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Implications for sparing, sharing and caring

  1. Implications for sparing, sharing and caring – Meine van Noordwijk, ICRAF Indonesia
  2. • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L0_uh38ayOM
  3. V.6 Segregate/integrate multifunctionality debate (sparing-sharing-caring)
  4. Who is the driver Why is she speeding? Where are they heading? Are passengers happy? Who pays the fare? Who bribes the police? Who sets the timetable? Who owns the bus company? What are the points of leverage: accelerator, brake, gearshift, running out of fuel, change in contractor company, change in timetable and roadmap? Less passengers? Higher fines? Who pays fines & tickets?
  5. Wherever we went on Sumatra we found anger, confusion and destruction… …a company responsible, entirely legally, for the destruction of large areas of forest… Last year you planted 100 million trees, which sounds a lot, but how many ha’s did you deforest? “Can you repeat the question?” Can I get a sense of the scale of deforestation from APRIL, please? “We are not involved in deforestation, our efforts are concentrated on sustainable forest management … we are a pioneer in the introduction of sustainable forest management methods.” http://www.guardian.co.uk/global- development/video/2013/may/24/sumatra- indonesia-rainforest-video The rainforest of Sumatra in Indonesia is steadily being turned into a giant industrial plantation that can neither support the wildlife that lives there nor the native human population.
  6. 1. Undisturbed natural forest 2. Undisturbed + sust. logged natural forest 3. Closed canopy undisturbed + logged forest 4A. as 3 + agroforest 4B. as 3 + timber plantations 4C. as 3 + agroforest + timber plant’s + estate crops 4D as 4C + shrub Rainforest foundation Conservation agency Modis data Ministry of Forestry Forest ecologist UNFCCC definition Stakeholder:
  7. Table 1. Land cover transition matrix for six land use types, ranked by time-averaged carbon stock; transitions above the diagonal imply a net loss of carbon, those below a net gain; depending on the operational forest definition (in the example between AF and P1), forest degradation, deforestation and non-forest degradation contribute to gross emissions, improved forest management, reforestation and restocking outside forest to C-stock gains, and the matrix as a whole to net emissions. Each cell tends to have its own ‘actors’ (motivated by a direct benefit) but they may respond to common ‘drivers’
  8. Forest and tree cover transitions: a unifying concept across CRP6 Temporal pattern, X- axis Spatial pattern, X-axis Institutional challenge at turning point X-linkage of actions in landscape Core Choice of Y-axis 1 2 3 4 5 6
  9. Sparing and Sharing
  10. Pattern of tree cover  Processes of change  Drivers of tree cover transition What disappears? What stays What comes back? TIF = Trees Inside Forest TOF = Trees Outside Forest
  11. 2013 1995
  12. Pattern of change, with relevant legend Consequences Actors: Smallholders local Poor migrants Local investors Large scale operators Remote sensing ima- gery/groundtruthed Land use options & their profitability Technology & input markets Value chains & output markets Roads, infrastruc- ture ES-related incentives Demo- graphy Rights Prefer- ences Local experience Research Demand Dev. Banks REDD Demo-trials, extension LocalNational government LU and development planning A. B. C. DiagnosticAttribution Leverage Models Access to credit
  13. Landscape Space People Land Use Systems Institutions Functions, services Geology Land forms Climate Vegetation Flora&fauna Hydrology Value chains Landscape - Planning, Incentives multifunctionalityTenure
  14. Drivers of deforestation: leverage points and REDD+ efficiency: Impli- cations for sparing, sharing and caring • Drivers depend on location, time and context • Policy responses need to use the right mix of carrots, sticks & sermons • Ultimately, enlightened self-interest (caring) will have to be the primary reason to keep/promote forests & trees • In the short run a combination of sparing & sharing is needed to achieve sustainable development goals
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