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Please find attached, the Initiating Coverage Report on OCL India Ltd.
OCL India Ltd (OCL) is well poised to benefit from the focused emphasis of the newly elected government on infrastructural development in East India. In line with this emphasis, OCLs timing of hiking cement grinding capacity to 6.7 MTPA in March 2014 could not have been better. With the expanded capacity, we expect OCL to report healthy revenue 2 year CAGR of 26% to Rs.3067 crore and PAT growth of 65% to Rs.292 crore by FY16E.
We initiate coverage on OCL as a BUY with a Price Objective of Rs.536 representing a potential upside of ~91% over a period of 18 months. At the CMP of Rs.280, the stock is trading at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 2.7x FY16E and at an EV/Tonne of cement sold in FY16 of $60 ($42 EV/Tonne of capacity). The replacement cost currently is in the range of US$120-140 per tonne.