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SETT seminar presenation, AS

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SETT, AS

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SETT seminar presenation, AS

  1. 1. LIEPĀJAS PILSĒTAS DOMESolar energy trends in Sweden, Denmark, Finland & Germany Project: Solar Think Tank Klaipeda, Lithuania
  2. 2. NO sun in Northern Europe? DENMARK: SWEDEN: FINLAND: GERMANY:Accum.: 14 MWp PV Accum.: 12,5 MWp PV Accum.: 11 MWp PV Accum.: 20’000 MWp PV In 2011: 7 MWp In 2011: 2,5 MWp In 2011: ? MWp In 2011: 3,500 MWp~2000 installations ~3500 installations ~70% off-Grid ~860’000 installations ~ 50 PV per week Skane Solar Region ~50 cities Roadmap 91 MWp Park in North ~30 companies ~80 companies ~20 companies ~10’000 companies 2 12/27/2011 LIEPĀJAS PILSĒTAS DOME
  3. 3. Yearly solar electricity generation (kwh/kWp) 1200 1000 964 800 885 875 864 847 810 791 600 400 200 0 S1 Germany Latvia Lithuania Estonia Denmark Sweden Finland* Optimally inclinded PV modules. PR=75%: Source: EPIA PVGIS LIEPĀJAS PILSĒTAS DOME
  4. 4. Household Electricity Price rankingsImportant: GRIDPARITY.. 4 12/27/2011 LIEPĀJAS PILSĒTAS DOME
  5. 5. LIEPĀJAS PILSĒTAS DOME
  6. 6. Solar PV system prices: down to 2’422 EUR/kWp 0,48 EUR/kWh 0,41 EUR/kWh 0,26 EUR/kWh 6 12/27/2011 LIEPĀJAS PILSĒTAS DOME
  7. 7. Main drivers towards PV Grid Parity1. Production price of Solar cells (global: 0,77-0,52 EUR/Wp);2. Installation price of Solar modules (local: 3,5-2,1 EUR/Wp);3. Production price of Conventional Electricity (0,11 – 0,30 EUR/kWh);4. National taxes: VAT, Energy, CO2, PSO (20% - 55%);5. Solar radiation, PV electricity generation (850-970 kWh/kWp);6. PV system life-cycle & pay-back period (25 years vs. 12 years). 7 12/27/2011 LIEPĀJAS PILSĒTAS DOME
  8. 8. Denmark Solar PV Market Outlook 2009: 2011: 3,9 MWp installed 14 MWp installed 2003: 2011: 1,9 MWp installed PV reach Grid parity in Denmark 1999: 2011:300 roof-tops project launched Denmark: Scandinavian leader in PV kWp 1998: 2011: 40% subsidy, R&D, BIPV Inverters: Danish Export Core Competence 1991 - 1994: 2011: Demonstration projects Focus on BIPV: Gaia Solar, Architects 1991: 2012: Danish National PV Program Net metering: Success Story! 8 12/27/2011 LIEPĀJAS PILSĒTAS DOME
  9. 9. Sweden Solar PV Market Outlook 2008: 2009: 7,9 MWp installed 8,8 MWp installed 2007: 2009: 60% PV subsidy for 5 years S-Solar PV factory launched 2005: 2011: 70% PV subsidy for 2 years 12 MWp installed, 3’500 projects 2005: 2011:Selibro AB: Uppsala Start-up Absolicon AB: Innovation price Europe 2003: 2011: Green Electricity Certificate Uppsala University: 17% cell efficiency 1997: 2012: Renewable Energy Policy Focus towards Net Metering! 9 12/27/2011 LIEPĀJAS PILSĒTAS DOME
  10. 10. Lessons learned?1. Universities generate “Start-ups” and professionals (Selibro, Gaia, TEKES);2. Industry value added: consumer engineering (installation, integration, electronics);3. Not just install, BUT – building integrate, involve architects);4. PV prices decrease every year (3’500 – 2’400 EUR/kWp);5. Grid parity is essential (Denmark huge growth – 7 MW in 2011);6. Energy tax and CO2 tax: hidden costs – future reality;7. Best household motivation: independence from utilities! 10 12/27/2011 LIEPĀJAS PILSĒTAS DOME
  11. 11. Thank you! Download presentation at:www.solarthinktank.eu 11 12/27/2011 LIEPĀJAS PILSĒTAS DOME

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