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CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION IN SADC:  A STRATEGY FOR THE WATER SECTOR             2nd workshop on adaptation to climate chan...
Outline Background Process Strategy Lessons learnt
Water in SADC:Transboundary
Trends: variability Climate will become hotter (3° C) and drier (10%) Precipitation patterns are changing (volume, intensi...
Certainty # 1 : Variability has an impact   Rainfall variability and Real GDP growth in Zimbabwe during 1970-93
Certainty #2: Investments have an impact                         GDP in SA (2005 prices)
Adaption in SADC: Process            Donors               Directors                Donors                Directors        ...
SADC Strategy: No regrets           LEVELS OF      INTERVENTIONS                              SADC Adaptation Cube        ...
Interventions: Water Governance (on going)                               Benefit-sharing                               Pro...
Interventions: Infrastructure Development (on going)                               Vulnerability assessment               ...
Interventions: Water Management (on going)                              Water demand management                           ...
Challenges• Heterogeneity• Consensus• Cross cutting• Indigenous knowledge
Opportunities                Cooperation between                sectors                Sustainable                infrastr...
Thank you!         “It is better to be approximately               right than precisely wrong”                   John Mayn...
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Climate change adaptation in SADC: a strategy for the Water Sector

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Climate change adaptation in SADC: a strategy for the Water Sector

  1. 1. CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION IN SADC: A STRATEGY FOR THE WATER SECTOR 2nd workshop on adaptation to climate change in transboundary basins 12-13 April, 2011 Geneva, SwitzerlandBertrand Meinier, PhD Kenneth M. Msibi, PhD GIZ, TWM in SADC SADC Secretariat Gaborone, Botswana Gaborone, Botswana
  2. 2. Outline Background Process Strategy Lessons learnt
  3. 3. Water in SADC:Transboundary
  4. 4. Trends: variability Climate will become hotter (3° C) and drier (10%) Precipitation patterns are changing (volume, intensity, frequency, distribution) Water resources are changing (quality and availability) Frequency and intensity of floods and droughts is changing Uncertainty
  5. 5. Certainty # 1 : Variability has an impact Rainfall variability and Real GDP growth in Zimbabwe during 1970-93
  6. 6. Certainty #2: Investments have an impact GDP in SA (2005 prices)
  7. 7. Adaption in SADC: Process Donors Directors Donors Directors Experts ExpertsMinisters SADC Water Ministers Division Consulta- Concept-Inception Validation Approval tion ualisation 2008 2011 COP 17
  8. 8. SADC Strategy: No regrets LEVELS OF INTERVENTIONS SADC Adaptation Cube Governance AREAS OF ManagementINTERVENTIONS Development STAGES OF ADAPTATION
  9. 9. Interventions: Water Governance (on going) Benefit-sharing Promote equitable and reasonable utilisation Indigenous knowledge Account for TEK Political mobilization Develop a joint position on CCA in the region19.04.2011
  10. 10. Interventions: Infrastructure Development (on going) Vulnerability assessment Develop evidence based scenarios Dam synchronisation Develop new dam operation rules Project preparation Develop sustainable and bankable projects19.04.2011
  11. 11. Interventions: Water Management (on going) Water demand management Advocate pro-poor WDM practices Insurance mechanisms Early warning system Establish flow forecasting centres19.04.2011
  12. 12. Challenges• Heterogeneity• Consensus• Cross cutting• Indigenous knowledge
  13. 13. Opportunities Cooperation between sectors Sustainable infrastructure development
  14. 14. Thank you! “It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong” John Maynard Keynes

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