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13 February 2015By: Andrew Stotz, CFA and Sornsak Kongcharoenpanich
SAMPLE
Profitable Growth analysis: 10 companies
13 February 2015 2
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research
A. Stotz Profitable Growth
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14
2 3 1 1 1
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
2 3 1 1 1 8 6 3 4 5
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
4 4 3 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 8 6 5 5 4 9 8 2 3 6
Profitable growth
Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change
Profitability Growth
Profitable growth: growth with
minimum asset use
Why: The way to be world class and
sustainable in the long run
Risk: One without the other is not
enough
Profitability: ROA – generating the
most profit out of your assets
Why: Getting more out of assets
means you need less capital
Risk: Only high returns, but no
asset growth, is not sustainable
Growth: EPS growth – the market
values it and so should you
Why: Grow earnings to grow firm
value
Risk: Focus on short-term results is
not a sustainable strategy
Profit margin: cost control to
expand margin
Why: Internal improvement of
efficiency and profitability
Risk: Too tight cost control
prevents growth
Sales growth: externally
driven EPS growth
Why: Essential to grow your
business
Risk: Growth without profit
doesn’t win in the long run
Asset utilization: amount of
revenue per unit of assets
Why: Careful asset growth
preserves capital
Risk: Too tight asset policy
prevents growth
Margin change: internally
driven EPS growth
Why: Getting more profit
from every sale
Risk: Too high prices, or low
costs could hurt sales growth
13 February 2015 3
Profitable Growth
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14
1
2 1
3 1 2
4 2 3 1
5 3 4 2
6 4 5 3 1
7 5 6 4 2
8 6 7 5 3
9 7 8 6 4
10 8 9 7 5
9 10 8 6
10 9 7
10 8
9
10
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research.
Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data.
UNVR (UNVR IJ): Struggle to grow the business
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14
1 1 1 1 1
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
1 1 1 1 1 6 4 4 4 6
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 8 5 4 3 3 5 4 5 5 7
Benchmarked against 300 Cons. Staples companies across Asia.
Profitable Growth
Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change
Profitability Growth
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15
UNVR
Price (IDR)
Five years of ranking
Decile ranking
improved to no. 1
from no. 6 among
its peers
How to read the diagram
Company was ranked in
3rd decile in 2013
13 February 2015 4
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research.
Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data.
PetroChina (857 HK): In the middle on Profitable Growth
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14
4 5 5 4 4
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
4 4 4 3 4 5 8 6 4 4
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
4 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 4 4 3 4 6 5 5 6 8 6 3 4
Benchmarked against 140 Energy companies across Asia.
Profitable Growth
Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change
Profitability Growth
-
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15
PetroChina
Price (HKD)
13 February 2015 5
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research.
Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data.
MPPA (MPPA IJ): Continuous improvement on Profitable Growth
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14
1 9 5 4 3
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
8 9 7 4 3 9 9 1 2 4
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
6 6 3 1 1 8 9 8 7 6 10 8 2 5 3 6 7 3 3 4
Benchmarked against 730 Cons. Disc. companies across Asia.
Profitable Growth
Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change
Profitability Growth
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15
MPPA
Price (IDR)
13 February 2015 6
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14
10 10 10 1 1
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
10 10 10 1 1 6 9 3 1 1
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
10 10 9 6 6 10 10 10 1 1 7 8 7 1 1 3 10 1 1 1
Benchmarked against 770 Info Tech companies across Asia.
Profitable Growth
Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change
Profitability Growth
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research.
Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data.
Inotera (3474 TT): Profitable Growth jumps to 1st from 10th decile
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15
Inotera
Price (TWD)
13 February 2015 7
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research.
Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data.
Medy (086900 KS): Profitability and growth are in sync
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14
1 1 1 1 1
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
1 1 1 1 1 6 7 2 7 1
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
7 8 6 6 6 1 1 1 1 1 4 8 1 7 1 8 9 3 9 1
Benchmarked against 280 Health Care companies across Asia.
Profitable Growth
Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change
Profitability Growth
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15
Medy
Price (KRW)
13 February 2015 8
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research.
Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data.
SIA (SIA SP): Struggling to get Profitable Growth
'11 '12 '13 '14 '14
4 8 7 7 8
'11 '12 '13 '14 '14 '11 '12 '13 '14 '14
6 8 7 6 7 1 9 4 5 8
'11 '12 '13 '14 '14 '11 '12 '13 '14 '14 '11 '12 '13 '14 '14 '11 '12 '13 '14 '14
7 6 5 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 7 8 6 7 7 2 9 3 5 7
Benchmarked against 930 Industrials companies across Asia.
Profitable Growth
Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change
Profitability Growth
-
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15
SIA
Price (SGD)
13 February 2015 9
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research.
Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data.
STPI (STPI TB): Best Profitable Growth but worst margin change
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14
1 3 1 1 1
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
1 2 1 1 1 5 9 1 2 3
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
5 10 7 6 3 1 1 1 1 1 10 10 1 1 1 1 7 8 4 10
Benchmarked against 640 Materials companies across Asia.
Profitable Growth
Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change
Profitability Growth
-
5
10
15
20
25
Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15
STPI
Price (Bt)
13 February 2015 10
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research.
Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data.
VLL (VLL PM): Room for improvement in growth
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14
5 4 3 3 3
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
5 4 3 3 3 6 5 4 5 4
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
5 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 6 5 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 5
Benchmarked against 360 Real Estate companies across Asia.
Profitable Growth
Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change
Profitability Growth
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15
VLL
Price (PHP)
13 February 2015 11
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research.
Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data.
ADVANC (ADVANC TB): Amazing profitability but neutral growth
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14
1 1 1 1 1
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
1 1 1 1 1 4 6 3 6 6
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
2 1 1 1 2 3 3 2 2 2 5 5 6 8 9 3 7 2 4 3
Benchmarked against 50 Telecom companies across Asia.
Profitable Growth
Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change
Profitability Growth
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15
ADVANC
Price (Bt)
13 February 2015 12
Source: A. Stotz Investment Research.
Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data.
FGEN (FGEN PM): Profitability is declining
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14
5 8 2 7 6
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
7 7 3 6 6 1 8 1 8 4
'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14
3 3 3 5 5 7 8 5 6 5 5 7 2 9 7 2 7 2 7 3
Benchmarked against 120 Utilities companies across Asia.
Profitable Growth
Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change
Profitability Growth
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15
FGEN
Price (PHP)
1313 February 2015
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10 Asian Companies Analyzed - Are They World Class?

  • 1. 13 February 2015By: Andrew Stotz, CFA and Sornsak Kongcharoenpanich SAMPLE Profitable Growth analysis: 10 companies
  • 2. 13 February 2015 2 Source: A. Stotz Investment Research A. Stotz Profitable Growth '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 2 3 1 1 1 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 2 3 1 1 1 8 6 3 4 5 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 4 4 3 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 8 6 5 5 4 9 8 2 3 6 Profitable growth Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change Profitability Growth Profitable growth: growth with minimum asset use Why: The way to be world class and sustainable in the long run Risk: One without the other is not enough Profitability: ROA – generating the most profit out of your assets Why: Getting more out of assets means you need less capital Risk: Only high returns, but no asset growth, is not sustainable Growth: EPS growth – the market values it and so should you Why: Grow earnings to grow firm value Risk: Focus on short-term results is not a sustainable strategy Profit margin: cost control to expand margin Why: Internal improvement of efficiency and profitability Risk: Too tight cost control prevents growth Sales growth: externally driven EPS growth Why: Essential to grow your business Risk: Growth without profit doesn’t win in the long run Asset utilization: amount of revenue per unit of assets Why: Careful asset growth preserves capital Risk: Too tight asset policy prevents growth Margin change: internally driven EPS growth Why: Getting more profit from every sale Risk: Too high prices, or low costs could hurt sales growth
  • 3. 13 February 2015 3 Profitable Growth '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 1 2 1 3 1 2 4 2 3 1 5 3 4 2 6 4 5 3 1 7 5 6 4 2 8 6 7 5 3 9 7 8 6 4 10 8 9 7 5 9 10 8 6 10 9 7 10 8 9 10 Source: A. Stotz Investment Research. Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data. UNVR (UNVR IJ): Struggle to grow the business '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 1 1 1 1 1 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 1 1 1 1 1 6 4 4 4 6 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 8 5 4 3 3 5 4 5 5 7 Benchmarked against 300 Cons. Staples companies across Asia. Profitable Growth Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change Profitability Growth - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15 UNVR Price (IDR) Five years of ranking Decile ranking improved to no. 1 from no. 6 among its peers How to read the diagram Company was ranked in 3rd decile in 2013
  • 4. 13 February 2015 4 Source: A. Stotz Investment Research. Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data. PetroChina (857 HK): In the middle on Profitable Growth '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 4 5 5 4 4 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 4 4 4 3 4 5 8 6 4 4 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 4 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 4 4 3 4 6 5 5 6 8 6 3 4 Benchmarked against 140 Energy companies across Asia. Profitable Growth Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change Profitability Growth - 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15 PetroChina Price (HKD)
  • 5. 13 February 2015 5 Source: A. Stotz Investment Research. Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data. MPPA (MPPA IJ): Continuous improvement on Profitable Growth '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 1 9 5 4 3 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 8 9 7 4 3 9 9 1 2 4 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 6 6 3 1 1 8 9 8 7 6 10 8 2 5 3 6 7 3 3 4 Benchmarked against 730 Cons. Disc. companies across Asia. Profitable Growth Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change Profitability Growth - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15 MPPA Price (IDR)
  • 6. 13 February 2015 6 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 10 10 10 1 1 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 10 10 10 1 1 6 9 3 1 1 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 10 10 9 6 6 10 10 10 1 1 7 8 7 1 1 3 10 1 1 1 Benchmarked against 770 Info Tech companies across Asia. Profitable Growth Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change Profitability Growth Source: A. Stotz Investment Research. Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data. Inotera (3474 TT): Profitable Growth jumps to 1st from 10th decile - 10 20 30 40 50 60 Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15 Inotera Price (TWD)
  • 7. 13 February 2015 7 Source: A. Stotz Investment Research. Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data. Medy (086900 KS): Profitability and growth are in sync '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 1 1 1 1 1 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 1 1 1 1 1 6 7 2 7 1 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 7 8 6 6 6 1 1 1 1 1 4 8 1 7 1 8 9 3 9 1 Benchmarked against 280 Health Care companies across Asia. Profitable Growth Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change Profitability Growth - 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15 Medy Price (KRW)
  • 8. 13 February 2015 8 Source: A. Stotz Investment Research. Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data. SIA (SIA SP): Struggling to get Profitable Growth '11 '12 '13 '14 '14 4 8 7 7 8 '11 '12 '13 '14 '14 '11 '12 '13 '14 '14 6 8 7 6 7 1 9 4 5 8 '11 '12 '13 '14 '14 '11 '12 '13 '14 '14 '11 '12 '13 '14 '14 '11 '12 '13 '14 '14 7 6 5 5 5 5 8 7 7 7 7 8 6 7 7 2 9 3 5 7 Benchmarked against 930 Industrials companies across Asia. Profitable Growth Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change Profitability Growth - 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15 SIA Price (SGD)
  • 9. 13 February 2015 9 Source: A. Stotz Investment Research. Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data. STPI (STPI TB): Best Profitable Growth but worst margin change '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 1 3 1 1 1 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 1 2 1 1 1 5 9 1 2 3 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 5 10 7 6 3 1 1 1 1 1 10 10 1 1 1 1 7 8 4 10 Benchmarked against 640 Materials companies across Asia. Profitable Growth Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change Profitability Growth - 5 10 15 20 25 Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15 STPI Price (Bt)
  • 10. 13 February 2015 10 Source: A. Stotz Investment Research. Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data. VLL (VLL PM): Room for improvement in growth '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 5 4 3 3 3 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 5 4 3 3 3 6 5 4 5 4 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 6 5 5 5 4 6 6 4 6 5 Benchmarked against 360 Real Estate companies across Asia. Profitable Growth Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change Profitability Growth - 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15 VLL Price (PHP)
  • 11. 13 February 2015 11 Source: A. Stotz Investment Research. Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data. ADVANC (ADVANC TB): Amazing profitability but neutral growth '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 1 1 1 1 1 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 1 1 1 1 1 4 6 3 6 6 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 2 1 1 1 2 3 3 2 2 2 5 5 6 8 9 3 7 2 4 3 Benchmarked against 50 Telecom companies across Asia. Profitable Growth Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change Profitability Growth - 50 100 150 200 250 300 Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15 ADVANC Price (Bt)
  • 12. 13 February 2015 12 Source: A. Stotz Investment Research. Note: 1 = top ranking and 10 = worst. Most recent year’s data is based on the last 12 months of published data. FGEN (FGEN PM): Profitability is declining '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 5 8 2 7 6 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 7 7 3 6 6 1 8 1 8 4 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 3 3 3 5 5 7 8 5 6 5 5 7 2 9 7 2 7 2 7 3 Benchmarked against 120 Utilities companies across Asia. Profitable Growth Asset utilization Profit margin Sales growth Margin change Profitability Growth - 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Mar-10 Aug-12 Jan-15 FGEN Price (PHP)
  • 13. 1313 February 2015 www.astotz.com Click here to read the White Paper