The Arab Spring Unstable situation Sunni vs. Shia in the Middle East Decline in US policy & influence in the region Iranian policy and influence The conflict with Turkey Israeli strategy and the challenges Israel faces today
“ Sitting on the edge of a Volcano” Recent events in Syria: Which route will be taken ? Will Assad survive ? Iran and Hezbollah efforts to assist the current regime The influence of the recent events on Hezbollah and Hamas Absence of Leadership The International Community Israel’s policy and interest-An Opportunity ?
Lebanon Iran and Hezbollah obtained majority in the parliament and rule the country The arming process continues Hezbollah is facing two challenges: The legal demand following Hariri’s murder. Assad’s declining situation The silence along the border: Israel’s deterrence
Egypt Military Regime: unstable situation Mubarak’s Egypt: moderate actor in the region The rise of the Muslim Brotherhood Good relationships between Hamas and the current leadership which allowed the Shalit Deal Israel’s concerns: The peace agreement No government control in the Sinai Peninsula an open gate for terror Egypt returns to the front
The Palestinian Arena How the September Declaration and The November Vote influence the field The challenges and opportunities for Israel Will current circumstances impact the process? The Palestinian agenda was pushed aside due to the Arab Spring The Future : Israel will continue to suffer missile attacks from Gaza
The Shalit Deal How will Shalit deal effect Israel in its struggle against terror - mainly Hezbollah and Hamas. Does Israel need to change its strategy associated with kidnapped soldiers ? The Israeli dilemma : Commitment to soldiers VS. Risks taken for future terror attacks and the heavy price in human lives. How does Shalit deal effect the global struggle against terror; Al Qaeda, Iran and other terror organizations.
Unstable situation in the near future Decrease in US presence Increasing Iranian influence Concerns: Relationships with Egypt & Turkey The Bottom Line