Predictive Analytics in the Cloud - The Art of the Possible

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This is the presentation I did last week at the USGIF Technology Day event. The presentation was in the Ignite format and talked about how to model human behavior like hurricanes and weather patterns to help build and calibrate a predictive model of where events will happen and what other impacts they will have on neighboring geographies.

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Predictive Analytics in the Cloud - The Art of the Possible

  1. 1. Predictive Analytics in the Cloud - The Art of the Possible @tonyquartararo
  2. 2. why people do what they do where they do it?
  3. 3. how can we anticipate (predict) this with greaterconfidence, precision & accuracy at any scale for any geography over time?
  4. 4. what data + model is needed to succeed?
  5. 5. what does it mean to shift from reactive to predictive?
  6. 6. boiling the ocean• Demographics • Language• Economy • Medical / Health• Education • Religion• Ethnicity • Climate• Groups • Significant Events• Land-Use • Transportation • Communications wwhgd.org
  7. 7. the premise 2nd & Laws of Thermodynamicshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/laws_of_thermodynamics
  8. 8. obstacles to success•highly complex variables•data fidelity & currency•rate of change accelerates unevenly•business models (monetization)•big data (25 zettabytes by 2020)
  9. 9. obstacles to success•open vs. proprietary vs. interoperability•enterprise vs. SaaS vs. hybrids•mobile devices as producer & consumer•data disparity across geographies•UX is everything...
  10. 10. did i mention big, big data
  11. 11. the solutionchaos theory + data + math + GEOINT + internet + UX
  12. 12. credit: @mapbox
  13. 13. credit: @mapbox
  14. 14. July 2013• Jan 2013 natural events• economics• geopolitics• climate Nov 2012• migration• food security Oct 2012 Sept 2012 August 2012 July 2012
  15. 15. or something like this http://hint.fm/wind
  16. 16. thank you.interested in collaboration? anthony quartararo ajq3@spatialnetworks.com @ tonyquartararo

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