Antony Satyadas
Future of IT business in US and Kerala –
trends and directions with focus on Healthcare
KITA
Antony Satyad...
IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare
Antony Satyadas
In a nutshell

*$1.7T IT business is growing @ 7.1% in 2011,...
IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare
Antony Satyadas
IoT Infrastructure needs to handle 50B connected devices by 2...
IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare
Antony Satyadas
Up to
10,000
Times
larger
Up to 10,000
times faster
Tradition...
IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare
Antony Satyadas
DataScale
DataScale
Decision Frequency
Occasional Frequent Re...
IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare
Antony Satyadas
Scale-in is the New Systems Battlefield
FLASH SSD
3D ChipsFPG...
IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare
Antony Satyadas
Convergence of Social and Analytic Technologies Transform the...
IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare
Antony Satyadas
8
Today Future
A new class of systems that will be transforma...
IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare
Antony Satyadas
9
Learning Systems Roadmap
Greater Autonomy
Static Learning
S...
IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare
Antony Satyadas
10
Device and Technology Roadmap leveraging Cognition oriente...
IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare
Antony Satyadas
Opportunity to capitalize on Paradigm Shifts
1) Internet of P...
IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare
Antony Satyadas
KITA, Kerala - teamkita.ning.com
 Center of Excellence
 Bus...
IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare
Antony Satyadas
Its time for Smarter Villages – with IT as a cottage industry...
IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare
Antony Satyadas
Healthcare Context – Payer, Provider, Translational, Life
Hom...
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Satyadas i tforumchicagojune112011v1.0

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Satyadas i tforumchicagojune112011v1.0

  1. 1. Antony Satyadas Future of IT business in US and Kerala – trends and directions with focus on Healthcare KITA Antony Satyadas Solution Strategist IBM Corporation IEEE Senior Member, KITA Board member antony_satyadas@us.ibm.com http://www.satyadas.com 781-953-0902
  2. 2. IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare Antony Satyadas In a nutshell  *$1.7T IT business is growing @ 7.1% in 2011, 8.7% in 2012. [Forrester, Jan 2011]  LATAM, CEEMEA, AP, USA  wireless, UC, Video, cloud, smart, social  Project services in US, outsourcing in LATAM  IBM Global Technology Outlook 2011  IT as the enabler  IoT, Natural Resources (7T)  Petaanalytics, Social, Learning  KITA 2011  CoE, Business Incubator, Jams, Lectures  Analytics Cloud, Virtual Desktops  Smarter Villages  Healthcare  Home, Deep, Reputation, Wellness  Reputation Management – KITA member 2
  3. 3. IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare Antony Satyadas IoT Infrastructure needs to handle 50B connected devices by 2020  IoT access appliance and application gateway are two cornerstones of the IoT infrastructure  IoT infrastructure provides distributed management functions to support IoT end-to-end services IoT Application Gateway Physical World Wide Area Network IoT Access Appliances Physical World Sensor Network IoT Service Platform Smart supply chain Smart grid Smart healthcare Smart building app1 app2 app3 Data Center IoT Application Gateway Wireless Network Edge Appliance for IoT IoT Access Appliance Enhanced Middleware for IoT IoT End-to-End Services (Management & Operation) New Technology for IoT 50,000,000,000 devices 500,000 units (1:1000) 500,000,000 units (1:100) 3
  4. 4. IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare Antony Satyadas Up to 10,000 Times larger Up to 10,000 times faster Traditional Data Warehouse and Business Intelligence DataScale DataScale yr mo wk day hr min sec … ms µs Exa Peta Tera Giga Mega Kilo Decision Frequency Occasional Frequent Real-time Data in Motion DataatRest New “Big Data” Brings New Opportunities, Requires New Analytics Telco Promotions 100,000 records/sec, 6B/day 10 ms/decision 270TB for Deep Analytics DeepQA 100s GB for Deep Analytics 3 sec/decision Smart Traffic 250K GPS probes/sec 630K segments/sec 2 ms/decision, 4K vehicles Homeland Security 600,000 records/sec, 50B/day 1-2 ms/decision 320TB for Deep Analytics 4
  5. 5. IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare Antony Satyadas DataScale DataScale Decision Frequency Occasional Frequent Real-time Traditional Data Warehouse and Business Intelligence Integration Integration yr mo wk day hr min sec … ms µs Exa Peta Tera Giga Mega Kilo Feedback Reactive Analytics Reality FastObservations Actions History Deep Analytics Deep PredictionsHypotheses Integration Maximum Insight Requires Combining Deep and Reactive Analytics Data lives in persistent memory Many CPU’s surround and use Shallow/Flat Storage Hierarchy New Data-centric Model 5
  6. 6. IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare Antony Satyadas Scale-in is the New Systems Battlefield FLASH SSD 3D ChipsFPGAManycore BPRAM/SCM Interconnect In-mem DB DAS Scale-in Maximize system density Minimize end-to-end latency SystemCapacity(capability) SingleDeviceDevice Clusters 100K 10K 1K 100 10 High Med Low Scale-down Scale-up Scale-in Exascale Peta2 Low Med High Extreme System Density (1/Latencyend-to-end) Device ClustersSingle Device Low Med High Physical Limits NASBlade Server Scale-out Maximize system capacity Terabyte HDDPOWER 7 Scale-up Maximize device capacity Atom Transistor Atom Storage Scale-down Maximize feature density Cloud Computing Scale-out 6
  7. 7. IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare Antony Satyadas Convergence of Social and Analytic Technologies Transform the Way Businesses Operate Socially Synergistic Enterprise Solutions New top-line opportunities, better relationships with customers and partners, enhanced talent pool, increased resiliency and efficiency Data  Data aggregation  Smart filtering  Meaning extraction  Consumable analytics  Process orchestration  Stream processing Analytics  Customer Sentiment  Unmet Needs  Talent Discovery  Reasoning and Decision Support  Crowdsensing, Crowdsourcing  Teaming, Incentives, Motivation Society Organizations Teams Individuals Social Social Data from and about People Physical Sensors & Streams Enterprise Business Process Transformation 7
  8. 8. IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare Antony Satyadas 8 Today Future A new class of systems that will be transformative to the enterprise Programming and Data transform to Learning and Intelligence 2 Competitors General Purpose System A Software with Function C General Purpose System B Software with Function C + + Same Output 2 Competitors Learning System A Experiences from Company 2 Learning System B Experiences from Company 1 + Different Output; Differentiation Learning Systems Attributes The Learning Paradigm The Calculating Paradigm + • Learn & Self-train (e.g. beyond programming) • Interface Naturally & Accessibly with Humans and the World (including multi-modal real time sensory input and output) • Provide Insights, Create and Test Hypothesis • Enable Better Outcomes
  9. 9. IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare Antony Satyadas 9 Learning Systems Roadmap Greater Autonomy Static Learning Systems Today Future Expert teams identify features across industries, create first commercial learning systems Dynamic Learning Systems Dynamic Data Corpus Expand Hypothesis Generation to different domains (leverage crowd-sourcing) Add Scorers for Different Input Modalities: images, video, voice, environmental, biological; leverage new devices & hardware acceleration Deeper Reasoning: Allow higher-levels of semantic abstraction. Leverage new hardware. Domain Adaptation Tools Autonomous Learning Systems Achieve understanding of natural language, images and other sensory information. Hypothesis and question generation across arbitrary domains; meta-heuristic to automate algorithm choices Keyword Search Delivers lists based on keywords & human filters 1985 Biological Inspiration: Cognitive Process Understanding Autonomously & accurately identify essential features across multiple domains. Learning systems must understand context to disambiguate. Watson Element Refresh Time Data Corpus 2 Weeks Hypothesis Engines Weeks to Months Scoring Engines Weeks to Months Decision Support Engine 4 Days 3,000 cores;100 TFlops 2 TB memory ~ 200 KW
  10. 10. IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare Antony Satyadas 10 Device and Technology Roadmap leveraging Cognition oriented Architectures Time Subsystem Integration (3D, SCM, Photonics) Carbon Electronics High-k Nanowires Bio-Inspired Computation Vddh ck2_hick2b_hi ck2 ck2b ck2_lo ck2b_lo en Vc=Vddh-Vdd (constant) Vddh ck2_hick2b_hi ck2 ck2b ck2_lo ck2b_lo en Vc=Vddh-Vdd (constant) Low V Circuits & Architecture InAs Si Low V Devices Reconfigurable Logic Neuromorphic & Quantum Devices Non-Von Neumann Architectures Von Neumann Architectures Today Algorithms Accelerators 15 nm 11 nm 8 nm 5 nm <5 nm?22 nm Spintronic & Magnetic New Devices, Architectures & Computing Paradigms New Architectures Leveraging 100’s of Billions of Low-Voltage Devices Existing Architectures IncreasingEfficien Computing Without Programming Computing with Programs: Fetch Instructions, Decode, Execute & Repeat. FPGA’s + Neuromorphic Devices &Circuits Quantum Devices & Circuits 50µm
  11. 11. IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare Antony Satyadas Opportunity to capitalize on Paradigm Shifts 1) Internet of People 2) CPU centric analytics engines 3) Social crowd sourcing 4) Calculator oriented, Static, von-neumann 1) Internet of People and Things 2) Data centric analytics engines 3) Serious games, reputation 4) Learning/Cognition oriented, Autonomous, non von-neumann 11
  12. 12. IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare Antony Satyadas KITA, Kerala - teamkita.ning.com  Center of Excellence  Business Incubator, Entrepreneurial workshops  Jams, Lectures, Networking  E-Governance – Mass. Govt.  Analytics and Virtual Desktop Cloud  Smarter Villages – IT as a Cottage industry 12
  13. 13. IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare Antony Satyadas Its time for Smarter Villages – with IT as a cottage industry  Leverage current Healthcare innovations in Kerala – Tele medicine – Mobility: Sanjeevani, Sunayanam, … – Transcription business – EMR data validation – Reputation management – Practice Management support services  Build new capabilities, supporting policies – Analytics cloud – Virtual Desktops – Integrate with IT marketplaces – Curriculum development thru IT@School – Co-operative consortium 13
  14. 14. IT as a Business – Futures, KITA, Healthcare Antony Satyadas Healthcare Context – Payer, Provider, Translational, Life Home Healthcare IoT DeepBreath Air Quality Control DeepResponse Emergency Coordination Enhanced Wellness PetaAnalytics Learning Reputation Free Cloud EMR Social Smarter Villages Do it Head start Innovate 14 Virtual Desktops

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