1
www.strategicbusinessinsights.com
Domotics Tech and Fragile People
International trends and development scenarios
© 2013...
2
Strategic Business Insights (SBI):
Who we are and what we do
A spin-off from SRI International, SBI is
headquartered in ...
3
We created a domotics roadmap with AREA
4
Next-generation telecare
• Health/wellness/emergency
• Telecare: key part of healthcare
• Private, bespoke systems
• Sys...
5
Robert Thomas
Physics
Scenario
Planning
Lucy Young
Egyptology
Bioscience
Technologies
Peter Batty
Physics
Consumer
Elect...
6
External Environment:
Opportunities and Threats
SBI research (Scan, Explorer, technology roadmaps)
Approximately 15 Clus...
7
The team did some data collection…
We collected relevant data from Scan, Explorer, the
domotics roadmap, projects, perso...
8
… and clustering
9
10
Available in our
App Store
11
“Homes become App platforms”
Premise: Enabling technologies such as tablets,
touchscreens, multimedia, sensors, and aut...
12
“Homes become App platforms”
Premise: Enabling technologies such as tablets,
touchscreens, multimedia, sensors, and aut...
13
I’ll find the
keys…
14
“Home as a second brain”
Premise: Within 10-15 years, home automation and related
technologies make it impossible to fo...
15
“Home as a second brain”
Implications
• Could prove a real boost for care of fragile people,
especially if they have me...
16
17
“Next-generation eating”
Premise: Food is getting smarter. Within 10-15 years, food
preparation, diet customization, an...
18
“Next-generation eating”
Implications
• People have different dietary preferences and needs
• A balance is needed betwe...
19
Hello
20
“Home robots… finally”
Premise: The demands of an aging population drive
demand for domestic robots significantly by 20...
21
“Home robots… finally”
Implications
• Although progress has appeared slow, large players and
research laboratories are ...
22
23
“Japanese domotification”
Premise: Years of Japanese R&D in home automation,
robotics all pay dividends. By 2025, Japan...
24
“Japanese domotification”
Implications
• Players face extensive competition from Japanese
companies; some are very larg...
25
Concluding remarks
• Domotics is a diverse and evolving technology area—
overlapping functions include entertainment, h...
26
Thank you very much for listening!
From all at SBI
Carl Telford
Program Manager, Scan
Strategic Business Insights
Knoll...
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Carl Telford - Domotics Tech and Fragile People. International trends and development scenarios.

  1. 1. 1 www.strategicbusinessinsights.com Domotics Tech and Fragile People International trends and development scenarios © 2013 by Strategic Business Insights. All rights reserved.© 2013 by Strategic Business Insights. All rights reserved. July 2013 Carl Telford, PhD Program Manager, Scan ctelford@sbi-i.com
  2. 2. 2 Strategic Business Insights (SBI): Who we are and what we do A spin-off from SRI International, SBI is headquartered in the heart of Silicon Valley. Scanning: SBI’s Scan service helps users understand change in business, technology, and society. Technology analysis: SBI’s Explorer service provides a continuous look at 32 important technologies. Consulting: We help clients at the ‘fuzzy front end.’ With Shell, we developed scenario planning in the 1970s. We create roadmaps…
  3. 3. 3 We created a domotics roadmap with AREA
  4. 4. 4 Next-generation telecare • Health/wellness/emergency • Telecare: key part of healthcare • Private, bespoke systems • Systems on smartphones/tablets Service robotics • Robot companions • Exoskeletons • Domestic task assistance Home automation platforms • Security • Lighting and heating • Food preparation We created a domotics roadmap with AREA
  5. 5. 5 Robert Thomas Physics Scenario Planning Lucy Young Egyptology Bioscience Technologies Peter Batty Physics Consumer Electronics Carl Telford Materials Eng. “Scanning” Kyle Whitman English & Law Future Homes & Connectivity Rob Edmonds Cognitive Sci. Collaboration Tools & Learning Gareth Lamb Chemistry Industrial Chemicals/Mats Nanomaterials Advanced Materials SBI Function Background The SBI team: “What could happen in 10 to 15 years…?” Alastair Cunningham
  6. 6. 6 External Environment: Opportunities and Threats SBI research (Scan, Explorer, technology roadmaps) Approximately 15 Clusters 5 Themes [“Development Scenarios”] Presentation Business Publications Scientific Journals Trade Publications Personal Observations Consulting Work Web 2.0 Media Magazines Interviews ConferencesNewspapers Clustering Refinement Chaotic Unstructured Focused Structured Application of SBI’s Scan™ process
  7. 7. 7 The team did some data collection… We collected relevant data from Scan, Explorer, the domotics roadmap, projects, personal interest… Focus on technology and industry developments
  8. 8. 8 … and clustering
  9. 9. 9
  10. 10. 10 Available in our App Store
  11. 11. 11 “Homes become App platforms” Premise: Enabling technologies such as tablets, touchscreens, multimedia, sensors, and automation become pervasive, forming a platform for “Domotic Apps.” Signposts • Apple's increasing role in home automation • Microsoft buys id8 Group and working to turn surfaces into interactive displays • Amateur Siri system ‘controls everything but the kitchen sink’ • Wonderwall: High-tech home- assisted living for the elderly Photo: c/o Gizmag
  12. 12. 12 “Homes become App platforms” Premise: Enabling technologies such as tablets, touchscreens, multimedia, sensors, and automation become pervasive, forming a platform for “Domotic Apps.” Implications • Lessons from other sectors (e.g. automotive and TV) suggest integrating cell phones as processors and controllers rather than replicating their functionality elsewhere is a successful approach. • Home automation hardware could become standard; customization could occur via Apps • Telecare? One could be able to download a fragile- person specific App (“Keep an Eye on Mum v3.1”) from an online store.
  13. 13. 13 I’ll find the keys…
  14. 14. 14 “Home as a second brain” Premise: Within 10-15 years, home automation and related technologies make it impossible to forget where your keys are, to take pills, or what a recipe is… Signposts • Alzheimer’s: a huge global problem • New technologies can augment fragile mental capabilities • Enablers include the “internet of things” (IoT), smart surfaces, social alarms, cellular reminder services, augmented reality… • Players such as Intel are developing 3D object recognition systems.
  15. 15. 15 “Home as a second brain” Implications • Could prove a real boost for care of fragile people, especially if they have mental-health problems (e.g. early-stage dementia / Alzheimer’s) • Real balance is needed; while mental augmentation can help day-to-day living, ‘mental exercise’ is extremely important • Privacy and security must be maintained. Premise: Within 10-15 years, home automation and related technologies make it impossible to forget where your keys are, to take pills, or what a recipe is…
  16. 16. 16
  17. 17. 17 “Next-generation eating” Premise: Food is getting smarter. Within 10-15 years, food preparation, diet customization, and food-safety become automatic processes in domotic environments Signposts • Food needs of an aging population • Smart surfaces • Food-safety & allergen sensing • 3D printing of food… • … and many future-kitchen concepts from IKEA, Electrolux, Whirlpool. Photo: c/o TNO (Netherlands) / Popular Mechanics
  18. 18. 18 “Next-generation eating” Implications • People have different dietary preferences and needs • A balance is needed between providing assistance and providing healthy ‘mental exercise’ • Domotics technologies overlap with food safety, food preparation, and customization. Premise: Food is getting smarter. Within 10-15 years, food preparation, diet customization, and food-safety become automatic processes in domotic environments
  19. 19. 19 Hello
  20. 20. 20 “Home robots… finally” Premise: The demands of an aging population drive demand for domestic robots significantly by 2025 Signposts • Healthcare systems are overstretched • Microsoft: ageing population will drive domestic robots • People prefer care robots to care homes? • Robots already developed for food- preparation applications • Spin-offs: Single-use domestic robots, security robots, physical assist, health- monitoring, telepresence... domotics. Photo: c/o Robosoft
  21. 21. 21 “Home robots… finally” Implications • Although progress has appeared slow, large players and research laboratories are still developing robotics for care applications • The overlap between domotics and robotics is an interesting and significant area • Robotics can provide inspiration for domotics companies and developers… and perhaps some enabling technologies. Premise: The demands of an aging population drive demand for domestic robots significantly by 2025
  22. 22. 22
  23. 23. 23 “Japanese domotification” Premise: Years of Japanese R&D in home automation, robotics all pay dividends. By 2025, Japanese players lead the world in the commercialization of domotics. Signposts • Nippon TV will start its Elderly- Monitoring Service • Japan’s advanced kitchen/food robots (Suzumo, Motoman, Sharp) • Japanese ‘smart homes’ in New York • Japan to pick robots and automation over immigrants? • Honda begins leasing its Walking Assist Exoskeleton Photo: c/o Honda
  24. 24. 24 “Japanese domotification” Implications • Players face extensive competition from Japanese companies; some are very large players (Honda, Motoman, Sharp) • Looking at developments in Japan is extremely important—especially technology approaches for helping fragile people • Potential collaborators and partners…? Premise: Years of Japanese R&D in home automation, robotics all pay dividends. By 2025, Japanese players lead the world in the commercialization of domotics.
  25. 25. 25 Concluding remarks • Domotics is a diverse and evolving technology area— overlapping functions include entertainment, heating, lighting, physical assistance, eating, care & wellness… • In terms of supporting fragile people, domotics could - Reduce burden on national healthcare systems - Help fragile people stay in their own homes - Improve safety, security, and quality of life. • Consumer-electronics companies are active in the domotics space; players should look out for competition • Robotics and domotics technology areas have synergies; robotics R&D could spin-out into domotics applications • Domotics should play a supporting, not cosseting role!
  26. 26. 26 Thank you very much for listening! From all at SBI Carl Telford Program Manager, Scan Strategic Business Insights Knollys House Croydon CR0 6SR United Kingdom ctelford@sbi-i.com +44 208 256 1416 www.strategicbusinessinsights.com

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