian programs. In
one case of armed conflict, a 9-month outbreak in the
Ogoni region of Nigeria in 1993-1994, the short- and
long-term effects were noted first hand by a practicing
doctor (Table 1) (3).
Categories of Health Impacts
Health impacts can be grouped into direct and
indirect effects. Direct health effects of arms are
death, injury, disability, mental and emotional conse-
quences, fear and stress, whereas indirect effects on
individuals are forced displacement, kidnapping,
forced recruitment, sexual assaults, torture, reduced
access to health services, infectious disease, and mal-
nutrition. Distinctions should also be made between
externally or objectively measurable effects, such as
physical injury, and subjective effects, such as fear
and stress. Such effects can be assessed through both
quantitative and qualitative data. Effects on health ser-
vices are depletion of health resources, cessation of
health services, destruction of health infrastructure,
targeting of health personnel. Health effects in terms
of personal and societal costs are potential life years
lost, potential productivity lost, reduced personal mo-
bility, reduced family income, and decreased devel-
opment.
Research Challenges, Tools, and Techniques
Comprehensive surveillance of injury and mor-
tality includes collection of data on factors such as the
nature of injury, cause of death, make and origin of
the weapon, circumstances of the event, and vic-
tim/perpetrator relationship. Surveillance of indirect
health effects, including mental trauma and social
costs, must identify suitable indicators for measure-
ment. Data can be collected from various sources,
such as medical and humanitarian (hospitals, forensic
pathology, and humanitarian agencies), law enforce-
ment and government (police, coroner, agency moni-
toring firearms, and military), and other community
sources (newspapers and media, interviews, and sur-
veys).
Collecting and handling data entails many chal-
lenges. First, data provided are often unreliable and
inconsistent. Second, agencies differ in definition of
terms and research methods. Third, geographic cov-
erage of the data is not complete, with an urban bias
in many countries and a higher-income bias interna-
tionally. Fourth, there are some cultural aberrations in
reporting, e.g., in some Latin American countries sui-
cides are under-reported, whereas accidental deaths
are over-reported. Lastly, language groups differ in
their definition of terms, e.g., in the Spanish language,
the term “homicide” is often used to describe invol-
untary manslaughter as well as intentional homicide
or murder.
Examples of comprehensive injury surveillance
projects in South Africa (4) and Wisconsin, USA (3),
Rawson: Public Health in Small Arms Violence Prevention Croat Med J 2002;43:379-385
380
Table 1. Short- and long-term health effects of 1993-1994
armed conflict in Ogoni region of Nigeria
Immediate effects on
health and health services Long-term effects on health
– 3,000 victims of armed violence,
of which 250 died and 1,000
required amputation
– many cases of sexual violence
and torture
– public hospitals closed
– ambulances stopped running
– preventable disease, such as
malaria and diarrhea, went
untreated
– medical resources were diverted
to treatment of gun injuries and
infectious disease
– medical research stopped
– immunization stopped
– mental health effects – ap-
athy, alienation, with-
drawal, hopelessness, and
post-traumatic stress disor-
der
– poverty families sold farms
to pay for medical
treatment, or head of
household was in hospital
and family relocated to
care for him
– medical research stopped
– unresolved grief and social
pathologies
illustrate the additional logistical challenges that re-
search projects must overcome. Most notably, re-
search is resource intensive and requires a long-term
commitment of funds and effort. Research projects re-
quire the involvement or approval of multiple agen-
cies with differing agendas, some of whom may ini-
tially be suspicious of the goals of the project or deny
access to researchers. A lack of detailed information
on the make and origin of firearms used in injuries
presents a barrier to research.
In disorganized settings, such as poor countries
in humanitarian crises, additional logistical chal-
lenges may include dynamics such as that described
for the Congo DR: territory may be divided and con-
trolled by warring parties, researchers may be sus-
pected of espionage, health infrastructures may be ru-
ined and their data rendered invalid, and communi-
cation and transport may be lacking (by road, air, and
telephone) (5).
A significant body of research exists in low-in-
come states and war-affected regions that is of high
quality but poor presentation. Researchers lack the re-
sources to refine and distribute it, and so it fails to
reach the mainstream international medical journals
and indexes.
Recommendations for Research
Research is required on three basic issues, as fol-
lows: 1) the health effects of weapons; 2) the contrib-
uting factors and causes, including behavioral issues;
and 3) the impacts of interventions and their cost-ef-
fectiveness.
Efforts should be made to establish common no-
menclature, guidelines for research and measure-
ment, and uniform reporting methods; a research in-
formation network should be developed.
Special effort is required to collect data from
“disorganized settings” – areas of extreme resource
constraint and humanitarian crisis – and to help
strengthen record keeping systems. Dialogue and ca-
pacity building is especially needed among practitio-
ners and researchers from these areas.
Medical journals in small countries or special-
ized fields can function as “shepherds”, not just “gate-
keepers” (6), to assist in the refinement and presenta-
tion of research from under-served areas, such as poor
countries and areas of humanitarian crisis.
Funding for public health research of small arms
should be a priority for the donor community, with
recognition of the necessity for long-term research,
and a commitment to quality analysis of collected
data.
Linked data systems should be employed com-
bining data from medical examiners, coroners, law
enforcement, and including background information
about the firearm used, and the relationship between
the victim and perpetrator.
Measures are needed to improve access to infor-
mation about firearms used in injuries. First, a stan-
dardized system of marking firearms should be estab-
lished and linked to records about the gun’s features
and history. Such data should be available to public
health agencies from any country. Second, policies
are needed to ensure that firearms used in injury are
fully investigated as to their model, features, and ori-
gin.
Analysis of Risk Factors
Collected data are useful for analyzing trends,
whether on a global or local scale, and for focusing
policy interventions. Data can be analyzed to identify
trends for risk incurred by whom, when, where, and
from what type of weapon, as it is done by the South
African National Injury Mortality Surveillance System
(Table 2) (4).
Though comprehensive aggregate national data
are unavailable for disorganized settings, more local-
ized studies provide insights into trends. International
Committee of the Red Cross studies in Cambodia that
inquired into the combatant or civilian status of the
weapon-injured person led to the finding that civil-
ians were being targeted not only by artillery and
mortar fire in combat, but also by handguns used in
interpersonal disputes unrelated to combat. Further
study in Cambodia and Afghanistan showed that in
the absence of a post-conflict disarmament program,
the rate of gun injury did not decrease significantly af-
ter the cessation of armed conflict (3).
A number of local pioneers in the field of public
health have initiated injury surveillance projects of
varying scale in countries such as Brazil, Bangladesh,
Cambodia, Uganda, Canada (3), Finland (7,8), and
Honduras (9).
Categorizing Risk Factors
Various models may be used to analyze risk. An
“ecological” model presents several levels of society
where risk factors and the qualities associated with
high risk can be identified, as follows: (a) societal
(availability of firearms, economic disparity, eth-
no-cultural heterogeneity, social acceptability, and
impunity); (b) community (low cohesion, negative
peer influences, and isolation of women), (c) family
(poor family cohesion, poor monitoring of children,
and male control of household); and (d) individual
(young, male, alcohol, victimization, and firearm in
the home) (3).
An analysis of risk factors associated with inter-
national small arms violence suggests that the societal
level can be further broken down into international
(presence of illicit arms networks, narco-trafficking,
381
Rawson: Public Health in Small Arms Violence Prevention Croat Med J 2002;43:379-385
Table 2. Risk factors for firearm injury in South Africa, as
identified by South African National Injury Mortality Surveil-
lance System (4)
High-risk groups Times and places of high risk
– youth – weekends (40% of all firearms deaths)
– men (80% of all
firearms deaths)
– firearms death rate increases as year
progresses
– blacks at higher risk
for homicide
– whites at higher risk
for suicide
– firearms death rate higher after 7:00 pm
– in private homes (44% of all firearms
deaths) and on road or street (23%)
– alcohol (in 40% of all
firearms deaths)
and organized crime networks), national (failure of
state to protect human security, and weak law en-
forcement), and inter-community (traditions of inter-
ethnic raiding).
Identifying Key Risk Factors
Research studies that compare countries, cul-
tures, and households that are similar for all but one
variable, and research that compares a region before
and after modification of a variable (e.g., through leg-
islation), help to illuminate the importance of specific
risk factors.
Availability
Availability of firearms, or access to them, is de-
scribed by some as the “universal” risk factor, in other
words the one that is critical in all forms of gun vio-
lence regardless of the context. Many studies have
suggested that access to firearms increases the
lethality of violence, raising the probability that an act
of violence will result in death. Others have shown
that reducing access to firearms also reduces the fre-
quency of acts of violence by showing that the “sub-
stitution” effect – the resort to alternate tools of vio-
lence in the event of blocked access to firearms – is
inconsistent at best. In discourse about small arms, ef-
forts to address the availability of small arms are
called “supply side” efforts.
Human Insecurity
Human insecurity, or the lack of protection by
other means, is viewed as the root motive for the
ownership and use of small arms. Such insecurity can
arise from many causes (Table 3).
In small arms discourse, efforts to address the hu-
man insecurity leading to arms use are called “de-
mand side” efforts.
Social Acceptability
Social acceptability includes attitudes, cultural
beliefs, and behavioral factors. Various types of social
acceptability apply the following: (a) “cultures of
honor”, or vendetta cultures (e.g., codes to avenge
dishonor with violence or reciprocal violence, which
includes honor killings of women and inter-gang kill-
ing); (b) acceptability of killing (e.g., in defense of
property, family, or against criminals); and (c) gun tra-
ditions (e.g., guns as a rite of passage or a symbol of
group identity). Efforts to address the social accept-
ability of arms use are also called “demand side” ef-
forts.
Identifying Groups Vulnerable to Direct and
Indirect Health Burden from Small Arms
Although young men are effected directly by gun
violence in greatest numbers, other groups are at
high-risk for specific types of armed attack, or bear a
great deal of indirect burden from small arms vio-
lence.
Women. Women are targeted for specific types
of violence, such as sexual attacks. Compared with
men in some studies, women are more likely to be at-
tacked by someone they know. They bear the brunt of
economic burden when spouses and children are
killed and shoulder a great deal of the challenge of
maintaining social and community cohesion.
Children. Children are at risk of being forcefully
recruited as child soldiers, exploited sexually, or kid-
napped to extract ransom from families. Children are
especially affected by psychological trauma, given
their early stages of mental development, and inherit
the societal legacies from mass violence.
Refugees and internally displaced persons. Ref-
ugees may arrive at camps bearing arms used in a pre-
vious context, but are sometimes scapegoated un-
fairly as a source of weapons by host communities.
They may bring their political differences to the new
site and have conflict with fellow refugees or their
host community. Without income sources, they may
resort to selling arms to members of the host commu-
nity, even if their camp is at risk of being targeted. Ref-
ugees often suffer from associated health problems of
malnutrition and infectious diseases. Internally dis-
placed persons are not protected by international
conventions on refugees. There is no international co-
ordinating mechanism or organization to defend the
rights and interests of internally displaced persons. As
such, they suffer many of the same problems as refu-
gees, and are particularly susceptible to state preda-
tion, collapse, or repression.
Recommendations
Data collection on small arms violence must be
accompanied with careful analysis of the risk factors
attending such violence. Researchers should attempt
to understand the factors that are most causal and the
most preventable or susceptible to intervention. Pol-
icies and programs designed to reduce the human
and social impacts of small arms should make use of
public health knowledge and analysis of risk factors
as a means of bringing increased focus and effective-
ness to their objectives.
Prevention Through Policy and Programs
Information from public health research and
analysis does not directly lead to evidenced-based de-
cision-making. Instead, preparatory work is required
to find audience with policy-makers, develop their
382
Rawson: Public Health in Small Arms Violence Prevention Croat Med J 2002;43:379-385
Table 3. Factors associated with human insecurity as a root
motive for ownership and use of small arms
Factor type Example
Economic disparity gap between rich and poor, Gen-
eral Index of National Inequalities
(GINI, ref. 10)
Poverty without recourse refugee camps
Ineffective law enforcement under-resourced, absent, or cor-
rupt police (police forces "leas-
ing" guns to bandits for use at
night, as a source of added in-
come)
Failed, weak, or corrupt states, ie,
states unable or unwilling to
prevent gun violence
in "shadow states", a ruling party
may view a well-functioning gov-
ernment bureaucracy as a threat
to its power base, and may prefer
to run the government as a profit-
able enterprise
Resource predation by external
actors
transnational corporations, and oil
companies in conflict with popu-
lations over rights to land
acceptance for public health input, and overcome the
reflexive retort “Don’t confuse me with the facts. My
mind is already made up” (3).
Effective Preventive Action
Effective prevention action, whether in policy
advocacy or field programs, requires knowledge, a
mobilized constituency or popular base, and clear,
precise objectives. It is widely accepted that there is
some level of legitimate use of small arms for military,
law enforcement, and civilian professional and per-
sonal purposes. In addition, small arms are present at
every level of society, and their use is not easily con-
trolled by legislation alone. Thus, in general terms, to
reduce injury from small arms does not call for a ban,
but wise norms and regulations on appropriate pos-
session and use.
Norms and regulations are needed to establish
criteria and enforce the appropriate: 1) acquisition,
possession, carrying, and use of small arms, 2) sup-
ply, trade, and transfers of small arms, 3) penalties for
violations of the above norms. Such norms need to be
operative at international and national levels through
treaties and legislation, but must also function at the
level of the community, family, and individual
through cultures, beliefs, and norms for responsible
behavior. Research among pastoralist clans in the
Horn of Africa, for example, observed intra-clan use
of small arms as closely regulated by indigenous clan
codes and penalties, although, by contrast, inter-clan
violence remained a major problem (11).
Policies and Programs to Mitigate Risk Factors
for Small Arms Injury
Availability, or “supply” of small arms. Measures
to reduce access to small arms are possible at several
levels and focused on reducing the lethality of vio-
lence but not necessarily its frequency (Table 4).
Preventing diversion and misuse: realities of sup-
ply both legal and illicit. Recent global negotiations at
the United Nations produced a legally-binding agree-
ment on controls of non-state, illicit firearms produc-
tion and transfer (Firearms Protocol, UN International
Convention against Transnational Organized Crime
available from: http://www.undcp.org/crime_cicp_con-
vention.html), and a politically-binding statement on
the control of illicit arms transfers (Program of Action,
UN Conference on the Illicit Trade in Small Arms and
Light Weapons in All its Aspects, available from:
http://www.state.gov/t/pm/sa/unconf/). Both are im-
portant steps, but recent research shows that state-au-
thorized, legal transfers constitute the major source of
supply, and the number of small arms-producing
countries increased to 64 in the 1990’s, including
high- and low-income countries (3).
Arms are an instrument of political power, em-
ployed for diplomatic, strategic, and economic rea-
sons. The world’s most powerful governments are
also arms producers. For this reason, to engage a seri-
ous debate on policies of legal arms transfers, an un-
precedented mobilization of credible information
and political constituencies is required.
Existing international law describes norms and
responsibilities for states engaged in legal arms trans-
fers, but such norms need to be clarified, observed,
and enforced. One such effort, a campaign for a
Framework Convention on International Arms Trans-
fers led by the Arias Foundation and other nongov-
ernmental organizations, seeks to clarify existing in-
ternational law and its application to human rights
and humanitarian concerns (3).
Human insecurity and social acceptability, or
“demand” for small arms. Work to reduce demand for
small arms may involve traditional humanitarian, so-
cial development, and education projects, but inclu-
des a focus on understanding and addressing the spe-
cific reasons for weapons possession and use in a
community or culture. Such work aims not only to re-
duce the lethality of violence, but its frequency as
well. Efforts to address human insecurity include ini-
tiatives for economic development, education, secu-
rity sector reform, human rights protection, good gov-
ernance, and effective justice systems. Efforts to ad-
dress social acceptability include surveys of attitudes,
engaging with cultural traditions, and public educa-
tion.
Example of interventions addressing both supply
and demand risk factors. The organization Viva Rio,
based in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, combines a public
health approach with community-based organizing
to impel policies and programs to reduce small arms
violence (Table 5) (3).
The projects of Viva Rio have had success in re-
ducing risk factors for gun violence, including a zero-
383
Rawson: Public Health in Small Arms Violence Prevention Croat Med J 2002;43:379-385
Table 4. Type and application of targeted controls on firearms
Type of limitation Application of limitation (examples)
General access increase the screening or cost required to
obtain a weapon
At-risk access:
by risk group safe storage (for the risk group of children)
by time weekend restrictions on carrying guns, as in
Bogota and Cali, Colombia
by place gun-free zones, as in South Africa; no firearms
in bars and taverns
Reduce surplus post-conflict weapons collection and
destruction programs
Prevent diversion to
illicit market
domestic and international efforts for controls
of illicit trade, and verification of end-users
Prevent supply to
inappropriate users
establish human rights and humanitarian
criteria for restrictions on legal arms transfers
Table 5. Examples of targeted interventions from Viva Rio,
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Risk factor type Targeted risk area or issue Intervention
At-risk group young, urban men provide fast-track adult
education to enable
social mobility
High risk locality favelas, or shantytowns collaborate with police
force to prioritize gun
violence prevention,
provide 24-hour pres-
ence, and follow-up
with economic devel-
opment programs
Availability of
small arms
domestic arms produc-
tion and illegal smug-
gling from neighboring
country
promote domestic con-
trols and oppose inter-
national arms transfers
to neighboring country
injury rate for the high-risk favela during its first pro-
ject year, government-sponsored public events of
weapons destruction, and national legislation.
Evaluation
A crucial component of public health interven-
tion is the process of evaluation of effectiveness. The
complex web of risk factors must be assessed, includ-
ing cultural attitudes toward weapons and levels of
human insecurity. For example, efforts at weapons
collection may be ineffective where human insecurity
and demand for arms is very high. Increasing re-
sources for law enforcement may fail without ad-
dressing issues of corruption in the force and mistrust
in the community. Following intervention, research
of results and evaluation of methods is necessary.
Recommendations for Prevention
Combined, Focused Action on Supply and
Demand Factors
Rather than debating the primacy of supply vs.
demand factors, both types of factors should be ad-
dressed simultaneously. “Supply side” efforts reduce
the presence of lethal weapons and create an environ-
ment more conducive to demand reduction work.
“Demand side” efforts reduce the dependence on and
market for small arms and thereby create an environ-
ment more conducive to reducing supply. To achieve
focus for local action, proper public health analysis
should identify the salient risk factors for a specific
area and tailor policy to address those factors. The
previous example about Viva Rio illustrates such a
combined approach (3). Global coordinated action
on both supply and demand factors is possible.
Set Norms and Regulations Appropriate to
Health Concerns
Norms and regulations from the international to
the local level define boundaries of responsible use of
small arms. Health professionals play a crucial role at
multiple stages in renegotiating those boundaries to
enhance health and safety.
Reframe the debate. The problem of small arms
is fundamentally a health and humanitarian problem.
Law enforcement and national security strategies are
not sufficient to ensure effective prevention of injury
and death. A paradigm shift must be engaged to view
the problem as a health issue, ie, an epidemic, to be
managed urgently with public health and humanitar-
ian expertise.
Advocate measures to allow sufficient access to
data. Public health research requires access to rele-
vant data kept in records of law enforcement, mili-
tary, and other agencies. Linked data systems and in-
formative serial numbers applied to automobiles
have been instrumental in efforts to research and re-
duce traffic accident injuries in the United States. A
similar system of transparency, with data-sharing and
standardized marking, is necessary for small arms and
their associated injuries.
Question the norm – shift the burden of proof.
Descriptive epidemiological information coming from
conflict areas can call into question whether policies
of arms transfer and military intervention are actually
helping their ostensible intended beneficiaries. As oc-
curred with the issue of landmines, credible, non-ex-
aggerated medical research may ultimately put the
burden of proof on military and government authori-
ties to document why a particular use, transfer, or
type of weapon is necessary.
Propose higher standards or better enforcement
of existing norms. Public health and medical organi-
zations can inform local, national, and international
advocacy efforts for legislation to restrict arms transfer
and use based on considerations of health and human
security. Existing international law, including human-
itarian and human rights law, provides an initial basis
for such considerations, but measures must be clari-
fied, elaborated, and enforced by the international
community. Ongoing education and development
work can help redefine norms for responsible and
ethical use of weapons at the cultural and individual
level.
Monitor and evaluate progress. An effective, co-
ordinated medical and public health network for re-
search and analysis can provide accurate monitoring
of efforts to reduce the health impacts of small arms.
Such a network can evaluate progress and setbacks in
the field based on rates of health impact, and can play
a “watchdog” role by alerting attention to cases where
policy measures are ineffective or counter-productive
in reducing injury and death on the ground.
Acknowledgments
The author wishes to thank the many participants in the In-
ternational Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War confer-
ence “Aiming for Prevention” in Helsinki, September 2001,
whose expert contributions provided the raw materials for this
paper. Full conference proceedings are available online at www.
ippnw.org or in book form upon request to brawson@ippnw.org.
Specific acknowledgements are too numerous to list here, but ex-
tend to virtually all the contributors and fellow organizers at the
conference. Thanks to Dmitry Vovchuk for his assistance with fi-
nal edits.
This editorial is based upon a careful review of materials
presented at the conference “Aiming for Prevention: International
Medical Conference on Small Arms, Gun Violence, and Injury”,
including formal presentations by panelists, comments and ques-
tions from the floor, and working group notes and reports. The
conference was organized by International Physicians for the Pre-
vention of Nuclear War and its Finnish affiliate PSR-Finland in
September 2001.
This editorial attempts to not only accurately convey the sa-
lient themes of the presentations, but also to conceptually orga-
nize and interweave them into a common framework. Presenters
covered an unusually wide range of topics, from war killings
amid extreme poverty to individual acts of suicide among affluent
populations. Thus, the author’s task was to discern and highlight
common themes and relationships between concepts ordinarily
left separate. The author hopes that this editorial may provide a
conceptual framework useful for preventive health approaches to
gun violence at a local and international level anywhere in the
world.
References
1 Kobusingye O. Who cares for bullet wounds in Africa?
In: Loretz J, Rawson B, Taipale I, editors. Aiming for
Prevention. Proceedings of the International Medical
Conference on Small Arms, Gun Violence, and Injury;
2001 Sept 28-30; Helsinki, Finland. Helsinki: PSR-Fin-
land; 2002. p. 130.
384
Rawson: Public Health in Small Arms Violence Prevention Croat Med J 2002;43:379-385
2 World Health Organization. Small arms and global
health. WHO contribution to the UN Conference on Il-
licit Trade in Small Arms and Light Weapons, 2001 Jul
9-20. Geneva: WHO; 2001.
3 Loretz J, Rawson B, Taipale I, editors. Aiming for pre-
vention. Proceedings of the International Medical Con-
ference on Small Arms, Gun Violence, and Injury; 2001
Sept 28-30; Helsinki, Finland. Helsinki: PSR-Finland;
2002.
4 Burrows S. The South African National Injury Mortality
Surveillance System (NIMSS): data sources and tools for
research. In: Loretz J, Rawson B, Taipale I, editors.
Aiming for prevention. Proceedings of the International
Medical Conference on Small Arms, Gun Violence, and
Injury; 2001 Sept 28-30; Helsinki, Finland. Helsinki:
PSR-Finland; 2002. p. 34-7.
5 Oyaku R. African Regional Working Group. In: Loretz J,
Rawson B, Taipale I, editors. Aiming for prevention.
Proceedings of the International Medical Conference
on Small Arms, Gun Violence, and Injury; 2001 Sept
28-30; Helsinki, Finland. Helsinki: PSR-Finland; 2002.
p. 53-4.
6 Marušiæ A, Lukiæ IK, Marušiæ M, McNamee D, Sharp D,
Horton R. Peer review in a small and a big medical jour-
nal: case study of the Croatian Medical Journal and The
Lancet. Croat Med J 2002;43:286-9.
7 Lonnqvist J. Firearms and suicide: the case of Finland.
In: Loretz J, Rawson B, Taipale I, editors. Aiming for
prevention. Proceedings of the International Medical
Conference on Small Arms, Gun Violence, and Injury;
2001 Sept 28-30; Helsinki: IPPNW 2001; p. 20-22.
8 Vessari H, Puro A, Taipale I. Small arms in Finland. In:
Loretz J, Rawson B, Taipale I, editors. Aiming for pre-
vention. Proceedings of the International Medical Con-
ference on Small Arms, Gun Violence, and Injury; 2001
Sept 28-30; Helsinki, Finland. Helsinki: PSR-Finland;
2002. p. 22.
9 Castellanos J. Honduras: Armamentismo y violencia.
Tegucigalpa: Fundacion Arias para la Paz y el Progreso
Humano; 2000.
10 World Institute for Development. World income in-
equality database. Available from: http://www.undp.or
g/poverty/initiatives/wider/wiid_measure.htm. Acces-
sed: May 19, 2002.
11 Gebre-Wold K. Exploring the relationship between hu-
man security, demand for arms, and disarmament in the
Horn of Africa. In: Loretz J, Rawson B, Taipale I, editors.
Aiming for prevention. Proceedings of the International
Medical Conference on Small Arms, Gun Violence, and
Injury; 2001 Sept 28-30; Helsinki, Finland. Helsinki:
PSR-Finland; 2002. p. 77.
Received: June 7, 2002
Accepted: June 27, 2002
Correspondence to:
Brian Rawson
Program Coordinator
International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War
(IPPNW)
727 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02139, USA
brawson@ippnw.org
385
Rawson: Public Health in Small Arms Violence Prevention Croat Med J 2002;43:379-385

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Aiming for Prevention: Medical Approaches to Reducing Gun Violence

  • 1. 43(4):379-385,2002 GUEST EDITORIAL Aiming for Prevention: Medical and Public Health Approaches to Small Arms, Gun Violence, and Injury Brian Rawson Program Coordinator, International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War The level of global small arms violence is enormous and the scale of human suffering it causes is immense, although poorly counted. It causes at least hundreds of thousands of deaths and more than a million injuries each year, as well as permanent physical and psychological damage, destruction of families, lost productivity, and diversion of resources from basic health services. Research is required on three basic issues, as follows: health effects of weapons; the contrib- uting factors and causes, including behavioral issues; and impacts of interventions and their cost-effectiveness. Policies andprogramsdesignedtoreducethehumanandsocialimpactsofsmallarmsshouldmakeuseofpublichealthknowl- edge and analysis of risk factors as a means of bringing increased focus and effectiveness to their objectives. At its inter- national conference on small arms, gun violence, and injury, “Aiming for Prevention” in Helsinki in September 2001, International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War called on health professionals as well as scientists, activists, humanitarian and development workers to contribute to an effective confrontation of the small arms pandemic. Keywords: epidemiology; firearms; public health; risk factors; social control, formal; social medicine; violence; war; wounds and injuries “Sometimes patients will come six or seven in number, and you have one operating room, and so it’s difficult to prioritize because all of the injuries are severe. When they brought these patients in from a drive about four hours away after the 22 people were shot, five of those patients were under the age of five. There was one child that needed a colostomy, the child is only three years old. And you’re prioritizing between a three-year-old and a six-year-old. I mean, it’s ridiculous.” Olive Kobusingye, surgeon and epidemiologist, Uganda (1) For two decades, International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War organization has advo- cated for a primary prevention approach to weapons that cause massive, indiscriminate human suffering and casualties that overwhelm capacities for medical treatment. With the intensity of modern conventional weaponry and war, International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War organization’s call for pre- vention has extended from nuclear weapons to weap- ons such as small arms. International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War views warfare as inter- connected on a spectrum of violence, with smaller wars and weapons escalating unpredictably to larger ones. Thus, working to prevent war with small arms is crucial to the overarching effort of preventing nuclear war. Small arms and gun violence is manifest in vastly different ways – from war and mass violence to indi- vidual acts of murder and suicide. Despite this range of use, violence with small arms has common fea- tures, such as lethality – small arms tend to increase the chance that an act of violence will end in a fatal outcome; medical burden – attempts to restore the health of victims of small arms violence are challeng- ing, time consuming, and costly; and preventable – on the whole, small arms violence is preventable. Pri- mary prevention is the most appropriate way to deal with a problem causing massive casualties world- wide. This report attempts to clarify the tools and re- sources necessary to take a health approach to small arms and gun violence in local and international set- tings. The term “small arms” herein refers to those conventional firearms characterized as available, af- fordable, easy to use and transport by one or two peo- ple, and capable of causing severe, lethal injury. It ad- dresses both military and civilian arms of such defini- tion, including assault rifles, handguns, grenades, mortars, long-guns, and others. This report recognizes the diversity of the prob- lem and the need to tailor local interventions to meet local circumstances. It also acknowledges the global connections of the networks and sources that supply the weapons and the international nature of the poli- tics, economics, and population flows that underpin the problem. Therefore, global dialogue among health www.cmj.hr 379
  • 2. professionals is necessary to inform local efforts, and international coordination is necessary for sharing in- formation, tools, resources, and strategies. Knowledge and Research The level of global small arms violence and the scale of human suffering it causes is poorly counted. But it is known to cause at least hundreds of thou- sands of deaths and more than one million injuries each year, as well as permanent physical and psycho- logical damage, the destruction of families, lost pro- ductivity, and the diversion of resources from basic health services. Research is required to provide useful estimates based on solid data. Aggregate Data from “Organized Settings” World Health Organization (WHO) released a report “Small Arms and Global Health” in July 2001 (2,3), which compiled official data from 48 countries representing about one fifth of the world population. It showed that (a) 100,000 deaths per year are caused by small arms and gun violence; (b) in high income countries, most firearms deaths are suicides (about 70%), whereas in middle and low income countries most are homicides (about 75% and 90%, respec- tively), with the USA and Brazil both having aber- rantly high rates of homicide; (c) small arms are the leading means of homicide in some areas of high gun violence (80% of total in Cali, Colombia, and 66% in Durban, South Africa), they are the leading cause of all fatal injuries, more numerous than traffic acci- dents, for South Africans between 15-64 years of age; (d) adolescents and young adults are at highest risk, and men are at significantly higher risk than women; and (e) non-fatal outcomes, ie, injuries, occur several fold times more than deaths, require lengthy and costly hospital stays, and include mental health ef- fects. These figures outline a major health problem even without account of the remaining four fifths of the world population. Existing record-keeping is min- imal to non-existent in many poor countries, espe- cially those with humanitarian crises and armed con- flict. Data from “Disorganized Settings” The International Committee of the Red Cross maintains a database from its participating hospitals located in conflict zones around the world. Other than this unique resource, most research in areas of humanitarian crisis is limited to local studies by inde- pendent researchers or humanitarian programs. In one case of armed conflict, a 9-month outbreak in the Ogoni region of Nigeria in 1993-1994, the short- and long-term effects were noted first hand by a practicing doctor (Table 1) (3). Categories of Health Impacts Health impacts can be grouped into direct and indirect effects. Direct health effects of arms are death, injury, disability, mental and emotional conse- quences, fear and stress, whereas indirect effects on individuals are forced displacement, kidnapping, forced recruitment, sexual assaults, torture, reduced access to health services, infectious disease, and mal- nutrition. Distinctions should also be made between externally or objectively measurable effects, such as physical injury, and subjective effects, such as fear and stress. Such effects can be assessed through both quantitative and qualitative data. Effects on health ser- vices are depletion of health resources, cessation of health services, destruction of health infrastructure, targeting of health personnel. Health effects in terms of personal and societal costs are potential life years lost, potential productivity lost, reduced personal mo- bility, reduced family income, and decreased devel- opment. Research Challenges, Tools, and Techniques Comprehensive surveillance of injury and mor- tality includes collection of data on factors such as the nature of injury, cause of death, make and origin of the weapon, circumstances of the event, and vic- tim/perpetrator relationship. Surveillance of indirect health effects, including mental trauma and social costs, must identify suitable indicators for measure- ment. Data can be collected from various sources, such as medical and humanitarian (hospitals, forensic pathology, and humanitarian agencies), law enforce- ment and government (police, coroner, agency moni- toring firearms, and military), and other community sources (newspapers and media, interviews, and sur- veys). Collecting and handling data entails many chal- lenges. First, data provided are often unreliable and inconsistent. Second, agencies differ in definition of terms and research methods. Third, geographic cov- erage of the data is not complete, with an urban bias in many countries and a higher-income bias interna- tionally. Fourth, there are some cultural aberrations in reporting, e.g., in some Latin American countries sui- cides are under-reported, whereas accidental deaths are over-reported. Lastly, language groups differ in their definition of terms, e.g., in the Spanish language, the term “homicide” is often used to describe invol- untary manslaughter as well as intentional homicide or murder. Examples of comprehensive injury surveillance projects in South Africa (4) and Wisconsin, USA (3), Rawson: Public Health in Small Arms Violence Prevention Croat Med J 2002;43:379-385 380 Table 1. Short- and long-term health effects of 1993-1994 armed conflict in Ogoni region of Nigeria Immediate effects on health and health services Long-term effects on health – 3,000 victims of armed violence, of which 250 died and 1,000 required amputation – many cases of sexual violence and torture – public hospitals closed – ambulances stopped running – preventable disease, such as malaria and diarrhea, went untreated – medical resources were diverted to treatment of gun injuries and infectious disease – medical research stopped – immunization stopped – mental health effects – ap- athy, alienation, with- drawal, hopelessness, and post-traumatic stress disor- der – poverty families sold farms to pay for medical treatment, or head of household was in hospital and family relocated to care for him – medical research stopped – unresolved grief and social pathologies
  • 3. illustrate the additional logistical challenges that re- search projects must overcome. Most notably, re- search is resource intensive and requires a long-term commitment of funds and effort. Research projects re- quire the involvement or approval of multiple agen- cies with differing agendas, some of whom may ini- tially be suspicious of the goals of the project or deny access to researchers. A lack of detailed information on the make and origin of firearms used in injuries presents a barrier to research. In disorganized settings, such as poor countries in humanitarian crises, additional logistical chal- lenges may include dynamics such as that described for the Congo DR: territory may be divided and con- trolled by warring parties, researchers may be sus- pected of espionage, health infrastructures may be ru- ined and their data rendered invalid, and communi- cation and transport may be lacking (by road, air, and telephone) (5). A significant body of research exists in low-in- come states and war-affected regions that is of high quality but poor presentation. Researchers lack the re- sources to refine and distribute it, and so it fails to reach the mainstream international medical journals and indexes. Recommendations for Research Research is required on three basic issues, as fol- lows: 1) the health effects of weapons; 2) the contrib- uting factors and causes, including behavioral issues; and 3) the impacts of interventions and their cost-ef- fectiveness. Efforts should be made to establish common no- menclature, guidelines for research and measure- ment, and uniform reporting methods; a research in- formation network should be developed. Special effort is required to collect data from “disorganized settings” – areas of extreme resource constraint and humanitarian crisis – and to help strengthen record keeping systems. Dialogue and ca- pacity building is especially needed among practitio- ners and researchers from these areas. Medical journals in small countries or special- ized fields can function as “shepherds”, not just “gate- keepers” (6), to assist in the refinement and presenta- tion of research from under-served areas, such as poor countries and areas of humanitarian crisis. Funding for public health research of small arms should be a priority for the donor community, with recognition of the necessity for long-term research, and a commitment to quality analysis of collected data. Linked data systems should be employed com- bining data from medical examiners, coroners, law enforcement, and including background information about the firearm used, and the relationship between the victim and perpetrator. Measures are needed to improve access to infor- mation about firearms used in injuries. First, a stan- dardized system of marking firearms should be estab- lished and linked to records about the gun’s features and history. Such data should be available to public health agencies from any country. Second, policies are needed to ensure that firearms used in injury are fully investigated as to their model, features, and ori- gin. Analysis of Risk Factors Collected data are useful for analyzing trends, whether on a global or local scale, and for focusing policy interventions. Data can be analyzed to identify trends for risk incurred by whom, when, where, and from what type of weapon, as it is done by the South African National Injury Mortality Surveillance System (Table 2) (4). Though comprehensive aggregate national data are unavailable for disorganized settings, more local- ized studies provide insights into trends. International Committee of the Red Cross studies in Cambodia that inquired into the combatant or civilian status of the weapon-injured person led to the finding that civil- ians were being targeted not only by artillery and mortar fire in combat, but also by handguns used in interpersonal disputes unrelated to combat. Further study in Cambodia and Afghanistan showed that in the absence of a post-conflict disarmament program, the rate of gun injury did not decrease significantly af- ter the cessation of armed conflict (3). A number of local pioneers in the field of public health have initiated injury surveillance projects of varying scale in countries such as Brazil, Bangladesh, Cambodia, Uganda, Canada (3), Finland (7,8), and Honduras (9). Categorizing Risk Factors Various models may be used to analyze risk. An “ecological” model presents several levels of society where risk factors and the qualities associated with high risk can be identified, as follows: (a) societal (availability of firearms, economic disparity, eth- no-cultural heterogeneity, social acceptability, and impunity); (b) community (low cohesion, negative peer influences, and isolation of women), (c) family (poor family cohesion, poor monitoring of children, and male control of household); and (d) individual (young, male, alcohol, victimization, and firearm in the home) (3). An analysis of risk factors associated with inter- national small arms violence suggests that the societal level can be further broken down into international (presence of illicit arms networks, narco-trafficking, 381 Rawson: Public Health in Small Arms Violence Prevention Croat Med J 2002;43:379-385 Table 2. Risk factors for firearm injury in South Africa, as identified by South African National Injury Mortality Surveil- lance System (4) High-risk groups Times and places of high risk – youth – weekends (40% of all firearms deaths) – men (80% of all firearms deaths) – firearms death rate increases as year progresses – blacks at higher risk for homicide – whites at higher risk for suicide – firearms death rate higher after 7:00 pm – in private homes (44% of all firearms deaths) and on road or street (23%) – alcohol (in 40% of all firearms deaths)
  • 4. and organized crime networks), national (failure of state to protect human security, and weak law en- forcement), and inter-community (traditions of inter- ethnic raiding). Identifying Key Risk Factors Research studies that compare countries, cul- tures, and households that are similar for all but one variable, and research that compares a region before and after modification of a variable (e.g., through leg- islation), help to illuminate the importance of specific risk factors. Availability Availability of firearms, or access to them, is de- scribed by some as the “universal” risk factor, in other words the one that is critical in all forms of gun vio- lence regardless of the context. Many studies have suggested that access to firearms increases the lethality of violence, raising the probability that an act of violence will result in death. Others have shown that reducing access to firearms also reduces the fre- quency of acts of violence by showing that the “sub- stitution” effect – the resort to alternate tools of vio- lence in the event of blocked access to firearms – is inconsistent at best. In discourse about small arms, ef- forts to address the availability of small arms are called “supply side” efforts. Human Insecurity Human insecurity, or the lack of protection by other means, is viewed as the root motive for the ownership and use of small arms. Such insecurity can arise from many causes (Table 3). In small arms discourse, efforts to address the hu- man insecurity leading to arms use are called “de- mand side” efforts. Social Acceptability Social acceptability includes attitudes, cultural beliefs, and behavioral factors. Various types of social acceptability apply the following: (a) “cultures of honor”, or vendetta cultures (e.g., codes to avenge dishonor with violence or reciprocal violence, which includes honor killings of women and inter-gang kill- ing); (b) acceptability of killing (e.g., in defense of property, family, or against criminals); and (c) gun tra- ditions (e.g., guns as a rite of passage or a symbol of group identity). Efforts to address the social accept- ability of arms use are also called “demand side” ef- forts. Identifying Groups Vulnerable to Direct and Indirect Health Burden from Small Arms Although young men are effected directly by gun violence in greatest numbers, other groups are at high-risk for specific types of armed attack, or bear a great deal of indirect burden from small arms vio- lence. Women. Women are targeted for specific types of violence, such as sexual attacks. Compared with men in some studies, women are more likely to be at- tacked by someone they know. They bear the brunt of economic burden when spouses and children are killed and shoulder a great deal of the challenge of maintaining social and community cohesion. Children. Children are at risk of being forcefully recruited as child soldiers, exploited sexually, or kid- napped to extract ransom from families. Children are especially affected by psychological trauma, given their early stages of mental development, and inherit the societal legacies from mass violence. Refugees and internally displaced persons. Ref- ugees may arrive at camps bearing arms used in a pre- vious context, but are sometimes scapegoated un- fairly as a source of weapons by host communities. They may bring their political differences to the new site and have conflict with fellow refugees or their host community. Without income sources, they may resort to selling arms to members of the host commu- nity, even if their camp is at risk of being targeted. Ref- ugees often suffer from associated health problems of malnutrition and infectious diseases. Internally dis- placed persons are not protected by international conventions on refugees. There is no international co- ordinating mechanism or organization to defend the rights and interests of internally displaced persons. As such, they suffer many of the same problems as refu- gees, and are particularly susceptible to state preda- tion, collapse, or repression. Recommendations Data collection on small arms violence must be accompanied with careful analysis of the risk factors attending such violence. Researchers should attempt to understand the factors that are most causal and the most preventable or susceptible to intervention. Pol- icies and programs designed to reduce the human and social impacts of small arms should make use of public health knowledge and analysis of risk factors as a means of bringing increased focus and effective- ness to their objectives. Prevention Through Policy and Programs Information from public health research and analysis does not directly lead to evidenced-based de- cision-making. Instead, preparatory work is required to find audience with policy-makers, develop their 382 Rawson: Public Health in Small Arms Violence Prevention Croat Med J 2002;43:379-385 Table 3. Factors associated with human insecurity as a root motive for ownership and use of small arms Factor type Example Economic disparity gap between rich and poor, Gen- eral Index of National Inequalities (GINI, ref. 10) Poverty without recourse refugee camps Ineffective law enforcement under-resourced, absent, or cor- rupt police (police forces "leas- ing" guns to bandits for use at night, as a source of added in- come) Failed, weak, or corrupt states, ie, states unable or unwilling to prevent gun violence in "shadow states", a ruling party may view a well-functioning gov- ernment bureaucracy as a threat to its power base, and may prefer to run the government as a profit- able enterprise Resource predation by external actors transnational corporations, and oil companies in conflict with popu- lations over rights to land
  • 5. acceptance for public health input, and overcome the reflexive retort “Don’t confuse me with the facts. My mind is already made up” (3). Effective Preventive Action Effective prevention action, whether in policy advocacy or field programs, requires knowledge, a mobilized constituency or popular base, and clear, precise objectives. It is widely accepted that there is some level of legitimate use of small arms for military, law enforcement, and civilian professional and per- sonal purposes. In addition, small arms are present at every level of society, and their use is not easily con- trolled by legislation alone. Thus, in general terms, to reduce injury from small arms does not call for a ban, but wise norms and regulations on appropriate pos- session and use. Norms and regulations are needed to establish criteria and enforce the appropriate: 1) acquisition, possession, carrying, and use of small arms, 2) sup- ply, trade, and transfers of small arms, 3) penalties for violations of the above norms. Such norms need to be operative at international and national levels through treaties and legislation, but must also function at the level of the community, family, and individual through cultures, beliefs, and norms for responsible behavior. Research among pastoralist clans in the Horn of Africa, for example, observed intra-clan use of small arms as closely regulated by indigenous clan codes and penalties, although, by contrast, inter-clan violence remained a major problem (11). Policies and Programs to Mitigate Risk Factors for Small Arms Injury Availability, or “supply” of small arms. Measures to reduce access to small arms are possible at several levels and focused on reducing the lethality of vio- lence but not necessarily its frequency (Table 4). Preventing diversion and misuse: realities of sup- ply both legal and illicit. Recent global negotiations at the United Nations produced a legally-binding agree- ment on controls of non-state, illicit firearms produc- tion and transfer (Firearms Protocol, UN International Convention against Transnational Organized Crime available from: http://www.undcp.org/crime_cicp_con- vention.html), and a politically-binding statement on the control of illicit arms transfers (Program of Action, UN Conference on the Illicit Trade in Small Arms and Light Weapons in All its Aspects, available from: http://www.state.gov/t/pm/sa/unconf/). Both are im- portant steps, but recent research shows that state-au- thorized, legal transfers constitute the major source of supply, and the number of small arms-producing countries increased to 64 in the 1990’s, including high- and low-income countries (3). Arms are an instrument of political power, em- ployed for diplomatic, strategic, and economic rea- sons. The world’s most powerful governments are also arms producers. For this reason, to engage a seri- ous debate on policies of legal arms transfers, an un- precedented mobilization of credible information and political constituencies is required. Existing international law describes norms and responsibilities for states engaged in legal arms trans- fers, but such norms need to be clarified, observed, and enforced. One such effort, a campaign for a Framework Convention on International Arms Trans- fers led by the Arias Foundation and other nongov- ernmental organizations, seeks to clarify existing in- ternational law and its application to human rights and humanitarian concerns (3). Human insecurity and social acceptability, or “demand” for small arms. Work to reduce demand for small arms may involve traditional humanitarian, so- cial development, and education projects, but inclu- des a focus on understanding and addressing the spe- cific reasons for weapons possession and use in a community or culture. Such work aims not only to re- duce the lethality of violence, but its frequency as well. Efforts to address human insecurity include ini- tiatives for economic development, education, secu- rity sector reform, human rights protection, good gov- ernance, and effective justice systems. Efforts to ad- dress social acceptability include surveys of attitudes, engaging with cultural traditions, and public educa- tion. Example of interventions addressing both supply and demand risk factors. The organization Viva Rio, based in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, combines a public health approach with community-based organizing to impel policies and programs to reduce small arms violence (Table 5) (3). The projects of Viva Rio have had success in re- ducing risk factors for gun violence, including a zero- 383 Rawson: Public Health in Small Arms Violence Prevention Croat Med J 2002;43:379-385 Table 4. Type and application of targeted controls on firearms Type of limitation Application of limitation (examples) General access increase the screening or cost required to obtain a weapon At-risk access: by risk group safe storage (for the risk group of children) by time weekend restrictions on carrying guns, as in Bogota and Cali, Colombia by place gun-free zones, as in South Africa; no firearms in bars and taverns Reduce surplus post-conflict weapons collection and destruction programs Prevent diversion to illicit market domestic and international efforts for controls of illicit trade, and verification of end-users Prevent supply to inappropriate users establish human rights and humanitarian criteria for restrictions on legal arms transfers Table 5. Examples of targeted interventions from Viva Rio, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Risk factor type Targeted risk area or issue Intervention At-risk group young, urban men provide fast-track adult education to enable social mobility High risk locality favelas, or shantytowns collaborate with police force to prioritize gun violence prevention, provide 24-hour pres- ence, and follow-up with economic devel- opment programs Availability of small arms domestic arms produc- tion and illegal smug- gling from neighboring country promote domestic con- trols and oppose inter- national arms transfers to neighboring country
  • 6. injury rate for the high-risk favela during its first pro- ject year, government-sponsored public events of weapons destruction, and national legislation. Evaluation A crucial component of public health interven- tion is the process of evaluation of effectiveness. The complex web of risk factors must be assessed, includ- ing cultural attitudes toward weapons and levels of human insecurity. For example, efforts at weapons collection may be ineffective where human insecurity and demand for arms is very high. Increasing re- sources for law enforcement may fail without ad- dressing issues of corruption in the force and mistrust in the community. Following intervention, research of results and evaluation of methods is necessary. Recommendations for Prevention Combined, Focused Action on Supply and Demand Factors Rather than debating the primacy of supply vs. demand factors, both types of factors should be ad- dressed simultaneously. “Supply side” efforts reduce the presence of lethal weapons and create an environ- ment more conducive to demand reduction work. “Demand side” efforts reduce the dependence on and market for small arms and thereby create an environ- ment more conducive to reducing supply. To achieve focus for local action, proper public health analysis should identify the salient risk factors for a specific area and tailor policy to address those factors. The previous example about Viva Rio illustrates such a combined approach (3). Global coordinated action on both supply and demand factors is possible. Set Norms and Regulations Appropriate to Health Concerns Norms and regulations from the international to the local level define boundaries of responsible use of small arms. Health professionals play a crucial role at multiple stages in renegotiating those boundaries to enhance health and safety. Reframe the debate. The problem of small arms is fundamentally a health and humanitarian problem. Law enforcement and national security strategies are not sufficient to ensure effective prevention of injury and death. A paradigm shift must be engaged to view the problem as a health issue, ie, an epidemic, to be managed urgently with public health and humanitar- ian expertise. Advocate measures to allow sufficient access to data. Public health research requires access to rele- vant data kept in records of law enforcement, mili- tary, and other agencies. Linked data systems and in- formative serial numbers applied to automobiles have been instrumental in efforts to research and re- duce traffic accident injuries in the United States. A similar system of transparency, with data-sharing and standardized marking, is necessary for small arms and their associated injuries. Question the norm – shift the burden of proof. Descriptive epidemiological information coming from conflict areas can call into question whether policies of arms transfer and military intervention are actually helping their ostensible intended beneficiaries. As oc- curred with the issue of landmines, credible, non-ex- aggerated medical research may ultimately put the burden of proof on military and government authori- ties to document why a particular use, transfer, or type of weapon is necessary. Propose higher standards or better enforcement of existing norms. Public health and medical organi- zations can inform local, national, and international advocacy efforts for legislation to restrict arms transfer and use based on considerations of health and human security. Existing international law, including human- itarian and human rights law, provides an initial basis for such considerations, but measures must be clari- fied, elaborated, and enforced by the international community. Ongoing education and development work can help redefine norms for responsible and ethical use of weapons at the cultural and individual level. Monitor and evaluate progress. An effective, co- ordinated medical and public health network for re- search and analysis can provide accurate monitoring of efforts to reduce the health impacts of small arms. Such a network can evaluate progress and setbacks in the field based on rates of health impact, and can play a “watchdog” role by alerting attention to cases where policy measures are ineffective or counter-productive in reducing injury and death on the ground. Acknowledgments The author wishes to thank the many participants in the In- ternational Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War confer- ence “Aiming for Prevention” in Helsinki, September 2001, whose expert contributions provided the raw materials for this paper. Full conference proceedings are available online at www. ippnw.org or in book form upon request to brawson@ippnw.org. Specific acknowledgements are too numerous to list here, but ex- tend to virtually all the contributors and fellow organizers at the conference. Thanks to Dmitry Vovchuk for his assistance with fi- nal edits. This editorial is based upon a careful review of materials presented at the conference “Aiming for Prevention: International Medical Conference on Small Arms, Gun Violence, and Injury”, including formal presentations by panelists, comments and ques- tions from the floor, and working group notes and reports. The conference was organized by International Physicians for the Pre- vention of Nuclear War and its Finnish affiliate PSR-Finland in September 2001. This editorial attempts to not only accurately convey the sa- lient themes of the presentations, but also to conceptually orga- nize and interweave them into a common framework. Presenters covered an unusually wide range of topics, from war killings amid extreme poverty to individual acts of suicide among affluent populations. Thus, the author’s task was to discern and highlight common themes and relationships between concepts ordinarily left separate. The author hopes that this editorial may provide a conceptual framework useful for preventive health approaches to gun violence at a local and international level anywhere in the world. References 1 Kobusingye O. Who cares for bullet wounds in Africa? In: Loretz J, Rawson B, Taipale I, editors. Aiming for Prevention. 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